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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outcome of different endovascular modalities to treat common iliac artery aneurysms, single center study

Vascular. 2023 Jul 31:17085381231192377. doi: 10.1177/17085381231192377. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Iliac aneurysms occur in 10% of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). There are three different endovascular approaches to their treatment in the context of infrarenal Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair (EVAR): occlusion by coiling the internal iliac, incorporation using an iliac branch device, and delaying repair using a bell bottom limb. We sought to determine outcomes associated with these three strategies in our practice.

METHODOLOGY: The study was a combined prospective cohort study with a retrospective arm: prospective patient recruitment was done for 1 year from September 2019 and ended by September 2020, and retrospective data was collected from 2017 to 2019. Demographic, procedural, and imaging data was collected. SPSS was used to analyze data as patients were classified by limbs in four groups: iliac branched, bell bottom, coil and cover technique, and standard treated limbs.

RESULTS: There were 65 male and 4 female patients included in this study incorporating 137 limbs with a mean age of 78 years (SD ± 8 years). Two patients died after discharge (at 3 and 21 months postoperatively, without hospital admission) and five patients were lost to long-term follow-up. Three patients had operations that deviated from the plan: one was an IBD converted to bell bottom, one was an IBD that was converted to coil and cover, and one was a bell bottom that did not seal. Follow-up revealed late type IB endoleak in three bell bottom limbs and one limb treated with coil and cover. Common iliac occlusion occurred in one IBD, three bell bottom limbs, and two limbs treated with coil/cover technique. There were four additional ischemic events (buttock claudication in three and intestinal ischemia in one): all ischemic events occurred in the coil and cover group (p = .001).

CONCLUSIONS: Given the small population size examined in this study, there is no statistical difference between treatment groups; however, there was a trend toward bell bottom technique being associated with higher incidence of type IB endoleak. Coil and cover technique was associated with decreased IB endoleak; however, Buttock claudication and intestinal ischemia occurred more significantly in this group. Using IBD may be the best strategy to improve short- and long-term outcomes in patients with iliac aneurysms.

PMID:37523224 | DOI:10.1177/17085381231192377

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Multigranularity Label Prediction Model for Automatic International Classification of Diseases Coding in Clinical Text

J Comput Biol. 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1089/cmb.2023.0096. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

International Classification of Diseases (ICD) serves as the foundation for generating comparable global disease statistics across regions and over time. The process of ICD coding involves assigning codes to diseases based on clinical notes, which can describe a patient’s condition in a standard way. However, this process is complicated by the vast number of codes and the intricate taxonomy of ICD codes, which are hierarchically organized into various levels, including chapter, category, subcategory, and its subdivisions. Many existing studies focus solely on predicting subcategory codes, ignoring the hierarchical relationships among codes. To address this limitation, we propose a multitask learning model that trains multiple classifiers for different code levels, while also capturing the relations between coarser and finer-grained labels through a reinforcement mechanism. Our approach is evaluated on both English and Chinese benchmark dataset, and we demonstrate that our method achieves competitive performance with baseline models, particularly in terms of macro-F1 results. These findings suggest that our approach effectively leverages the hierarchical structure of ICD codes to improve disease code prediction accuracy. Analysis of attention mechanism shows that multigranularity attention of our model captures crucial feature of input text on different granularity levels, which can provide reasonable explanations for the prediction results.

PMID:37523219 | DOI:10.1089/cmb.2023.0096

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Testing the reliability of accident analysis methods: a comparison of AcciMap, STAMP-CAST and AcciNet

Ergonomics. 2023 Jul 31:1-21. doi: 10.1080/00140139.2023.2240048. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Accident analysis methods are used to model the multifactorial cause of adverse incidents. Methods such as AcciMap, STAMP-CAST and recently AcciNet, are systemic approaches that support the identification of safety interventions across sociotechnical system levels. Despite their growing popularity, little is known about how reliable systems-based methods are when used to describe, model and classify contributory factors and relationships. Here, we conducted an intra-rater and inter-rater reliability assessment of AcciMap, STAMP-CAST and AcciNet using the Signal Detection Theory (SDT) paradigm. A total of 180 hours’ worth of analyses across 360 comparisons were performed by 30 expert analysts. Findings revealed that all three methods produced a weak to moderate positive correlation coefficient, however the inter-rater reliability of STAMP-CAST was significantly higher compared to AcciMap and AcciNet. No statistically significant or practically meaningful differences were found between methods in the overall intra-rater reliability analyses. Implications and future research directions are discussed.

