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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Climate variability and malaria incidence trends in Yumbe District, West Nile Sub-region of Uganda (2017-2021)

Malar J. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s12936-026-05824-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Malaria remains a major global public health concern with the greatest burden in tropical and subtropical regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa. Uganda ranks among the world’s highest burden countries, with its warm temperatures, abundant rainfall and diverse mosquito breeding habitats sustaining year-round malaria transmission in malaria endemic areas. This study assessed malaria incidence trends and their association with climate variables in Yumbe district, Uganda.

METHODS: A retrospective ecological time-series study analysed malaria incidence (2017-2021) in Yumbe district, Uganda, using District Health Information System reports and Uganda National Meteorological Authority climate data (daily temperature and rainfall). Data were cleaned in Excel and analysed in R software V4.5.1. Monthly/annual summaries, seasonal pattern graphs, Kendall’s tau correlations for non-linear associations, and Multiple Linear and Poisson regressions with lag effects were done. Time series analysis involved seasonal decomposition, cross-correlation, and ARIMAX modelling. A multivariable OLS regression on log(1 + cases) with best-lagged rainfall and minimum temperature further assessed climate influence.

RESULTS: Between 2017 and 2021, a total of 2,066,711 malaria cases were reported in Yumbe district. Malaria trends closely followed rainfall patterns, peaking during the period of high precipitation. Time-series analysis showed that rainfall was positively associated with malaria incidence at one-month lag (β = 0.38, p < 0.05), while minimum temperature was inversely associated (β = – 0.29, p < 0.05). Statistical analysis revealed rainfall (mm) strongly led malaria cases by 1 month (r = 0.759, p < 0.001). Maximum temperature showed no significant effect on malaria incidence.

CONCLUSION: Malaria incidence in Yumbe district is strongly influenced by rainfall and minimum temperature. This study highlights the role of climate variability in malaria transmission in malaria endemic areas. Integrating climate data into surveillance and early warning systems could enhance timely interventions in malaria endemic areas like Yumbe district.

PMID:41654939 | DOI:10.1186/s12936-026-05824-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of a wound protector on soft-tissue injury and early recovery after endoscopic direct anterior approach total hip arthroplasty: a randomized controlled trial

J Orthop Surg Res. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s13018-026-06710-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The endoscopic direct anterior approach (Endo-DAA) for total hip arthroplasty (THA) aims to minimize soft-tissue trauma and accelerate recovery. Whether adding a disposable wound protector can further reduce early muscle injury and enhance recovery remains unclear. This randomized controlled trial evaluated the impact of wound protector use on biological, clinical, and functional outcomes after Endo-DAA THA.

METHODS: Seventy-six patients undergoing primary Endo-DAA THA were prospectively randomized (1:1) to either a wound protector or control group. The only intraoperative difference between groups was the use of a wound protector. The primary outcome was serum creatine kinase (CK) at 24 h postoperatively. Secondary outcomes included serum myoglobin at 6 h, C-reactive protein at 24 h, pain visual analog scale (VAS) during activity, independent ambulation within 12 h, lateral femoral cutaneous nerve (LFCN) symptoms, wound complications and satisfaction, and functional scores using the Harris Hip Score (HHS) and Forgotten Joint Score-12 (FJS-12). Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.

RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups. The wound protector group had significantly lower postoperative CK (422.5 vs. 665.5 U/L; median difference: -228.0; 95% CI: -354.0 to -109.0; P < 0.001), myoglobin (299.9 vs. 481.2 ng/mL; P < 0.001), and C-reactive protein levels (30.3 vs. 45.1 mg/L; P = 0.024). Pain scores were lower at 12 and 24 h, and more patients achieved independent ambulation within 12 h (86.8% vs. 55.3%; risk ratio [RR]: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.14 to 2.16; P = 0.002). Fewer wound complications (7.8% vs. 34.2%; RR: 0.23; 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.75; P = 0.005) and LFCN symptoms (36.8% vs. 65.7%; P = 0.012) were observed. Early functional scores were higher in the protector group, while midterm outcomes were similar.

CONCLUSIONS: In Endo-DAA THA, the use of a disposable wound protector significantly reduced early muscle injury and systemic inflammation, alleviated immediate postoperative pain, facilitated earlier mobilization, and enhanced early wound healing and functional recovery without increasing operative time or hospital stay. These benefits were primarily observed during the early postoperative phase, which aligns with the principles of enhanced recovery after surgery.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR2300076225. Registered on September 27, 2023.

PMID:41654929 | DOI:10.1186/s13018-026-06710-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How does spiritual leadership promote nurse taking charge? The roles of spiritual well-being and pay-for-performance perception

BMC Nurs. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s12912-026-04413-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: As a critical form of proactive behaviors, taking charge plays a central role in facilitating hospitals’ improvement and development. Although prior research has extensively examined how to encourage nurses to engage in taking charge, the relationship between the concept of “spirit at work” and taking charge remains insufficiently understood. This study was designed to examine the impact of spiritual leadership on the nurses’ taking charge and its internal mechanism.

