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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sherman Lecture: Are We Aiming at the Correct Targets to Reduce Disparities in Stroke Mortality? Celebration, Reflection, and Redirection

J Am Heart Assoc. 2024 Mar 26:e031309. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.123.031309. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Although deaths from stroke have been reduced by 75% in the past 54 years, there has been virtually no reduction in the relative magnitude of Black-to-White disparity in stroke deaths, or the heavier burden of stroke deaths in the Stroke Belt region of the United States. Furthermore, although the rural-urban disparity has decreased in the past decade, this reduction is largely attributable to an increased stroke mortality in the urban areas, rather than reduced stroke mortality in rural areas. We need to focus our search for interventions to reduce disparities on those that benefit the disadvantaged populations, and support this review using relatively recently developed statistical approaches to estimate the magnitude of the potential reduction in the disparities.

PMID:38529644 | DOI:10.1161/JAHA.123.031309

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of Reduced INR in Early Pregnancy on the Occurrence of Preeclampsia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2024 Jan-Dec;30:10760296241238015. doi: 10.1177/10760296241238015.

ABSTRACT

To investigate the effect of reduced early-pregnancy activated partial thrombin time (APTT), prothrombin time (PT), and international standardized ratio (INR) on the risk of preeclampsia. A total of 8549 pregnant women with singleton births were included. Early pregnancy APTT, PT, and INR levels, with age, birth, prepregnancy body mass index, fibrinogen (FBG), thrombin time (TT), D-dimer (DD2), antithrombin III (ATIII), fibrin degradation products (FDP) as confounders, generalized linear model of APTT, the relative risk of PT and INR when INR reduction. After adequate adjustment for confounders, the relative risk of preeclampsia was 0.703 for every 1 s increase in plasma PT results in early pregnancy, and for every 0.1 increase in plasma INR results, the relative risk of preeclampsia was 0.767. With a PT less than the P25 quantile (<11 s), the relative risk of preeclampsia was 1.328. The relative risk of preeclampsia at an INR less than the P25 quantile (<0.92) was 1.24. There was no statistical association between APTT on the risk of preeclampsia. The relative risk of preeclampsia is strongly associated with a decrease in PT and INR in early pregnancy. PT and INR in early pregnancy were a potential marker in the risk stratification of preeclampsia. Focusing on reduced PT and INR levels in early pregnancy can help to identify early pregnancies at risk for preeclampsia.

PMID:38529627 | DOI:10.1177/10760296241238015

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Disruptions of Gut Microbiota are Associated with Cognitive Deficit of Preclinical Alzheimer’s Disease: A Cross-Sectional Study

Curr Alzheimer Res. 2024 Mar 25. doi: 10.2174/0115672050303878240319054149. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is the most prevalent type of dementia. The early change of gut microbiota is a potential biomarker for preclinical AD patients.

OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to explore changes in gut microbiota characteristics in preclinical AD patients, including those with Subjective Cognitive Decline (SCD) and Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), and detect the correlation between gut microbiota characteristics and cognitive performances.

METHODS: This study included 117 participants [33 MCI, 54 SCD, and 30 Healthy Controls (HC)]. We collected fresh fecal samples and blood samples from all participants and evaluated their cognitive performance. We analyzed the diversity and structure of gut microbiota in all participants through qPCR, screened characteristic microbial species through machine learning models, and explored the correlations between these species and cognitive performances and serum indicators.

RESULTS: Compared to the healthy controls, the structure of gut microbiota in MCI and SCD patients was significantly different. The three characteristic microorganisms, including Bacteroides ovatus, Bifidobacterium adolescentis, and Roseburia inulinivorans, were screened based on the best classification model (HC and MCI) having intergroup differences. Bifidobacterium adolescentis is associated with better performance in multiple cognitive scores and several serum indicators. Roseburia inulinivorans showed negative correlations with the scores of the Functional Activities Questionnaire (FAQ).

CONCLUSION: The gut microbiota in patients with preclinical AD has significantly changed in terms of composition and richness. Correlations have been discovered between changes in characteristic species and cognitive performances. Gut microbiota alterations have shown promise in affecting AD pathology and cognitive deficit.

PMID:38529601 | DOI:10.2174/0115672050303878240319054149

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Life Expectancy of Patients Undergoing Total Knee Arthroplasty: Comparison With General Population

J Korean Med Sci. 2024 Mar 25;39(11):e106. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e106.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze the life expectancy and cause of death in osteoarthritis (OA) patients who underwent total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and to identify risk factors that affect long-term mortality rate after TKA.

METHODS: Among 601 patients, who underwent primary TKA due to OA by a single surgeon from July 2005 to December 2011, we identified patients who died after the operation using data obtained from the National Statistical Office of Korea. We calculated 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival rates of the patients and age-specific standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) compared to general population of South Korea according to the causes of death. We also identified risk factors for death.

