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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Anthropometric and performance changes in male college 15s Rugby Union student-athletes over 52 weeks using in-person training and online training supervision

J Sports Med Phys Fitness. 2024 Jun 4. doi: 10.23736/S0022-4707.24.15726-X. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although the physiological demands on 15s Rugby Union (RU) players have increased, researchers have suggested that the anthropometric and performance data from developing male college-age RU student-athletes remain limited. This prospective longitudinal repeated measures study aimed to examine the anthropometric and performance changes of male college-age New Zealand Rugby Otago Rugby Football Union (NZRORFU) Academy student-athletes (student-athletes), using in-person and online training supervision (IPTS and OTS, respectively).

METHODS: NZRORFU recruited 20 student-athletes (aged 19 to 21 years) and nine were monitored over 52 weeks. During weeks 1 through 35 (in-season), the student-athlete’s weekly schedule included 25 hours of IPTS. During the remaining 17 weeks (off-season), the student-athletes followed individualized training programs with OTS. Data were collected on two anthropometric variables and nine performance variables.

RESULTS: Over the 52 weeks, using IPTS and OTS, led to increases in both anthropometric measurements with simultaneous significant performance improvements in vertical jump/lower-body power (7.1%, P=0.005, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 54.4, 63.5), Cohen’s effect size (ES) =medium, upper-body strength, bench-press (17.3%, P=0.005, 95% CI 107.4, 127.6, ES=large), and bench-pull (6.1%, P=0.034, 95% CI 90.4, 96.6, ES=large). Furthermore, performance improvements were observed in two anaerobic endurance variables, however, acceleration and speed results were slower.

CONCLUSIONS: The use of IPTS and OTS for 52 weeks resulted in increases in body weight and skinfolds with concurrent significant improvements in the performance of VJ/lower-body power and upper-body strength, but changes in each performance variable occurred at different periods.

PMID:38841728 | DOI:10.23736/S0022-4707.24.15726-X

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Host genetics and COVID-19 severity: increasing the accuracy of latest severity scores by Boolean quantum features

Front Genet. 2024 May 22;15:1362469. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2024.1362469. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

The impact of common and rare variants in COVID-19 host genetics has been widely studied. In particular, in Fallerini et al. (Human genetics, 2022, 141, 147-173), common and rare variants were used to define an interpretable machine learning model for predicting COVID-19 severity. First, variants were converted into sets of Boolean features, depending on the absence or the presence of variants in each gene. An ensemble of LASSO logistic regression models was used to identify the most informative Boolean features with respect to the genetic bases of severity. After that, the Boolean features, selected by these logistic models, were combined into an Integrated PolyGenic Score (IPGS), which offers a very simple description of the contribution of host genetics in COVID-19 severity.. IPGS leads to an accuracy of 55%-60% on different cohorts, and, after a logistic regression with both IPGS and age as inputs, it leads to an accuracy of 75%. The goal of this paper is to improve the previous results, using not only the most informative Boolean features with respect to the genetic bases of severity but also the information on host organs involved in the disease. In this study, we generalize the IPGS adding a statistical weight for each organ, through the transformation of Boolean features into “Boolean quantum features,” inspired by quantum mechanics. The organ coefficients were set via the application of the genetic algorithm PyGAD, and, after that, we defined two new integrated polygenic scores (IPGSph1 and IPGSph2). By applying a logistic regression with both IPGS, (IPGSph2 (or indifferently IPGSph1) and age as inputs, we reached an accuracy of 84%-86%, thus improving the results previously shown in Fallerini et al. (Human genetics, 2022, 141, 147-173) by a factor of 10%.

