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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Drivers of epidemic dynamics in real time from daily digital COVID-19 measurements

Science. 2024 Jul 11:eadm8103. doi: 10.1126/science.adm8103. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Understanding the drivers of respiratory pathogen spread is challenging, particularly in a timely manner during an ongoing epidemic. Here we present insights obtained using daily data from the NHS COVID-19 app for England and Wales and shared with health authorities in almost real time. Our indicator of the reproduction number R(t) was available days earlier than other estimates, with a novel capability to decompose R(t) into contact rates and probabilities of infection. When Omicron arrived, the main epidemic driver switched from contacts to transmissibility. We separate contacts and transmissions by day of exposure and setting, finding pronounced variability over days of the week and during Christmas holidays and events. As an example, during the Euro football tournament in 2021, days with England matches showed sharp spikes in exposures and transmissibility. Digital contact tracing technologies can help control epidemics not only by directly preventing transmissions but also by enabling rapid analysis at scale and with unprecedented resolution.

PMID:38991048 | DOI:10.1126/science.adm8103

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Thermosensitive Hydrogels as Targeted and Controlled Drug Delivery Systems: Potential Applications in Transplantation

Macromol Biosci. 2024 Jul 11:e2400064. doi: 10.1002/mabi.202400064. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Drug delivery in transplantation plays a vital role in promoting graft survival, preventing rejection, managing complications, and contributing to positive patient outcomes. Targeted and controlled drug delivery can minimize systemic effects. Thermosensitive hydrogels, due to their unique sol-gel transition properties triggered by thermo-stimuli, have attracted significant research interest as a potential drug delivery system in transplantation. This review describes the current status, characteristics, and recent applications of thermosensitive hydrogels for drug delivery. Studies aimed at improving allotransplantation outcomes using thermosensitive hydrogels are then elaborated on. Finally, the challenges and opportunities associated with their use are discussed. Understanding the progress of research will serve as a guide for future improvements in their application as a means of targeted and controlled drug delivery in translational therapeutic applications for transplantation.

PMID:38991045 | DOI:10.1002/mabi.202400064

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

In vivo effects of balanced, low molecular 6% and 10% hydroxyethyl starch compared with crystalloid volume replacement on the coagulation system in major pancreatic surgery-a sub-analysis of a prospective double-blinded, randomized controlled trial

PLoS One. 2024 Jul 11;19(7):e0303165. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0303165. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The outcome of patients undergoing major surgery treated with HES for hemodynamic optimization is unclear. This post-hoc analysis of a randomized clinical pilot trial investigated the impact of low-molecular balanced HES solutions on the coagulation system, blood loss and transfusion requirements.

METHODS: The Trial was registered: EudraCT 2008-004175-22 and ethical approval was provided by the ethics committee of Berlin. Patients were randomized into three groups receiving either a 10% HES 130/0.42 solution, a 6% HES 130/0.42 solution or a crystalloid following a goal-directed hemodynamic algorithm. Endpoints were parameters of standard and viscoelastic coagulation laboratory, blood loss and transfusion requirements at baseline, at the end of surgery (EOS) and the first postoperative day (POD 1).

RESULTS: Fifty-two patients were included in the analysis (HES 10% (n = 15), HES 6% (n = 17) and crystalloid (n = 20)). Fibrinogen decreased in all groups at EOS (HES 10% 338 [298;378] to 192 [163;234] mg dl-1, p<0.01, HES 6% 385 [302;442] to 174 [163;224] mg dl-1, p<0.01, crystalloids 408 [325;458] to 313 [248;370] mg dl-1, p = 0.01). MCF FIBTEM was decreased for both HES groups at EOS (HES 10%: 20.5 [16.0;24.8] to 6.5 [5.0;10.8] mm, p = <0.01; HES 6% 27.0 [18.8;35.2] to 7.0 [5.0;19.0] mm, p = <0.01). These changes did not persist on POD 1 for HES 10% (rise to 16.0 [13.0;24.0] mm, p = 0.88). Blood loss was not different in the groups nor transfusion requirements.

