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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of fear of falling with performance-based physical function and low back pain in older adults: a cross-sectional study in Iran

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 5;14(8):e086970. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086970.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the association of fear of falling with performance-based physical function and low back pain (LBP) among older adults.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional study.

SETTING: Participants were selected via convenient sampling from Iran University orthopaedic and/or physiotherapy outpatient clinics, between March 2022 and April 2023.

PARTICIPANTS: 140 subjects with and without LBP, aged over 60 years, were included.

OUTCOME MEASURES: The Falls Efficacy Scale International was used to measure fear of falling. A baseline questionnaire inquired about LBP. Participants performed the Timed Up and Go, 30 s Sit-To-Stand (30s-STS), single leg stance with open and closed eyes and gait speed tests to assess performance-based physical function. Demographic variables including age, gender and body mass index were considered as potential covariates. Bivariate and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to investigate the associations.

RESULTS: A significant association between fear of falling and the 30s-STS test score (β=-0.30, 95% CI -1.27 to -0.28; p=0.00) and the sex (β=0.31, 95% CI 1.53 to 4.83; p=0.00) was confirmed in multivariable analyses. LBP and other performance-based physical function tests were not associated with a fear of falling.

CONCLUSION: Fear of falling was significantly associated with lower extremity muscle function, measured by the 30s-STS test and female gender. Older adults with a fear of falling could benefit from interventions that improve lower extremity muscle function. Also, the observed association between the fear of falling and the female sex confirms the need for effective interventions to reduce the fear of falling among older women.

PMID:39107012 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086970

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COVID-19 related disruption and resilience in immunisation activities in LMICs: a rapid review

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 6;14(8):e076607. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076607.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We conducted a rapid review to determine the extent that immunisation services in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic and synthesised the factors that can be used to build resilience in future.

DESIGN: Rapid review reported in accordance with the Preferred reporting for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Web of Science were searched through 6 October 2023.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: We included studies that focused on disruption to immunisation activities due to the COVID-19 pandemic in LMICs. Outcomes included routine vaccine coverage, supplementary immunisation activities, vaccine doses, timing of vaccination, supply chain changes, and factors contributing to disruption or resilience.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two independent reviewers used standardised methods to search, screen and code studies. Quality assessment was performed using a modified version of the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme for qualitative research. Findings were summarised qualitatively.

RESULTS: Of 4978 identified studies, 85 met the eligibility criteria. Included studies showed declines in immunisation activities across LMICs related to the COVID-19 pandemic. These included reductions in achieved routine coverage, cancellation or postponement of campaigns and underimmunised cohorts. Immunisation was most disrupted in the early months of the pandemic; however, recovery varied by country, age-group and vaccine. Though many countries observed partial recovery in 2020, disruption in many countries continued into 2021. It has also been noted that clinician staff shortages and vaccine stock-outs caused by supply chain disruptions contributed to immunisation delays, but that concern over COVID-19 transmission was a leading factor. Key resiliency factors included community outreach and healthcare worker support.

CONCLUSIONS: There is limited information on whether reductions in vaccination coverage or delays have persisted beyond 2021. Further research is needed to assess ongoing disruptions and identify missed vaccine cohorts.

PMID:39107008 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076607

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Parental stress, depression, anxiety and participation to care in neonatal intensive care units: results of a prospective study in Italy, Brazil and Tanzania

BMJ Paediatr Open. 2024 Aug 5;8(Suppl 2):e002539. doi: 10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002539.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies comparing the frequency of different mental health conditions across different settings and evaluating their association with parental participation in newborn care are lacking. We aimed at evaluating the frequency of parental stress, anxiety and depression, along with the level of participation in newborn care, among parents of newborns in Italy, Brazil and Tanzania.

METHODS: Parental stress, anxiety, depression and participation in care were assessed prospectively in parents of newborns in eight neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) utilising: the Parental Stressor Scale in NICU (PSS:NICU); the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) and EPDS-Anxiety subscale (EPDS-A); the Index of Parental Participation in NICU (IPP-NICU). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted.

RESULTS: Study outcomes were assessed on 742 parents (Brazil=327, Italy=191, Tanzania=224). Observed scores suggested a very high frequency of stress, anxiety and depression, with an overall estimated frequency of any of the mental health condition of 65.1%, 52.9% and 58.0% in Brazil, Italy, Tanzania, respectively (p<0.001). EPDS scores indicating depression (cut-off: ≥13 for Brazil and Tanzania, ≥12 for Italy) were significantly more frequent in Tanzania (52.3%) when compared with either Brazil (35.8%) and Italy (33.3%) (p<0.001). Parental participation in care was also significantly higher in Tanzania (median IPP-NICU=24) than in the other two countries (median=21 for Brazil, 18 for Italy, p<0.001). Severe stress (PSS:NICU ≥4) was significantly more frequently reported in Brazil (22.6%), compared with Italy (4.7%) and Tanzania (0%, p<0.001). Factors independently associated with either parental stress, anxiety or depression varied by country, and a significant association with parental participation in care was lacking.