PMID:37523211 | DOI:10.1080/00140139.2023.2240048

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development and Validation of a Postprocedural Model to Predict Outcome After Endovascular Treatment for Ischemic Stroke

JAMA Neurol. 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2023.2392. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Outcome prediction after endovascular treatment (EVT) for ischemic stroke is important to patients, family members, and physicians.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a model based on preprocedural and postprocedural characteristics to predict functional outcome for individual patients after EVT.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A prediction model was developed using individual patient data from 7 randomized clinical trials, performed between December 2010 and December 2014. The model was developed within the Highly Effective Reperfusion Evaluated in Multiple Endovascular Stroke Trials (HERMES) collaboration and external validation in data from the Dutch Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands (MR CLEAN) Registry of patients treated in clinical practice between March 2014 and November 2017. Participants included patients from multiple centers throughout different countries in Europe, North America, East Asia, and Oceania (derivation cohort), and multiple centers in the Netherlands (validation cohort). Included were adult patients with a history of ischemic stroke from an intracranial large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation who underwent EVT within 12 hours of symptom onset or last seen well. Data were last analyzed in July 2022.

MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): A total of 19 variables were assessed by multivariable ordinal regression to predict functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score) 90 days after EVT. Variables were routinely available 1 day after EVT. Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to optimize model fit vs model complexity. Probabilities for functional independence (mRS 0-2) and survival (mRS 0-5) were derived from the ordinal model. Model performance was expressed with discrimination (C statistic) and calibration.

RESULTS: A total of 781 patients (median [IQR] age, 67 [57-76] years; 414 men [53%]) constituted the derivation cohort, and 3260 patients (median [IQR] age, 72 [61-80] years; 1684 men [52%]) composed the validation cohort. Nine variables were included in the model: age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, prestroke mRS score, history of diabetes, occlusion location, collateral score, reperfusion grade, NIHSS score at 24 hours, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage 24 hours after EVT. External validation in the MR CLEAN Registry showed excellent discriminative ability for functional independence (C statistic, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.90-0.92) and survival (0.89; 95% CI, 0.88-0.90). The proportion of functional independence in the MR CLEAN Registry was systematically higher than predicted by the model (41% vs 34%), whereas observed and predicted survival were similar (72% vs 75%). The model was updated and implemented for clinical use.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: The prognostic tool MR PREDICTS@24H can be applied 1 day after EVT to accurately predict functional outcome for individual patients at 90 days and to provide reliable outcome expectations and personalize follow-up and rehabilitation plans. It will need further validation and updating for contemporary patients.

PMID:37523199 | DOI:10.1001/jamaneurol.2023.2392

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Prior COVID-19 Vaccination With SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Death in Children and Young Persons During the Omicron Variant Period in Brazil

JAMA Pediatr. 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2023.2584. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:37523191 | DOI:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2023.2584

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence of 12 Common Health Conditions in Sexual and Gender Minority Participants in the All of Us Research Program

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2324969. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.24969.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Limited data describe the health status of sexual or gender minority (SGM) people due to inaccurate and inconsistent ascertainment of gender identity, sex assigned at birth, and sexual orientation.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the prevalence of 12 health conditions is higher among SGM adults in the All of Us Research Program data compared with cisgender heterosexual (non-SGM) people.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used data from a multidisciplinary research consortium, the All of Us Research Program, that links participant-reported survey information to electronic health records (EHR) and physical measurements. In total, 372 082 US adults recruited and enrolled at an All of Us health care provider organization or by directly visiting the enrollment website from May 31, 2017, to January 1, 2022, and were assessed for study eligibility.

EXPOSURES: Self-identified gender identity and sexual orientation group.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Twelve health conditions were evaluated: 11 using EHR data and 1, body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared), using participants’ physical measurements. Logistic regression (adjusting for age, income, and employment, enrollment year, and US Census division) was used to obtain adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for the associations between each SGM group and health condition compared with a non-SGM reference group.

RESULTS: The analytic sample included 346 868 participants (median [IQR] age, 55 [39-68] years; 30 763 [8.9%] self-identified as SGM). Among participants with available BMI (80.2%) and EHR data (69.4%), SGM groups had higher odds of anxiety, depression, HIV diagnosis, and tobacco use disorder but lower odds of cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes, and hypertension. Estimated associations for asthma (AOR, 0.39 [95% CI, 0.24-0.63] for gender diverse people assigned male at birth; AOR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.38-0.69] for transgender women), a BMI of 25 or higher (AOR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.38-1.96] for transgender men), cancer (AOR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.07-1.23] for cisgender sexual minority men; AOR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.81-0.95] for cisgender sexual minority women), and substance use disorder (AOR, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.24-0.52] for gender diverse people assigned female at birth; AOR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.49-0.87] for transgender men) varied substantially across SGM groups compared with non-SGM groups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional analysis of data from the All of Us Research Program, SGM participants experienced health inequities that varied by group and condition. The All of Us Research Program can be a valuable resource for conducting health research focused on SGM people.