CONCLUSION: Our data suggest a stronger but transient effect of balanced, low-molecular HES on the coagulation system. Despite the decline of the use of artificial colloids in clinical practice, these results may help to inform clinicians who use HES solutions.

PMID:38991044 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0303165

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Continuity of care in general practice in Norway

PLoS One. 2024 Jul 11;19(7):e0305164. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305164. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Maintaining continuity of care between doctors and patients is considered a fundamental aspect of quality in primary healthcare. In this study, we aim to examine continuity in Norway over time by computing two commonly used indicators of continuity: the St Leonard’s Index of Continuity of Care (SLICC) and the Usual Provider of Care Index (UPC).

METHOD: We employ individual-level data, which covers all primary care consultations. This data includes the identities of each patient and physician, and we can identify each patient’s regular general practitioner (GP). The SLICC is calculated as the share of consultations conducted by the patient’s regular GP annually from 2006 to 2021. Additionally, we identify each patient’s most visited physician and compute the UPC as the share of total consultations conducted by the most visited physician during the same period. Our analysis is conducted at the national level and stratified according to the level of centrality, differentiating between areas of high, moderate, and low centrality.

RESULTS: Our findings reveal that, at the national level, SLICC and UPC exhibit remarkable stability, reaching 64 and 71 percent, respectively, in 2021. However, there is significant geographical variation, with the least central areas experiencing less continuous healthcare (SLICC at 49 percent in 2021) than patients residing in more central areas (SLICC at 68 in 2021).

CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate a high degree of continuity that has been stable over time. However, large geographical variations suggest that policymakers should strive to reduce geographical disparities in healthcare quality.

PMID:38991043 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0305164

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating classification tools for the prediction of in-vitro microbial pyruvate yield from organic carbon sources

PLoS One. 2024 Jul 11;19(7):e0306987. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306987. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

The laboratory-scale (in-vitro) microbial fermentation based on screening of process parameters (factors) and statistical validation of parameters (responses) using regression analysis. The recent trends have shifted from full factorial design towards more complex response surface methodology designs such as Box-Behnken design, Central Composite design. Apart from the optimisation methodologies, the listed designs are not flexible enough in deducing properties of parameters in terms of class variables. Machine learning algorithms have unique visualisations for the dataset presented with appropriate learning algorithms. The classification algorithms cannot be applied on all datasets and selection of classifier is essential in this regard. To resolve this issue, factor-response relationship needs to be evaluated as dataset and subsequent preprocessing could lead to appropriate results. The aim of the current study was to investigate the data-mining accuracy on the dataset developed using in-vitro pyruvate production using organic sources for the first time. The attributes were subjected to comparative classification on various classifiers and based on accuracy, multilayer perceptron (neural network algorithm) was selected as classifier. As per the results, the model showed significant results for prediction of classes and a good fit. The learning curve developed also showed the datasets converging and were linearly separable.

PMID:38991027 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0306987

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of T. gondii, rubella, and cytomegalovirus seroprevalences among female Syrian refugees in Sanliurfa, Turkiye

J Infect Dev Ctries. 2024 Jun 30;18(6):964-971. doi: 10.3855/jidc.18614.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Since the Syrian Civil War began in 2011, the official number of refugees under temporary protection in Turkiye is reported to be 3,522,036 in 2023. Most of the Syrians living outside the refugee camps have worse conditions in terms of access to healthcare centers and social opportunities, compared to those living in camps. The Sanliurfa province hosts the third highest number of Syrians (370,291) in Turkiye. There are no data about the seroprevalence of Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii), rubella (rub), or cytomegalovirus (CMV) among Syrian refugees in Sanliurfa. We aimed to investigate the seroprevalence of T. gondii, rub, and CMV infections among female Syrian refugees of reproductive age (15-49 years) living in Sanliurfa province.

