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Nevin Manimala Statistics

REDACS: Regional emergency-driven adaptive cluster sampling for effective COVID-19 management

Stoch Anal Appl. 2023;41(3):474-508. doi: 10.1080/07362994.2022.2033126. Epub 2022 Feb 25.

ABSTRACT

As COVID-19 is spreading, national agencies need to monitor and track several metrics. Since we do not have perfect testing programs on the hand, one needs to develop an advanced sampling strategies for prevalence study, control and management. Here we introduce REDACS: Regional emergency-driven adaptive cluster sampling for effective COVID-19 management and control and justify its usage for COVID-19. We show its advantages over classical massive individual testing sampling plans. We also point out how regional and spatial heterogeneity underlines proper sampling. Fundamental importance of adaptive control parameters from emergency health stations and medical frontline is outlined. Since the Northern hemisphere entered Autumn and Winter season (this paper was originally submitted in November 2020), practical illustration from spatial heterogeneity of Chile (Southern hemisphere, which already experienced COVID-19 winter outbreak peak) is underlying the importance of proper regional heterogeneity of sampling plan. We explain the regional heterogeneity by microbiological backgrounds and link it to behavior of Lyapunov exponents. We also discuss screening by antigen tests from the perspective of “on the fly” biomarker validation, i.e., during the screening.

PMID:37982071 | PMC:PMC10655945 | DOI:10.1080/07362994.2022.2033126

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Leveraging Data Science to Combat COVID-19: A Comprehensive Review

IEEE Trans Artif Intell. 2020 Sep 2;1(1):85-103. doi: 10.1109/TAI.2020.3020521. eCollection 2020 Aug.

ABSTRACT

COVID-19, an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organisation (WHO) in March 2020. By mid-August 2020, more than 21 million people have tested positive worldwide. Infections have been growing rapidly and tremendous efforts are being made to fight the disease. In this paper, we attempt to systematise the various COVID-19 research activities leveraging data science, where we define data science broadly to encompass the various methods and tools-including those from artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), statistics, modeling, simulation, and data visualization-that can be used to store, process, and extract insights from data. In addition to reviewing the rapidly growing body of recent research, we survey public datasets and repositories that can be used for further work to track COVID-19 spread and mitigation strategies. As part of this, we present a bibliometric analysis of the papers produced in this short span of time. Finally, building on these insights, we highlight common challenges and pitfalls observed across the surveyed works. We also created a live resource repository at https://github.com/Data-Science-and-COVID-19/Leveraging-Data-Science-To-Combat-COVID-19-A-Comprehensive-Review that we intend to keep updated with the latest resources including new papers and datasets.

PMID:37982070 | PMC:PMC8545032 | DOI:10.1109/TAI.2020.3020521

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Motor Rehabilitation Provides Modest Functional Benefits After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Translational Rehabilitation Studies

Transl Stroke Res. 2023 Nov 20. doi: 10.1007/s12975-023-01205-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Few certainties exist regarding the optimal type, timing, or dosage of rehabilitation after stroke. Despite differing injury mechanisms and recovery patterns following ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, most translational stroke research is conducted after ischemia. As we enter the era of personalized medicine, exploring subtype-specific treatment efficacy is essential to optimizing recovery. Our objective was to characterize common rehabilitation interventions used after in vivo preclinical intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and assess the impact of post-ICH rehabilitation (vs. no-rehabilitation) on recovery of motor function. Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review (Academic Search Complete, CINAHL, EMBASE, Medline, PubMed Central) identified eligible articles published up to December 2022. Risk of bias (SYRCLE) and study quality (CAMARADES) were evaluated, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to assess treatment efficacy in recovery of forelimb and locomotor functions. Thirty articles met inclusion criteria, and 48 rehabilitation intervention groups were identified. Most used collagenase to model striatal ICH in young, male rodents. Aerobic exercise, enriched rehabilitation, and constraint-induced movement therapy represented ~ 70% of interventions. Study quality was low (median 4/10, range 2-8), and risk of bias was unclear. Rehabilitation provided modest benefits in skilled reaching, spontaneous impaired forelimb use, and locomotor function; however, effects varied substantially by endpoint, treatment type, and study quality. Rehabilitation statistically improves motor function after preclinical ICH, but whether these effects are functionally meaningful is unclear. Incomplete reporting and variable research quality hinder our capacity to analyze and interpret how treatment factors influence rehabilitation efficacy and recovery after ICH.

PMID:37981635 | DOI:10.1007/s12975-023-01205-w

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Usefulness of intraoperative bile culture in patients with acute calculous cholecystitis with previous biliary events: does the postoperative management change?

Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis. 2023 Nov 20. doi: 10.1007/s10096-023-04713-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The aim of our study was to determine the usefulness of intraoperative gallbladder cultures in the postoperative course in surgically treated patients with acute calculous cholecystitis and previous biliary events (ACC-PBE).

METHODS: Retrospective unicenter study on surgically treated ACC-patients between January 2014 and December 2018. Clinical benefit was defined as a > 20% change in postoperative antibiotic treatment. Secondary endpoints: postoperative morbidity and length-of-stay (LOS) in ACC-PBE patients with positive intraoperative biliary culture (IBC). Statistical significance was defined as p < 0.05.

RESULTS: Out of the initial 711 patients, 203 met the study’s inclusion criteria, with 139 of them having IBC results (72 positive, 67 negative). Our analysis revealed no significant difference in the incidence of positive-IBC between patients with ACC-PBE. Among this group, only 6% changed postoperative antibiotic treatment based on IBC results. There were no statistically significant differences in postoperative complications (p: 0.21) or LOS (p: 0.23) in the ACC-PBE group. In multivariate analysis, age > 70 years old (p: 0.00; HR 3.1, 95% IC [1.6-6.4]), prior ERCP (p: 0.02; HR 5.9, 95% IC [1.25-27.5]) and prior antibiotic treatment (p: 0.01; HR 3.6, 95% IC [1.32-9.86]) were identified as independent factors that influenced PBC.

CONCLUSIONS: IBC in operated ACC-PBE do not alter postoperative management. While positive-IBC was associated with age, prior ERCP, and prior antibiotic treatment, these findings did not have a significant impact on postoperative morbidity or LOS.

PMID:37981633 | DOI:10.1007/s10096-023-04713-7

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The value of MRI in quantification of parametrial invasion and association with prognosis in locally advanced cervical cancer: the “PLACE” study

Eur Radiol. 2023 Nov 20. doi: 10.1007/s00330-023-10443-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective observational study aims to evaluate the association between the extent of parametrial invasion (PMI) and disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included patients with LACC showing parametrial invasion at Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). They were treated with neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (CT/RT) before undergoing radical hysterectomy. The staging MRIs were reviewed retrospectively. Measurements of maximum PMI (PMImax) and parametrial length were taken bilaterally. After that, PMIratio was calculated by dividing PMImax by parametrial length. Analysis was conducted on homogeneous subsets of patients, grouped based on their pathological lymph nodal evaluation (N- and N+). Correlations between PMImax and PMIratio with DFS and CSS were evaluated in both the N- and N+ groups, employing univariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS: Out of 221 patients, 126 (57%) had non-metastatic lymph nodes (N-), while 95 (43%) had metastatic lymph nodes (N+). The median observation period for all these patients was 73 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 66-77). The 5-year DFS and CSS probability rates were 75% and 85.7%, respectively, for the N- group and 54.3% and 73.6%, respectively, for the N+ group. A higher PMImax (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.09) and PMIratio (HR = 1.04) correlated with worse overall survival in patients in the N- group (p = 0.025 and p = 0.042). These parameters did not show a significant statistical association in the N+ group.

CONCLUSIONS: The degree of PMI evaluated on MRI affects outcome in N- patients with LACC.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The degree of MRI parametrial invasion affects disease-free survival and cancer-specific survival in patients with the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage IIB cervical cancer. This MRI finding can be easily incorporated into routine clinical practice.

KEY POINTS: • Visual assessment of parametrial invasion on MRI was not significantly associated with prognosis in locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC). • A greater degree of parametrial invasion is associated with poorer disease-free survival and cancer-specific survival in patients with LACC without metastatic lymph node involvement. • The degree of parametrial invasion at MRI has no correlation with prognosis in LACC with metastatic lymph nodes.

PMID:37981591 | DOI:10.1007/s00330-023-10443-3

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Head-to-head comparison of prostate-specific membrane antigen PET and multiparametric MRI in the diagnosis of pretreatment patients with prostate cancer: a meta-analysis

Eur Radiol. 2023 Nov 20. doi: 10.1007/s00330-023-10436-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET with multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) in the diagnosis of pretreatment prostate cancer (PCa).

METHODS: Pubmed, Embase, Medline, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched for eligible studies published before June 22, 2022. We assessed risk of bias and applicability by using QUADAS-2 tool. Data synthesis was performed with Stata 17.0 software, using the “midas” and “meqrlogit” packages.

