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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Does climate help modeling COVID-19 risk and to what extent?

PLoS One. 2022 Sep 7;17(9):e0273078. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0273078. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

A growing number of studies suggest that climate may impact the spread of COVID-19. This hypothesis is supported by data from similar viral contagions, such as SARS and the 1918 Flu Pandemic, and corroborated by US influenza data. However, the extent to which climate may affect COVID-19 transmission rates and help modeling COVID-19 risk is still not well understood. This study demonstrates that such an understanding is attainable through the development of regression models that verify how climate contributes to modeling COVID-19 transmission, and the use of feature importance techniques that assess the relative weight of meteorological variables compared to epidemiological, socioeconomic, environmental, and global health factors. The ensuing results show that meteorological factors play a key role in regression models of COVID-19 risk, with ultraviolet radiation (UV) as the main driver. These results are corroborated by statistical correlation analyses and a panel data fixed-effect model confirming that UV radiation coefficients are significantly negatively correlated with COVID-19 transmission rates.

PMID:36070304 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0273078

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Dialysate calcium, alfacalcidol, and clinical outcomes: A post-hoc analysis of the J-DAVID trial

PLoS One. 2022 Sep 7;17(9):e0273195. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0273195. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

The selection of dialysate calcium concentration (D-Ca) is still controversial among chronic hemodialysis (HD) regimens. We examined the trajectories of CKD MBD parameters among the J-DAVID trial participants to see the effect of D-Ca and alfacalcidol. The trial was an open-label randomized clinical trial including 976 HD patients with intact PTH of 180 pg/mL or lower which compared the users of vitamin D receptor activator (oral alfacalcidol) and non-users over a median of 4 years. The main D-Ca used at baseline were 3.0 mEq/L in 70% and 2.5 mEq/L in 25%, respectively. The primary endpoint was the composite of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events and the secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses in which D-Ca was included as a possible effect modifier and serum laboratory data as time-varying covariates showed no significant effect modification for composite cardiovascular events or all-cause mortality. This post hoc analysis showed that the effects of alfacalcidol on cardiovascular outcomes were not significantly modified by D-Ca.

PMID:36070301 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0273195

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Relationship between health literacy and disease-specific quality of life in patients with sinonasal disease

Int Forum Allergy Rhinol. 2022 Sep 7. doi: 10.1002/alr.23082. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with limited health literacy tend to have worse medical outcomes, often due to decreased medication compliance or reduced capacity to self-manage disease. Health literacy can be assessed using validated tools such as the Brief health literacy screening tool (BRIEF). This study theorizes that lower health literacy is associated with worse sinonasal disease quality of life (QOL).

METHODS: A cohort of 187 patients at our clinic were routinely screened for health literacy and rhinosinusitis disability index (RSDI) scores. Health literacy is categorized into “Limited,” “Marginal,” and “Adequate.” The higher the RSDI, the worse the patient’s QOL. Patients were stratified into “New” and “Established” groups. Their demographic data and sinonasal disease-specific QOL were recorded. Statistical analysis was performed to assess the relationship between health literacy and Sinonasal Disease-specific QOL.

RESULTS: The cohort mean age was 50 years, and 56% were females. In “New” patients, “Limited” health literacy was associated with an increase in RSDI scores (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that patients with limited health literacy have a worse sinonasal disease-specific QOL. Therefore, rhinologists must be aware of this discrepancy and tailor their care appropriately to help patients with limited health literacy. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:36070205 | DOI:10.1002/alr.23082

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Agency in Contraceptive Decision-Making in Patient Care: a Psychometric Measure

J Gen Intern Med. 2022 Sep 7. doi: 10.1007/s11606-022-07774-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patient agency in contraceptive decision-making is an essential component of reproductive autonomy.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop a psychometrically robust measure of patient contraceptive agency in the clinic visit, as a measure does not yet exist.

DESIGN: For scale development, we generated and field tested 54 questionnaire items, grounded in qualitative research. We used item response theory-based methods to select and evaluate scale items for psychometric performance. We iteratively examined model fit, dimensionality, internal consistency, internal structure validity, and differential item functioning to arrive at a final scale.