METHODOLOGY: A cross-sectional study was conducted in different districts of Sanliurfa. A total of 460 households were selected using the probability sampling method. One married female Syrian refugee aged between 15 and 49 years, was chosen in each household, leading to a sample size of 410 female Syrian refugees. The seropositivity of T. gondii, CMV, and rub IgM and IgG in blood samples were analyzed using enzyme immunoassays (Abbott Architect, Illinois, USA).

RESULTS: The seropositivity rates of T. gondii, CMV, and rubella IgM and IgG were 4.4% and 59.8%; 3.9%; and 99%; and 1.9%, and 99.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: A screening program should be implemented for T. gondii, CMV, and rub infections for Syrian refugees. Seronegative women should be vaccinated against rub and educated about the transmission and preventive routes of toxoplasmosis and CMV infection.

PMID:38991003 | DOI:10.3855/jidc.18614

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Seroprevalence of transfusion-transmitted infections among blood donors in Makkah, Saudi Arabia

J Infect Dev Ctries. 2024 Jun 30;18(6):957-963. doi: 10.3855/jidc.19559.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Blood donation is vital for healthcare; however, transfusion-transmitted infections (TTIs) pose a serious risk. This study investigated the seroprevalence of TTIs among Saudi blood donors.

METHODOLOGY: This retrospective study included male blood donors aged ≥ 18 years who donated blood at Al-Noor Specialist Hospital in Makkah from January 2017 to December 2022. The blood units were screened for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and core antibodies (HBc-IgG), hepatitis C antibodies (HCV-Abs), syphilis, HIV-1 antigen/antibody (HIV-1 Ag/Ab), human T-lymphotropic virus 1, 2 (HTLV-1/2), and malaria.

RESULTS: There were 40,287 donors with an average age of 44.33 ± 18.12 years, and 62.3% (n = 25103) were Saudis. The overall rate of TTIs seropositivity was 7.4% (n = 2953); HBc-IgG (6.1%; n = 2473) was the most common, followed by HCV-Abs (0.4%; n = 177), and syphilis (0.34%; n = 136). All cases were negative for malaria, whilst HIV and HTLV positive donors were 0.06% (n = 24) and 0.13% (n = 52), respectively. Syphilis was more prevalent among non-Saudis (0.24%; n = 83) than among Saudis (0.1%; n = 53), whereas anti-HBc antibodies seropositivity was significantly higher among Saudi (3.4%; n = 1373) than non-Saudi donors (2.7%; n = 1100).

CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis B virus was the most frequently detected bloodborne pathogen, followed by hepatitis C virus and syphilis. Hepatitis B virus was also more prevalent among Saudi donors, whilst expatriates had higher rates of syphilis. Additional prospective multicenter studies are needed to accurately determine the prevalence of TTIs in Saudi Arabia.

PMID:38991002 | DOI:10.3855/jidc.19559

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Six-year evaluation of device-associated nosocomial infections in intensive care units

J Infect Dev Ctries. 2024 Jun 30;18(6):937-942. doi: 10.3855/jidc.19426.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Invasive device-associated nosocomial infections commonly occur in intensive care units (ICUs). These infections include intravascular catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI), ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), and catheter-associated urinary tract infection (CAUTI). This study aimed to evaluate the factors associated with invasive device-associated nosocomial infections based on the underlying diseases of the patients and antibiotic resistance profiles of the pathogens causing the infections detected in the ICU in our hospital over a five-year period.

METHODOLOGY: Invasive device-associated infections (CRBSI, VAP, and CAUTI) were detected retrospectively by the laboratory- and clinic-based active surveillance system according to the criteria of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in patients hospitalized in the ICU of the tertiary hospital between 1 January 2018 and 30 June 2023.

