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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outbreak detector: a web application to boost disease surveillance systems and timely detection of infectious disease epidemics

BMC Res Notes. 2024 Aug 20;17(1):229. doi: 10.1186/s13104-024-06892-8.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Digital technologies have improved the performance of surveillance systems through early detection of outbreaks and epidemic control. The aim of this study is to introduce an outbreak detection web application called OBDETECTOR (Outbreak Detector), which as a professional web application has the ability to process weekly or daily reported data from disease surveillance systems and facilitates the early detection of disease outbreaks.

RESULTS: OBDETECTOR generates a histogram that exhibits the trend of infection within a time range selected by the user. The output comprises red triangles and plus signs, where the former denotes outbreak days determined by the algorithm applied to the data, and the latter represents days identified as outbreaks by the researcher. The graph also displays threshold values and its symbols enable researchers to compute evaluation criteria for outbreak detection algorithms, including sensitivity and specificity. OBDETECTOR allows users to modify algorithm parameters based on their research objectives immediately after loading data. The implementation of automatic web applications results in immediate reporting, precise analysis, and prompt alert notification. Moreover, Public Health authorities and other stakeholders of surveillance can benefit from the widespread accessibility and user-friendliness of these tools, enhancing their knowledge and skills for better engagement in surveillance programs.

PMID:39164780 | DOI:10.1186/s13104-024-06892-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Equity in the provision of helicopter emergency medical services in the United Kingdom: a geospatial analysis using indices of multiple deprivation

Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2024 Aug 20;32(1):73. doi: 10.1186/s13049-024-01248-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) in the United Kingdom (UK) are provided in a mixed funding model, with the majority of services funded by charities alongside a small number of government-funded operations. More socially-deprived communities are known to have greater need for critical care, such as that provided by HEMS in the UK. Equity of access is an important pillar of medical care, describing how resource should be allocated on the basis of need; a concept that is particularly relevant to resource-intensive services such as HEMS. However, the Inverse Care Law describes the tendency of healthcare provision to vary inversely with population need, where healthcare resource does not meet the expected needs in areas of higher deprivation. It is not known to what extent the Inverse Care Law applies to HEMS in the UK.

METHODS: Modelled service areas were created with each small unit geography locus in the UK assigned to its closest HEMS operational base. The total population, median decile on index of multiple deprivation, and geographic area for each modelled service area was determined from the most recently available national statistics. Linear regression was used to determine the association between social deprivation, geographic area, and total population served for each modelled service area.

RESULTS: The provision of HEMS in the UK varied inversely to expected population need; with HEMS operations in more affluent areas serving smaller populations. The model estimated that population decreases by 18% (95% confidence interval 1-32%) for each more affluent point in median decile of index of multiple deprivation. There was no significant association between geographic area and total population served.

CONCLUSION: The provision of HEMS in the UK is consistent with the Inverse Care Law. HEMS operations in more deprived areas serve larger populations, thus providing a healthcare resource inversely proportional with the expected needs of these communities. Funding structures may explain this variation as charities are more highly concentrated in more affluent areas.

PMID:39164775 | DOI:10.1186/s13049-024-01248-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Exposure-associated DNA methylation among people exposed to multiple industrial pollutants

Clin Epigenetics. 2024 Aug 20;16(1):111. doi: 10.1186/s13148-024-01705-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Current research on the epigenetic repercussions of exposure to a combination of pollutants is limited. This study aims to discern DNA methylation probes associated with exposure to multiple pollutants, serving as early effect markers, and single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as surrogate indicators for population susceptibility. The investigation involved the analysis of urine exposure biomarkers for 11 heavy metals (vanadium, arsenic, mercury, cadmium, chromium, nickel, lead, manganese, copper, strontium, thallium), polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAHs) (1-hydroxypyrene), genome-wide DNA methylation sequencing, and SNPs array on all study participants. The data were integrated with metabolomics information and analyzed both at a community level based on proximity to home addresses relative to the complex and at an individual level based on exposure biomarker concentrations.

RESULTS: On a community level, 67 exposure-related CpG probes were identified, while 70 CpG probes were associated with urine arsenic concentration, 2 with mercury, and 46 with vanadium on an individual level. These probes were annotated to genes implicated in cancers and chronic kidney disease. Weighted quantile sum regression analysis revealed that vanadium, mercury, and 1-hydroxypyrene contributed the most to cg08238319 hypomethylation. cg08238319 is annotated to the aryl hydrocarbon receptor repressor (AHRR) gene, and AHRR hypomethylation was correlated with an elevated risk of lung cancer. AHRR was further linked to deregulations in phenylalanine metabolism, alanine, aspartate, and glutamate metabolism, along with heightened oxidative stress. Additionally, three SNPs (rs11085020, rs199442, and rs10947050) corresponding to exposure-related CpG probes exhibited significant interaction effects with multiple heavy metals and PAHs exposure, and have been implicated in cancer progression and respiratory diseases.

