Forté Capital’s Selected Statistics – The CPA Journal

Forté Capital's Selected Statistics - The CPA Journal nevin manimala

CPI—12-Month Change

Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is now solidly above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2.0%. While the trend does not appear likely to result in a 3.0% average, a higher level could prompt the Fed to take a more aggressive posture toward interest rates in 2019.

Forté Capital's Selected Statistics - The CPA Journal nevin manimala

Forté Capital's Selected Statistics - The CPA Journal nevin manimala

The information herein was obtained from various sources believed to be accurate; however, Forté Capital does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This report was prepared for general information purposes only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, options, or futures contracts. Forté Capital’s Proprietary Market Risk Barometer is a summary of 30 indicators and is copyrighted by Forté Capital LLC. For further information, visit www.fortecapital.com, send a message to [email protected], or call 866-586-8100 and ask for David W. Henion, CPA, or Larry H. Rabinowitz, CPA/PFS.

Where Michigan Stands In The National Statistics Following Its First Loss – Rivals.com

Where Michigan Stands In The National Statistics Following Its First Loss - Rivals.com nevin manimala

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Where Michigan Stands In The National Statistics Following Its First Loss - Rivals.com nevin manimala
Where Michigan Stands In The National Statistics Following Its First Loss - Rivals.com nevin manimala

Michigan will host Minnesota on Tuesday at 7:00, before a Friday night trip to Indiana.

Michigan suffered its first loss this weekend (at Wisconsin), but still holds an incredible 17-1 overall record and a 6-1 mark in league play.

The Wolverines will next welcome Minnesota to Ann Arbor on Tuesday night, hoping to return to their winning ways.

Prior to that, though, we take a look at where Michigan ranks in all of the nation’s most important statistical categories.

The club’s national rank listed first below, and the actual statistic is in parenthesis.

Note: there are 351 teams in college basketball.

Offensive Statistics:

• Field goal percentage: 79th (46.7%)

• Points per game: 186th (73.6)

• Three-point field goal percentage: 76th (36.7%)

• Turnovers per game: 3rd (9.5)

• Free throw percentage: 278th (66.7%)

• Assists per game: 155th (13.9)

• Total free throws attempts: 267th (318)

Defensive Statistics:

• Field goal percentage defense: 26th (39.7%)

• Points allowed per game: 3rd (56.6)

• Defensive rebounds per game: 87th (26.7)

• Three-point percentage against: 36th (30.2%)

• Total fouls committed: 4th (231)

• Turnovers forced per game: 214th (13.1)

• Blocked shots per game: 57th (4.4)

Miscellaneous:

• Assist-to-turnover ratio: 13th (1.49)

• Turnover margin: 24th (3.8)

More Team/Player Stats:

• After racking up four blocks on Saturday at Wisconsin, junior center Jon Teske’s 2.3 blocks per game now lead the conference.

• Despite standing just 6-0, junior guard Zavier Simpson’s 4.9 rebounds per contest are tied with redshirt junior guard Charles Matthews for the third most on the team.

• Simpson’s 1.6 steals per outing are the fourth most in the Big Ten.

• Sophomore forward Isaiah Livers’ 45.1 three-point percentage is the sixth best mark in the Big Ten, while sophomore guard Jordan Poole’s 43.5 is ninth.

• Talk about this article inside The Fort

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Hockey statistics for Jan. 21 | Benedictine Bengals – News-Herald.com

Hockey statistics for Jan. 21 | Benedictine Bengals - News-Herald.com nevin manimala
Hockey statistics for Jan. 21 | Benedictine Bengals - News-Herald.com nevin manimala
       