PMID:38841724 | PMC:PMC11150643 | DOI:10.3389/fgene.2024.1362469

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Genetic variants in DBC1, SIRT1, UCP2 and ADRB2 as potential biomarkers for severe obesity and metabolic complications

Front Genet. 2024 May 22;15:1363417. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2024.1363417. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a multifactorial disease associated with the development of many comorbidities. This disease is associated with several metabolic alterations; however, it has been shown that some individuals with obesity do not exhibit metabolic syndrome. Adipose tissue neutralizes the detrimental effects of circulating fatty acids, ectopic deposition, and inflammation, among others, through its esterification into neutral lipids that are stored in the adipocyte. However, when the adipocyte is overloaded, i.e., its expansion capacity is exceeded, this protection is lost, resulting in fatty acid toxicity with ectopic fat accumulation in peripheral tissues and inflammation. In this line, this study aimed to investigate whether polymorphisms in genes that control adipose tissue fat storage capacity are potential biomarkers for severe obesity susceptibility and also metabolic complications.

METHODS: This study enrolled 305 individuals with severe obesity (cases, BMI≥35 kg/m2) and 196 individuals with normal weight (controls, 18.5≤BMI≤24.9 kg/m2). Demographic, anthropometric, biochemical, and blood pressure variables were collected from the participants. Plasma levels of leptin, resistin, MCP1, and PAI1 were measured by Bio-Plex 200 Multiplexing Analyzer System. Genomic DNA was extracted and variants in DBC1 (rs17060940), SIRT1 (rs7895833 and rs1467568), UCP2 (rs660339), PPARG (rs1801282) and ADRB2 (rs1042713 and rs1042714) genes were genotyped by PCR allelic discrimination using TaqMan® assays.

RESULTS: Our findings indicated that SIRT1 rs7895833 polymorphism was a risk factor for severe obesity development in the overdominant model. SIRT1 rs1467568 and UCP2 rs660339 were associated with anthropometric traits. SIRT1 rs1467568 G allele was related to lower medians of body adipose index and hip circumference, while the UCP2 rs660339 AA genotype was associate with increased body mass index. Additionally, DBC1 rs17060940 influenced glycated hemoglobin. Regarding metabolic alterations, 27% of individuals with obesity presented balanced metabolic status in our cohort. Furthermore, SIRT1 rs1467568 AG genotype increased 2.5 times the risk of developing metabolic alterations. No statistically significant results were observed with Peroxisome Proliferator-Activated Receptor Gama and ADRB2 polymorphisms.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: This study revealed that SIRT1 rs7895833 and rs1467568 are potential biomarkers for severe obesity susceptibility and the development of unbalanced metabolic status in obesity, respectively. UCP2 rs660339 and DBC1 rs17060940 also showed a significant role in obesity related-traits.

PMID:38841722 | PMC:PMC11151296 | DOI:10.3389/fgene.2024.1363417

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Long-term benzodiazepine prescriptions in community psychiatry clinics

S Afr J Psychiatr. 2024 May 3;30:2181. doi: 10.4102/sajpsychiatry.v30i0.2181. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Anecdotal evidence indicates that the prevalence of long-term benzodiazepine prescription is high and not in accordance with accepted prescribing guidelines.

AIM: To determine the prevalence of long-term prescriptions of benzodiazepines and associations thereof in community psychiatry clinics.

SETTING: Of the 27 community psychiatry clinics, 5 were randomly selected.

METHODS: A descriptive, retrospective, and cross-sectional record review of files of 126 adult patients was conducted, to obtain sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Descriptive statistics were presented as proportions and percentages. Fisher’s exact test was used to determine any associations between long-term benzodiazepines use and demographic and clinical variables. Regression analyses were performed to determine the significance of any such associations.

RESULTS: Approximately one out of every four patients were prescribed benzodiazepines. Most of the patients were males aged between 18 and 50 years, single and unemployed. The most common psychiatric diagnoses were bipolar disorders and psychotic disorders, and the majority had no comorbid medical illnesses or substance use. Ninety-three per cent of the patients were prescribed long-term (more than 180 days) benzodiazepines. There were no statistically significant associations between prescribing patterns and any sociodemographic and clinical characteristics (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION: This study found that nearly all the benzodiazepine prescriptions were long-term (over 180 days) and no statistically significant associations between this practice and any sociodemographic and clinical characteristics could be established.

