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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Interim and end-of-treatment PET-CT suffers from high false-positive rates in DLBCL: Biopsy is needed prior to treatment decisions

Cancer Med. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1002/cam4.3867. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The application of positron emission tomography (PET)-computed tomography (CT) in treatment response evaluation has increased in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), although its predictive value is controversial. We retrospectively analyzed the rate of false-positive PET-CTs performed as interim (n = 94) and end-of-treatment (n = 8) assessments among 102 DLBCL patients treated during 2010-2017 at Oulu University Hospital. In PET-CT Deauville score ≥4 was regarded as positive. A biopsy was performed on 35 patients, and vital lymphoma tissue was detected from nine patients. Positive biopsy findings were associated with poor disease outcomes in this study. This difference was statistically significant: 2-year failure-free survival (FFS) was 44% in patients with a positive biopsy versus 83% for those with a negative biopsy (p = 0.003). The corresponding overall survival (OS) rates were 53% versus 95% (p = 0.010). In the multivariate analyses, a negative biopsy was an independent protective factor in FFS (Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.093 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.017-0.511); p = 0.006) unrelated to the International Prognostic Index (IPI) (HR 1.139 [95% CI 0.237-5.474] p = 0.871) or stage (HR 1.365 [95% CI 0.138-13.470]; p = 0.790). There was no statistically significant difference in OS according to the PET results, but the FFS rate was significantly higher in patients with a negative PET. The value of PET-CT as an evaluation method suffers from a high false-positive rate, and it is inadequate alone for the justification of treatment decisions. Biopsy results provide more reliable prognostic information for the evaluation of treatment response and outcome and should be used to assess patients with positive PET-CT scans.

PMID:33792190 | DOI:10.1002/cam4.3867

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Improving sample size recalculation in adaptive clinical trials by resampling

Pharm Stat. 2021 Apr 1. doi: 10.1002/pst.2122. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Sample size calculations in clinical trials need to be based on profound parameter assumptions. Wrong parameter choices may lead to too small or too high sample sizes and can have severe ethical and economical consequences. Adaptive group sequential study designs are one solution to deal with planning uncertainties. Here, the sample size can be updated during an ongoing trial based on the observed interim effect. However, the observed interim effect is a random variable and thus does not necessarily correspond to the true effect. One way of dealing with the uncertainty related to this random variable is to include resampling elements in the recalculation strategy. In this paper, we focus on clinical trials with a normally distributed endpoint. We consider resampling of the observed interim test statistic and apply this principle to several established sample size recalculation approaches. The resulting recalculation rules are smoother than the original ones and thus the variability in sample size is lower. In particular, we found that some resampling approaches mimic a group sequential design. In general, incorporating resampling of the interim test statistic in existing sample size recalculation rules results in a substantial performance improvement with respect to a recently published conditional performance score.

PMID:33792167 | DOI:10.1002/pst.2122

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nursing care for pediatric patients with autism spectrum disorders: A cross-sectional survey of perceptions and strategies

J Spec Pediatr Nurs. 2021 Mar 31:e12332. doi: 10.1111/jspn.12332. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to describe nursing staff perspectives about caring for children with autism spectrum disorders (ASD) in the hospital, strategies they use to support care, and relationships between these factors.

DESIGN AND METHODS: A descriptive, cross-sectional survey design with nursing staff at a large pediatric hospital system in the United States was employed. The researcher-designed, pilot-tested survey assessed participant demographics, knowledge about ASD, perceived effectiveness caring for children with ASD, previous training, and current strategy use. Data analysis involved descriptive statistics, correlations, and group comparisons based on interaction frequency with the population and previous training.

RESULTS: The participants involved 90 pediatric hospital nursing staff members providing direct care. Respondents demonstrated 90% accurate knowledge of the characteristics of ASD. Self-reported effectiveness in caring for children with ASD did not correlate with knowledge and significantly correlated with an increased number of strategies. Nursing staff with frequent interaction with people with ASD or those with previous training reported significantly more strategies to care for children with ASD. Only 35% of participants reported that they have adequate strategies to care for children with ASD in the hospital.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Having more strategies was the factor associated with higher self-efficacy, so training for nursing staff should focus on increasing the number of strategies to use with children with ASD in the hospital and provide mechanisms to collaborate with other professionals to individualize strategies to meet each child’s needs.