METHODS: Drawing on the conservation of resources (COR) theory, we developed a moderated mediation model to elucidate how spiritual leadership fosters nurses’ taking charge through spiritual well-being, and how this effect is contingent on nurses’ pay-for-performance perceptions. We conducted a field study in China to test our theoretical model, with data collected from 353 nurses and 88 head nurses across three different time points. Data analysis was run using descriptive statistics and confirmatory factor analyses. And regression analyses were used to examine the hypotheses.

RESULTS: The regression results revealed that spiritual leadership was positively associated with nurses’ taking charge. Spiritual well-being significantly mediated the relationship between spiritual leadership and nurses’ taking charge. Moreover, we observed that the indirect effect of spiritual leadership on taking charge through spiritual well-being was stronger for nurses who perceived higher levels of pay-for-performance than for those with lower perceptions.

CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the essential role of spiritual leadership in promoting nurses’ positive psychological states and proactive behaviors. Hospital administrators may consider strengthening head nurses’ spiritual leadership to enhance nurses’ spiritual well-being and their propensity to take charge. Additionally, implementing performance-based compensation practices can cultivate a climate that reinforces distributive fairness and further encourages proactive behavior.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

PMID:41654904 | DOI:10.1186/s12912-026-04413-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Performance of machine learning algorithms in diffusion tensor imaging of movement disorders: an exploratory meta-analysis

Biomed Eng Online. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s12938-026-01528-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) applied to diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) has emerged as a promising tool for detecting microstructural brain alterations in movement disorders. However, existing studies vary widely in design, sample size, imaging pipelines, and analytic rigor, resulting in high methodological heterogeneity that limits quantitative comparability.

OBJECTIVES: This exploratory meta-analysis and narrative synthesis aimed to characterize performance trends, methodological diversity, and sources of variability among ML models trained on DTI data for classifying movement disorders, rather than to infer a single pooled diagnostic effect. This was designated exploratory because extreme heterogeneity prevented confirmatory pooled effect inference, so the analysis focused on describing performance distributions and methodological patterns rather than estimating a unified diagnostic effect.

METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus identified human studies applying ML algorithms to DTI for diagnostic or classification purposes. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC) were extracted, with multiple imputation used for incomplete metrics with missingness rates below 40%. Random-effects modeling was employed to provide descriptive summaries, and subgroup analyses were conducted to explore trends across disorders, model architectures, and imaging modalities. Study qualities were assessed with JBI tools.

RESULTS: Forty-six studies (2016-2024) were included, spanning Parkinson’s disease, Tourette syndrome, and essential tremor. Reported performance was generally high (median AUC ≈ 0.91), but between-study heterogeneity was extreme (I2 = 94.7%), indicating that studies were estimating distinct effects. Disorder-specific subgroup AUCs varied markedly: Essential Tremor (0.95), Parkinson’s (0.90), Tourette’s (0.88), and Other (0.79). Deep learning and radiomics-based models have reported higher accuracies, but they were often trained on small, single-center cohorts (37-139 participants), which limits their external validity. Pooled statistics were presented descriptively to illustrate performance ranges despite high heterogeneity, and were not interpreted as confirmatory effect sizes.

CONCLUSIONS: ML models using DTI demonstrate high internal performance across studies, although generalizability remains limited across multiple movement disorders; however, current evidence remains exploratory due to small sample sizes, methodological fragmentation, and a lack of standardized imaging pipelines. Rather than confirmatory inference, these findings provide a descriptive map of emerging trends in ML-DTI diagnostics. Future progress will depend on data harmonization initiatives, multicenter collaborations, and federated learning frameworks that can support reproducible, generalizable, and clinically interpretable models.

PMID:41654900 | DOI:10.1186/s12938-026-01528-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessing attitudes towards elements of the overdose response hotlines/applications (ORHAs)

Harm Reduct J. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s12954-026-01411-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In response to the overdose epidemic, novel strategies including Overdose Response Hotlines and Applications (ORHAs) have been introduced to help mitigate the crisis. These technologies enable individuals with a phone to access harm reduction support via smartphones and applications. Such supports include overdose monitoring, access to social services, mental health referrals, and more. This study analyzed data from the Canadian National Questionnaire on Overdose Monitoring (CNQOM), a large bilingual national survey, to evaluate the perspectives of people who use unregulated substances currently (PWUS-C), people who used unregulated substances previously (PWUS-P), and addiction service provider (ASP) on the importance of specific ORHA features.