PMID:37523187 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.24969

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends, Characteristics, and Maternal Morbidity Associated With Unhoused Status in Pregnancy

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2326352. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26352.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Unhoused status is a substantial problem in the US. Pregnancy characteristics and maternal outcomes of individuals experiencing homelessness are currently under active investigation to optimize health outcomes for this population.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the trends, characteristics, and maternal outcomes associated with unhoused status in pregnancy.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study analyzed data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample. The study population included hospitalizations for vaginal and cesarean deliveries from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2020. Unhoused status of these patients was identified from use of International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification code Z59.0. Statistical analysis was conducted from December 2022 to June 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Primary outcomes were (1) temporal trends; (2) patient and pregnancy characteristics associated with unhoused status, which were assessed with a multivariable logistic regression model; (3) delivery outcomes, including severe maternal morbidity (SMM) and mortality at delivery, which used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention definition for SMM indicators and were assessed with a propensity score-adjusted model; and (4) choice of long-acting reversible contraception method and surgical sterilization at delivery.

RESULTS: A total of 18 076 440 hospital deliveries were included, of which 18 970 involved pregnant patients who were experiencing homelessness at the time of delivery, for a prevalence rate of 104.9 per 100 000 hospital deliveries. These patients had a median (IQR) age of 29 (25-33) years. The prevalence of unhoused patients increased by 72.1% over a 5-year period from 76.1 in 2016 to 131.0 in 2020 per 100 000 deliveries (P for trend < .001). This association remained independent in multivariable analysis. In addition, (1) substance use disorder (tobacco, illicit drugs, and alcohol use disorder), (2) mental health conditions (schizophrenia, bipolar, depressive, and anxiety disorders, including suicidal ideation and past suicide attempt), (3) infectious diseases (hepatitis, gonorrhea, syphilis, herpes, and COVID-19), (4) patient characteristics (Black and Native American race and ethnicity, younger and older age, low or unknown household income, obesity, pregestational hypertension, pregestational diabetes, and asthma), and (5) pregnancy characteristics (prior uterine scar, excess weight gain during pregnancy, and preeclampsia) were associated with unhoused status in pregnancy. Unhoused status was associated with extreme preterm delivery (<28-week gestation: 34.3 vs 10.8 per 1000 deliveries; adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 2.76 [95% CI, 2.55-2.99]); SMM at in-hospital delivery (any morbidity: 53.8 vs 17.7 per 1000 deliveries; AOR, 2.30 [95% CI, 2.15-2.45]); and in-hospital mortality (0.8 vs <0.1 per 1000 deliveries; AOR, 10.17 [95% CI, 6.10-16.94]), including case fatality risk after SMM (1.5% vs 0.3%; AOR, 4.46 [95% CI, 2.67-7.45]). Individual morbidity indicators associated with unhoused status included cardiac arrest (AOR, 12.43; 95% CI, 8.66-17.85), cardiac rhythm conversion (AOR, 6.62; 95% CI, 3.98-11.01), ventilation (AOR, 6.24; 95% CI, 5.03-7.74), and sepsis (AOR, 5.37; 95% CI, 4.53-6.36).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Results of this national cross-sectional study suggest that unhoused status in pregnancy gradually increased in the US during the 5-year study period and that pregnant patients with unhoused status were a high-risk pregnancy group.

PMID:37523185 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26352

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence and Landscape of Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic Germline Variants and Their Association With Somatic Phenotype in Unselected Chinese Patients With Gynecologic Cancers

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2326437. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26437.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Understanding germline and somatic status in patients with gynecologic cancers could improve risk assessment and guide therapeutic decision-making.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence and landscape of germline pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants and explore whether these variants are associated with somatic phenotypes and cancer risk in unselected patients with gynecologic cancers.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study retrospectively enrolled unselected patients in China with a gynecologic cancer, including ovarian, cervical, and endometrial, who underwent tumor-normal sequencing using a 520-gene panel from October 1, 2017, through May 31, 2021.

EXPOSURE: Germline variants in gynecologic cancers.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The P/LP germline variant rates in 62 cancer predisposition genes were assessed using descriptive statistics. The associations of P/LP variant status with age, somatic profiles, and cancer risk were also investigated using the Fisher exact test or Student t test.

