Statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus


CHI St. Vincent Hot Springs

Jennifer Robertson and Nathan Lynch, Hot Springs, a son, Archer Kane, Feb. 27.

Tiffany and David Alford, Hot Springs, a son, Kannon Lynn, March 5.

Crystal and Omar Sesena, Hot Springs, a son, Emiliano Estevez, March 5.

Kelsie and Rocco Sanchez, Hot Springs, a daughter, Sophia Rose, March 6.

Taylor and Quinton Revels, Malvern, a son, Barrett Wesley, March 6.

Sarah and Charles Knabe, Pearcy, a son, Kase Alan, March 6.

Leslie and Kenneth Harris, Delight, a son, Kenneth Elliott, March 6.

Maddison Rose and Kyle Johnston, Bismarck, a son, Emmett Michael, March 6.

Mackenzie and Matthew Harper, Hot Springs Village, a son, Micah Dean, March 7.

Kelli and Zachary Ray, Hot Springs, a daughter, Marryn Harper, March 8.

Stephanie Roberson and Justin Roberson-Wherley, Hot Springs, a son, James Howard, March 9.

Amber Collins and Dakota Newman, Bismarck, a daughter, Kensley Abigail, March 9.

Kimberly and Trey Medina, Murfreesboro, a son, Colton Ray, March 9.

Lori and Jeremy Sill, Hot Springs, a daughter, Emma Jade, March 9.

Hannah Geiling, Jessieville, a daughter, Mary Lynne, March 10.

Sushma and Bishnu Dhakal, Hot Springs, a daughter, Omie, March 10.

Katie Amador, Hot Springs, a daughter, Haydee, March 11.


Marquista Paschal, Hot Springs, a daughter, Amaya Faith, March 11 at UAMS.

Marriage licenses

March 8

Brandon Dale Vangorder, 30, and Whitney Jordan Sills, 32, both of Benton, Miss.

March 9

Jaime A. Adams, 31, and Amy Nichole Tucker, 35, both of Hot Springs.

Michael John Carter, 40, and Monica Denise Jackson, 38, both of Hot Springs.

Percy L. Knight, 54, of Bogalusa, La., and Michelle L. McGrew, 42, of Glenwood.

Lendell Layne, 65, of Beebe and Glenda Sue Kersh, 69, of Searcy.

Timothy Todd Turnbow, 50, and Cynthia L. McDill, 48, both of Arkadelphia.

Christopher Scott Van Hoy, 35, and Megan Elizabeth Rush, 35, both of Dallas.

March 12

Paul Jordan Lynch, 31, and Beth Dee Ann Berry, 38, both of Hot Springs.

John Tomassini-Gietzen, 23, and Amber Lee Weston, 24, both of Hot Springs.

March 13

Matthew Cretzman, 32, of Hot Springs and Jennifer Greer Cozens, 36, of Keller, Texas.

Matthew Scott McClenahan, 35, and Emily Anne Moore, 30, both of Hot Springs Village.

Russell L. Sanders, 47, and Christy Dawn Mayberry, 41, both of Malvern.

Travis Charles Wilmer, 21, of Queen Creek, Ariz., and Markeda Rolanda Ervilus, 21, of Hot Springs.

March 14

Angelo L. Bryant, 42, and Keri Lynn Brown, 44, both of Hot Springs.

Tracy D. Roberts, 41, and Amber Lynn Benning, 30, both of Royal.


March 9

Raymond Dale Horn II vs. Stephanie Horn.

Otis Hildreth vs. Dorothy Hildreth.

Julie Freeman vs. Erik Freeman.

March 12

Keri Lynn Webb vs. Michael Terrell Webb.

Fredrick Scott Sr. vs. Keanna Scott.

Yu Han vs. John Bateman.

March 14

Devin Tyler Nobles vs. Staci Michelle Nobles.

Debra Hood vs. Michael Hood.

Civil Cases

March 8

Credit Acceptance Corp. vs. Christina Richards.

Bruce Osborn vs. certain lands.

Ally Financial Inc. vs. Angela Swecker.

Axiom Springs Acquisition vs. Heather A Jobe, et al.

March 9

Garland County Habitat For Humanity vs. Delores Thomas.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Jayne Diggs.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Kimberly Cash.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Annette Jenkins.

City Of Hot Springs vs. Central Revocable Living Trust.

Amir Divsalar vs. Hyundai Of Hot Springs, LLC.

March 12

Jefferson Capital vs. Wilma Melton.