METHODS: One component of the CNQOM pertained to the importance of specific ORHA service elements. Examined categories included accessibility and technological features, overdose response functionality, data privacy and philosophies of care, additional support services, and substance usage. Each group responded to 33 questions on a 5-point Likert scale, and the data was analyzed using descriptive statistics involving percentages and ordinal logistical regression analysis.

RESULTS: The study involved 971 participants: 840 PWUS-C, 298 PWUS-P, and 169 ASP. The majority of respondents from the key groups considered all ORHA elements important. Generally, the groups ranked the elements in a similar order of importance, with only minor variations. The highest-ranked elements in each element category with regards to importance were: 24/7 availability (84% of PWUS-C, 88% of PWUS-P, and 90% of ASP), the ability of EMS to resuscitate individuals during an overdose (81% of PWUS-C, 83% of PWUS-P, 85% ASP), non-judgmental support (87% of PWUS-C, 87% of PWUS-P, and 91% of ASP), access to mental health support (82% of PWUS-C, 84% of PWUS-P, and 90% of ASP), and feeling safer when using substances (80% of PWUS-C, 81% of PWUS-P, and 88% of ASP).

CONCLUSION: This paper highlights the importance multiple groups place on various elements of ORHAs, reflecting critical elements that should be considered when standardizing these virtual harm reduction technologies. The results of this study provide insight into opportunities to enhance virtual platforms, making them more responsive, accessible, and trusted as harm reduction resources.

PMID:41654899 | DOI:10.1186/s12954-026-01411-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Relocation for a better life? A longitudinal study of informal social participation and life satisfaction of older adults relocated for poverty alleviation in China

BMC Psychol. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s40359-026-04066-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To investigate the longitudinal relationship between informal social participation and life satisfaction among older adults relocated for poverty alleviation in China, as well as the mediating role of perceived stress and sleep duration.

METHODS: Overall, 1345 participants [mean age 71.52 (SD:7.19) years; 48.4% female] were included in the longitudinal study. The participants were surveyed using perceived stress scale-14 (PSS-14) and satisfaction with life scale (SWLS). AMOS Statistics 26 was used to test for common method bias (CMB). SPSS Statistics 26 was used to conduct descriptive statistics, and correlation analysis. Besides, four longitudinal cross-lagged models and bootstrap methods were employed to investigate whether there is a mutual influence among informal social participation, perceived stress/sleep duration, and life satisfaction by AMOS Statistics 26.

RESULTS: This study did not have a severe problem of CMB. The results indicated informal social participation predicted perceived stress and sleep duration 6 months later; perceived stress predicted life satisfaction 6 months later; and informal social participation at T1 predicted life satisfaction at T3 through perceived stress at T2. However, informal social participation at T1 did not predict life satisfaction at T3 through sleep duration at T2.

DISCUSSION: These results indicate that for relocated older adults, informal social participation enhances life satisfaction not by improving sleep duration, but primarily through reducing perceived stress. The key pathway is that social participation lowers stress levels, which in turn leads to greater long-term life satisfaction. Hence, our findings could serve to prompt the administrators of community to be aware of the significance of stress alleviation and regard it as a key intervention target in programs designed to enhance the well-being of relocated older adults.

PMID:41654879 | DOI:10.1186/s40359-026-04066-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Fentanyl as an induction agent for tracheal intubation in critically ill patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

J Intensive Care. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s40560-026-00866-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tracheal intubation in critically ill adults is frequently complicated by severe physiological adverse events, particularly cardiovascular instability. Although fentanyl is commonly used for induction, observational data suggest that its use may increase the risk of post-intubation hypotension. However, the overall randomized evidence remains unclear. In this systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), we hypothesized that induction regimens including fentanyl or its analogs would increase the risk of peri-intubation cardiovascular instability in critically ill patients.

METHODS: We comprehensively searched PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the WHO ICTRP from inception through October 31, 2025. Eligible studies were RCTs comparing an induction regimen including fentanyl or its analogs with one without them in critically ill adults undergoing tracheal intubation. The primary outcome was peri-intubation cardiovascular instability. Secondary outcomes included peri-intubation hypoxemia, successful intubation on the first attempt, duration of mechanical ventilation, ICU length of stay, and mortality. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed for all outcomes. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) was conducted for the primary outcome. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS: We included five RCTs and 515 participants. Two studies were judged to be low risk of bias, two raised some concerns, and one was at high risk of bias. Comparators included various induction agents and placebo. Definitions of peri-intubation cardiovascular instability also varied. The evidence was very uncertain regarding the effect of fentanyl on the risk of peri-intubation cardiovascular instability (risk ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.83-2.40; risk difference, 9.2% more; 95% confidence interval, 3.8% fewer to 31.3% more; very low certainty). In TSA, the required information size (n = 5586) was not reached, indicating the lack of statistical power. The certainty of evidence for pooled secondary outcomes was generally low or very low.