CONCLUSION: Our findings underscore the pivotal role of AHRR methylation in gene-environment interactions and highlight SNPs that could potentially serve as indicators of population susceptibility in regions exposed to multiple heavy metals and PAHs.

PMID:39164771 | DOI:10.1186/s13148-024-01705-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Added predictive value of prehospital measurement of point-of-care lactate in an adult general EMS population in Sweden: a multi-centre observational study

Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2024 Aug 20;32(1):72. doi: 10.1186/s13049-024-01245-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Emergency medical services (EMS) personnel must rapidly assess and transport patients with time-sensitive conditions to optimise patient outcomes. Serum lactate, a valuable in-hospital biomarker, has become more accessible in EMS settings through point-of-care (POC) testing. Although POC lactate levels are valuable in specific patient groups, its broader application in EMS remains unclear. This study assessed the additional predictive value of POC lactate levels in a general adult EMS population.

METHODS: This prospective observational study (March 2018 to September 2019) involved two EMS organisations in Västra Götaland, Sweden. Patients were triaged using the Rapid Triage and Treatment System (RETTS). POC lactate levels were measured using StatStrip Xpress devices. Non-consecutive patients who received EMS and were aged 18 years and above were available for inclusion if triaged into RETTS levels: red, orange, yellow, or green if respiratory rate of ≥ 22 breaths/min. Outcomes were adverse outcomes, including a time-sensitive diagnosis, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2, and 30-day mortality. Statistical analyses included descriptive statistics, imputation, and regression models to assess the impact of the addition of POC lactate levels to a base model (comprising patient age, sex, presence of past medical conditions, vital signs, pain, EMS response time, assessed triage condition, and triage level) and a RETTS triage model.

RESULTS: Of 4,546 patients (median age 75 [57, 84] years; 49% male), 32.4% had time-sensitive conditions, 12.5% met the SOFA criteria, and 7.4% experienced 30-day mortality. The median POC lactate level was 1.7 (1.2, 2.5) mmol/L. Patients with time-sensitive conditions had higher lactate levels (1.9 mmol/L) than those with non-time-sensitive conditions (1.6 mmol/L). The probability of a time-sensitive condition increased with increasing lactate level. The addition of POC lactate marginally enhanced the predictive models, with a 1.5% and 4% increase for the base and RETTS triage models, respectively. POC lactate level as a sole predictor showed chance-only level predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital POC lactate assessment provided limited additional predictive value in a general adult EMS population. However, it may be beneficial in specific patient subgroups, emphasizing the need for its judicious use in prehospital settings.

PMID:39164765 | DOI:10.1186/s13049-024-01245-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Epigenetic patterns, accelerated biological aging, and enhanced epigenetic drift detected 6 months following COVID-19 infection: insights from a genome-wide DNA methylation study

Clin Epigenetics. 2024 Aug 20;16(1):112. doi: 10.1186/s13148-024-01724-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The epigenetic status of patients 6-month post-COVID-19 infection remains largely unexplored. The existence of long-COVID, or post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), suggests potential long-term changes. Long-COVID includes symptoms like fatigue, neurological issues, and organ-related problems, regardless of initial infection severity. The mechanisms behind long-COVID are unclear, but virus-induced epigenetic changes could play a role.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Our study explores the lasting epigenetic impacts of SARS-CoV-2 infection. We analyzed genome-wide DNA methylation patterns in an Italian cohort of 96 patients 6 months after COVID-19 exposure, comparing them to 191 healthy controls. We identified 42 CpG sites with significant methylation differences (FDR < 0.05), primarily within CpG islands and gene promoters. Dysregulated genes highlighted potential links to glutamate/glutamine metabolism, which may be relevant to PASC symptoms. Key genes with potential significance to COVID-19 infection and long-term effects include GLUD1, ATP1A3, and ARRB2. Furthermore, Horvath’s epigenetic clock showed a slight but significant age acceleration in post-COVID-19 patients. We also observed a substantial increase in stochastic epigenetic mutations (SEMs) in the post-COVID-19 group, implying potential epigenetic drift. SEM analysis identified 790 affected genes, indicating dysregulation in pathways related to insulin resistance, VEGF signaling, apoptosis, hypoxia response, T-cell activation, and endothelin signaling.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides valuable insights into the epigenetic consequences of COVID-19. Results suggest possible associations with accelerated aging, epigenetic drift, and the disruption of critical biological pathways linked to insulin resistance, immune response, and vascular health. Understanding these epigenetic changes could be crucial for elucidating the complex mechanisms behind long-COVID and developing targeted therapeutic interventions.