PMID:33792139 | DOI:10.1111/jspn.12332

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Alarming rates of virological failure and HIV-1 drug resistance amongst adolescents living with perinatal HIV in both urban and rural settings: evidence from the EDCTP READY-study in Cameroon

HIV Med. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1111/hiv.13095. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Adolescents living with perinatal HIV infection (ALPHI) experience persistently high mortality rates, particularly in resource-limited settings. It is therefore clinically important for us to understand the therapeutic response, acquired HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) and associated factors among ALPHI, according to geographical location.

METHODS: A study was conducted among consenting ALPHI in two urban and two rural health facilities in the Centre Region of Cameroon. World Health Organization (WHO) clinical staging, self-reported adherence, HIVDR early warning indicators (EWIs), immunological status (CD4 count) and plasma viral load (VL) were assessed. For those experiencing virological failure (VF, VL ≥ 1000 copies/mL), HIVDR testing was performed and interpreted using the Stanford HIV Drug Resistance Database v.8.9-1.

RESULTS: Of the 270 participants, most were on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimens (61.7% urban vs. 82.2% rural), and about one-third were poorly adherent (30.1% vs. 35.1%). Clinical failure rates (WHO-stage III/IV) in both settings were < 15%. In urban settings, the immunological failure (IF) rate (CD4 < 250 cells/μL) was 15.8%, statistically associated with late adolescence, female gender and poor adherence. The VF rate was 34.2%, statistically associated with poor adherence and NNRTI-based antiretroviral therapy. In the rural context, the IF rate was 26.9% and the VF rate was 52.7%, both statistically associated with advanced clinical stages. HIVDR rate was over 90% in both settings. EWIs were delayed drug pick-up, drug stock-outs and suboptimal viral suppression.

CONCLUSIONS: Poor adherence, late adolescent age, female gender and advanced clinical staging worsen IF. The VF rate is high and consistent with the presence of HIVDR in both settings, driven by poor adherence, NNRTI-based regimen and advanced clinical staging.

PMID:33792134 | DOI:10.1111/hiv.13095

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of rurality and socioeconomic deprivation on presentation stage and long-term outcomes in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer

ANZ J Surg. 2021 Apr 1. doi: 10.1111/ans.16734. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Geographical remoteness and socioeconomic status (SES) are important factors affecting presentation stage and survival for colorectal cancer. A series of patients from a single institution in northern New South Wales was studied to determine if rural isolation or SES affected presentation and survival in patients undergoing resection.

METHODS: Consecutive colorectal cancer resections performed at Lismore Base Hospital from 2011 to 2019 were identified. Patient residential addresses were categorized by the Modified Monash Model (MMM), an Australian Government definition of rural isolation, and Socioeconomic Index for Areas (SEIFA) quintiles, an Australian Bureau of Statistics index of socioeconomic deprivation. Univariate and Cox regression survival analysis was performed on data from histopathology and clinical notes matched with survival data.

RESULTS: A total of 405 patients were included in MMM categories 3 (n = 207, 51.1%), 4 (n = 69, 17%) and 5 (n = 129, 31.9) corresponding to large, medium and small rural towns. MMM 3 was associated with emergency cases (25.6% versus 18.7%, P < 0.001), nodal disease (44.4% versus 38.4%, P = 0.018) and T3/4 tumours (82.1% versus 73.7%, P < 0.001) compared with isolated patients without difference in 5-year survival (P = 0.370). Disadvantaged SEIFA quintiles 1/2 demonstrated increased poor differentiation (23.0% versus 15.4%, P < 0.001) and vascular invasion (15.8% versus 9.1%, P < 0.001) with reduced 5-year survival (57.0% versus 70.4%, P = 0.039). Independent predictors of survival included age, emergency cases, group stage, lymphatic invasion and low lymph node yield.

CONCLUSION: A ‘rural reversal’ may be present for patients in northern New South Wales; however, SES and established clinicopathological factors are the strongest predictors of survival in our population.

