J Am Acad Orthop Surg. 2025 Dec 8. doi: 10.5435/JAAOS-D-25-00380. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Increased mortality following geriatric hip fractures is well reported. However, population-level analysis of mortality trends over time are not common. This study aimed to evaluate the 3- and 12-month mortality after geriatric hip fractures from 2010 to 2019.
METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database from 2010 to 2020 was retrospectively queried for patients aged >65 years with a femoral neck or intertrochanteric hip fracture. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to calculate mortality rates for each year. Cox proportional hazard multivariable regression controlling for sex, age, race, obesity, smoking, and Elixhauser comorbidity index was used to compare mortality hazard ratios for each year. Secondary outcomes included length of stay, discharge disposition, and 3-month readmission and emergency department visits.
RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, 142,540 patients aged ≥65 years had a diagnosis of femoral neck fracture (62%) or intertrochanteric hip fracture (38%). The mean age was 83.29 years (SD 8.22). The mean Elixhauser comorbidity index was 7.35 (SD 7.60). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that for the complete cohort 3-month mortality rate was 9.82% (95% confidence interval 9.65% to 9.98%) and 12-month mortality rate was 16.06% (95% confidence interval 15.84% to 16.27%). The 3-month mortality rate went from 10.8% in 2010 to 8.6% in 2019 and the 12-month mortality rate went from 17.7% in 2010 to 14.8% in 2018 before rising to 16.9% in 2019. Cox multivariate proportional hazard regression demonstrated statistically significant decreased hazard ratio from 2012 to 2019 compared with reference hazard in 2010 (all P < 0.05). Reductions were also observed for length of stay (7.8 to 6.4 days, P < 0.001), 3-month readmissions rate (34% to 22%, P < 0.001), and 3-month emergency department visit rate (45% to 34%, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: Mortality after geriatric hip fractures has demonstrated a reduction in the past decade with 3-month mortality continuously decreasing from 2010 to 2019 and 12-month mortality decreasing from 2010 to 2018 before increasing in 2019.
PMID:41406399 | DOI:10.5435/JAAOS-D-25-00380
