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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Using global remote camera data of a solitary species complex to evaluate the drivers of group formation

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Mar 19;121(12):e2312252121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2312252121. Epub 2024 Mar 11.

ABSTRACT

The social system of animals involves a complex interplay between physiology, natural history, and the environment. Long relied upon discrete categorizations of “social” and “solitary” inhibit our capacity to understand species and their interactions with the world around them. Here, we use a globally distributed camera trapping dataset to test the drivers of aggregating into groups in a species complex (martens and relatives, family Mustelidae, Order Carnivora) assumed to be obligately solitary. We use a simple quantification, the probability of being detected in a group, that was applied across our globally derived camera trap dataset. Using a series of binomial generalized mixed-effects models applied to a dataset of 16,483 independent detections across 17 countries on four continents we test explicit hypotheses about potential drivers of group formation. We observe a wide range of probabilities of being detected in groups within the solitary model system, with the probability of aggregating in groups varying by more than an order of magnitude. We demonstrate that a species’ context-dependent proclivity toward aggregating in groups is underpinned by a range of resource-related factors, primarily the distribution of resources, with increasing patchiness of resources facilitating group formation, as well as interactions between environmental conditions (resource constancy/winter severity) and physiology (energy storage capabilities). The wide variation in propensities to aggregate with conspecifics observed here highlights how continued failure to recognize complexities in the social behaviors of apparently solitary species limits our understanding not only of the individual species but also the causes and consequences of group formation.

PMID:38466845 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2312252121

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Evaluation of the Safety of Uninterrupted Warfarin Anticoagulation With Tranexamic Acid in Total Joint Arthroplasty

Orthopedics. 2024 Mar 12:1-6. doi: 10.3928/01477447-20240304-04. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The continuation of long-term warfarin therapy is gaining acceptance in minor surgeries but maintaining therapeutic international normalized ratio (INR) values among patients during major orthopedic procedures raises concern. While bridging therapy with low-molecular-weight heparin is currently recommended for patients receiving anticoagulation, few studies have evaluated the safety of continuing warfarin during total joint arthroplasty. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of continuous warfarin anticoagulation through total joint arthroplasty with and without prophylactic tranexamic acid (TXA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, matched-pair analysis of two experimental groups of patients who underwent primary total hip arthroplasty or total knee arthroplasty performed by a single surgeon. Our first experimental group, warfarin plus TXA (warfarin+TXA), consisted of 21 patients who underwent arthroplasty while receiving therapeutic anticoagulation with warfarin (INR, 2.0-3.0) and who received prophylactic TXA. Our second experimental group, warfarin without TXA (warfarin-TXA), consisted of 40 patients who underwent arthroplasty while receiving therapeutic anticoagulation with warfarin (INR, 2.0-3.0) without prophylactic TXA.

RESULTS: The percent change in hemoglobin value after surgery, red blood cells transfused, surgical site infections, bleeding complications, and thrombotic complications were similar between both experimental and control groups. When comparing the historical group with the warfarin+TXA group, the addition of TXA resulted in a statistical decrease in mean red blood cells transfused and estimated blood loss, with no statistically significant increase in complications.

CONCLUSION: Many factors must be considered when choosing perioperative thromboembolic prophylaxis for arthroplasty candidates with medical comorbidities requiring long-term anticoagulation. This study presents data indicating that it could be safe and effective to continue therapeutic warfarin while using prophylactic TXA. [Orthopedics. 202x;4x(x):xx-xx.].

PMID:38466825 | DOI:10.3928/01477447-20240304-04

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Effect of Preoperative Antibiotic Therapy on Operative Culture Yield for Diagnosis of Native Joint Septic Arthritis

Clin Infect Dis. 2024 Mar 11:ciae136. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciae136. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Native joint septic arthritis (NJSA) is definitively diagnosed by a positive Gram stain or culture, along with supportive clinical findings. Preoperative antibiotics are known to alter synovial fluid cell count, Gram stain and culture results and are typically postponed until after arthrocentesis to optimize diagnostic accuracy. However, data on the impact of preoperative antibiotics on operative culture yield for NJSA diagnosis are limited.

