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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparing Canada’s OncoSim-Breast model with the United States’ Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) breast cancer models

Health Rep. 2025 Jun 18;36(6):3-14. doi: 10.25318/82-003-x202500600001-eng.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The OncoSim-Breast model, developed by the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer and Statistics Canada, represents breast cancer-related events in the Canadian female population. This study aimed to compare OncoSim-Breast with recent results from the United States’ National Cancer Institute’s Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) breast cancer models. The primary focus was on the impact of extending breast cancer screening to women aged 40 to 49.

DATA AND METHODS: The OncoSim-Breast model used Canadian demographics, competing mortality, and test performance, while the CISNET models used comparable United States data to analyze 10 different mammography screening scenarios. Lifetime outcomes were calculated for a cohort of 40-year-old women born in 1980, assuming perfect adherence to digital mammography screening. OncoSim-Breast’s estimates were compared with the median and range of estimates from the five CISNET models. The primary outcomes were breast cancer deaths averted and life years gained per 1,000 40-year-old women.

RESULTS: OncoSim-Breast projected that starting screening at age 40 would lead to 1.7 breast cancer deaths averted and 53 life years gained per 1,000 women, compared with starting screening at age 50. CISNET models projected a median of 1.3 breast cancer deaths averted (range 0.8 to 3.2) and 43 life years gained (range 31 to 103) per 1,000 women for the same scenario. Secondary outcomes estimated by OncoSim-Breast and CISNET models were similarly consistent and comparable.

INTERPRETATION: This study demonstrates that OncoSim-Breast’s estimates of the impact of starting breast cancer screening earlier align with those from CISNET models.

PMID:40532081 | DOI:10.25318/82-003-x202500600001-eng

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Health Literacy and Medication Adherence with Quality of Life in COPD Patients

P R Health Sci J. 2025 Jun;44(2):116-120.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between health literacy, adherence to treatment with quality of life in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

METHODS: This cross-sectional study conducted among adults with COPD between February and March 2023. Sociodemographic characteristics, EuroQol Five-Dimension questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L), Health Literacy Scale, Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS-8), and COPD assessment test (CAT) were assessed.

RESULTS: A total of 425 patients with COPD were included. Better treatment adherence was positively correlated with better quality of life (p<0.001). There was a negative correlation between the quality of life and age (p<0.001; r=-0.174), COPD duration (p<0.001; r=-0.261), pack-years smoking history (p=0.002; r=- 0.162), and CAT score (p<0.001; r=-0.765). There was a positive correlation between quality of life and body mass index (p=0.049; r=0.096), and health literacy scores (p<0.001; r=0.473). Increased health literacy scores were also significantly related to better quality of life (p=0.004).

CONCLUSION: Treatment adherence and health literacy significantly influenced HRQoL, highlighting the need for interventions focused on enhancing health literacy and adherence in COPD management.

PMID:40532060

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT) Data with Cardiopulmonary Factors in Hispanic Systemic Sclerosis Patients

P R Health Sci J. 2025 Jun;44(2):111-115.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune disease with significant morbidity and mortality secondary to pulmonary manifestations. The six-minute walk test (6MWT) has been used in SSc studies to measure respiratory complications, particularly pulmonary hypertension. In this study, we evaluated whether the six-minute walk distance (6MWD), measured during the 6MWT, is associated with clinical SSc symptoms in Puerto Rican patients in a rheumatology clinic.

METHODS: We prospectively collected 6MWT data for 37 consecutive SSc patients at the University of Puerto Rico every three months for one year between 2013 and 2015. A linear mixed regression model was used to investigate the effects of the SSc clinical features and subtypes on average 6MWD over time.

RESULTS: The average baseline distance walked by SSc patients was 365.2 (± 8.1) meters, with no significant differences over time. No statistically significant differences (p>0.05) were found in the sixminute walk distance (6MWD) at different time intervals for SSc subtypes. Two clinical features, palpitations and lung crackles, were associated with a significantly shorter 6MWD(p<0.05).

CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the 6MWT can be used to evaluate SSc patients. No association was found between 6MWD and most clinical SSc symptoms in our population. Two clinical symptoms, lung crackles and palpitations, were associated with decreased 6MWD.

PMID:40532059

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Healthcare Costs for Diabetes Associated with Health Disparities in Puerto Rico

P R Health Sci J. 2025 Jun;44(2):95-98.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study compared the healthcare utilization of and costs for adults (18-64 years) with diabetes mellitus (DM) by plan type in Puerto Rico in 2013. This study is important because understanding disparities in healthcare access and expenditures can inform public health policy decisions aimed at improving diabetes care in Puerto Rico.

METHODS: Puerto Rico public and private medical insurance paid claims and enrollment data from 2013 were used to calculate the diabetes prevalence and medical care expenditures associated with this disease for total enrollers and by type of health insurance. This cross-sectional analytic study analyzed healthcare claims from 96% of the insured population in Puerto Rico, providing a comprehensive assessment of diabetes-related healthcare costs.