RESULTS: A total of 1610 women (median [IQR] age, 54 [47-62] years; 1201 [74.6%] with stage III-IV disease) were included (945 with ovarian cancer, 307 with endometrial cancer, and 358 with cervical cancer). The prevalence of patients with P/LP variants was 20.5% (194 of 945) for ovarian cancer, 13.4% (41 of 307) for endometrial cancer, and 6.4% (23 of 358) for cervical cancer; 95.1% of the germline findings (n = 252) were potentially actionable, mainly in homologous recombination repair (HRR) and mismatch repair genes. Chinese patients with endometrial cancer had a higher rate of P/LP variants than a White population from The Cancer Genome Atlas (42 of 307 [13.7%] vs 24 of 367 [6.5%]; P = .003). In endometrial and cervical cancers, the prevalence of P/LP variants was 12.7% (30 of 237) and 4.8% (13 of 270), respectively, in patients diagnosed at age 45 years or older and increased to 25.0% (9 of 36; P = .09) and 12.0% (10 of 83; P = .04), respectively, for those with an onset age of less than 45 years. Mismatch repair P/LP variants were associated with a younger age at onset for ovarian cancer (46 vs 54 years; P = .02) and endometrial cancer (48 vs 57 years; P < .001), while HRR P/LP variants were associated with a younger age at onset for cervical cancer (46 vs 52 years; P = .04). Carriers of HRR P/LP variants had more prevalent somatic TP53 variants and less common somatic variants in oncogenic driver genes vs noncarriers. BRCA1/2 P/LP variants were also associated with moderate risks for endometrial and cervical cancer.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study delineates the landscape of germline P/LP variants in Chinese women with gynecologic cancers. The findings highlight the hereditary factor in cervical cancer that has long been neglected and suggest the importance of next-generation sequencing-based genetic testing with a large gene panel for gynecologic cancers.

PMID:37523182 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26437

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association Between Gestational Age and Academic Achievement of Children Born at Term

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2326451. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26451.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Differences in academic achievement by gestational age of children born at term, especially at 39 to 41 weeks, are not well understood.

OBJECTIVE: To examine differences in academic achievement among children born between 37 and 41 weeks’ gestational age.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study linked birth certificates of children born in Iowa from 1989 to 2009 with school test scores for grades 2 to 11 from 2017 to 2018. Statistical analysis was performed from January to March 2023.

EXPOSURES: Gestational age at 37, 38, 39, and 41 weeks vs 40 weeks from clinical or obstetric and calendar measures.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcomes were scores in national percentile rankings (NPRs) on standardized school tests in math and reading. Covariates included demographic and prenatal risk factors.

RESULTS: The sample included 536 996 children (50.7% male children and 49.3% female children) with math scores (3 576 045 child-grade observations; 6.6%, 15.7%, 28.6%, 35.5%, and 13.7% born at 37, 38, 39, 40, and 41 weeks, respectively) and 537 078 children with reading scores (3 590 408 child-grade observations). Score differences for those born at 39 vs 40 weeks were -0.028 NPRs (95% CI, -0.18 to 0.12 NPRs) for math and 0.085 NPRs (95% CI, -0.067 to 0.24 NPRs) for reading using the clinical or obstetric measure and 0.03 NPRs (95% CI, -0.14 to 0.20 NPRs) for math and 0.13 NPRs (95% CI, -0.042 to 0.31 NPRs) for reading using the calendar measure. With the clinical or obstetric measure, score differences between those born at 41 and 40 weeks were 0.19 NPRs (95% CI, -0.0052 to 0.38 NPRs) for math and 0.098 NPRs (95% CI, -0.096 to 0.29 NPRs) for reading. With the calendar measure, score differences for those born at 41 weeks were -0.22 NPRs (95% CI, -0.43 to -0.013 NPRs) for math and -0.28 NPRs (95% CI, -0.49 to -0.074 NPRs) for reading. With the clinical or obstetric measure, score differences between those born at 37 and 38 weeks vs 40 weeks were -0.59 NPRs (95% CI, -0.84 to -0.33 NPRs) and -0.44 NPRs (95% CI, -0.62 to -0.26 NPRs), respectively, for math, and -0.066 NPRs (95% CI, -0.32 to 0.19 NPRs) and -0.19 NPRs (95% CI, -0.37 to 0.0038 NPRs), respectively, for reading.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study suggests that there is no evidence of a difference in math and reading scores over grades 2 to 11 among children born between 39 and 40 weeks’ gestation, and overall no evidence of better scores among those born at 41 weeks’ gestation compared with 40 weeks’ gestation. The results can further inform decisions on delivery timing at term birth by offering insights into long-term associations of delivery timing with cognitive development and school achievement.

PMID:37523180 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.26451

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Futility in Clinical Trials

JAMA. 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1001/jama.2023.14111. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:37523168 | DOI:10.1001/jama.2023.14111