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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of three common tonsil surgery techniques: cold steel with hot hemostasis, monopolar and bipolar diathermy

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2023 Feb 23. doi: 10.1007/s00405-023-07892-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To analyze the risk of postoperative hemorrhage in tonsil surgery with different surgical methods, instruments, indications, and age groups. Monopolar diathermy compared to bipolar diathermy was of particular interest.

METHODS: The data from tonsil surgery patients were retrospectively collected between 2012 and 2018 in the Hospital District of Southwest Finland. The surgical method, instruments, indication, sex and age and their association with a postoperative hemorrhage were analyzed.

RESULTS: A total of 4434 patients were included. The postoperative hemorrhage rate for tonsillectomy was 6.3% and for tonsillotomy 2.2%. The most frequently used surgical instruments were monopolar diathermy (58.4%) cold steel with hot hemostasis (25.1%) and bipolar diathermy (6.4%) with the overall postoperative hemorrhage rates 6.1%, 5.9% and 8.1%, respectively. In tonsillectomy patients, the risk for a secondary hemorrhage was higher with bipolar diathermy compared to both monopolar diathermy (p = 0.039) and the cold steel with hot hemostasis technique (p = 0.029). However, between the monopolar and the cold steel with hot hemostasis groups, the difference was statistically non-significant (p = 0.646). Patients aged > 15 years had 2.6 times higher risk for postoperative hemorrhage. The risk of a secondary hemorrhage increased with tonsillitis as the indication, primary hemorrhage, tonsillectomy or tonsillotomy without adenoidectomy, and male sex in patients aged ≤ 15 years.

CONCLUSION: Bipolar diathermy increased the risk for secondary bleedings compared to both monopolar diathermy and the cold steel with hot hemostasis technique in tonsillectomy patients. Monopolar diathermy did not significantly differ from the cold steel with hot hemostasis group regarding the bleeding rates.

PMID:36813861 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-023-07892-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Author Correction: Prostate cancer therapy personalization via multi-modal deep learning on randomized phase III clinical trials

NPJ Digit Med. 2023 Feb 22;6(1):27. doi: 10.1038/s41746-023-00769-z.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36813827 | DOI:10.1038/s41746-023-00769-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A multiplexed, paired-pooled droplet digital PCR assay for detection of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva

Sci Rep. 2023 Feb 22;13(1):3075. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-29858-5.

ABSTRACT

In response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, we developed a multiplexed, paired-pool droplet digital PCR (MP4) screening assay. Key features of our assay are the use of minimally processed saliva, 8-sample paired pools, and reverse-transcription droplet digital PCR (RT-ddPCR) targeting the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid gene. The limit of detection was determined to be 2 and 12 copies per µl for individual and pooled samples, respectively. Using the MP4 assay, we routinely processed over 1,000 samples a day with a 24-h turnaround time and over the course of 17 months, screened over 250,000 saliva samples. Modeling studies showed that the efficiency of 8-sample pools was reduced with increased viral prevalence and that this could be mitigated by using 4-sample pools. We also present a strategy for, and modeling data supporting, the creation of a third paired pool as an additional strategy to employ under high viral prevalence.

PMID:36813822 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-29858-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Machine-learning-based Web system for the prediction of chronic kidney disease progression and mortality

PLOS Digit Health. 2023 Jan 18;2(1):e0000188. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000188. eCollection 2023 Jan.

ABSTRACT

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients have high risks of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and pre-ESKD death. Therefore, accurately predicting these outcomes is useful among CKD patients, especially in those who are at high risk. Thus, we evaluated whether a machine-learning system can predict accurately these risks in CKD patients and attempted its application by developing a Web-based risk-prediction system. We developed 16 risk-prediction machine-learning models using Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting with 22 variables or selected variables for the prediction of the primary outcome (ESKD or death) on the basis of repeatedly measured data of CKD patients (n = 3,714; repeatedly measured data, n = 66,981) in their electronic-medical records. The performances of the models were evaluated using data from a cohort study of CKD patients carried out over 3 years (n = 26,906). One RF model with 22 variables and another RF model with 8 variables of time-series data showed high accuracies of the prediction of the outcomes and were selected for use in a risk-prediction system. In the validation, the 22- and 8-variable RF models showed high C-statistics for the prediction of the outcomes: 0.932 (95% CI 0.916, 0.948) and 0.93 (0.915, 0.945), respectively. Cox proportional hazards models using splines showed a highly significant relationship between the high probability and high risk of an outcome (p<0.0001). Moreover, the risks of patients with high probabilities were higher than those with low probabilities: 22-variable model, hazard ratio of 104.9 (95% CI 70.81, 155.3); 8-variable model, 90.9 (95% CI 62.29, 132.7). Then, a Web-based risk-prediction system was actually developed for the implementation of the models in clinical practice. This study showed that a machine-learning-based Web system is a useful tool for the risk prediction and treatment of CKD patients.