RESULTS: The total expenditure for patients with DM for 2013 was $388,536,735, with 58.0% attributed to the private sector. In the public sector, the largest expenditure was for hospital services (53.8%), while in the private sector, the highest spending occurred in outpatient services (54.6%). After adjusting for sex, age, Charlson comorbidity index, and percent of copayment, public insurance beneficiaries were more likely to use hospital services (PR=3.23, 95% CI: 3.13-3.33, p<0.001) and emergency services (PR=1.61, 95% CI: 1.56-1.64, p<0.001), while private insurance beneficiaries used more ambulatory services (PR=0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.93, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest disparities in access to primary health services for people with DM between public and private insureds, and that there is no continuity of care, leading to high costs for such services.

PMID:40532056

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Maxillary Canine Impaction in Subjects Aged 14 Years and Older: A Cross-Sectional Study

P R Health Sci J. 2025 Jun;44(2):89-94.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This cross-sectional study aimed to estimate the prevalence of impacted maxillary canines in patients seeking treatment from 2016 2020 at the University of Puerto Rico School of Dental Medicine Orthodontic Graduate Program and compare it to the prevalence of published reports. Additionally, we sought to describe the clinical pattern of impaction using initial photographs and panoramic radiographs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were extracted from the dental records aged 14 years and older who had sought orthodontic treatment in 2016 2020. A calibrated examiner conducted all the dental measurements using 2D images from the initial records. Descriptive statistics included means (standard deviations), medians (interquartile range), and frequencies. A one-sample binomial test was used to compare the prevalence found to those of published reports. A chi-square, Fisher’s exact, and the Mann-Whitney tests were used to compare patients with and without impaction. We used logistic regression to evaluate the associations between tooth-level risk factors and impaction, accounting for clustering and adjusting for age and sex.

RESULTS: The study included 217 patients (mean age: 21.38 ± 9.16 years; 58.5% were female). The prevalence of maxillary canine impaction was 7.83%. The odds of impaction were higher if the deciduous canine was present (OR = 67.59; 95% CI: 18.61-245.40) or if the canine overlapped the lateral incisor root (OR = 155.92; 95% CI: 36.32-669.29).

CONCLUSION: The overall prevalence of maxillary canine impaction was high, although parallel to that reported in a Mexican population; site-level risk factors (deciduous canine presence, overlap) were identified.

PMID:40532055

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Disparities in Opioid Distribution in Puerto Rico and the Continental United States (2018-2023)

P R Health Sci J. 2025 Jun;44(2):84-88.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to analyze and compare the distribution patterns of fentanyl, morphine, meperidine, and codeine in the continental US compared to Puerto Rico from 2018-2023. Attention was given to meperidine due to its extensive adverse effect profile and irreversible central nervous system toxicity.

METHODS: Data was collected from Automation of Reports and Consolidated Orders Systems (ARCOS). The dataset included annual distribution data for meperidine, fentanyl, morphine, and codeine in the US and Puerto Rico. Population data was collected from US Census data and the American Community Survey. Data analyses were conducted using Microsoft Excel Version 2410. For each opioid, the mean distribution and standard deviation (SD) were calculated for the continental US. The mean distribution in Puerto Rico was compared to the US mean distribution with a 95% confidence interval. ANOVA tests were performed to assess differences in distribution of each opioid across years (2018, 2020, and 2022) within the continental US. All descriptive statistics and ANOVA calculations were conducted with statistical significance determined at p < 0.05.

RESULTS: From 2018 to 2023, meperidine distribution declined in both regions but decreased more sharply in the continental US (82.6%) compared to Puerto Rico (43.5%). Distribution levels exceeded six standard deviations above the US mean in 2023. Fentanyl and morphine distributions were consistently lower in Puerto Rico than in the continental US.

CONCLUSION: There was a disproportionately high distribution of meperidine in Puerto Rico compared to the continental US across the years studied.

PMID:40532054

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Incorporating historic information to further improve power when conducting Bayesian information borrowing in basket trials

Biostatistics. 2024 Dec 31;26(1):kxaf016. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf016.

ABSTRACT

In basket trials a single therapeutic treatment is tested on several patient populations simultaneously, each of which forming a basket, where patients across all baskets on the trial share a common genetic aberration. These trials allow testing of treatments on small groups of patients, however, limited basket sample sizes can result in inadequate precision and power of estimates. It is well known that Bayesian information borrowing models such as the exchangeability-nonexchangeability (EXNEX) model can be implemented to tackle such a problem, drawing on information from one basket when making inference in another. An alternative approach to improve power of estimates, is to incorporate any historical or external information available. This paper considers models that amalgamate both forms of information borrowing, allowing borrowing between baskets in the ongoing trial whilst also drawing on response data from historical sources, with the aim to further improve treatment effect estimates. We propose several Bayesian information borrowing approaches that incorporate historical information into the model. These methods are data-driven, updating the degree of borrowing based on the level of homogeneity between information sources. A thorough simulation study is presented to draw comparisons between the proposed approaches, whilst also comparing to the standard EXNEX model in which no historical information is utilized. The models are also applied to a real-life trial example to demonstrate their performance in practice. We show that the incorporation of historic data under the novel approaches can lead to a substantial improvement in precision and power of treatment effect estimates when such data is homogeneous to the responses in the ongoing trial. Under some approaches, this came alongside an inflation in type I error rate in cases of heterogeneity. However, the use of a power prior in the EXNEX model is shown to increase power and precision, whilst maintaining similar error rates to the standard EXNEX model.