SCORING      
(minimum 17 points)      
Name, school G A P
Kyle Backston, Mentor 27 34 61
Evan McBride, Mentor 25 32 57
Jacob Schmitt, Lake Catholic 33 22 55
Andrew McBride, Mentor 14 33 47
Luke Jeffery, Mentor 19 26 45
Jack Heller, Mentor 16 29 45
Amaedeo Cantini, Lake Catholic 18 24 42
Mitch Elliott, Mentor 22 17 39
Matt Carson, Benedictine 22 17 39
Jack Henry Muha, University 12 27 39
Cole Horvath, Lake Catholic 13 21 34
Andrew Schiffer, Benedictine 13 21 34
Cameron Mocny, Mentor 7 25 32
Jack Perish, Mentor 2 29 31
Henry Saada, University 10 20 30
George Brinn, University 13 15 28
Tyler Alt, University 12 16 28
Mike Price, Benedictine 10 10 20
Jack Kehres, Benedictine 7 13 20
Marco Toth, Mentor 3 17 20
Alex Steen, NDCL 16 2 18
Mike Wilk, Benedictine 11 7 18
Jack Rowell, Lake Catholic 8 10 18
Cade Walnsch, Lake Catholic 5 12 17
       
GOALTENDING      
(minimum 100 saves, max 4.00 GAA)
     
Name, school Saves Save % GAA
Madelyn Adamic, Mentor 237 90.1 1.86
Alex Toth, Mentor 317 92 2
Patrick Kristo, Lake Catholic 520 90.6 2.41
Critter Coughlin, University 392 88.9 2.87
Tristan Cotter, Benedictine 564 87.7 3.71
Michael Holtz, University 161 83 3.86
       
POWER PLAY      
School Att Conv %
Mentor 53 17 29.3
University 74 19 25.7
Benedictine 77 13 16.9
       
       
PENALTY KILL      
School Att Kills %
Mentor 64 56 87.5
University 75 58 77.3
Benedictine 87 64 73.6

Statistics are compiled from area coaches and team statisticians and Ohio Hockey Digest team pages. Information can be emailed before 11 p.m. Sundays to CLillstrung@News-Herald.com. Stats are not accepted over the phone or from any source other than coaches or statisticians.

Note from Chris Lillstrung: Stats for Kenston and Gilmour will be added to this list in the afternoon Jan. 21.

Jordan stalls on official poverty statistics amid tax law controversy – Global Voices

Jordan stalls on official poverty statistics amid tax law controversy - Global Voices nevin manimala
Jordan stalls on official poverty statistics amid tax law controversy - Global Voices nevin manimala

A tent in Tal Al Rumman, Jordan, where an elderly woman and her children used to live. Living conditions in Jordan have become dire for many. Photo by Farrah Matalka, June 2018, used with permission.

Until 2010, reports assessing poverty in Jordan were done regularly every two to three years by the Department of Statistics (DoS). A 2010 report on poverty issued by the Jordanian government, showed that 14 percent of the population lived under the poverty line at an annual 813 Jordanian dinars ($1,144 USD) per individual, showing a rise of 1 percent since 2008.

Since then, however, poverty statistics in Jordan have been completely absent due to what critics are calling “a stalling technique”.

In the latest House discussions regarding the controversial Income Tax law, the Lower House’s Economy and Investment Committee called for the need to provide all statistics, data and studies on the issue. No figures, neither rough nor accurate, were provided, and the law passed without determining a scientifically-studied poverty line.

The law, which was already a sensitive topic before the Lower House brought up poverty statistics, is part of a series of measures instituted since Amman secured a three-year credit line of 723 million US dollars from the International Monetary Fund in 2016.

That loan, intended to support economic and financial reform, has the long-term objective of reducing Jordan’s public debt from about 94 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) to 77 percent by 2021.

The Income Tax Law was not favorably received and resulted in the overthrowing of the Hani Mulki government in May. Later on, under a new government and with a new draft, the law passed both houses of parliament but is still regarded as a “harmful” decision by experts.

In an attempt to calm the waters, Director of the DoS, Qasem Zu’bi, recently said in a press conference that a comprehensive report will be launched during the first quarter of 2019.

Although no official figures have been presented, the 2019 report is looking at a state of deterioration that has caught up with Jordan, according to various reports launched toward the end of 2018.