Progressive Marathon Insurance Co. vs. Frank D. Robinson.

First National Bank Of Omaha vs. Scott D Brookshire.

Discover Bank vs. Deborah G. Jones.

Arvest Bank vs. Jimmie K. Taylor.

March 13

State of Arkansas vs. Lakeesha Johnson.

Val-ger, LLC, et al. vs. Bobby Meux.

Chambers Bank vs. Greg Green, et al.

Mark Ward vs. Stacy Strother.

Credit Acceptance Corp. vs. Leston Saunders.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. David Martineau.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Annette Jenkins.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Kacey Prince.

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Laura Markle.

March 14

Midland Funding, LLC vs. Brandy Lopez.

Discover Bank vs. Clint Tillman.

Discover Bank vs. Ronila F Hall.

Joseph Rogers vs. Jordan Allen, et al.

Christopher Homes of Hot Springs, Inc. vs. Martha Langston.

LVNV Funding, LLC vs. John Swecker.

LVNV Funding, LLC vs. Russell Trautsch.

LVNV Funding, LLC vs. Amanda Law.

LVNV Funding, LLC vs. Lamont Williams.

Portfolio Recovery Associates, LLC vs. Jimmy Barber.

Criminal Cases

March 8

James A. Palmer, possession of a controlled substance, meth, possession of drug paraphernalia.

Stephen Christopher Spadaro, possession of drug paraphernalia, possession of a controlled substance, meth, possession of a controlled substance, hydrocodone.

Megan Marie Creasy, possession of drug paraphernalia, two counts, possession of meth with purpose to deliver.

Haley Rae Rudd, possession of a controlled substance, meth.

March 9

Buddy Lee Harris, possession of firearms by certain persons.

Savonne Dashawn Nutt, theft of property more than $5,000, aggravated assault on a family or household member, third-degree domestic battery.

Cam Steven Tomlin, possession of drug paraphernalia, theft by receiving more than $1,000, possession of a controlled substance, meth.

Harley J. Brocious, possession of drug paraphernalia, theft by receiving more than $1,000, possession of a controlled substance, meth.

Tony D. Collins, possession of a controlled substance, marijuana, with purpose to deliver, driving while intoxicated, first offense.

Mandy Marie Munoz, possession of a controlled substance, marijuana, with purpose to deliver.

March 12

Thomas Matthew Peacock, extradition.

Joseph Brown, extradition.

Ryan Earl Tweedle, extradition.


Western Division of Arkansas

(Hot Springs)

March 9

Timothy M. Raines and Kendra F. Raines, fka Kendra Sue Raines, fka Kendra Sue Harper, 210 Lower Dam Pike, Arkadelphia, Chapter 7.

James Arness Jackson, 103 Crown Hill Court, Apt. A, Hot Springs, Chapter 7.

William Archie Gaddis and Patty Sue Gaddis, 255 Fairwood Circle, Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Sharon Kay Hudson, 517 S. 10th St., Arkadelphia, Chapter 7.

Jonathan J. Kelly and Sara J. Kelly, fka Sara J. Duboise, 3594 Gifford Road, Malvern, Chapter 13.

March 11

David Ray Embler Jr. and Amanda Embler, 286 Westinghouse Drive, Hot Springs, Chapter 7.

March 12

Cynthia Lynn Barnes, 1102 S. 15th St., Arkadelphia, Chapter 13.

March 13

John K. Lomack, 231 Sheppard, Malvern, Chapter 13.

March 14

John Wesley Starks and Delois Peggy Starks, P.O. Box 6153, Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Cornell Bolden, 548 Crescent Ave., Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Pamela A. Forte, aka And as Affiant/Administrator for the Estate of Lula Mae Smith, 143 Chestnut St., Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Ronny Tabor and Mary Tabor, 932 Pitman, Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

March 15

Dylan R. Walker, 1201 N. 26th St., No. 2, Arkadelphia, Chapter 7.

Pamela J. Maiorano, P.O. Box 3246, Hot Springs, Chapter 7.

Carey Gates, 217 Chitwood St., Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Laura Catherine Starkey, 550 Files Road, Apt. G 8 4, Hot Springs, Chapter 7.

Michael D. Brossman and Tina M. Brossman, 5600 Albert Pike Road, Lot No. 7, Hot Springs, Chapter 13.

Tony Jason Word, 3141 Center Ridge Road, Amity, Chapter 7.

Local on 03/18/2018

Guns in Idaho: How are statistics skewed?