RESULTS: A total of 425 invasive device-associated nosocomial infections and 441 culture results were detected (179 CRBSI, 176 VAP, 70 CAUTI). Out of them, 57 (13.4%) patients had hematological malignancy, 145 (34.1%) had solid organ malignancy, and 223 (52.5%) had no histopathologic diagnosis of any malignancy. An increase in extended-spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL) and carbapenem resistance in pathogens was detected during the study period.

CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic resistance of the Gram-negative bacteria associated with invasive device-associated infections increased during the study period. Antimicrobial stewardship will reduce rates of nosocomial infections, reduce mortality, and shorten hospital stay. Long-term catheterization and unnecessary antibiotic use should be avoided.

PMID:38990999 | DOI:10.3855/jidc.19426

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Prevalence and associated factors of bacterial vaginosis among pregnant women in Hue, Vietnam

J Infect Dev Ctries. 2024 Jun 30;18(6):925-931. doi: 10.3855/jidc.18949.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Bacterial vaginosis (BV) is the most frequent vaginal infection affecting women of childbearing age worldwide. It is associated with significant adverse healthcare outcomes, especially during pregnancy. Although screening for BV could reduce potential pregnancy-related obstetric complications, there is no routine screening of pregnant women for BV in Vietnam. We aimed to identify the prevalence of BV among pregnant women and the associated factors in two tertiary hospitals in Hue, Vietnam.

METHODOLOGY: This cross-sectional descriptive study included 885 pregnant women in third trimester, who received routine antenatal care in the Hue Central Hospital and Hue University Hospital of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hue city, Thua Thien Hue province, Vietnam. Gram-stained vaginal smears were used for calculating the Nugent score and recording the fungal elements.

RESULTS: In total, 435 (49.1%) women had a normal BV score, 352 (39.8%) had intermediate vaginal microbiota, and 98 (11.1%) had BV. Among the 98 women with BV, 71 (72.4%) also had fungal infection. There was a significant association of BV with discharge (p = 0.004) and abnormal cervix (p = 0.014). BV was significantly more frequent among the women who reported previous abortion or miscarriage (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS: About a tenth of women in Thua Thien Hue province have BV in the third trimester of pregnancy being associated with previous adverse outcome. Discharge with fishy odour is still a characteristic feature among subtle clinical presentations of BV. Better awareness about this disease and routine test-and-treat management during pregnancy may improve pregnancy outcome.

PMID:38990996 | DOI:10.3855/jidc.18949

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of graded partial inferior rectus muscle tenotomy in treatment for superior oblique paralysis

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2024 Jul 11. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_3257_23. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the surgical outcomes for patients with superior oblique paralysis (SOP) who underwent the inferior oblique weakening and the graded partial inferior rectus muscle tenotomy in the contralateral eye.

METHODS: Medical records were retrospectively reviewed for those SOP patients who had hyperdeviation of 4△ -20△ in the primary position and 8△ -25△ in the downgaze position. Patients were subdivided into three subgroups according to their vertical deviation angle in the downgaze position. They underwent an ipsilateral inferior oblique muscle recession and a graded partial tenotomy of the contralateral inferior rectus muscle. The vertical deviation angles, abnormal head position, and fundus torsion were compared statistically before and after operations. All patients were followed up at least 1 year.

RESULTS: Forty-seven patients were included in this study. The mean follow-up period was 17.2 months after surgery (ranging from 12 to 28 months). The vertical deviation angle was averaged preoperatively to 7.74△ ± 3.23△ in the primary position and 15.30△ ± 5.92△ in the downgaze position and reduced postoperatively to 0.85△ ± 1.15△ in the primary position and 1.53△± 1.49△ in the downgaze position (P < 0.001). All patients had an abnormal head position preoperatively and had improved significantly postoperatively. Fundus extorsion had been improved significantly postoperatively.

CONCLUSION: The surgical procedure of IO weakening combined with contralateral graded partial inferior rectus muscle tenotomy is a successful intervention for the correction of small deviation in primary position of SOP.

PMID:38990635 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_3257_23