RESULTS: The 5-year, 10-year, and 15-year survival rates were 94%, 84%, and 75%, respectively. The overall age-specific SMR of the TKA cohort was lower than that of the general population (0.69; P < 0.001). Cause-specific SMRs for circulatory diseases, neoplasms, and digestive diseases after TKA were significantly lower than those of the general population (0.65, 0.58, and 0.16, respectively; all P < 0.05). Male gender, older age, lower body mass index (BMI), anemia, and higher Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) were significant factors associated with higher mortality after TKA.

CONCLUSION: TKA is a worthwhile surgery that can improve life expectancy, especially from diseases of the circulatory system, neoplasms, and digestive system, in patients with OA compared to the general population. However, careful follow-up is needed for patients with male gender, older age, lower BMI, anemia, and higher CCI, as these factors may increase long-term mortality risk after TKA.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

PMID:38529576 | DOI:10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e106

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Increased Risk of Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Related Hospitalizations in Tuberculosis Survivors: A Population-Based Matched Cohort Study

J Korean Med Sci. 2024 Mar 25;39(11):e105. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e105.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) survivors have an increased risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study assessed the risk of COPD development and COPD-related hospitalization in TB survivors compared to controls.

METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of TB survivors and 1:1 age- and sex-matched controls using data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database collected from 2010 to 2017. We compared the risk of COPD development and COPD-related hospitalization between TB survivors and controls.

RESULTS: Of the subjects, 9.6% developed COPD, and 2.8% experienced COPD-related hospitalization. TB survivors had significantly higher COPD incidence rates (36.7/1,000 vs. 18.8/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001) and COPD-related hospitalization (10.7/1,000 vs. 4.3/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001) than controls. Multivariable Cox regression analyses revealed higher risks of COPD development (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54-1.73) and COPD-related hospitalization (aHR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.81-2.27) in TB survivors. Among those who developed COPD, the hospitalization rate was higher in individuals with post-TB COPD compared to those with non-TB COPD (10.7/1,000 vs. 4.9/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001), showing an increased risk of COPD-related hospitalization (aHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.17-2.92).

CONCLUSION: TB survivors had higher risks of incident COPD and COPD-related hospitalization compared to controls. These results suggest that previous TB is an important COPD etiology associated with COPD-related hospitalization.

PMID:38529575 | DOI:10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e105

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Investigation of the Expression of CYP3A4 in Diabetic Rats in Xenobiotic Metabolism

Turk J Pharm Sci. 2024 Mar 25;21(1):81-86. doi: 10.4274/tjps.galenos.2023.87450.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the impact of a high-fat diet streptozotocin (STZ)-induced diabetes and dapagliflozin treatment on hepatic protein expression of CYP3A4.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: In our study, 34 male Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into four groups: Control, high-fat diet and STZ-induced diabetes, dapagliflozin-treated control, and dapagliflozin-treated diabetes. In the microsomes obtained from the livers of these rats, the protein expression levels of CYP3A4 were determined by Western blotting.

RESULTS: Hepatic CYP3A4 protein expression levels in the control group treated with dapagliflozin were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group. In addition, hepatic CYP3A4 protein expression levels were decreased in dapagliflozin-treated diabetic Sprague-Dawley rats compared with those in both control and diabetic group rats, but the difference between the groups was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: According to these two results, the use of dapagliflozin inhibited hepatic CYP3A4 protein expression.

PMID:38529568 | DOI:10.4274/tjps.galenos.2023.87450

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Improving Accuracy of Medication Reconciliation for Hospitalized Children: A Quality Project

Hosp Pediatr. 2024 Mar 26:e2023007396. doi: 10.1542/hpeds.2023-007396. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Medication reconciliation is a complex, but necessary, process to prevent patient harm from medication discrepancies. Locally, the steps of medication reconciliation are completed consistently; however, medication errors still occur, which suggest process inaccuracies. We focused on removal of unnecessary medications as a proxy for accuracy. The primary aim was to increase the percentage of patients admitted to the pediatric hospital medicine service with at least 1 medication removed from the home medication list by 10% during the hospital stay by June of 2022.

METHODS: Using the Model for Improvement, a multidisciplinary team was formed at a children’s hospital, a survey was completed, and multiple Plan-Do-Study-Act cycles were done focusing on: 1. simplifying electronic health record processes by making it easier to remove medications; 2. continuous resident education about the electronic health record processes to improve efficiency and address knowledge gaps; and 3. auditing charts and real-time feedback. Data were monitored with statistical process control charts.

RESULTS: The project exceeded the goal, improving from 35% to 48% of patients having at least 1 medication removed from their home medication list. Improvement has sustained for 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS: The combination of interventions including simplifying workflow, improving education, and enhancing accountability resulted in more patients with medications removed from their home medication list.