PARTICIPANTS: A racially/ethnically diverse sample of 338 individuals, aged 15-34 years, receiving contraceptive care across nine California clinics in 2019-2020.

MAIN MEASURES: Contraceptive Agency Scale (CAS) of patient agency in preventive care.

KEY RESULTS: Participants were 20.5 mean years, with 36% identifying as Latinx, 26% White, 20% Black, 10% Asian/Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander. Scale items covered the domains of freedom from coercion, non-judgmental care, and active decision-making, and loaded on to a single factor, with a Cronbach’s α of 0.80. Item responses fit a unidimensional partial credit item response model (weighted mean square statistic within 0.75-1.33 for each item), met criteria for internal structure validity, and showed no meaningful differential item functioning. Most participants expressed high agency in their contraceptive visit (mean score 9.6 out of 14). One-fifth, however, experienced low agency or coercion, with the provider wanting them to use a specific method or to make decisions for them. Agency scores were lowest among Asian/Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander participants (adjusted coefficient: -1.5 [-2.9, -0.1] vs. White) and among those whose mothers had less than a high school education (adjusted coefficient; -2.1 [-3.3, -0.8] vs. college degree or more).

CONCLUSIONS: The Contraceptive Agency Scale can be used in research and clinical care to reinforce non-coercive service provision as a standard of care.

PMID:36070169 | DOI:10.1007/s11606-022-07774-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalent vertebral fractures among urban-dwelling Chinese postmenopausal women: a population-based, randomized-sampling, cross-sectional study

Arch Osteoporos. 2022 Sep 7;17(1):120. doi: 10.1007/s11657-022-01158-x.

ABSTRACT

In this population-based, cross-sectional study, we investigated vertebral fracture (VF) prevalence among Chinese postmenopausal women. We found 14.7% of population had VFs, which increased with age. Age ≥ 65 years, hip fracture, and densitometric osteoporosis were significantly associated with VFs. The prevalence of osteoporosis was remarkably high.

PURPOSE: To investigate VF prevalence among Chinese postmenopausal women in this population-based, randomized-sampling, cross-sectional study.

METHODS: The investigator obtained lists of women from communities. Randomization was performed using SAS programming based on age group in each region. Postmenopausal women aged ≥ 50 years in the urban community were included. The investigator interviewed subjects to collect self-reported data and measured BMD. Spine radiographs were adjudicated by Genant’s semi-quantitative method. VFs were defined as fractures of at least one vertebra classified by Genant’s score 1-3 and were analyzed using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS: A total of 31,205 women listed for randomized sampling from 10 Tier-3 hospitals at 5 regions. Of 2634 women in the full analysis set, 14.7% (388/2634, 95% CI: 13.4, 17.1) had prevalent VFs. VF prevalence increased with age (Cochran-Armitage test p < 0.0001) and was significantly higher in women aged ≥ 65. VF prevalence did not differ between North (14.4%, 95% CI: 12.5, 16.4) and South China (15.1%, 95% CI: 13.3, 17.1). In women with no prior VFs, prevalent VFs were 12.4% (95% CI: 11.2, 13.7). Age ≥ 65 years (OR: 2.57, 95% CI: 1.91, 3.48), hip fracture (OR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.09, 4.76), and densitometric osteoporosis (OR: 2.52, 95% CI: 1.96, 3.22) were significantly associated with prevalent VFs. Prevalence of osteoporosis was 32.9% measured by BMD and 40.8% using NOF/IOF clinical diagnosis criteria.

CONCLUSION: VFs are prevalent among Chinese postmenopausal women who were ≥ 50 years and community-dwelled. Osteoporosis prevalence is remarkable when fragile fractures were part of clinical diagnosis.