PMID:33792127 | DOI:10.1111/ans.16734

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lateral versus cross pinning in paediatric supracondylar humerus fractures: a meta-analysis of randomized control trials

ANZ J Surg. 2021 Apr 1. doi: 10.1111/ans.16743. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Supracondylar humerus fractures are common in children. Percutaneous pinning remains the mainstay in treatment; however, there is lack of consensus on the optimal configuration: lateral-only pinning or cross pinning. This study aims to investigate the differences in clinical and surgical outcomes between lateral-only and cross-pinning paediatric supracondylar humerus fractures.

METHODS: A systematic search was performed using Medline Ovid, Embase and Cochrane databases for relevant randomized control trials comparing lateral and cross pinning of paediatric supracondylar humerus fractures, reporting at least one of the following: rate of iatrogenic ulnar nerve injury, loss of reduction, infection, loss of Baumann’s angle and loss of carrying angle. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA 13.0.

RESULTS: Eleven suitable randomized control trials involving 900 patients were reviewed. Loss of reduction was more common with lateral pinning (relative risk 1.44, 95% confidence interval 1.04-2.00, P = 0.027). Iatrogenic ulnar nerve injury was less common in lateral pinning with treatment-based analysis (relative risk 0.36, 95% confidence interval 0.14-0.92, P = 0.032). There was no statistically significant difference in loss of carrying angle, loss of Baumann angle or rate of infection.

CONCLUSION: Cross pinning provides superior stability in the treatment of supracondylar humerus fractures in children; however, it carries greater risk of iatrogenic ulnar nerve injury.

PMID:33792121 | DOI:10.1111/ans.16743

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lenvatinib with or without everolimus in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma after immune checkpoint inhibitors and VEGFR-TKI therapies

Oncologist. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1002/onco.13770. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Lenvatinib (Len) plus everolimus (Eve) is an approved therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) after first-line vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (VEGFR-TKI), but limited data exist on the efficacy of Len +/- Eve after progression on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) and VEGFR-TKI.

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of patients with mRCC at our institution who were treated with Len +/- Eve after ICI and VEGFR-TKI. A blinded radiologist assessed objective response as defined by RECIST v1.1. Descriptive statistics and the Kaplan-Meier method were used.

RESULTS: 55 patients were included in the analysis. 81.8% had clear-cell histology (ccRCC) and 76.4% had IMDC intermediate-risk disease. Median number of prior therapies was 4 (range, 2-10); all patients had prior ICI and VEGFR-TKI, and 80% were previously treated with ICI and ≥2 VEGFR-TKI, including cabozantinib. One patient (1.8%) achieved a complete response and 11 patients (20.0%) achieved a partial response, for an overall response rate (ORR) of 21.8%; 35 patients (63.6%) achieved stable disease. In all patients, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 6.2 months (95% CI, 4.8-9.4) and median overall survival (OS) was 12.1 months (95% CI, 8.8-16.0). In patients with ccRCC, ORR was 24.4%, PFS was 7.1 months (95% CI, 5.0-10.5), and OS was 11.7 months (95% CI, 7.9-16.1). 50.9% of patients required dose reductions and 7.3% discontinued treatment because of toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS: Len +/- Eve demonstrated meaningful clinical activity and tolerability in heavily pre-treated patients with mRCC after disease progression with prior ICI and VEGFR-TKI.

PMID:33792094 | DOI:10.1002/onco.13770

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of National Health Mission on infant mortality in India: An interrupted time series analysis

Int J Health Plann Manage. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1002/hpm.3166. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Government of India introduced National Rural Health Mission in 2005-now transformed into National Health Mission (NHM), to bring about architectural reforms in health sector. In this study, we evaluate the overall impact of NHM on infant mortality at national and state level. Annual data on infant mortality rate (IMR) from 1990 to 2016 were obtained from Sample Registration System bulletins. With reporting year 2009 considered as cut-off point, a two-step segmented time series regression analysis was conducted. Estimates of pre-slope, post-slope and change at the point of intervention were computed by applying auto-regressive integrated moving average (1, 0, 0) while adjusting for trend and auto correlation. We found that while IMR reduced from around 80 to 34 per 1000 live births at the national level from 1990 to 2016, the annual rate of reduction increased from 1.6 per 1000 live births before NHM to 2.2 per 1000 live births after NHM. This is estimated to have averted 248,212 infant deaths in India, between 2005 and 2017. The rate of decline in IMR accelerated in 13 out of 17 larger states, most significantly in Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Assam, Haryana, Punjab and Uttar Pradesh. NHM has thus been successful in accelerating the overall rate of reduction in IMR in India. There is still a need to identify the determinants of variations at state level. We recommend strengthening of NHM in terms of funding and implementation.