CONTRIBUTION: There is high prevalence rate of long-term benzodiazepine prescription in community psychiatry clinics, and as such clinical monitoring systems need to be established and enforced.

PMID:38841713 | PMC:PMC11151410 | DOI:10.4102/sajpsychiatry.v30i0.2181

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Predicting the recurrence of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage using a machine learning model

Front Neurol. 2024 May 22;15:1407014. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1407014. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recurrence can worsen conditions and increase mortality in ICH patients. Predicting the recurrence risk and preventing or treating these patients is a rational strategy to improve outcomes potentially. A machine learning model with improved performance is necessary to predict recurrence.

METHODS: We collected data from ICH patients in two hospitals for our retrospective training cohort and prospective testing cohort. The outcome was the recurrence within one year. We constructed logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), decision trees, Voting Classifier, random forest, and XGBoost models for prediction.

RESULTS: The model included age, NIHSS score at discharge, hematoma volume at admission and discharge, PLT, AST, and CRP levels at admission, use of hypotensive drugs and history of stroke. In internal validation, logistic regression demonstrated an AUC of 0.89 and precision of 0.81, SVM showed an AUC of 0.93 and precision of 0.90, the random forest achieved an AUC of 0.95 and precision of 0.93, and XGBoost scored an AUC of 0.95 and precision of 0.92. In external validation, logistic regression achieved an AUC of 0.81 and precision of 0.79, SVM obtained an AUC of 0.87 and precision of 0.76, the random forest reached an AUC of 0.92 and precision of 0.86, and XGBoost recorded an AUC of 0.93 and precision of 0.91.

CONCLUSION: The machine learning models performed better in predicting ICH recurrence than traditional statistical models. The XGBoost model demonstrated the best comprehensive performance for predicting ICH recurrence in the external testing cohort.

PMID:38841700 | PMC:PMC11150637 | DOI:10.3389/fneur.2024.1407014

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impulse control disorders and use of dopamine agonists in early onset Parkinson’s disease

Front Neurol. 2024 May 22;15:1404904. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1404904. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Impulse control disorders (ICDs) are defined as excessive and repetitive behaviors that may affect Parkinson’s disease (PD) patients exposed to dopamine agonists. Current data on ICDs in patients with early-onset Parkinson’s disease (EOPD) is lacking. In this study we aim to assess the frequency of use of dopamine agonists, the prevalence of ICDs, and to explore potential factors associated with their development in patients with EOPD.

METHODS: We used the Mayo Clinic Data Explorer system to investigate a population-based cohort of EOPD patients between 1990 and 2022 at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN. We used ICD coding for parkinsonism; then, we reviewed all the clinical records and included only those patients with a clinical diagnosis of PD with symptoms onset at or before the age of 50, and who developed ICDs after using therapeutic doses of dopamine agonists.

RESULTS: A total of 831 (513 males and 318 females) patients with EOPD were included with a median age at symptom onset of 42 years of age (CI: 37-46). Dopamine agonists were used in 49.7% of all patients; of these, only 14.5% developed symptoms of one or more ICDs. Hypersexuality was the most commonly observed ICD (38.3%), and the only one having a statistically significant male predominance (p = 0.011).

CONCLUSION: ICDs are common in EOPD, particularly when associated with the use of dopamine agonists.

PMID:38841693 | PMC:PMC11150809 | DOI:10.3389/fneur.2024.1404904

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Secular trends of dental caries and association with nutritional status: a retrospective analysis of 16,199 Chinese students from three successive national surveys from 2010 to 2019

Front Public Health. 2024 May 22;12:1379767. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1379767. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of dental caries (DC) among students in developing countries has increased at an alarming rate, and nutritional status has been shown to be associated with DC in children and adolescents with inconsistent conclusions. We aimed to understand the trends of DC prevalence in students aged 7, 9, 12, and 14 years and to explore the relationship between DC prevalence and nutritional status.