Jordan stepped down on the Legatum Prosperity Index in 2018 to stand at 91 out of 149. The World Bank classified its economy as a low-growth scenario”, UNICEF studies showed that 20 percent of children in Jordan suffer from multidimensional poverty, and only 38 percent of aid required to finance the Jordan Response Plan (JRP) for the 1.4 million Syrian refugees was met.

Moreover, the United States reduced its funding to UNRWA by 350 million USD, putting 711 schools and 526,000 Palestinian students in Jordan at risk.

Activist and community activist Sarhan Taamari, who lives in the impoverished Mamouneyeh neighborhood in Maan, 218 kilometers southwest of the capital Amman, said:

The government will try and pin this on the Syrian crisis, but the truth is that billions of dollars have been donated by the international community, donations that could have covered refugees’ living costs for more than ten years.

Privatizing Jordan

Taamari stated that “the real reason behind a collapsing GDP” is the 2006 IMF deal. In the deal, Jordan agreed to sell key state companies to foreign investors.

Now, almost all critical services and natural resource productions are foreign-owned. The water company, the Total gas station, and one of the three telecommunications companies are French, while the Potash and Phosphate mines are almost all privatized and foreign-owned.

Moreover, the World Bank plays a critical role in Jordan’s energy sector, and over 1 billion US dollars on investments in power and energy come from the private sector.

Additionally, Jordanian businessmen have been selling their shares in state companies, something that the government has been “trying to conceal”, according to Taamari. In a country whose public debt has risen to 96 percent of its GDP, frustrated individuals have been trying to help as many people as their limited-resources allow.

In July 2018, when an offensive by the Syrian government displaced 40,000 Syrians at Jordan’s border, Jordanians lent a hand despite the government’s insistence on closing the borders.

Bringing back joy amid rising frustration

In 2018, Farrah Matalka, a graduate in social economics, launched Bringing Joy By Giving Joy, an independent campaign to help distribute 600 food parcels monthly and renovate houses. Unaffiliated with the government or privately-run organizations, Matalka relies solely on donations from individuals via her Instagram account. She posts images and videos of dilapidated houses and areas and asks followers for donations.

Other than monthly parcels, the campaign takes on short-term projects. She has raised funds for the operation and recovery fees of child victims of fires, as well as the distribution of school essentials and winter clothing.

Jordan stalls on official poverty statistics amid tax law controversy - Global Voices nevin manimala

Farrah Matalka launched Bring Joy By Giving Joy, a charity initiative that fills the gap where the Jordanian government has been unresponsive. Seen here with a new trailer for a family in need.

These simple acts of kindness can not overshadow the clear and growing frustration with living conditions in Jordan. Two waves of protests, one that resulted in overthrowing former MP Hani Mulki’s government and another that was filled with anti-monarchy chants are obvious expressions of citizens’ anger.

The governates’ series of refusals to listen to ministers’ explanations for why the Income Tax law is critical is yet another sign of the government’s disconnect

With people paying 70 percent of their incomes to cover personal debts, the rise of public debt and unemployment standing at 19 percent by the end of the year, and a 30 percent rise in drug addiction cases, tackling poverty in Jordan needs a multiple-faceted strategy.

As DoS Director Qasem Su’bi said in a recent press conference, “people are anxious for the report on poverty, but what is more important is how the government plans on reducing it.”

DoS Spokesperson Saeda Momani said the report may not be published in early 2019, as the committee working on it has decided to widen the sample and include more Syrian refugee representation as well.

“I suggest we delay talking about the report for at least six months,” Momani concluded.

New statistics about teen vaping prompts major action from prevention groups – WLWT Cincinnati

New statistics about teen vaping prompts major action from prevention groups - WLWT Cincinnati nevin manimala
New statistics about teen vaping prompts major action from prevention groups - WLWT Cincinnati nevin manimala

The number of high school and middle school kids who are vaping is sky-rocketing.

The American Lung Association said the federal government is failing to protect kids from becoming addicted.

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Vaping, e-cigarettes and JUULs are all highly addictive for teens and chocked full of nicotine.

The number of high school students using e-products went up 78 percent in the past year. It went up 48 percent for middle school students.