PMID:33792075 | DOI:10.1002/hpm.3166

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Screening of hypertension, risks, knowledge/awareness in second-cycle schools in Ghana. A national cross-sectional study among students aged 12-22

J Hum Hypertens. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1038/s41371-021-00502-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In Ghana, the management of hypertension in primary health care is a cost-effective way of addressing premature deaths from vascular disorders that include hypertension. There is little or no evidence of large-scale studies on the prevalence, risk, and knowledge/awareness of hypertension in students aged 12-22 years in Ghana. In a cross-sectional study, blood pressure, anthropometric indices, and knowledge/awareness assessment of students at second-cycle schools were recorded from 2018 to 2020 in three regions of Ghana. Multistage cluster sampling was used in selecting regions and the schools. Prevalence of prehypertension and hypertension was categorized by the Joint National Committee 7, where appropriate, chi-square, scatter plots, and correlations were used in showing associations. A total of 3165 students comprising 1776 (56.1%) females and 1389 (43.9%) males participated in this study within three regions of Ghana. The minimum age was 12 years and the maximum age was 22 years. The mean age was 17.21 with standard deviation (SD: 1.59) years. A 95% confidence interval was set for estimations and a P value < 0.05 was set as significant. The prevalence rate of overall hypertension was 19.91% and elevated (prehypertension) was 26.07%. Risk indicators such as weight, BMI, waist circumference, physical activity, and form of the diet were positively correlated with hypertension. Among Ghanaian students currently in second-cycle educational institutions, 19.91% were hypertensive and 26.07% were prehypertensive. This may indicate a probable high prevalence of hypertension in the future adult population if measures are not taken to curb the associated risks.

PMID:33790406 | DOI:10.1038/s41371-021-00502-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Polymorphisms of microRNAs are associated with salt sensitivity in a Han Chinese population: the EpiSS study

J Hum Hypertens. 2021 Mar 31. doi: 10.1038/s41371-021-00485-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The majority of single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) association studies of salt sensitivity (SS) have focused on SNPs in protein-coding genes rather than on SNPs in noncoding RNAs. This study attempted to identify the association between whole blood microRNA (miRNA)-related SNPs and the risk of SS in a Han Chinese population. A case-control study of 762 individuals was performed. A modified Sullivan’s acute oral saline load and diuresis shrinkage test was used to assess SS. All SNPs were analysed by RT-PCR on a Sequenom Mass ARRAY Platform (Sequenom, San Diego, CA, USA). A genetic risk score (GRS) was used to evaluate the joint genetic effect. In total, 24 miRNA-related SNPs were genotyped, four of which (miR-1307-5p/rs11191676, miR-1307-5p/rs2292807, miR-145/rs41291957 and miR-4638-3p/rs6601178) were associated with both SS and salt sensitivity of blood pressure (SSBP) (p ≤ 0.05). MiR-382-5p/rs4906032 and miR-15b-5/rs10936201 were associated with SSBP. Weighted GRS showed that participants in the second, third and fourth quartiles had 1.760-fold (95% CI: 1.068-2.903), 2.450-fold (95% CI: 1.470-4.083) and 2.774-fold (95% CI: 1.680-4.582) increased risk of SS, respectively. Bioinformatics analysis indicated that these four SNP risk alleles may affect transcription factor binding and influence promoter activity. A total of six miRNA-related SNPs were found to be associated with SS or SSBP, and the presence of multiple risk alleles resulted in increased risk level.

PMID:33790405 | DOI:10.1038/s41371-021-00485-9