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Statewide Transfer Coordination and Patient Transfer Rates Among Hospitals During Occupancy Stress

JAMA Netw Open. 2025 Dec 1;8(12):e2546002. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.46002.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Some US states established state medical operations coordination centers (SMOCCs) during the pandemic to coordinate transfers and maximize care delivery when available beds were limited. Understanding their associations might inform their continued value in helping reduce delays and minimize strain during public health emergency conditions.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of SMOCC establishment with adult interhospital transfers (IHTs) during pandemic surges.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This interrupted time series cohort study evaluated hospitalized adults (aged ≥18 years) from 8 US states. Data analysis was completed in March 2025.

EXPOSURE: SMOCC establishment. SMOCC initiation was adjudicated through a published survey and inquiries with state health departments.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcome measures were immediate and long-term change in IHT by emergency medical services (EMS) agencies that continuously reported in the National EMS Information Systems database between June 1, 2020, and December 30, 2022. The inflection point (SMOCC establishment) was centered using relative dates while controlling for seasonality. Hospital occupancy stress was measured using daily hospital census and staffed bed counts and weighted by fixed bed capacity. Effect modification by increasing occupancy stress across study states was tested using an interaction term. Findings were validated in several subset analyses.

RESULTS: Across the study’s 8 states (Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Maryland, North Carolina, Oregon, Utah, and Virginia), 441 709 transfers (median [IQR] age, 61.0 [44.0-73.0] years; 227 982 [51.6%] male) were analyzed, with 321 078 (72.8%) occurring after SMOCC establishment. SMOCC establishment was associated with an immediate increase (rate ratio [RR], 1.35; 95% CI, 1.05-1.74; P = .02) followed by a long-term decrease (RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97; P < .001) in transfer rates. A significant increase in transfers per decile increase in occupancy stress was observed 40 weeks into SMOCC establishment (RR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.06-1.42; P = .007). Findings were similar across transfers grouped by urbanicity, mode of transport, patient age, and acuity.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of 8 US states, pandemic initiation of a SMOCC was associated with an immediate increase in transfer rates between hospitals of approximately 35% after establishment and, after a potential lag, appeared to meet an increasing demand for transferring patients during surges. These results suggest that activating SMOCCs during large-scale public health emergencies might improve access to care and mitigate transfer gridlocks, but their utility during routine times warrants study.

PMID:41324958 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.46002

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