“It just happens so fast. Like one day they tried it, and then that week, they like can’t get it out of their hands,” said Deer Park High School senior Torey Macke.

Students at Deer Park High School are raising awareness of the dangers of e-products.

Nationally, The Truth Initiative, a nonprofit known for its powerful anti-smoking ads, is now taking on e-cigarettes, too.

“We’re worried it’s a ticking time bomb because we know that young people who otherwise would not have smoked who start vaping are up to four times more likely to then go on and use a regular cigarette. So we need to stop this now,” said Robin Koval with The Truth Initiative.

To fit the new generation of nicotine users, Truth turned it’s quit-smoking text program into a quit-vaping program.

Daily text messages are sent to teens who want to quit, and parents who want to help them. They’re all anonymous, and free of charge.

Parents, teachers and students can provide feedback about how the program is working.

“You can’t frighten people into changing their behavior. We’ve always believed that the way to… especially with young people… is to give them the facts. Make sure they have them, because oftentimes they don’t, and with vaping they absolutely don’t,” said Koval.

JUUL reached out to WLWT in response to our story and said the following:

“Underage use of JUUL and any other vaping products is completely unacceptable to us and is directly opposed to our mission of eliminating cigarettes by offering existing adult smokers a true alternative to combustible cigarettes. We are moving full steam ahead on implementing our action plan to limit youth usage, and this is unchanged since we announced our plan in November. We will be a transparent, engaged, and committed partner with FDA, state Attorneys General, local municipalities, and community organizations in the effort to combat underage use.”

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Opioid overdose statistics point to over-prescription problem – KXII-TV

Opioid overdose statistics point to over-prescription problem - KXII-TV nevin manimala

BRYAN COUNTY, Okla. (KXII) — The Durant Police Department says there have been nineteen fatal overdoses since 2017 in Bryan County.

Opioid overdose statistics point to over-prescription problem - KXII-TV nevin manimala

Out of those, twelve people overdosed on prescription drugs, six on meth and one on heroin.

People working to prevent the abuse of prescription opioids in southeast Oklahoma say social access and the over-prescription of these dangerous drugs are ruining – and taking – too many lives.

“I didn’t mean for it to happen. It just kind of slipped up on me,” said Tracie Deck-Owen, a former substance abuse counselor.

Tracie Deck-Owen has been in the substance-abuse counseling field for about 20 years and says a commonality that she sees between many opioid addicts is an innocent beginning.

“One day I was taking this for my knee pain. The next day, I didn’t feel like I could live without it,” said Deck-Owen.

Jayci Enerson, who coordinates drug abuse prevention campaigns across Oklahoma, says southern hospitality – or over-generosity – can lead to illegal pill-sharing.

“If a cousin has a back that’s hurting and we have something that could fix it, you know, we want to offer, ‘hey, I have this if you want to take it,” said Enerson.
Situations like that can snowball quickly into addiction.

In fact, Deck-Owen says they see this a lot.

“Within 10 days, you can be addicted to an opioid,” said Deck-Owen.

In 2017, almost 3.6 million opioid pills were prescribed in Bryan County, that comes out to about 78 per resident.

Compare that to 67 pills in Tulsa County, and an over-prescribing problem becomes clear.

“If they can’t get ahold of opioids, then we’re talking meth, we’re talking other drugs. So it’s a really horrific cycle,” said Deck-Owen.

They are combating over-prescription with education and hope looking at the most local data possible will help them hone in on a culture shift.

“We’re getting more and more local data. So we’re seeing number that we didn’t see before,” said Enerson.

“The community awareness level, that’s what we’re working on as well,” said Deck-Owen.

They say data shows that the public understands the crisis opioid abuse has caused but they still have a long way to go with reversing a devastating epidemic.

“The effects are just limitless of what happens. You lose your job. You lose your home. You lose your children. You lose everything,” said Deck-Owen.

The Bryan County Substance Abuse Task Force meets the last Wednesday of every month in the Alliance Health conference room in Durant from noon to one.

Anyone is welcome.

