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Volunteer Outreach and Predictive Modeling: Rapid Randomized Quality Improvement Project for New Patient Attendance in a Primary Care Safety-Net

J Eval Clin Pract. 2025 Sep;31(6):e70278. doi: 10.1111/jep.70278.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nonattendance at new patient appointments leads to missed opportunities for engagement in care, lost revenue, and suboptimal resource utilization.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of outreach calls to new patients, prioritized by a no-show predictive algorithm and conducted by volunteers, on visit attendance.

DESIGN: Rapid randomized quality improvement project.

PARTICIPANTS: Patients with new patient appointments at an urban safety-net adult primary care clinic scheduled to occur between August 1, 2024 and September 30, 2024.

INTERVENTION: Estimated probability of visit no-show for patients was calculated using a predictive algorithm embedded in the electronic health record and used to sort lists of patients with upcoming appointments. Every other patient received an outreach call from a trained volunteer within 3 business days of their appointment plus usual automated reminder messages versus usual automated reminder messages alone.

MAIN MEASURES: New patient visit attendance compared between intervention and control groups. We conducted subgroup analyses of attendance by visit modality (in-person vs. telehealth), preferred language, and quartile of predicted no-show probability.

KEY RESULTS: Patients in the intervention group (n = 281) had higher visit attendance than those in the control group (n = 280): 68.0% versus 54.1% (p < 0.01). There was a significant difference in attendance for in-person (70.7% vs. 51.7%; p < 0.01) but not telehealth (60.6% vs. 61.2%; p = 0.94) visits. Patients who preferred English had the biggest increase in attendance (17.2%; p < 0.01). Patients in the second and third quartiles of predicted no-show probability (31%-38% and 39%-45% predicted probability) had the biggest increases in attendance (22.2% [p = 0.01] and 15.4% [p = 0.05]).

CONCLUSIONS: Outreach calls for new patients, prioritized by a no-show predictive algorithm and conducted by volunteers, can be a feasible and effective approach to improving visit attendance in a targeted fashion. Further investigation is needed to understand how to better support non-English preferring patients and patients with telehealth appointments.

PMID:40975847 | DOI:10.1111/jep.70278

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