CONCLUSIONS: Study findings suggest that parental stress, anxiety and depression are extremely frequent in NICUs in all countries despite diversity in the setting, and requiring immediate action. Further studies should explore the appropriate level of parental participation in care in different settings.

PMID:39106992 | DOI:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002539

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Trends in colorectal cancer surgical resection rates during the screening era: a retrospective study in Italy

BMJ Open Gastroenterol. 2024 Aug 5;11(1):e001434. doi: 10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001434.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Faecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening is effective in reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence, but its sensitivity for proximal lesions remains low.

OBJECTIVES: We compared age-adjusted CRC surgical resection rates across anatomic sites (proximal colon, distal colon, rectum), age groups and sex over 20 years in a large Italian population. We particularly focused on changes in trends following FIT-screening implementation in the target population (50-69 years).

DESIGN: This retrospective study analysed data from the Veneto Region’s administrative Hospital Discharge Dataset, involving over 54 000 patients aged 40-89 (43.4% female) who underwent CRC surgery between 2002 and 2021.

RESULTS: Overall, surgery rates increased until 2007 (annual percentage changes: 2.5% in males, 2.9% in females) and then declined (-4.2% in males, -3.4% in females). This decline was steeper for distal and rectal cancers compared with proximal cancer, suggesting a shift towards more right-sided CRC surgery.In males, the prescreening increase in proximal surgery was reversed after screening implementation (slope change: -6%) while the prescreening decline accelerated for distal (-4%) and rectal (-3%) surgeries. In females, stable prescreening trends shifted downward for all sites (-5% for proximal, -8% for distal and -7% for rectal surgery). However, the change in trends between prescreening and postscreening periods was not different across anatomic sites for either sex (all slope change differences in pairwise comparisons were not statistically significant).

CONCLUSION: The shift towards proximal surgery may not be entirely due to the FIT’s low sensitivity but may reflect an underlying upward trend in proximal cancers independent of screening.

PMID:39106985 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001434

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Impact of COVID-19 on vaccine confidence and uptake: A systematic literature review

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2024 Dec 31;20(1):2384180. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2024.2384180. Epub 2024 Aug 6.

ABSTRACT

During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, scheduled vaccinations were postponed, mass vaccination programmes were suspended and opportunities for healthcare workers to administer vaccines ad hoc decreased. The aims of this systematic literature review were to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on vaccine confidence, intent and uptake in preexisting routine childhood or adult vaccination programmes, and to identify factors associated with changes in acceptance, intent and uptake of preexisting vaccines. Medline and Embase were searched for studies in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Japan, the USA, and European countries, published between 1 January 2021 and 4 August 2022. A complementary gray literature search was conducted between 11 and 13 October 2022, and supplemented with additional gray research in October 2023. In total, 54 citations were included in the review. Study design and geography were heterogeneous. The number of adults who received or intended to receive an influenza or pneumococcal vaccine was higher during the pandemic than in previous seasons (n = 28 studies). In addition, increased acceptance of adult vaccinations was observed during 2020-21 compared with 2019-20 (n = 12 studies). The rates of childhood vaccinations decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic across several countries (n = 11 studies). Factors associated with changes in intention to receive a vaccination, or uptake of influenza vaccine, included previous vaccination, older age, higher perceived risk of contracting COVID-19, anxiety regarding the pandemic and fear of contracting COVID-19. Acceptance and uptake of influenza and pneumococcal vaccines generally increased after onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:39106971 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2024.2384180

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Impact of 5 waves of COVID-19 on pediatric ophthalmology

Can J Ophthalmol. 2024 Aug 3:S0008-4182(24)00187-X. doi: 10.1016/j.jcjo.2024.06.018. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the impact of multiple waves of COVID-19 on pediatric ophthalmology at a tertiary care hospital.

METHODS: Medical records were reviewed from pediatric patients seen for ophthalmic emergencies at the Montreal Children’s Hospital (Montreal, Canada) from 5 COVID-19 periods: March 13 to May 31, 2020; September 20, 2020, to February 21, 2021; March 21 to May 31, 2021; August 17 to November 5, 2021; and December 19, 2021, to January 25, 2022, as well as 2 pre-COVID time periods: March 13 to May 31, in 2018 and 2019).

