BMJ Open. 2024 Jun 3;14(6):e082025. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082025.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to estimate the indirect economic burden of 22 cancer types in Jordan using both the human capital approach (HCA) and the value of a statistical life year (VSLY) approach. Additionally, this study aims to forecast the burden of these cancers for the next 5 years while employing time series analysis.
DESIGN: Retrospective observational study with a time series analysis.
PARTICIPANTS: Disability adjusted life years records from the IHME Global Burden Disease estimates 2019 data.
PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan.
RESULTS: The mean total economic burden for all cancers is estimated to be $1.82 billion using HCA and $3.13 billion using VSLY approach. The cancers contributing most to the total burden are ‘tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer’ ($359.5 million HCA, $618.3 million VSLY), followed by ‘colon and rectum cancer’ ($300.6 million HCA, $517.1 million VSLY) and ‘breast cancer’ ($292.4 million HCA, $502.9 million VSLY). The indirect economic burden ranged from 1.4% to 2.1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) using the HCA, and from 2.3% to 3.6% of the GDP using the VSLY approach. The indirect economic burden is expected to reach 2.3 and 3.5 billion Intl$ by the year 2025 using the HCA and VSLY approach, respectively.
CONCLUSION: The indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan amounted to 1.4%-3.6% of total GDP, with tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer; colon and rectum cancer; and breast cancer contributing to over 50% of the total burden. This will help set national cancer spending priorities following Jordan’s economic modernisation vision with regard to maximising health economic outcomes.
PMID:38830736 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082025