PMID:39164752 | DOI:10.1186/s13148-024-01724-9

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Causal relationship between gut microbiota and diabetic complications: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Diabetol Metab Syndr. 2024 Aug 20;16(1):202. doi: 10.1186/s13098-024-01424-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Imbalances in gut microbiota (GM) have been proposed as a potential contributing factor to diabetic complications; however, the causal relationship remains incompletely understood.

METHODS: Summary statistics were obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of 196 gut microbial taxa, including 9 phyla, 16 classes, 20 orders, 32 families, and 119 genera. These data were then analyzed using mediation Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to explore the potential mediating effect of diabetes complications risk factors on the relationship between gut microbiota and specific diabetic complications such as diabetic kidney disease (DKD), ketoacidosis, and diabetic retinopathy (DR).

RESULTS: In our Mendelian analysis, we observed negative associations between Bifidobacterial order and Actinomycete phylum with DKD in type 1 diabetes (T1D) as well as early DKD in T1D. Conversely, these taxa showed positive associations with ketoacidosis in type 2 diabetes (T2D). In reverse Mendelian analysis, we found that DR in both T1D and T2D as well as ketoacidosis in T2D affected the abundance of Eubacterium fissicaten genus and LachnospiraceaeUCG010 family within the gut microbiota.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide compelling evidence for causal relationships between specific GM taxa and various diabetes complications. These insights contribute valuable knowledge for developing treatments targeting diabetes-related complications.

PMID:39164740 | DOI:10.1186/s13098-024-01424-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Investigation of non-communicable diseases prevalence, patterns, and patient outcomes in hospitalized populations: a prospective observational study in three tertiary hospitals

J Health Popul Nutr. 2024 Aug 20;43(1):128. doi: 10.1186/s41043-024-00599-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) pose a significant global health challenge, constituting over 80% of mortality and morbidity. This burden is particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Ethiopia. Despite this, there’s limited research on this issue in Africa. This study aims to investigate the prevalence, patterns, and outcomes of NCDs in hospitalized populations across three tertiary hospitals in Ethiopia.

METHODS: A hospital-based cohort study (August 2022 – January 2023) included patients aged 14 and older diagnosed with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, or cancer at three Ethiopian hospitals. Data on demographics, socio-economic factors, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were collected through medical records and interviews. Logistic regression identified factors independently associated with in-hospital mortality, with p ≤ 0.05 considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: In the study across three tertiary hospitals involving 2,237 patients, we uncovered the impact of NCDs. About 23.4% of patients struggled with NCDs, with cardiovascular diseases (53.3%), cancer (29.6%), diabetes (6.1%), and respiratory diseases (6.5%) being the most prevalent. Notably, among those affected, women comprised a slight majority (55.1%), with the average patient age being 47.2 years. Unfortunately, 15.3% of patients with NCDs faced in-hospital mortality. Our analysis revealed predictors of mortality, including cancer diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]:1.6, 95% CI: 1.2-1.8, p = 0.01), medication adherence ( AOR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.21-0.64, p < 0.001), concurrent infections (AOR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.16-0.86, p < 0.001), chronic kidney diseases (CKD) (AOR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.14-0.85, p = 0.02), and complications during hospitalization (AOR: 6.36, 95% CI: 3.45-11.71, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Our study reveals a substantial prevalence of NCDs among hospitalized patients, affecting approximately one in four individuals, primarily with CVDs and cancer. Alarmingly, a significant proportion of these patients did not survive their hospitalization, emphasizing the urgent need for targeted interventions to enhance outcomes in this population.

PMID:39164738 | DOI:10.1186/s41043-024-00599-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nociception level index variations in ICU: curarized vs non-curarized patients – a pilot study

J Anesth Analg Crit Care. 2024 Aug 20;4(1):57. doi: 10.1186/s44158-024-00193-z.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Pain is a major physiological stressor that can worsen critical medical conditions in many ways. Currently, there is no reliable monitoring tool which is available for pain monitoring in the deeply sedated ± curarized critically ill patients. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of the multiparameter nociception index (NOL®) in the critical care setting. We compared NOL with traditionally used neurovegetative signs and examined its correlation with sedation depth measured by bispectral index (BIS®) electroencephalographic (EEG) monitoring.

METHODS: This retrospective monocentric cohort study was conducted in a general intensive care unit, including patients who required moderate-to-deep levels of sedation with or without continuous neuromuscular blockade. The performance of NOL was evaluated both in the entire studied population, as well as in two subgroups: curarized and non-curarized patients.

RESULTS: NOL demonstrated greater accuracy than all other indicators in pain detection in the overall population. In the non-curare subgroup, all indices correctly recognized painful stimulation, while in the patients subjected to neuromuscular blocking agent’s infusion, only NOL properly identified nociception. In the former group, EEG’s relation to nociception was on the border of statistical significance, whereas in the latter BIS showed no correlation with NOL.