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed adult cases of NJSA who underwent surgery at Mayo Clinic facilities from 2012-2021 to analyze the effect of preoperative antibiotics on operative culture yield through a paired analysis of preoperative culture (POC) and operative culture (OC) results using logistic regression and generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS: Two hundred ninety-nine patients with NJSA affecting 321 joints were included. Among those receiving preoperative antibiotics, yield significantly decreased from 68.0% at POC to 57.1% at OC (p < .001). In contrast, for patients without preoperative antibiotics there was a non-significant increase in yield from 60.9% at POC to 67.4% at OC (p = 0.244). In a logistic regression model for paired data, preoperative antibiotic exposure was more likely to decrease OC yield compared to non-exposure (OR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.24-3.64; p = .006). Within the preoperative antibiotic group, additional antibiotic doses and earlier antibiotic initiation were associated with lower OC yield.

CONCLUSION: In patients with NJSA, preoperative antibiotic exposure resulted in a significant decrease in microbiologic yield of operative cultures as compared to patients in whom antibiotic therapy was held prior to obtaining operative cultures.

PMID:38466824 | DOI:10.1093/cid/ciae136

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Efficacy and safety of therapeutic strategies for human brucellosis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2024 Mar 11;18(3):e0012010. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0012010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Human brucellosis is a neglected, re-emerging, and endemic zoonosis in many countries. The debilitating and disabling potential of the disease is a warning about its morbidity, generating socioeconomic impact. This review aims to update the current evidence on the efficacy and safety of therapeutic options for human brucellosis using the network meta-analysis (NMA).

METHODOLOGY: A systematic search was conducted in four different databases by independent reviewers to assess overall therapy failure, adverse events, and time to defervescence associated with different therapies. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) evaluating any therapeutic drug intervention were selected, excluding non-original studies or studies related to localized forms of the disease or with less than 10 participants. Data were analyzed by frequentist statistics through NMA by random effects model. The risk of bias and certainty of evidence was assessed, this review was registered at PROSPERO.

RESULTS: Thirty-one (31) RCTs involving 4167 patients were included. Three networks of evidence were identified to evaluate the outcomes of interest. Triple therapy with doxycycline + streptomycin + hydroxychloroquine for 42 days (RR: 0.08; CI 95% 0.01-0.76) had a lower failure risk than the doxycycline + streptomycin regimen. Doxycycline + rifampicin had a higher risk of failure than doxycycline + streptomycin (RR: 1.96; CI 95% 1.27-3.01). No significant difference was observed between the regimens when analyzing the incidence of adverse events and time to defervescence. In general, most studies had a high risk of bias, and the results had a very low certainty of evidence.

CONCLUSIONS: This review confirmed the superiority of drugs already indicated for treating human brucellosis, such as the combination of doxycycline and aminoglycosides. The association of hydroxychloroquine to the dual regimen was identified as a potential strategy to prevent overall therapy failure, which is subject to confirmation in future studies.

PMID:38466771 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0012010

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Camellin-Calossi Formula for Intraocular Lens Power Calculation in Patients With Previous Myopic Laser Vision Correction

J Refract Surg. 2024 Mar;40(3):e156-e163. doi: 10.3928/1081597X-20240208-02. Epub 2024 Mar 1.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To assess the performance of the Camellin-Calossi formula in eyes with prior myopic laser vision correction.

METHODS: This was a retrospective case series. Patients included had a history of uncomplicated myopic laser vision correction and cataract surgery. The primary outcome measures were cumulative distribution of absolute refractive prediction error, absolute refractive prediction error, and refractive prediction error. These parameters were estimated post-hoc using the Camellin-Calossi, Shammas, Haigis-L, Barrett True-K with or without history, Masket, and Modified Masket formulas and their averages starting from biometric data, clinical records, postoperative refraction, and intraocular lens power implanted.

RESULTS: Seventy-seven eyes from 77 patients were included. The Camellin-Calossi, Shammas, Haigis-L, Barrett True-K No History, Masket, Modified Masket, and Barrett True-K formulas showed a median absolute refractive error (interquartile range) of 0.25 (0.53), 0.51 (0.56), 0.44 (0.65), 0.45 (0.59), 0.40 (0.61), 0.60 (0.70), and 0.55 (0.76), respectively. The proportion of eyes with an absolute refractive error of ±0.25, 0.50, 0.75, 1.00, 1.50, and 2.00 diopters (D) for the Camellin-Calossi formula was 54.5%, 72.7%, 85.7%, 92.2%, 98.7%, and 100%, respectively. The cumulative distribution of the Camellin-Calossi formula showed the best qualitative performances when compared to the others. A statistically significant difference was identified with all of the others except the Haigis-L using a threshold of 0.25, with the Shammas, Modified Masket, and Barrett True-K at a threshold of 0.50 D and the Barrett True-K and Modified Masket at a threshold of 1.00 D.

