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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Time scales and gaps, Haar fluctuations and multifractal geochronologies

Commun Earth Environ. 2026;7(1):208. doi: 10.1038/s43247-026-03226-3. Epub 2026 Jan 29.

ABSTRACT

Outcrops and cores are primary sources of information about the Earth’s past. Quantitative analyses rely on geochronologies that take into account highly variable sedimentation and erosion rates as well as gaps from missing strata. Using 23 geochronologies from the Holocene, Quaternary, Phanerozoic and Precambrian, we apply Haar fluctuation analysis to statistically characterize the number of measurements per unit time – the measurement densities. The analysis determines the densities’ (multifractal) scaling regimes and exponents; collectively, the analyses span over nine orders of magnitude in time scale. The measurement density is a new paleoindicator that we show is typically correlated with the primary paleoindicator, biasing and complicating its statistical interpretation. We also analyze the distribution of gaps linking the latter’s (probability) scaling with series incompleteness and the length Sadler effect. The density characteristics are needed to unbias spectra and other statistical characterizations.

PMID:41789418 | PMC:PMC12956591 | DOI:10.1038/s43247-026-03226-3

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