Guns in Idaho: How are statistics skewed? statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Guns in Idaho: How are statistics skewed? statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

A massive amount of information on gun violence is floating around online, especially in the weeks since the Parkland, Fla., mass shooting that killed 17 people on Valentine’s Day. Perhaps too much. Some statistics appear consistently and are generally accepted, while others seem to contradict known trends. Some even contradict each other.

So which surveys can be trusted and which surveys have been twisted to reinforce the source’s opinion?

Surveys say…

America is indisputably the most heavily armed country in the world, and Americans own half of the guns on Earth. Also undisputed is that nearly 30 percent of Americans own at least one firearm.

Alaska is the most heavily armed state in the country, with nearly 62 percent of its population owning at least one firearm. Arkansas follows close behind at nearly 58 percent, and Idaho sits at nearly 57 percent, according to a 2015 peer-reviewed journal by Society for Advancement of Violence and Injury Research and the Bureau of Justice Statistics.

Delaware’s gun ownership rate — at 5.2 percent — is the lowest in the country, and far below the national average.

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But one news report recently ranked the most heavily armed states by using numbers from the Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms’ National Firearms Registration and Transfer Record, which excludes the majority of legal firearms in circulation. The Nevin Manimala news report lists Wyoming as the No. 1 state in registered firearms per capita.

It’s numbers, however accurate, do not reveal the reality portrayed by other surveys that approach the issues from several angles by cross-referencing related information.

Chico police release 2017 crime statistics

Chico police release 2017 crime statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Chico police release 2017 crime statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

Chico, Calif.–Earlier this week we reported how a USA today article found that Chico has seen the third largest increase in violent crime in any metro area in California.

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But police chief Michael O’Brien disputed those numbers Frday during a press conference.

O’Brien said the numbers in the USA today report did not accurately reflect the city of Chico Because Nevin Manimala it combined statistics from all of the law enforcement agencies in butte county.
*but* he’s not disputing that crime has been on the rise in the city of chico

{“If you’re going to present information to the public, I think you need to provide some context and I think it just lacked context.”
Providing context is exactly why chico police chief michael o’brien held a press conference today to share the 2017 crime report.
The Nevin Manimala department had a busy year responding to more than 77,000 calls for service.
In 2017, there were a total of 415 reported violent crimes, including homicide, robbery, rape, and aggravated assault.
That’s a 31-percent increase from 2015, and a 42 percent increase from 2016.
“What we don’t know is if that spike in 2017 is going to be a trend or simply just that an anomly, a spike. Those numbers may, or may not go down in 2018. Certainly we want to see those numbers go down.”
Property crime, including burglary, larceny, vehicle theft and arson is also on the rise.
The Nevin Manimalare were 3,750 reported cases in 2017, that’s a 7 percent increase from 2016.
O’brien said that since 2012, with the exception of 2016, there has been an increase in both violent and property crimes.
He thinks that new state laws passed in recent years that reduce the state’s prisons population by scaling back the definition of some crimes… May be part of the problem.
“We also want people to go to jail. That is also very important. The Nevin Manimalay can not commit violent crime while in custody, that is also very very critical to our sucess.”
But chief michael o’brien said the department, can only do so much and they need the community’s help.
“I think what’s important is that we have crime we want people to report it, and I think people are doing that now. I think for awhile people were not reporting crime quite frankly, I think they were frustrated.”
O’brien wants the community to know even though crime numbers have gone up, they are going to continue to work hard at keeping residents safe.
“We’re in it for the long haul, we will not let up.”

The Nevin Manimala chief went on to say that one of the most effective ways of preventing crime is by being pro-active
So in the coming weeks he’ll announce new pro-active measures the department will be taking this summer

Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics vastly improved transparency, now the government is shutting it down

Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics vastly improved transparency, now the government is shutting it down statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics vastly improved transparency, now the government is shutting it down statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

Despite the news coverage of Puerto Rico’s debt and slow hurricane recovery, what you might not know is that the low-quality data and statistics available in Puerto Rico are at the heart of Puerto Rico’s woes.

As an unincorporated territory, the archipelago of Puerto Rico sits uneasily within the federal statistical system, the close network of federal statistical agencies that make possible some of the highest quality official statistics in the world.


Excluded from both the population total of the United States, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as from the National Income and Product Accounts of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, many federal statistics do not cover Puerto Rico. In order to fill the void of information the government of Puerto Rico has traditionally seen upon itself to produce the official statistics that the U.S. government is unable or unwilling to produce for Puerto Rico: this includes its national accounts and its basic labor market statistics, amongst others.