If you have extra meds and are looking for a place to dispose of them safely in Bryan County, you can leave them in a dropbox at one of these five locations:

Durant Police Department

Bryan County Sheriff’s Office

Choctaw Nation Public Safety

Calera Police Department

Southeastern Oklahoma State University Police Department

Statistics prof. asked Asian students to use “Western convention” when writing their names – The Daily Pennsylvanian

Statistics prof. asked Asian students to use "Western convention" when writing their names - The Daily Pennsylvanian nevin manimala

Statistics prof. asked Asian students to use "Western convention" when writing their names - The Daily Pennsylvanian nevin manimala

STAT 111 Professor Warren Ewens released the syllabus with detailed instructions specifically for Asian students on how to write their name (Photo from Archives of the Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach/CC BY-SA 2.0 DE)

A Penn Statistics syllabus singled out Asian students, instructing them to follow “Western convention” when writing their names, prompting backlash among students in the class and in the wider Asian community at Penn.

Asian Students: Please follow the Western convention of writing your family name last and in CAPS,” read the syllabus for Stat 111, taught by Emeritus Professor Warren Ewens, who has held positions in both the Biology and Statistics departments. “Also, please use your correct Asian first name and not an anglicised first name/nickname.”

The comment was included in a section regarding homework policies for the class.

Ewens declined to comment Thursday at approximately 1 p.m. on the story. A new syllabus was uploaded Thursday afternoon at 4:03 p.m., omitting the section addressing Asian students’ names. An announcement notifying students of the switch was not made. 

Asian Pacific Student Coalition Chair and College junior Kamal Gill, who took Ewens’ class as a freshman, said he remembered the same comment was on the syllabus two years ago. Gill said he believed Ewens should have “given a blanket statement instead of targeting Asians.”

Wharton and Engineering junior Andrew Cui, who took a different statistics class with Ewens last semester, also said the professor should have given a more generalized statement that did not single out Asian students. Cui, the former executive chair of Asian Pacific American Heritage Week, said instead of saying “anglicised first name,” Ewens could have instead asked all students to list their given first names.

Engineering junior Helen Liu said while she does not think a “grand apology is necessary,” there are many non-Asian students who use names that are not officially listed on their college transcripts. 

“I think maybe just asking everybody — no matter who you are, no matter what race you are, no matter where you’re from — to just use your official name on your transcript,” Liu said.

College freshman Linda Wang said although she understands the professor’s intentions of making the grading process more streamlined, she believed the comment had an “air of condescension.”

“Without pointing out Asians, we might feel less stigmatized and we might feel less targeted,” Wang said, adding that while she does not think the professor should be reprimanded, she believes Ewens should acknowledge the insensitive nature of the comment.

Cui said he believed Ewens’ likely did not have harmful intentions, adding that he remembered Ewens fondly as a helpful professor.

“What’s crazy is that this has been in the syllabus for years and it has never really been brought up,” Gill said, adding that his respect and intimidation of Ewens prevented him from challenging his rhetoric in the syllabus.

“As a freshman, what authority do I have as a 19-year-old in the College taking this stat class,” Gill said. “Who am I to tell him what to do?”

Senior News Editor Madeleine Ngo contributed reporting.

Rotten Tomatoes is based on bad statistics. Metacritic is better. – Quartz

Rotten Tomatoes is based on bad statistics. Metacritic is better. - Quartz nevin manimala

Imagine you are deciding between two different movies. Five of your friends say movie A is nothing special, but definitely above average. Of those same five friends, four tell you movie B is amazing, but one says it is a bit below average and wouldn’t recommend it.

Which movie would you choose to see? For me, the clear answer is movie B. I’d prefer an 80% chance of seeing a great movie than a 100% of one that is just pretty good. Yet, if you rely on the popular movie review website Rotten Tomatoes, you would be steered toward movie A. This is unfortunate, and a result of bad statistical methodology.