PMID:38529561 | DOI:10.1542/hpeds.2023-007396

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Incidence of Symptomatic Venous Thromboembolisms in Stroke Patients

J Intensive Care Med. 2024 Mar 26:8850666241242683. doi: 10.1177/08850666241242683. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common but preventable complication observed in critically ill patients. Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is the most common type of VTE, with clinical significance based on location and symptoms. There is an increased incidence of DVT and pulmonary embolism (PE) in ischemic stroke patients using unfractionated heparin (UFH) for VTE prophylaxis compared with those using enoxaparin. However, UFH is still used in some patients due to its perceived safety, despite conflicting literature suggesting that enoxaparin may have a protective effect. The current study aimed to determine the incidence of VTEs in patients with acute ischemic strokes on UFH versus enoxaparin for VTE prophylaxis, subclassifying the VTEs depending on their location and symptoms. It also aimed to examine the safety profile of both drugs. A total of 909 patients admitted to the Neuro-ICU with the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke were identified, and 634 patients were enrolled in the study-170 in the enoxaparin group and 464 in the UFH group-after applying the exclusion criteria. Nineteen patients in the UFH group (4.1%) and 3 patients in the enoxaparin group (1.8%) had a VTE. The incidence of DVT in the UFH group was 12 (2.6%), all of which were symptomatic, compared with 3 (1.8%) in the enoxaparin group, wherein one case was symptomatic. Nine patients (1.9%) in the UFH group developed a PE during the study period, and all of them were symptomatic. No patients in the enoxaparin group developed PE. No statistically significant difference was found between both groups. However, 18 patients in the UFH group (3.9%) experienced intracranial hemorrhage compared with none in the enoxaparin group, and this difference was statistically significant. Enoxaparin was found to be as effective as and potentially safer than UFH when used for VTE prophylaxis in stroke patients.

PMID:38529544 | DOI:10.1177/08850666241242683

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Childhood obesity prevention trials: A systematic review and meta-analysis on trial design and the impact of type 1 error

Obes Rev. 2024 Mar 26:e13736. doi: 10.1111/obr.13736. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Effect sizes from previously reported trials are often used to determine the meaningful change in weight in childhood obesity prevention interventions because information on clinically meaningful differences is lacking. Estimates from previous trials may be influenced by statistical significance; therefore, it is important that they have a low risk of type 1 error. A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to report on the design of child obesity prevention randomized controlled trials and effectiveness according to risk of type 1 error. Eighty-four randomized controlled trials were identified. A large range of assumptions were applied in the sample size calculations. The most common primary outcome was BMI, with detectable effect size differences used in sample size calculations ranging from 0.25 kg/m2 (followed up at 2 years) to 1.1 kg/m2 (at 9 months) and BMI z-score ranging from 0.1 (at 4 years) to 0.67 (at 3 years). There was no consistent relationship between low risk of type 1 error and reports of higher or lower effectiveness. Further clarity of the size of a meaningful difference in weight in childhood obesity prevention trials is required to support evaluation design and decision-making for intervention and policy. Type 1 error risk does not appear to impact effect sizes in a consistent direction.

PMID:38529530 | DOI:10.1111/obr.13736

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Development and validation of a practical clinical risk prediction model for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis

DEN open. 2024 Mar 25;4(1):e355. doi: 10.1002/deo2.355. eCollection 2024 Apr.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pancreatitis following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) can lead to significant morbidity and mortality. We aimed to develop an accurate post-ERCP pancreatitis risk prediction model using easily obtainable variables.

METHODS: Using prospective multi-center ERCP data, we performed logistic regression using stepwise selection on several patient-, procedure-, and endoscopist-related factors that were determined a priori. The final model was based on a combination of the Bayesian information criterion and Akaike’s information criterion performance, balancing the inclusion of clinically relevant variables and model parsimony. All available data were used for model development, with subsequent internal validation performed on bootstrapped data using 10-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS: Data from 3021 ERCPs were used to inform models. There were 151 cases of post-ERCP pancreatitis (5.0% incidence). Variables included in the final model included female sex, pancreatic duct cannulation, native papilla status, pre-cut sphincterotomy, increasing cannulation time, presence of biliary stricture, patient age, and placement of a pancreatic duct stent. The final model was discriminating, with a receiver operating characteristic curve statistic of 0.79, and well-calibrated, with a predicted risk-to-observed risk ratio of 1.003.

CONCLUSIONS: We successfully developed and internally validated a promising post-ERCP pancreatitis clinical prediction model using easily obtainable variables that are known at baseline or observed during the ERCP procedure. The model achieved an area under the curve of 0.79. External validation is planned as additional data becomes available.

PMID:38529515 | PMC:PMC10962486 | DOI:10.1002/deo2.355