CONCLUSIONS: The Camellin-Calossi formula is a valid option for intraocular lens power calculation in eyes with prior myopic laser vision correction. [J Refract Surg. 2024;40(3):e156-e163.].

PMID:38466761 | DOI:10.3928/1081597X-20240208-02

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Retraction of Tian et al. (2018)

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2024 Feb;126(2):281. doi: 10.1037/pspa0000374.

ABSTRACT

Reports the retraction of “Enacting rituals to improve self-control” by Allen Ding Tian, Juliana Schroeder, Gerald Häubl, Jane L. Risen, Michael I. Norton and Francesca Gino (Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2018[Jun], Vol 114[6], 851-876). This retraction follows from a 2023 review of the data reported in the article, which was conducted and reported to the journal by the authors. The authors, who agreed to the retraction, requested a correction after identifying discrepancies between the data analyzed for Study 1 and the data downloaded from Qualtrics. Fifteen participants’ condition codes (i.e., control versus experimental) differed between the data reported originally and what participants in the Qualtrics dataset reported doing (e.g., control participants who reported engaging in a ritual). The remaining 69 participants did not present these discrepancies. The authors’ reanalysis based on what participants reported doing invalidated the previous conclusion that enacting a ritual improved self-control as measured by food diaries. Specifically, the effect of what participants did on reported calorie consumption was not statistically significant (ritual participants M = 1,563.31, SD = 313.15; control participants M = 1,521.74, SD = 367.79, t[83] = 0.56, p = .576). The authors did not identify any discrepancies in the datafiles for Studies 2-16. The Study 1 participants were recruited at the University of Chicago gym under the supervision of Drs. Juliana Schroeder and Jane Risen. The statistical analyses reported in the article were conducted by Dr. Juliana Schroeder. A dataset containing the data with the original condition codes and the newly analyzed participants’ reports in the Qualtrics data appears at https://osf.io/3fk2c. (The following abstract of the original article appeared in record 2018-22169-001.) Rituals are predefined sequences of actions characterized by rigidity and repetition. We propose that enacting ritualized actions can enhance subjective feelings of self-discipline, such that rituals can be harnessed to improve behavioral self-control. We test this hypothesis in 6 experiments. A field experiment showed that engaging in a pre-eating ritual over a 5-day period helped participants reduce calorie intake (Experiment 1). Pairing a ritual with healthy eating behavior increased the likelihood of choosing healthy food in a subsequent decision (Experiment 2), and enacting a ritual before a food choice (i.e., without being integrated into the consumption process) promoted the choice of healthy food over unhealthy food (Experiments 3a and 3b). The positive effect of rituals on self-control held even when a set of ritualized gestures were not explicitly labeled as a ritual, and in other domains of behavioral self-control (i.e., prosocial decision-making; Experiments 4 and 5). Furthermore, Experiments 3a, 3b, 4, and 5 provided evidence for the psychological process underlying the effectiveness of rituals: heightened feelings of self-discipline. Finally, Experiment 5 showed that the absence of a self-control conflict eliminated the effect of rituals on behavior, demonstrating that rituals affect behavioral self-control specifically because they alter responses to self-control conflicts. We conclude by briefly describing the results of a number of additional experiments examining rituals in other self-control domains. Our body of evidence suggests that rituals can have beneficial consequences for self-control. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

PMID:38466335 | DOI:10.1037/pspa0000374

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Clinical Decision Support for Hypertension Management in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA Intern Med. 2024 Mar 11. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.8315. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects 37 million adults in the United States, and for patients with CKD, hypertension is a key risk factor for adverse outcomes, such as kidney failure, cardiovascular events, and death.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate a computerized clinical decision support (CDS) system for the management of uncontrolled hypertension in patients with CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This multiclinic, randomized clinical trial randomized primary care practitioners (PCPs) at a primary care network, including 15 hospital-based, ambulatory, and community health center-based clinics, through a stratified, matched-pair randomization approach February 2021 to February 2022. All adult patients with a visit to a PCP in the last 2 years were eligible and those with evidence of CKD and hypertension were included.

INTERVENTION: The intervention consisted of a CDS system based on behavioral economic principles and human-centered design methods that delivered tailored, evidence-based recommendations, including initiation or titration of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors. The patients in the control group received usual care from PCPs with the CDS system operating in silent mode.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was the change in mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) between baseline and 180 days compared between groups. The primary analysis was a repeated measures linear mixed model, using SBP at baseline, 90 days, and 180 days in an intention-to-treat repeated measures model to account for missing data. Secondary outcomes included blood pressure (BP) control and outcomes such as percentage of patients who received an action that aligned with the CDS recommendations.