Millions of people rely on Rotten Tomatoes, but not many of them know how it actually works. Rotten Tomatoes scores are calculated in the simplest of ways: the share of positive reviews a movie received by well-established film critics. For example, at the time of writing, Aquaman had received 312 reviews from Rotten Tomatoes-approved critics. 202 of these reviews were deemed positive, so the trident-toting superhero flick gets a Rotten Tomatoes score of 65% (202 divided by 312). This score does not distinguish between an extremely good review and a barely positive one.

That is crazy. As a data analyst, if I was trying to assess the quality of a product, I would never take a set of nuanced reviews and turn them into what statisticians call “binaries” (yes or no, 1 or 0, positive or negative). By doing it this way, you lose tons of pertinent information. Instead, I would try to assess the positivity of the review on a continuous scale, like 0-100 or A-F or even 1-5 clamshells, and then take the average or median of those scores.

Luckily, there is a review website that does just that: Metacritic. Whatever the other merits of these sites, Metacritic’s method of scoring movies is simply better than Rotten Tomatoes’.

Metacritic takes reviews from critics, gives them a 0-100 score, and then averages those scores. Metacritic has a higher threshold for the renown of the critic whose reviews are considered for the site, so while the Rotten Tomatoes’ score for Aquaman includes the reviews of 312 critics, Metacritic only uses 49. (The movie got a score of 55.) Also, as Allison Wilkinson explains in Vox, Metacritic gives more weight in its average to the most highly respected critics, like those from the New York Times. Reviewers who disagree with the rating that Metacritic assigns to their review can have it changed (the same is true for Rotten Tomatoes).

The chart below shows the Metacritic and Rotten Tomatoes scores for movies that were either in the top 25 in global revenues in 2018 or were nominated for a Golden Globe in a major category. The movies also had to receive a score above 60 on both sites.

Rotten Tomatoes is based on bad statistics. Metacritic is better. - Quartz nevin manimala

Rotten Tomatoes is based on bad statistics. Metacritic is better. - Quartz nevin manimala

A comparison of the Metacritic and Rotten Tomatoes scores for the hits Crazy Rich Asians and A Star is Born reveals the differences between the two sites. Crazy Rich Asians, a fun romantic comedy, scored a 91 on Rotten Tomatoes, while A Star is Born, a leading contender to win Best Picture at the Academy Awards, received a 90. A virtual tie. On Metacritic, by contrast, Crazy Rich Asians got a 74, compared with an 88 for A Star is Born. Both are pleasant movies, so I can see how going by just yes or no answers, they could be rated similarly. But to me and most critics, A Star is Born is a much higher quality movie. If I could only see one of them, it would be wise to go with Gaga.

My only complaint about Metacritic is that it has kept its exact methodology proprietary, so others can’t copy the calculations. It would be better if this was public, so users could assess whether they tend to agree with the reviewers given the most weight in the site’s calculations. If a reader is really curious, they can search for a particular movie and see which reviewer gave what score, but that’s a laborious process.

Statistics are a powerful tool for assessing culture, but only when used properly. The next time you are deciding which movie to see, if you want to see something great, and not just good, consider what goes into that review sites’ calculations.

New Haven police to discuss 2018 crime statistics – WTNH.com

New Haven police to discuss 2018 crime statistics - WTNH.com nevin manimala

NEW HAVEN, Conn. (WTNH) – The city of New Haven has seen a drop in some key crime statistics in the past year.

Editor’s Note: The New Haven Police Department has updated their homicide clearance rate to include the case of suspect Tremaine Poole, who was killed by police in Virginia.  A spokesman clarified that because a murder warrant had been issued for Poole that brings the number of solved homicide cases in 2018 to three.

According to a new report from the police department, there was an 18 percent reduction in armed robberies in the city compared to the prior year.

The city also saw decreases in assaults with firearms and burglaries, but the number of murders increased from seven in 2017 to 10 in 2018.

Related Content: Residents voicing concerns over rising crime rates in Waterbury

The press conference announcing these statistics can be viewed below:

Web Extra: New Haven citywide crime statistic summary for 2017-2018

News 8’s Mario Boone will have a full report on News 8 at 6.