METHODS: We recruited 16,199 students aged 7, 9, 12, and 14 years in China by multi-stage, stratified, random sampling methods from 2010 to 2019. Permanent caries were measured using the Decay, Loss, and Filling (DMF) index and prevalence rate. Deciduous caries were measured using the decay, loss, and filling (dmf) index and prevalence rate. Nutritional status was assessed using body mass index (BMI) and hemoglobin levels. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between nutritional status and the DC prevalence in children and adolescents, incorporating information concerning family-related factors.

RESULTS: The results indicated that DC prevalence increased from 39.75% in 2010 to 53.21% in 2019 in Henan province, with deciduous teeth and permanent teeth being 45.96 and 27.18%, respectively, in 2019. The total caries rate decreased with age (p < 0.05), and the caries rate of girls was higher than that of boys in 2019 (55.75% vs. 50.67%) (p < 0.001). The prevalence of dental caries among primary and secondary school students in areas with medium economic aggregate was the highest, followed by cities with the best economic development level, and cities with low economic levels have a lower prevalence of dental caries. The dental caries prevalence was negatively correlated with body mass index. In the fully adjusted model, underweight children had a higher caries prevalence (OR = 1.10, 95%CI: 0.86-1.41). Children with anemia had a higher prevalence of dental caries (OR = 1.18, 95%CI: 0.98-1.42).

CONCLUSION: The DC prevalence of students in Henan Province was high, with a tendency to increase. Females, young individuals, and those with a higher economic level showed a positive correlation with the prevalence of caries. In the process of economic development, particular attention should be paid to early childhood caries prevention. Nutritional status should be taken seriously among children and adolescents, and the oral health system should be improved to keep pace with economic development.

PMID:38841684 | PMC:PMC11150691 | DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2024.1379767

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Evaluating the influence of a 3-min online video on the community knowledge of stroke in four Arab countries

Front Public Health. 2024 May 22;12:1342490. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1342490. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Studies from developed and developing countries showed that the knowledge levels of stroke need improvement. Educational campaigns varied and were of limited influence predominantly because of their short duration and the need for financial support. The study aims to test the impact of a 3-min online video on the knowledge of stroke and factors influencing the knowledge score in four Arab countries.

METHODS: A cross-sectional web-based pre-post study was conducted in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and the United Arab Emirates. The data were collected using the snowball technique. Participants were adults aged 18 years and above. The questionnaire sequence was conducting a pretest, followed by the educational video explaining stroke occurrence, types, risks, warning signs, preventive measures, and treatment, and finally, a posttest to evaluate the differences in knowledge from baseline. Statistical analysis included paired t-tests comparing pre-post-education stroke knowledge scores, while repeated measures ANOVA, adjusting for covariates, assessed mean changes.

RESULTS: The total number of participants was 2,721, mainly younger than 55 years. The majority had a university degree and were not healthcare professionals. A significant improvement was noted in the total knowledge score in all countries from a mean average (Mpretest = 21.11; Mposttest = 23.70) with p < 0.001. Identification of the stroke risks (Mpretest = 7.40; Mposttest = 8.75) and warning signs (Mpretest = 4.19; Mposttest = 4.94), understanding the preventive measures (Mpretest = 5.27; Mposttest = 5.39) and the importance of acting fast (Mpretest = 0.82; Mposttest = 0.85) improved from baseline with (p < 0.001) for all score components.

CONCLUSION: The educational tool successfully enhanced public understanding of stroke risks, the identification of stroke signs, and the critical need for emergency action. The advantages of this video include its short length, free online access, use of evidence-based content in lay language, and reflective images. The ultimate goal remains the long-term improvement of sustainability by mandating full-scale trials.