RESULTS: The study included 174 PCPs and 2026 patients (mean [SD] age, 75.3 [0.3] years; 1223 [60.4%] female; mean [SD] SBP at baseline, 154.0 [14.3] mm Hg), with 87 PCPs and 1029 patients randomized to the intervention and 87 PCPs and 997 patients randomized to usual care. Overall, 1714 patients (84.6%) were treated for hypertension at baseline. There were 1623 patients (80.1%) with an SBP measurement at 180 days. From the linear mixed model, there was a statistically significant difference in mean SBP change in the intervention group compared with the usual care group (change, -14.6 [95% CI, -13.1 to -16.0] mm Hg vs -11.7 [-10.2 to -13.1] mm Hg; P = .005). There was no difference in the percentage of patients who achieved BP control in the intervention group compared with the control group (50.4% [95% CI, 46.5% to 54.3%] vs 47.1% [95% CI, 43.3% to 51.0%]). More patients received an action aligned with the CDS recommendations in the intervention group than in the usual care group (49.9% [95% CI, 45.1% to 54.8%] vs 34.6% [95% CI, 29.8% to 39.4%]; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: These findings suggest that implementing this computerized CDS system could lead to improved management of uncontrolled hypertension and potentially improved clinical outcomes at the population level for patients with CKD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03679247.

PMID:38466302 | DOI:10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.8315

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Treatment of Refractory Status Epilepticus With Continuous Intravenous Anesthetic Drugs: A Systematic Review

JAMA Neurol. 2024 Mar 11. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2024.0108. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Multiple continuous intravenous anesthetic drugs (CIVADs) are available for the treatment of refractory status epilepticus (RSE). There is a paucity of data comparing the different types of CIVADs used for RSE.

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and compare outcome measures associated with the initial CIVAD choice in RSE in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines.

EVIDENCE REVIEW: Data sources included English and non-English articles using Embase, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Web of Science (January 1994-June 2023) as well as manual search. Study selection included peer-reviewed studies of 5 or more patients and at least 1 patient older than 12 years with status epilepticus refractory to a benzodiazepine and at least 1 standard antiseizure medication, treated with continuously infused midazolam, ketamine, propofol, pentobarbital, or thiopental. Independent extraction of articles was performed using prespecified data items. The association between outcome variables and CIVAD was examined with an analysis of variance or χ2 test where appropriate. Binary logistic regressions were used to examine the association between outcome variables and CIVAD with etiology, change in mortality over time, electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring (continuous vs intermittent), and treatment goal (seizure vs burst suppression) included as covariates. Risk of bias was addressed by listing the population and type of each study.

FINDINGS: A total of 66 studies with 1637 patients were included. Significant differences among CIVAD groups in short-term failure, hypotension, and CIVAD substitution during treatment were observed. Non-epilepsy-related RSE (vs epilepsy-related RSE) was associated with a higher rate of CIVAD substitution (60 of 120 [50.0%] vs 11 of 43 [25.6%]; odds ratio [OR], 3.11; 95% CI, 1.44-7.11; P = .006) and mortality (98 of 227 [43.2%] vs 7 of 63 [11.1%]; OR, 17.0; 95% CI, 4.71-109.35; P < .001). Seizure suppression was associated with mortality (OR, 7.72; 95% CI, 1.77-39.23; P = .005), but only a small subgroup was available for analysis (seizure suppression: 17 of 22 [77.3%] from 3 publications vs burst suppression: 25 of 98 [25.5%] from 12 publications). CIVAD choice and EEG type were not predictors of mortality. Earlier publication year was associated with mortality, although the observation was no longer statistically significant after adjusting SEs for clustering.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Epilepsy-related RSE was associated with lower mortality compared with other RSE etiologies. A trend of decreasing mortality over time was observed, which may suggest an effect of advances in neurocritical care. The overall data are heterogeneous, which limits definitive conclusions on the choice of optimal initial CIVAD in RSE treatment.

PMID:38466294 | DOI:10.1001/jamaneurol.2024.0108

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Social Determinants of Health and Redirection of Care for Infants Born Extremely Preterm

JAMA Pediatr. 2024 Mar 11. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.0125. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Redirection of care refers to withdrawal, withholding, or limiting escalation of treatment. Whether maternal social determinants of health are associated with redirection of care discussions merits understanding.

OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between maternal social determinants of health and redirection of care discussions for infants born extremely preterm.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort of infants born at less than 29 weeks’ gestation between April 2011 and December 2020 at 19 National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network centers in the US. Follow-up occurred between January 2013 and October 2023. Included infants received active treatment at birth and had mothers who identified as Black or White. Race was limited to Black and White based on service disparities between these groups and limited sample size for other races. Maternal social determinant of health exposures were education level (high school nongraduate or graduate), insurance type (public/none or private), race (Black or White), and ethnicity (Hispanic or non-Hispanic).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was documented discussion about redirection of infant care. Secondary outcomes included subsequent redirection of care occurrence and, for those born at less than 27 weeks’ gestation, death and neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 26 months’ corrected age.

RESULTS: Of the 15 629 infants (mean [SD] gestational age, 26 [2] weeks; 7961 [51%] male) from 13 643 mothers, 2324 (15%) had documented redirection of care discussions. In unadjusted comparisons, there was no significant difference in the percentage of infants with redirection of care discussions by race (Black, 1004/6793 [15%]; White, 1320/8836 [15%]) or ethnicity (Hispanic, 291/2105 [14%]; non-Hispanic, 2020/13 408 [15%]). However, after controlling for maternal and neonatal factors, infants whose mothers identified as Black or as Hispanic were less likely to have documented redirection of care discussions than infants whose mothers identified as White (Black vs White adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.96) or as non-Hispanic (Hispanic vs non-Hispanic aOR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.60-0.87). Redirection of care discussion occurrence did not differ by maternal education level or insurance type.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: For infants born extremely preterm, redirection of care discussions occurred less often for Black and Hispanic infants than for White and non-Hispanic infants. It is important to explore the possible reasons underlying these differences.

PMID:38466268 | DOI:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.0125

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Pragmatic Implementation of Online Obesity Treatment and Maintenance Interventions in Primary Care: A Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA Intern Med. 2024 Mar 11. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.8438. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Behavioral weight loss interventions have achieved success in primary care; however, to our knowledge, pragmatic implementation of a fully automated treatment that requires little researcher oversight has not been tested. Moreover, weight loss maintenance remains a challenge.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term effectiveness of an automated, online, behavioral obesity treatment program (Rx Weight Loss [RxWL]) at 12 months (primary end point) and 24 months when delivered pragmatically in primary care and to compare the effectiveness of 3 weight loss maintenance approaches.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This randomized clinical trial of RxWL, an online weight loss program, recruited patients from a Rhode Island primary care network with approximately 60 practices and 100 physicians. Eligible participants were primary care patients aged 18 to 75 years with overweight or obesity who were referred by their nurse care manager and enrolled between 2018 and 2020. All participants were included in the intention-to-treat analysis, whereas only those who engaged with maintenance intervention were included in the per-protocol analysis. Data were analyzed from August 2022 to September 2023.

INTERVENTIONS: All participants were offered the same 3-month weight loss program, with randomization to one of three 9-month maintenance programs: control intervention (monthly online newsletters), monthly intervention (9 monthly video lessons and 1 week of self-monitoring per month), or refresher intervention (an introductory session and two 4-week periods of lessons and self-monitoring at 7 and 10 months).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was weight change at 12 months using height and weight data collected from electronic medical records through 24 months.

RESULTS: Among the 540 participants (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [13.4] years; 384 females [71.1%]) in the intention-to-treat analysis, mean estimated 3-month weight loss was 3.60 (95% CI, -4.32 to -2.88) kg. At the 12-month primary end point, the amount of weight regained in the monthly (0.37 [95% CI, -0.06 to 0.81] kg) and refresher (0.45 [95% CI, 0.27 to 0.87] kg) maintenance groups was significantly less than that in the newsletter control maintenance group (1.28 [95% CI, 0.85 to 1.71] kg; P = .004). The difference in weight regain between the monthly and refresher maintenance groups was not statistically significant. This pattern persisted at 24 months. In the per-protocol analysis of 253 participants, mean weight loss at the end of the initial 3-month intervention was 6.19 (95% CI, -7.25 to -5.13) kg. Similarly, at 12 months there was less weight regain in the monthly (0.61 kg) and refresher (0.96 kg) maintenance groups than in the newsletter control maintenance group (1.86 kg).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Results of this randomized clinical trial indicate that pragmatic implementation of a 12-month automated, online, behavioral obesity treatment that includes 9 months of active maintenance produces clinically significant weight loss over 2 years in primary care patients with overweight or obesity. These findings underscore the importance of providing ongoing maintenance intervention to prevent weight regain.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03488212.

PMID:38466266 | DOI:10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.8438