PMID:36812636 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000188

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

High resolution data modifies intensive care unit dialysis outcome predictions as compared with low resolution administrative data set

PLOS Digit Health. 2022 Oct 11;1(10):e0000124. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000124. eCollection 2022 Oct.

ABSTRACT

High resolution clinical databases from electronic health records are increasingly being used in the field of health data science. Compared to traditional administrative databases and disease registries, these newer highly granular clinical datasets offer several advantages, including availability of detailed clinical information for machine learning and the ability to adjust for potential confounders in statistical models. The purpose of this study is to compare the analysis of the same clinical research question using an administrative database and an electronic health record database. The Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) was used for the low-resolution model, and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU) was used for the high-resolution model. A parallel cohort of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with sepsis and requiring mechanical ventilation was extracted from each database. The primary outcome was mortality and the exposure of interest was the use of dialysis. In the low resolution model, after controlling for the covariates that are available, dialysis use was associated with an increased mortality (eICU: OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.75-2.44, p<0.01; NIS: OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.36-1.45, p<0.01). In the high-resolution model, after the addition of the clinical covariates, the harmful effect of dialysis on mortality was no longer significant (OR 1.04, 95% 0.85-1.28, p = 0.64). The results of this experiment show that the addition of high resolution clinical variables to statistical models significantly improves the ability to control for important confounders that are not available in administrative datasets. This suggests that the results from prior studies using low resolution data may be inaccurate and may need to be repeated using detailed clinical data.

PMID:36812632 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000124

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Emulation of epidemics via Bluetooth-based virtual safe virus spread: Experimental setup, software, and data

PLOS Digit Health. 2022 Dec 2;1(12):e0000142. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000142. eCollection 2022 Dec.

ABSTRACT

We describe an experimental setup and a currently running experiment for evaluating how physical interactions over time and between individuals affect the spread of epidemics. Our experiment involves the voluntary use of the Safe Blues Android app by participants at The University of Auckland (UoA) City Campus in New Zealand. The app spreads multiple virtual safe virus strands via Bluetooth depending on the physical proximity of the subjects. The evolution of the virtual epidemics is recorded as they spread through the population. The data is presented as a real-time (and historical) dashboard. A simulation model is applied to calibrate strand parameters. Participants’ locations are not recorded, but participants are rewarded based on the duration of participation within a geofenced area, and aggregate participation numbers serve as part of the data. The 2021 experimental data is available as an open-source anonymized dataset, and once the experiment is complete, the remaining data will be made available. This paper outlines the experimental setup, software, subject-recruitment practices, ethical considerations, and dataset description. The paper also highlights current experimental results in view of the lockdown that started in New Zealand at 23:59 on August 17, 2021. The experiment was initially planned in the New Zealand environment, expected to be free of COVID and lockdowns after 2020. However, a COVID Delta strain lockdown shuffled the cards and the experiment is currently extended into 2022.

PMID:36812628 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000142

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Optimal mode of delivery in pregnancy: Individualized predictions using national vital statistics data

PLOS Digit Health. 2022 Dec 29;1(12):e0000166. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000166. eCollection 2022 Dec.

ABSTRACT

Child birth via Cesarean section accounts for approximately 32% of all births each year in the United States. A variety of risk factors and complications can lead caregivers and patients to plan for a Cesarean delivery in advance before onset of labor. However, a non-trivial subset of Cesarean sections (∼25%) are unplanned and occur after an initial trial of labor is attempted. Unfortunately, patients who deliver via unplanned Cesarean sections have increased maternal morbidity and mortality rates and higher rates of neonatal intensive care admissions. In an effort to develop models aimed at improving health outcomes in labor and delivery, this work seeks to explore the use of national vital statistics data to quantify the likelihood of an unplanned Cesarean section based on 22 maternal characteristics. Machine learning techniques are used to ascertain influential features, train and evaluate models, and assess accuracy against available test data. Based on cross-validation results from a large training cohort (n = 6,530,467 births), the gradient-boosted tree algorithm was identified as the best performer and was evaluated on a large test cohort (n = 10,613,877 births) for two prediction scenarios. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.77 or higher and recall scores of 0.78 or higher were obtained and the resulting models are well calibrated. Combined with feature importance analysis to explain why certain maternal characteristics lead to a specific prediction in individual patients, the developed analysis pipeline provides additional quantitative information to aid in the decision process on whether to plan for a Cesarean section in advance, a substantially safer option among women at a high risk of unplanned Cesarean delivery during labor.

