Zhongguo Shi Yan Xue Ye Xue Za Zhi. 2025 Aug;33(4):1069-1078. doi: 10.19746/j.cnki.issn.1009-2137.2025.04.021.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To construct the inflammation score (IS) and nutrition-immunity score (NIS) for patients with multiple myeloma (MM), and to verify their prognostic stratification effects and significance.
METHODS: The clinical data of 129 newly diagnosed MM patients admitted to our hospital from August 2011 to September 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis of overall survival (OS) were comducted on clinical parameters, including inflammatory indicators such as red blood cell volume distribution width (RDW) and platelet count (PLT), nutritional-immune indicators such as albumin (ALB), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), and suppressed immunoglobulin count (S-Ig count). To construct IS and NIS for prognosis, X-tile software and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to verify the prognostic stratification role and significance of IS and NIS. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination, accuracy, and clinical net benefit of IS and NIS in predicting overall survival(OS), and compared to the international staging system (ISS).
RESULTS: IS was constructed based on the scores of RDW and PLT, and NIS was constructed based on the scores of ALB, ALC, and S-Ig count. According to X-tile analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis, IS and NIS can divide the patients into three risk strata respectively: low, medium and high IS and NIS groups. The differences in OS and hazard ratio (HR) between the low, medium, and high strata were statistically significant (P < 0.05). IS and NIS are both independent prognostic predictors for MM. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) and C index of IS and NIS for predicting 1- to 7-year OS were greater than those of ISS, and both were greater than 0.7. The prediction results of IS and NIS for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were well consistent with the actual observed results. The DCA curves of IS and NIS for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were higher than that of ISS in a wide range of threshold probability intervals.
CONCLUSION: IS and NIS have independent predictive significance for OS in MM patients. Their predictive discrimination, accuracy, and clinical net benefit are higher and better than ISS, and they may have potential application value in MM prognosis.
PMID:40936132 | DOI:10.19746/j.cnki.issn.1009-2137.2025.04.021