RESULTS: We included 29 articles focusing on primary cancer detection, 18 articles about primary staging, and two articles containing them both. For PSMA PET versus mpMRI in primary PCa detection, sensitivities and specificities in the per-patient analysis were 0.90 and 0.84 (p<0.0001), and 0.66 and 0.60 (p <0.0001), and in the per-lesion analysis they were 0.79 and 0.78 (p <0.0001), and 0.84 and 0.82 (p <0.0001). For the per-patient analysis of PSMA PET versus mpMRI in primary staging, sensitivities and specificities in extracapsular extension detection were 0.59 and 0.66 (p =0.005), and 0.79 and 0.76 (p =0.0074), and in seminal vesicle infiltration (SVI) detection they were 0.51 and 0.60 (p =0.0008), and 0.93 and 0.96 (p =0.0092). For PSMA PET versus mpMRI in lymph node metastasis (LNM) detection, sensitivities and specificities in the per-patient analysis were 0.68 and 0.46 (p <0.0001), and 0.91 and 0.90 (p =0.81), and in the per-lesion analysis they were 0.67 and 0.36 (p <0.0001), and 0.99 and 0.99 (p =0.18).

CONCLUSION: PSMA PET has higher diagnostic value than mpMRI in the detection of primary PCa. Regarding the primary staging, mpMRI has potential advantages in SVI detection, while PSMA PET has relative advantages in LNM detection.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The integration of prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET into the diagnostic pathway may be helpful for improving the accuracy of prostate cancer detection. However, further studies are needed to address the cost implications and evaluate its utility in specific patient populations or clinical scenarios. Moreover, we recommend the combination of PSMA PET and mpMRI for cancer staging.

KEY POINTS: • Prostate-specific membrane antigen PET has higher sensitivity and specificity for primary tumor detection in prostate cancer compared to multiparametric MRI. • Prostate-specific membrane antigen PET also has significantly better sensitivity and specificity for lymph node metastases of prostate cancer compared to multiparametric MRI. • Multiparametric MRI has better accuracy for extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle infiltration compared to ate-specific membrane antigen PET.

PMID:37981590 | DOI:10.1007/s00330-023-10436-2

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Characterization of the congenital diaphragmatic hernia model in C57BL/6J fetal mice: a step toward lineage tracing experiments

Pediatr Surg Int. 2023 Nov 20;39(1):296. doi: 10.1007/s00383-023-05583-y.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Lineage tracing is key to study the fate of individual cells and their progeny especially in developmental biology. To conduct these studies, we aimed to establish a reproducible model of CDH in the most commonly used genetic background strain that is C57BL/6J mice.

METHODS: CDH was induced in C57BL/6J dams by maternal administration of nitrofen + bisdiamine at E8.5. Fetuses from olive oil-gavaged mothers served as controls. Lungs from CDH and control fetuses were compared for (1) growth via radial airspace count (RAC), mean linear intercept (MLI) and gene expression for Fgf10, Nrp1, and Ctnnb1; (2) maturation (Pdpn, Spc, Ager, Abca3, Eln, Acta2, Pdgfra) via gene and protein expression; (3) vascularization via gene and protein expression (CD31, Vegfa, Vegfr1/2, Epas1, Enos).

STATISTICS: unpaired t-test or Mann-Whitney test.

RESULTS: Nitrofen + bisdiamine administration resulted in 36% left-sided CDH (31% mortality). CDH fetuses had hypoplastic lungs and impaired growth (lower RAC, higher MLI, lower Fgf10, Nrp1, Ctnnb1), maturation (decreased Pdpn, Ager, Eln gene expression), and vascularization (decreased Cd31, Vegfr1/2; Epas1 and Enos). Lower protein expression was confirmed for PDPN, ELN and CD31.

CONCLUSION: Modeling CDH in C57BL/6J mouse fetuses is effective in reproducing the classical CDH hallmarks. This model will be critical for lineage tracing experiments.

PMID:37981587 | DOI:10.1007/s00383-023-05583-y

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Effectiveness of high-intensity laser therapy in the treatment of patients with frozen shoulder: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Lasers Med Sci. 2023 Nov 20;38(1):266. doi: 10.1007/s10103-023-03901-3.