PMID:36812627 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000166

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Examining young adults daily perspectives on usage of anxiety apps: A user study

PLOS Digit Health. 2023 Jan 26;2(1):e0000185. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000185. eCollection 2023 Jan.

ABSTRACT

The growing number of mental health smartphone applications has led to increased interest in how these tools might support users in different models of care. However, research on the use of these interventions in real-world settings has been scarce. It is important to understand how apps are used in a deployment setting, especially among populations where such tools might add value to current models of care. The objective of this study is to explore the daily use of commercially-available mobile apps for anxiety that integrate CBT, with a focus on understanding reasons for and barriers for app use and engagement. This study recruited 17 young adults (age M = 24.17 years) while on a waiting list to receive therapy in a Student Counselling Service. Participants were asked to select up to two of a list of three selected apps (Wysa, Woebot, and Sanvello) and instructed to use the apps for two weeks. Apps were selected because they used techniques from cognitive behavioral therapy, and offer diverse functionality for anxiety management. Qualitative and quantitative data were gathered through daily questionnaires to capture participants’ experiences with the mobile apps. In addition, eleven semi-structured interviews were conducted at the end of the study. We used descriptive statistics to analyze participants’ interaction with different app features and used a general inductive approach to analyze the collected qualitative data. The results highlight that users form opinions about the apps during the first days of app use. A number of barriers to sustained use are identified including cost-related issues, inadequate content to support long-term use, and a lack of customization options for different app functions. The app features used differ among participants with self-monitoring and treatment elements being the most used features.

PMID:36812622 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000185

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An integrated analysis of the cancer genome atlas data discovers a hierarchical association structure across thirty three cancer types

PLOS Digit Health. 2022 Dec 20;1(12):e0000151. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000151. eCollection 2022 Dec.

ABSTRACT

Cancer cells harbor molecular alterations at all levels of information processing. Genomic/epigenomic and transcriptomic alterations are inter-related between genes, within and across cancer types and may affect clinical phenotypes. Despite the abundant prior studies of integrating cancer multi-omics data, none of them organizes these associations in a hierarchical structure and validates the discoveries in extensive external data. We infer this Integrated Hierarchical Association Structure (IHAS) from the complete data of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and compile a compendium of cancer multi-omics associations. Intriguingly, diverse alterations on genomes/epigenomes from multiple cancer types impact transcriptions of 18 Gene Groups. Half of them are further reduced to three Meta Gene Groups enriched with (1) immune and inflammatory responses, (2) embryonic development and neurogenesis, (3) cell cycle process and DNA repair. Over 80% of the clinical/molecular phenotypes reported in TCGA are aligned with the combinatorial expressions of Meta Gene Groups, Gene Groups, and other IHAS subunits. Furthermore, IHAS derived from TCGA is validated in more than 300 external datasets including multi-omics measurements and cellular responses upon drug treatments and gene perturbations in tumors, cancer cell lines, and normal tissues. To sum up, IHAS stratifies patients in terms of molecular signatures of its subunits, selects targeted genes or drugs for precision cancer therapy, and demonstrates that associations between survival times and transcriptional biomarkers may vary with cancer types. These rich information is critical for diagnosis and treatments of cancers.

PMID:36812605 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000151

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identifying and analyzing sepsis states: A retrospective study on patients with sepsis in ICUs

PLOS Digit Health. 2022 Nov 10;1(11):e0000130. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000130. eCollection 2022 Nov.

ABSTRACT

Sepsis accounts for more than 50% of hospital deaths, and the associated cost ranks the highest among hospital admissions in the US. Improved understanding of disease states, progression, severity, and clinical markers has the potential to significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce cost. We develop a computational framework that identifies disease states in sepsis and models disease progression using clinical variables and samples in the MIMIC-III database. We identify six distinct patient states in sepsis, each associated with different manifestations of organ dysfunction. We find that patients in different sepsis states are statistically significantly composed of distinct populations with disparate demographic and comorbidity profiles. Our progression model accurately characterizes the severity level of each pathological trajectory and identifies significant changes in clinical variables and treatment actions during sepsis state transitions. Collectively, our framework provides a holistic view of sepsis, and our findings provide the basis for future development of clinical trials, prevention, and therapeutic strategies for sepsis.

PMID:36812596 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000130