PMID:38841682 | PMC:PMC11151891 | DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2024.1342490

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The efficacy and acceptability of pharmacological monotherapies and e-cigarette on smoking cessation: a systemic review and network meta-analysis

Front Public Health. 2024 May 22;12:1361186. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1361186. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Several pharmacological interventions, such as nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), varenicline, and bupropion, have been approved for clinical use of smoking cessation. E-cigarettes (EC) are increasingly explored by many RCTs for their potentiality in smoking cessation. In addition, some RCTs are attempting to explore new drugs for smoking cessation, such as cytisine. This network meta-analysis (NMA) aims to investigate how these drugs and e-cigarettes compare regarding their efficacy and acceptability.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This systematic review and NMA searched all clinical studies on smoking cessation using pharmacological monotherapies or e-cigarettes published from January 2011 to May 2022 using MEDLINE, COCHRANE Library, and PsychINFO databases. NRTs were divided into transdermal (TDN) and oronasal nicotine (ONN) by administrative routes, thus 7 network nodes were set up for direct and indirect comparison. Two different indicators measured the efficacy: prevalent and continuous smoking abstinence. The drop-out rates measured the acceptability.

RESULTS: The final 40 clinical studies included in this study comprised 77 study cohorts and 25,889 participants. Varenicline is more effective intervention to assist in smoking cessation during 16-32 weeks follow-up, and is very likely to prompt dropout. Cytisine shows more effectiveness in continuous smoking cessation but may also lead to dropout. E-cigarettes and oronasal nicotine are more effective than no treatment in encouraging prevalent abstinence, but least likely to prompt dropout. Finally, transdermal nicotine delivery is more effective than no treatment in continuous abstinence, with neither significant effect on prevalent abstinence nor dropout rate.

CONCLUSION: This review suggested and agreed that Varenicline, Cytisine and transdermal nicotine delivery, as smoking cessation intervention, have advantages and disadvantages. However, we had to have reservations about e-cigarettes as a way to quit smoking in adolescents.

PMID:38841681 | PMC:PMC11150810 | DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2024.1361186

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Distinct time trends in colorectal cancer incidence in countries with SDI levels from 1990 to 2019: an age-period-cohort analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

Front Public Health. 2024 May 22;12:1370282. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1370282. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) plays a pivotal role in the global cancer epidemic. Our study reported the incidence trends in CRC and the associated effects of age, period, and birth cohort in 204 countries and territories over the past 30 years.

METHODS: The incidence data of CRC were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We performed the age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate the overall annual percentage change (net drift) in the incidence rate, the annual percentage change by age group (local drift), and the relative risk (period and cohort effects) of the period and cohort in CRC during 1990-2019. This approach allows examining and distinguishing age, period, and cohort effects in incidence and potentially distinguishing colorectal cancer gaps in prevention and screening.

RESULTS: In 2019, the incidence of CRC was 2.17 (95% UI 2.00-2.34) million, of which China, the United States of America, and Japan had the highest incidence population, accounting for 45.9% of the global population. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 26.7 (95% UI 28.9-24.6) per 100,000 people, of which 30 countries had an incidence rate greater than 40.0 per 100,000 people. From 1990 to 2019, the middle SDI region had the largest increase in incidence rate, with a net drift of 2.33% (95% CI 2.2-2.46%, p < 0.001). Globally, the incidence population was concentrated in the age group of 50-69 years, and the age group of 30-34 years had the largest increase in incidence rate (local drift 1.19% (95% CI 1.01-1.37%)). At the same time, the sex and age distributions of CRC incidence had significant heterogeneity across regions and countries. In the past 30 years, the incidence rate in 31 countries has been well controlled (net drift <0), and most of them were concentrated in high-and high-middle-SDI regions, such as Australia, Czechia, and Belgium, and the relative risk of incidence generally improved over time and consecutive young birth cohorts. CRC incidence showed an unfavorable trend (net drift ≥1%) in 89 countries, of which 27 countries were more significant (net drift >2%), mostly concentrated in the middle SDI region, such as China, Mexico, and Brazil, and the risk of period and birth cohort was unfavorable.

CONCLUSION: Globally, the incidence of CRC has shown an overall upward trend over the past 30 years, with the exception of some countries with higher SDI values. Significant age-period-cohort differences were observed in the risk of incidence in CRC worldwide. Effective prevention and control policies need to take into account the age-period-cohort effect characteristics of different regions.

PMID:38841678 | PMC:PMC11150799 | DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2024.1370282