RESULTS: There was a significant reduction in ophthalmic consultations when comparing pre-COVID to all 5 COVID waves (p < 0.0001). There was an increase in the average number of daily urgent (p = 0.01) ophthalmic consultations from waves 1 to 4. Mean household income of patients was not significantly pre-COVID compared to during the 5 COVID waves (p = 0.96). The most common referral reason was ocular trauma (38.0% of cases). There was a nonsignificant trend demonstrating more infectious disease presentations during waves 3 to 5 (p = 0.07). There was no difference in symptom duration prior to presentation (p = 0.54); however, there was a difference in the time between emergency room and ophthalmology assessment in waves 3 and 4 compared with wave 5 (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION: The number of pediatric ophthalmology consultations was less during the 5 COVID waves than pre-COVID. An increase in urgent pediatric ophthalmology consultations occurred as COVID-19 infection rates in Quebec decreased. Access to health care and time to care were preserved across waves compared with prepandemic.

PMID:39106963 | DOI:10.1016/j.jcjo.2024.06.018

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GIS-ODE: linking dynamic population models with GIS to predict pathogen vector abundance across a country under climate change scenarios

J R Soc Interface. 2024 Aug;21(217):20240004. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0004. Epub 2024 Aug 7.

ABSTRACT

Mechanistic mathematical models such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have a long history for their use in describing population dynamics and determining estimates of key parameters that summarize the potential growth or decline of a population over time. More recently, geographic information systems (GIS) have become important tools to provide a visual representation of statistically determined parameters and environmental features over space. Here, we combine these tools to form a ‘GIS-ODE’ approach to generate spatiotemporal maps predicting how projected changes in thermal climate may affect population densities and, uniquely, population dynamics of Ixodes ricinus, an important tick vector of several human pathogens. Assuming habitat and host densities are not greatly affected by climate warming, the GIS-ODE model predicted that, even under the lowest projected temperature increase, I. ricinus nymph densities could increase by 26-99% in Scotland, depending on the habitat and climate of the location. Our GIS-ODE model provides the vector-borne disease research community with a framework option to produce predictive, spatially explicit risk maps based on a mechanistic understanding of vector and vector-borne disease transmission dynamics.

PMID:39106949 | DOI:10.1098/rsif.2024.0004

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Subcutaneous G-CSF administration improves IVF outcomes in patients with recurrent implantation failure presenting a KIR/HLA-C mismatch

J Reprod Immunol. 2024 Aug 2;165:104310. doi: 10.1016/j.jri.2024.104310. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

RESEARCH QUESTION: Despite advances in assisted reproductive technologies, many blastocysts are lost unexpectedly during implantation. Alterations in maternal immune tolerance towards fetal antigens may contribute to adverse IVF outcomes. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether administering Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor (G-CSF) to couples with a Human Leukocyte Antigen/Killer-Cell Immunoglobulin-Like Receptor (HLA/KIR) mismatch could positively modulate the implantation process in patients with recurrent implantation failure (RIF). A KIR/HLA-C mismatch occurs when the interaction between KIRs and HLA-C causes an inhibition of NK cells, which may result in reduced G-CSF secretion leading to impaired placentation and increased risk of miscarriage, pre-eclampsia and fetal growth restriction.

DESIGN: A retrospective monocentric cohort study conducted at the IVI Clinic in Rome, including women with a history of at least two failed blastocyst transfers. Couples underwent KIR and HLA-C testing. Couples with a KIR/HLA-C mismatch received G-CSF subcutaneously up to week nine of gestation. The mismatch included cases with inhibitory KIR genotypes and HLA-C2C2 females with HLA-C1C1, or C1C2 males or HLA-C1C2 females with male HLA-C2C2. The reproductive outcomes were assessed, and the logistic regression models controlled for potential confounders affecting IVF outcomes.

RESULTS: 79 patients with RIF and a KIR/HLA-C mismatch were included in the study. 30 patients were administered G-CSF, and 49 received no treatment. In the univariate analysis, no statistically significant differences were reported in the reproductive outcomes after IVF between the women treated with G-CSF and the control group. However, the logistic regression analysis that controlled for confounding factors showed that patients treated with subcutaneous G-CSF had statistically significant higher ongoing-pregnancy (aOR=3.808) and live-birth (aOR=4.998) rates, and a lower miscarriage rate (aOR=0.057). No statistically significant differences were found in other reproductive outcomes.

CONCLUSION: The use of subcutaneous G-CSF in patients with a KIR/HLA-C mismatch undergoing IVF may reduce miscarriage and improve live-birth rates. G-CSF may modulate NK-mediated immune mechanisms and improve trophoblast invasion and development. Randomized trials are warranted to validate these findings and enhance the chances of successful pregnancies in couples with an immunological mismatch.