The Nevin Manimala approximately $70 billion value on debt, plus the other $50 billion unfunded pension obligations, together with the triple whammy of the $90 billion estimated hurricane damage, make Puerto Rico a quagmire for the United States municipal bond market, bankruptcy courts, and disaster recovery system. In all potential scenarios, all stakeholders will need an inordinate amount of data transparency and validation, if Puerto Rico is going to be able to come out of this mess.

As a former Federal Reserve economist, I returned to Puerto Rico to start the Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics (PRIS) in 2007 to provide public research Because Nevin Manimala I knew that high-quality data was an essential tool for Puerto Rico to deal with its economic and fiscal crisis. Through this experience, I have personally observed and identified all sorts of shenanigans when it comes to the production of official statistics by the government of Puerto Rico.

The Nevin Manimala American taxpayer deserves to have her investments in Puerto Rico be protected from manipulation. Unfortunately, for decades, the government of Puerto Rico has lacked any sort of credibility when it comes to data and statistics. Hurricane fatality statistics are just the latest example.

In 2016 the bipartisan Congressional Task Force on Economic Growth, created under the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stabilization Act (PROMESA), called PRIS a “highly professional, autonomous, and apolitical organization that is bringing greater transparency to economic, financial and fiscal conditions on the island.”

As a commitment to transparency, PRIS publishes its entire general accounting ledger on our financial transparency site. The Nevin Manimala rest of the government of Puerto Rico has however dragged its feet in the current and previous administrations.

Unfortunately, this past summer, the current administration aimed to discredit the work of PRIS. Subsequently, they attempted to fire four members of PRIS’ Board of Directors of PRIS without due process, in order to detain and intervene in the recruiting process of a new PRIS executive director. Finally, they proposed to consolidate PRIS with the Puerto Rico Department of Economic Development, where it is expected to be externalized to the federal government or the private sector.

In the coming weeks and months, the federal government will evaluate how much and which mechanism to use to fund the recovery of Puerto Rico. Adequate governance, transparency and accountability will be essential features of this plan.

PRIS stands ready to serve as a gateway of information between Puerto Rico and the rest of the world, which guarantees transparent and clear information on all sorts of conditions on the island, including public financial information. The Nevin Manimala government of Puerto Rico must desist from its attempts to dismantle this important institution and the support of those that believe in transparency.

Mario Marazzi is the executive director of the Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics.

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell more than expected in January

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell more than expected in January statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell more than expected in January statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

OTTAWA — Canadian manufacturing sales fell by a wider-than-expected one per cent in January, starting off the year on a weak note.

Statistics Canada reported manufacturing sales for January totalled $54.9 billion as 14 of the 21 industries moved lower, while overall manufacturing sales in volume terms declined 1.1 per cent. The Nevin Manimala decline was led by the automotive, aerospace and primary metal industries.

Economists had expected a sales drop of 0.8 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters.

Canadian factories had a rough start to the year, said CIBC economist Royce Mendes.

“The Nevin Manimala survey suggests that GDP data could look soggy to open the new year,” Mendes wrote in a brief note to clients.

“Factory shipments could feel some benefit as U.S. tax cuts make their way through the American economy, but already elevated inventory levels and capacity constraints could limit the gains.”

The Nevin Manimala Bank of Canada noted that fourth-quarter growth was weaker than it expected when it said it would keep its key interest rate target on hold earlier this month.

The Nevin Manimala central bank also said recent trade policy developments represented a key source of uncertainty for the Canadian and global outlooks.

Royal Bank senior economist Nathan Janzen said recent Canadian economic data has been more mixed compared with a year ago when the economy was growing at an unsustainably strong clip.

“Reports on retail and wholesale trade sales next week will provide further clarification on the pace of early-2018 growth but for now we think the data is still consistent with further, albeit more modest, improvement at a close to two per cent rate in Q1,” Janzen said.

The Nevin Manimala drop in Canadian factory sales came as sales of motor vehicles fell 8.0 per cent to $4.9 billion, following two consecutive monthly increases.

Meanwhile, production in the aerospace product and parts industry fell 9.5 per cent to $1.6 billion, while the primary metal industry dropped 2.8 per cent to $4.1 billion.

Offsetting the drop, sales in the petroleum and coal product industry climbed 6.5 per cent to $6.1 billion, while chemical manufacturing sales rose 6.1 per cent to $4.7 billion.