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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Modeling the growth dependence of Streptococcus thermophilus and Lactobacillus bulgaricus as a function of temperature and pH

Braz J Microbiol. 2023 Feb 6. doi: 10.1007/s42770-023-00907-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The growth of the lactic acid bacteria (LAB), Streptococcus thermophilus and Lactobacillus bulgaricus, widely used for yogurt production, results in acid production and the reduction of the milk [Formula: see text]. Industrial processes can show temperature ([Formula: see text]) changes due to the large scale of the equipment. As [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] affect the LAB growth, this study aimed to model the dependence of S. thermophilus and L. bulgaricus as a function of temperature and pH and to estimate and internally validate their growth parameters and confidence intervals with different modeling approaches. Twenty-four datasets regarding the growth kinetics of S. thermophilus and L. bulgaricus were used for estimating the kinetic parameters for each pure culture. The classical Baranyi and Roberts (sigmoidal) primary and Rosso and coworkers (cardinal parameter) secondary models successfully described the experimental data. The one-step modeling approach showed better statistical results than the two-step approach. The values of eight growth parameters ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text]) for each culture estimated from the fitting with the one-step approach and the Monte-Carlo-based approach were similar. Low averaged root-mean-squared errors ([Formula: see text]) (0.125 and 0.090 log CFU/mL) and percent discrepancy factor [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]) values for S. thermophilus and L. bulgaricus were obtained in the internal model validation, reinforcing the predictive ability of the model.

PMID:36740644 | DOI:10.1007/s42770-023-00907-5

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