CONCLUSION: NOL emerges as a promising device for pain assessment in the critical care setting and exhibits its best performance precisely in the clinical context where reliable pain assessment methods are most lacking. Furthermore, our research confirms the distinction between sedation and analgesia, highlighting the necessity for distinct monitoring instruments to accurately assess them.

PMID:39164731 | DOI:10.1186/s44158-024-00193-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Environmental impact of infant feeding type, accessories used and maternal dietary habits: The GREEN MOTHER-I project, a cross-sectional study protocol

Nutr J. 2024 Aug 21;23(1):97. doi: 10.1186/s12937-024-01000-9.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Breastfeeding (BF) is the healthiest form of nutrition for babies and is recommended exclusively (EBF) for at least the first six months of life. The carbon footprint of formula feeding (FF) has been studied, but that of BF is unknown.

AIM: To identify the environmental impact of three types of infant feeding taking into account the accessories needed and the diet of postpartum women in the baby’s first month of life.

METHODS: This is a multicentre, cross-sectional study conducted in the Barcelona North Metropolitan Area (Catalonia, Spain). The participating sites are primary care settings that will recruit 408 postpartum women (4-6 weeks) as per inclusion/exclusion criteria. The data will be collected through a GREEN MOTHER Survey that includes 4 dimensions: 1) socio-demographic and clinical data; 2) data on the newborn and accessories used in infant feeding; 3) general data on the mother’s diet (food consumption habits), and 4) recording of 24 h of the mother’s diet. The data analysis will be performed to check the prevalence of infant feeding types at birth and month 1, as well as a comparative analysis of three types of infant feeding on environmental impact (climate change; water consumption, and scarcity).

ETHICS: This project was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the Jordi Gol i Gurina University Institute Foundation for Primary Health Care Research (IDIAP) under code 22/101-P dated 22/02/2023.

DISCUSSION: A second phase of the GREEN MOTHER study is planned, which will consist of an educational intervention to promote breastfeeding, nutrition and sustainability. This intervention will be based on the results obtained in Phase I. We expect that the project results – through the publication and dissemination of scientific papers and reports among relevant stakeholders (association of community midwives, healthcare and primary care attention professionals and the public) – will increase public awareness of breastfeeding and its impact on sustainability.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Both phases of the GREEN MOTHER study protocol were registered in ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05729581.

PMID:39164727 | DOI:10.1186/s12937-024-01000-9

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Longitudinal survey of insecticide resistance in a village of central region of Burkina Faso reveals co-occurrence of 1014F, 1014S and 402L mutations in Anopheles coluzzii and Anopheles arabiensis

Malar J. 2024 Aug 20;23(1):250. doi: 10.1186/s12936-024-05069-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pyrethroid resistance is one of the major threats for effectiveness of insecticide-treated bed nets (ITNs) in malaria vector control. Genotyping of mutations in the voltage gated sodium channel (VGSC) gene is widely used to easily assess the evolution and spread of pyrethroid target-site resistance among malaria vectors. L1014F and L1014S substitutions are the most common and best characterized VGSC mutations in major African malaria vector species of the Anopheles gambiae complex. Recently, an additional substitution involved in pyrethroid resistance, i.e. V402L, has been detected in Anopheles coluzzii from West Africa lacking any other resistance alleles at locus 1014. The evolution of target-site resistance mutations L1014F/S and V402L was monitored in An. coluzzii and Anopheles arabiensis specimens from a Burkina Faso village over a 10-year range after the massive ITN scale-up started in 2010.

METHODS: Anopheles coluzzii (N = 300) and An. arabiensis (N = 362) specimens collected both indoors and outdoors by different methods (pyrethrum spray catch, sticky resting box and human landing collections) in 2011, 2015 and 2020 at Goden village were genotyped by TaqMan assays and sequencing for the three target site resistance mutations; allele frequencies were statistically investigated over the years.

RESULTS: A divergent trend in resistant allele frequencies was observed in the two species: 1014F decreased in An. coluzzii (from 0.76 to 0.52) but increased in An. arabiensis (from 0.18 to 0.70); 1014S occurred only in An. arabiensis and slightly decreased over time (from 0.33 to 0.23); 402L increased in An. coluzzii (from 0.15 to 0.48) and was found for the first time in one An. arabiensis specimen. In 2020 the co-occurrence of different resistance alleles reached 43% in An. coluzzii (alleles 410L and 1014F) and 32% in An. arabiensis (alleles 1014F and 1014S).

CONCLUSIONS: Overall, an increasing level of target-site resistance was observed among the populations with only 1% of the two malaria vector species being wild type at both loci, 1014 and 402, in 2020. This, together with the co-occurrence of different mutations in the same specimens, calls for future investigations on the possible synergism between resistance alleles and their phenotype to implement local tailored intervention strategies.

PMID:39164725 | DOI:10.1186/s12936-024-05069-9