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effects of high-intensity laser therapy (HILT) in patients with frozen shoulder. PRISMA guidelines were adhered to, and a systematic search was conducted in the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL, Science Direct, and PEDro databases (last update: September 4, 2023; search period: December 2022-September 2023). The inclusion criteria encompassed RCTs comparing HILT with other physical therapy interventions in frozen patients with frozen shoulders, with or without sham HILT, assessing pain intensity, shoulder ROM, and disability outcomes. The quality of the RCTs was assessed with the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool, and evidence was assessed using the GRADE approach. Five trials met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review and meta-analysis, which pooled results from the visual analog scale (VAS), goniometry, and the shoulder pain and disability index (SPADI). Mean differences (MDs) for pain intensity and disability show a pooled effect in favor of HILT both for VAS (MD = – 2.23 cm, 95% CI: – 3.25, – 1.22) and SPADI (MD = – 10.1% (95% CI = – 16.5, – 3.7), changes that are statistical (p < 0.01) and clinical. The MD for flexion (MD = 9.0°; 95% CI: – 2.36°, 20.3°; p = 0.12), abduction (MD = 3.4°; 95% CI: – 6.9°, 13.7°; p = 0.51), and external rotation (MD = – 0.95°; 95% CI: – 5.36°, 3.5°; p = 0.67) does not show statistical and clinical differences between groups after treatment. PI and disability changes were graded as important due to their clinical and statistical results. HILT into a physical therapy plan reduce pain and disability, but it does not outperform conventional physical therapy in improving shoulder ROM. It is suggested that future RCTs compare the effects of HILT and LLLT to assess their possible differences in their analgesic effects.

PMID:37981583 | DOI:10.1007/s10103-023-03901-3

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Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Complex Aortic Aneurysm Surgery

J Endovasc Ther. 2023 Nov 19:15266028231210214. doi: 10.1177/15266028231210214. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID on total case load and peri-operative outcomes in patients undergoing open surgical repair (OSR) and endovascular repair (ER) of complex aortic aneurysms (cAAs).

METHODS: A single-center retrospective analysis of prospective data of patients managed with elective cAA ER or OSR from January 2018 to December 2021 was conducted. A comparative analysis on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the case volume and on the 30-day outcomes was assessed using time periods, before (2018-2019) and during the pandemic (2020-2021).

RESULTS: During the 4-year study period, 255 patients with cAA were managed with ER and 576 with OSR. The pandemic did not reduce the cAA ER volume (p=0.12), but a statistically significant reduction in OSR case load was recorded (p=0.04). Following OSR, hospital length of stay (11.1 vs 10.3 days), and early mortality (6.94% vs 4.63%), were similar before and during the pandemic. In the ER cohort, baseline characteristics, early mortality (3.6% vs 4.1%, p=0.976), and morbidity (10% vs 14%, p=0.44), were comparable during the 2 periods. For ER cases, the hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) stay both decreased significantly (8±8-6±7 days, p<0.001 and 2±4 vs 1±6 days p=0.01, respectively) during the pandemic.

CONCLUSION: Resource pressures drove modifications in clinical practice to reduce the length of hospitalization, without compromising the clinical outcomes, in patients undergoing ER of cAA. This modification was not effective in patients undergoing OSR that resulted in a significant decrease of this activity.

CLINICAL IMPACT: The pandemic did not reduce complex endovascular repair (ER) volume (p=0.12) while a significant reduction in open surgical repair (OSR) case load was recorded (p=0.04). For the endovascular cohort, early mortality (p=0.976) and morbidity (p=0.44) remained stable, while the hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) stay decreased (p<0.001 and p=0.01, respectively) during the pandemic.

PMID:37981580 | DOI:10.1177/15266028231210214

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An Experimental Test of the Effects of Public Mockery of a Social Media Health Campaign: Implications for Theory and Health Organizations’ Social Media Strategies

Health Commun. 2023 Nov 19:1-13. doi: 10.1080/10410236.2023.2282833. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study explored how social media users’ mocking of a public health campaign can affect other users’ emotions, cognitions, and behavioral intentions. Inspired by public mocking of the CDC’s “Say No to Raw Dough” campaign aiming to prevent food poisoning caused by eating raw flour-based products, this experiment (N = 681) employed a 2 (Public responses to a PSA: Mocking or serious) x 3 (Organizational response to public responses: Self-mocking, serious, or none) + 1 (control condition) design. Statistical tests revealed that user-generated mocking can lower intentions to avoid the health risk by decreasing perceptions of injunctive norms (that is, seeing others mock a public health campaign resulted in weaker perceptions that others think you should avoid the risky behavior). Mockery of a public health campaign also engender anger at the CDC and at other users, with the target of the anger having differential effects on intentions to avoid eating raw dough. Implications for theory and the practice of social media-based health promotion are discussed.

PMID:37981576 | DOI:10.1080/10410236.2023.2282833