PMID:40532037 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf016

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of Multiple Cardiovascular Events on Long-Term Outcomes and Bleeding Risk in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

J Am Heart Assoc. 2025 Jun 18:e039290. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.124.039290. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are at high risk for recurrent cardiovascular events and bleeding complications, particularly in Asian populations. The long-term impact of multiple cardiovascular events and bleeding on outcomes remains unclear.

METHODS: Using Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database, this retrospective cohort study included 28 086 patients with ACS categorized into single-event and multiple-event groups based on cardiovascular events occurring within 2 years of the index ACS event. After matching for age, sex, and event interval, 8756 patients were assigned to the multiple-event group and 17 446 to the single-event group.

RESULTS: The multiple-event group had higher comorbidity rates, including hypertension, prior coronary disease, heart failure, stroke, and chronic kidney disease. Over 5 years, the multiple-event group had significantly higher all-cause mortality (34.0% versus 24.0%) and cardiovascular mortality (11.2% versus 5.5%) compared with the single-event group (both P <0.0001). Major (8.4% versus 1.6%) and minor (35.5% versus 7.4%) bleeding rates were also higher (both P <0.0001). Notably, major bleeding persisted beyond 3 months in the multiple-event group, whereas the single-event group showed reduced bleeding after 1 month. In the multiple-event group, each additional major bleeding event was associated with earlier subsequent cardiovascular events (coefficient=-0.2875, P=0.0325).

CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ACS with multiple cardiovascular events have higher rates of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and major bleeding than patients with ACS with a single cardiovascular event. Major bleeding may also be associated with the risk of subsequent cardiovascular events, highlighting the importance of implementing a tailored antiplatelet strategy in Asian populations.

PMID:40530479 | DOI:10.1161/JAHA.124.039290

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Free Energies of Solvation in Benzene and Hexafluorobenzene: Is Explicit Polarization Needed?

J Phys Chem B. 2025 Jun 18. doi: 10.1021/acs.jpcb.5c02405. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Free energies of solvation in liquid benzene and hexafluorobenzene have been computed for 42 uncharged solutes. Monte Carlo statistical mechanics was used with the free-energy perturbation theory and the OPLS-AA force field. The results address the transferability of the potential functions developed for pure liquids to mixed systems and the potential importance of explicit polarization for neutral organic molecules in aromatic solvents. Although the free-energy results cover an 11 kcal/mol range, the average error in comparison with experimental data points is only 0.4 kcal/mol. There is no systematic pattern to the discrepancies, so the need to add explicit treatment of solute-solvent polarization effects is not supported. This contrasts the situation with cationic solutes as reflected in cation-π interactions. Results for free energies of hydration are also provided for the 42 solutes in TIP4P water and give an average error of 0.49 kcal/mol. Implications for modeling biomolecular systems with standard force fields are considered. It is also interesting to note the overall similar values for free energies of solvation in benzene and hexafluorobenzene despite the reversal of polarity for the aromatic rings; the most significant exception is the more favorable solvation of perfluoroalkanes in the perfluoro solvent. Alternative accommodations of solutes in the two solvents are illustrated.

PMID:40530466 | DOI:10.1021/acs.jpcb.5c02405

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of Information Provided in Remote Case Discussions on Oral Medicine Teleconsultants’ Diagnostic Impression

J Oral Pathol Med. 2025 Jun 18. doi: 10.1111/jop.70001. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the impact of case descriptions, alongside clinical photographs, on telediagnosis accuracy in Oral Medicine.

METHODS: An analytical cross-sectional observational study used 100 cases from Oral Medicine services at three universities. Three specialists in Oral Diagnosis remotely analyzed these cases. Simulated teleconsultations were presented via Google Forms, requesting: (a) diagnostic hypotheses based solely on clinical photographs; (b) identification of essential information for diagnosis; and (c) revised hypotheses after reviewing case descriptions. The specialists’ opinions, with and without case descriptions, were compared to in-person diagnoses and categorized as: negative impact, maintenance of incorrect opinion, maintenance of correct opinion, and refinement of the response.

RESULTS: Diagnostic accuracy based on images alone were 84%, 83%, and 75%. There was no statistically significant difference in accuracy before and after accessing case descriptions. Although these descriptions were not essential for a correct diagnosis, they contributed to refining diagnostic hypotheses in some cases. The most frequently requested information was the “duration of the condition” (84% of cases).

CONCLUSION: Experienced Oral Diagnosis specialists demonstrate satisfactory diagnostic accuracy when analyzing cases of oral lesions from a distance using photos, even when no clinical information is provided about the cases.

PMID:40530448 | DOI:10.1111/jop.70001