PMID:39106544 | DOI:10.1016/j.jri.2024.104310

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Cytokine profiles and their roles in development of provoked vulvodynia

J Reprod Immunol. 2024 Aug 3;165:104313. doi: 10.1016/j.jri.2024.104313. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Provoked, localized, vulvodynia (PVD) is the main subtype of vulvodynia. Although the etiology of PVD is still a topic of debate, inflammation caused by cytokines responding to a dysregulated microbiome is one of the leading proposed theories. Therefore, the purpose of our study is to further explore the cytokine profiles in the study group with PVD using multiplex immunoassays based on electrochemiluminescence. We compared a panel of 26 distinct cytokines levels in the study group with PVD (n = 23) to the control group (n = 18) and cytokine concentrations were measured using MESO QuickPlex SQ 120 instrument with 5 different multiplex assays. Statistical analysis used the Mann-Whitney U test, two-sided p-values, and a significance level of α = 0.05. Differences in cytokine concentrations are described as negligible, small, medium, or large based on Cliff’s δ. Concentrations of three cytokines were significantly lower in the PVD group: a large difference in IP-10 (p = 0.029*) and medium differences in IL-1RA4 (p = 0.030*) and IL-12 (p = 0.034*). One cytokine level was significantly higher in the PVD group: a medium difference for IL-6 (p = 0.037*). Due to the lack of consistency in elevation of inflammatory profiles, it is not enough to support persistent inflammation as the etiology behind PVD. However, these findings may indicate there is a possible immune response deficiency in some patients who have PVD. The resemblance of cytokine profile in our study to cytokine profile of people with chronic yeast infection further support this proposed mechanism behind PVD. Future studies involving history and testing for yeast infection are necessary to explore this possibility further.

PMID:39106543 | DOI:10.1016/j.jri.2024.104313

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Diffusion tensor analysis of white matter tracts is prognostic of persisting post-concussion symptoms in collegiate athletes

Neuroimage Clin. 2024 Jul 25;43:103646. doi: 10.1016/j.nicl.2024.103646. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: After a concussion diagnosis, the most important issue for patients and loved ones is how long it will take them to recover. The main objective of this study is to develop a prognostic model of concussion recovery. This model would benefit many patients worldwide, allowing for early treatment intervention.

METHODS: The Concussion Assessment, Research and Education (CARE) consortium study enrolled collegiate athletes from 30 sites (NCAA athletic departments and US Department of Defense service academies), 4 of which participated in the Advanced Research Core, which included diffusion-weighted MRI (dMRI) data collection. We analyzed the dMRI data of 51 injuries of concussed athletes scanned within 48 h of injury. All athletes were cleared to return-to-play by the local medical staff following a standardized, graduated protocol. The primary outcome measure is days to clearance of unrestricted return-to-play. Injuries were divided into early (return-to-play < 28 days) and late (return-to-play >= 28 days) recovery based on the return-to-play clinical records. The late recovery group meets the standard definition of Persisting Post-Concussion Symptoms (PPCS). Data were processed using automated, state-of-the-art, rigorous methods for reproducible data processing using brainlife.io. All processed data derivatives are made available at https://brainlife.io/project/63b2ecb0daffe2c2407ee3c5/dataset. The microstructural properties of 47 major white matter tracts, 5 callosal, 15 subcortical, and 148 cortical structures were mapped. Fractional Anisotropy (FA) and Mean Diffusivity (MD) were estimated for each tract and structure. Correlation analysis and Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) analysis were then performed to assess the association between the microstructural properties and return-to-play. Finally, a Logistic Regression binary classifier (LR-BC) was used to classify the injuries between the two recovery groups.

RESULTS: The mean FA across all white matter volume was negatively correlated with return-to-play (r = -0.38, p = 0.00001). No significant association between mean MD and return-to-play was found, neither for FA nor MD for any other structure. The mean FA of 47 white matter tracts was negatively correlated with return-to-play (rμ = -0.27; rσ = 0.08; rmin = -0.1; rmax = -0.43). Across all tracts, a large mean ROC Area Under the Curve (AUCFA) of 0.71 ± 0.09 SD was found. The top classification performance of the LR-BC was AUC = 0.90 obtained using the 16 statistically significant white matter tracts.

DISCUSSION: Utilizing a free, open-source, and automated cloud-based neuroimaging pipeline and app (https://brainlife.io/docs/tutorial/using-clairvoy/), a prognostic model has been developed, which predicts athletes at risk for slow recovery (PPCS) with an AUC=0.90, balanced accuracy = 0.89, sensitivity = 1.0, and specificity = 0.79. The small number of participants in this study (51 injuries) is a significant limitation and supports the need for future large concussion dMRI studies and focused on recovery.

PMID:39106542 | DOI:10.1016/j.nicl.2024.103646