CONCLUSIONS: The effect of fentanyl on peri-intubation cardiovascular instability remains highly uncertain, with pooled estimates compatible with substantial harm, substantial benefit, or no effect. Current randomized evidence is insufficient to guide routine clinical practice, given their very low or low certainty and susceptibility to random error.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (registration number: CRD420251241214).

PMID:41654873 | DOI:10.1186/s40560-026-00866-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cumulative exposure to the estimated glucose disposal rate and incident stroke in individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-4: 6-year longitudinal evidence from CHARLS

Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2026 Feb 8. doi: 10.1186/s12933-026-03096-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), an established measure of peripheral insulin sensitivity, contributes to stratifying the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events. Nevertheless, the association between long-term eGDR exposure and stroke incidence throughout all stages (0-4) of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome remains unknown.

METHODS: A cohort of 5248 individuals was drawn from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). For each participant, eGDR values for the years 2012 and 2015 were calculated using the equation: 21.158 – [0.090 × WC (cm)] – [3.407 × HTN (presence = 1)] – [0.551 × HbA1c (%)]. Cumulative eGDR was calculated as (eGDR2012 + eGDR2015)/2* time (2015-2012). K-means clustering was used to analyse eGDR values from both 2012 and 2015 to identify distinct change patterns. To assess associations with stroke risk, we utilised multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline models.

RESULTS: During the 2015-2018 follow-up period, a total of 336 incident stroke cases were documented. Four distinct eGDR change patterns were identified. In fully adjusted models, compared with the participants in the persistent low pattern (Class 2), those in the moderate-high stable (OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.31-0.58), stable high (OR 0.29, 0.19-0.43), and rapid decrease (OR 0.66, 0.47-0.91) patterns exhibited significantly lower stroke risk. Furthermore, each 1-unit increase in cumulative eGDR was associated with a 5% reduction in stroke odds (OR 0.95, 0.93-0.96). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed a linear inverse relationship between cumulative eGDR and stroke risk (P < 0.001; P for nonlinearity = 0.259).

CONCLUSION: Cumulative eGDR is inversely associated with stroke risk across all CKM syndrome stages (0-4). This observation suggests that prolonged eGDR surveillance may be associated with improved risk stratification in this population.

PMID:41654871 | DOI:10.1186/s12933-026-03096-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Ovarian follicular density in women with BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations: new insights into the negative impact on ovarian reserve

J Ovarian Res. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s13048-025-01901-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations of BRCA1 and BRCA2 may impair DNA repair in the ovarian cortex, leading to increased oocyte apoptosis, thus, affecting ovarian reserve. Aim of this study was to assess follicular density in ovarian biopsies from women with breast cancer carrying BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations who underwent ovarian tissue cryopreservation (OTC) at our center.

METHODS: This was a single center, observational, cross-sectional study carried out in a tertiary level referral center for fertility preservation treatment. Exclusion criteria were: patients aged < 18 years or > 38 years, patients who had already undergone chemotherapy/pelvic radiotherapy at the time of OTC, patients without data on follicular density and those with unknown BRCA mutational status. Follicular density was defined as the number of primordial, intermediate primordial, small primary, large primary, secondary, preantral, and antral follicles per 1 mm2 of cortical section area.

RESULTS: Out of 216 patients, 21 women reported germline mutation: 9 (4.2%) were carriers of the BRCA1 mutation and 13 (6%) of the BRCA2 mutation. The mean age at OTC was 31.5 ± 3.6 years, and the median age was 32.4 years (range, 21-38). No significant difference in follicular density was observed among women without BRCA mutations, those with BRCA1 mutations, and those with BRCA2 mutations. The median follicular density was 4.0/mm2 (range 0-74.5) in BRCA-negative women, 3.5/mm2 (range 0-20) in women with BRCA1 mutations, and 4.0/mm2 (range 0-32) in women with BRCA2 mutations (p = 0.272 and p = 0.703, respectively). After adjusting for age, no statistically significant differences in follicular density were observed according to BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation status: the median follicular density was 4.6/mm2 in BRCA-negative women, 3.1/mm2 in women with BRCA1 mutations, and 3.6/mm2 in women with BRCA2 mutations (p = 0.428 and p = 0.385, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS: No significant difference in follicular density was observed between women with BRCA1/BRCA2 mutations and those without. Our findings suggest that the presence of a BRCA mutation does not have a significant negative clinical impact on the follicular population of the ovarian cortex. Larger studies are needed to further validate these findings.

PMID:41654853 | DOI:10.1186/s13048-025-01901-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Do traditional medicine-based diets lead to greater weight loss than modern diets in overweight and obese students? A randomized controlled trial

BMC Complement Med Ther. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s12906-026-05289-3. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:41654841 | DOI:10.1186/s12906-026-05289-3