PMID:36070158 | DOI:10.1007/s11657-022-01158-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

T-shaped handle set-up: effects of handle diameter, between-handle distance, workpiece orientation, working height, and exertion direction on two-handed torque strength, usability, comfort, and discomfort

Ergonomics. 2022 Sep 7:1-44. doi: 10.1080/00140139.2022.2122587. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The use of both hands is often required for force/torque exertions, particularly when using hand tools. This study investigated the effects of handle diameter (3-5 cm), between-handle distance (0.5-1.5 shoulder span (SS), workpiece orientation (horizontal/frontal), working height (shoulder/elbow/knuckle), and exertion direction (clockwise/counter-clockwise) on maximum two-handed torque strength, usability and comfort/discomfort while using T-shaped handles. Participant (n = 20) performed 36 experimental conditions. The handle diameter had no significant main effect on torque strength. The 3 cm diameter handle was associated with better usability and comfort compared to other options. Higher torque values were recorded with between-handle distance of 1.0 and 1.5 SS, in frontal plane, in shoulder and knuckle heights, and in counter-clockwise direction. The between-handle distance of 1.0 SS had better comfort and higher usability than other conditions. Interactions between the between-handle distance and working height, between-handle distance and workpiece orientation, and workpiece orientation and working height were also significant.

PMID:36069666 | DOI:10.1080/00140139.2022.2122587

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of a web-based HPV vaccination intervention on cognitive outcomes among young gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2022 Sep 7:2114261. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2022.2114261. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Knowledge, attitudes, and beliefs are important antecedents to HPV vaccination, yet remain suboptimal among young gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (YGBMSM). We report the effects of a theoretically-informed, web-based HPV vaccination intervention on these cognitive outcomes. From 2019-2021, we recruited a national sample of YGBMSM ages 18-25 in the United States who were unvaccinated against HPV (n = 1,227). Participants received either standard HPV vaccination information online (control) or population-targeted, individually-tailored content online (Outsmart HPV intervention). Mixed effects models determined if pre-post changes in cognitive outcomes differed between study groups. For five of seven knowledge items about HPV, there were larger pre-post increases among the intervention group than the control group in the percentage of participants who provided correct responses (all statistically significant at p = .05 after Holm’s correction). There were also larger pre-post improvements among the intervention group than the control group for most attitudes and beliefs examined, including response efficacy of HPV vaccine (pre-post increases in means: 0.57 vs. 0.38); self-efficacy for the HPV vaccination process (pre-post increases in means: 0.23 vs. 0.10); and intention to get HPV vaccine (pre-post increases in means: 0.70 vs. 0.28) (all statistically significant at p = .05 after Holm’s correction). Outsmart HPV is a promising tool for improving key cognitive antecedents to HPV vaccination among YGBMSM, supporting the use of theoretically-informed interventions to affect such outcomes. If efficacious in increasing HPV vaccine uptake in future analyses, this intervention could be utilized in clinical and other healthcare settings that provide services to YGBMSM.

PMID:36069662 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2022.2114261

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Examining the Gender Imbalance in the National Community Health Assistant Program in Liberia: A Qualitative Analysis of Policy and Program Implementation

Health Policy Plan. 2022 Sep 7:czac075. doi: 10.1093/heapol/czac075. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The Revised National Community Health Services Policy (2016-2021) (RNCHSP) and its program implementation, the Liberian National Community Health Assistant Program (NCHAP), exhibit a critical gender imbalance among the Community Health Assistants (CHAs) as only 17% are women (MOH, 2016). This study was designed to assess the gender responsiveness of the RNCHSP and its program implementation in five counties across Liberia to identify opportunities to improve gender equity in the program. Using qualitative methods, 16 semi structured interviews were conducted with policymakers and 32 with CHAs, other members of the community health workforce and community members. The study found that despite the Government of Liberia’s intention to prioritise women in the recruitment and selection of CHAs, the planning and implementation of the RNCHSP were not gender responsive. While the role of community structures, such as Community Health Committees, in the nomination and selection of CHAs is central to community ownership of the program, unfavourable gender norms influenced women’s nomination to become CHAs. Cultural, social and religious perceptions and practices of gender created inequitable expectations that negatively influenced the recruitment of women CHAs. In particular, the education requirement for CHAs posed a significant barrier to women’s nomination and selection as CHAs, due to disparities in access to education for girls in Liberia. The inequitable gender balance of CHAs has impacted the accessibility, acceptability, and affordability of community healthcare services, particularly among women. Strengthening the gender responsiveness within the RNCHSP and its program implementation is key to fostering gender equity among the health workforce and strengthening a key pillar of the health system. Employing gender responsive policies and programs will likely increase the effectiveness of community healthcare services.

PMID:36069652 | DOI:10.1093/heapol/czac075

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Chest ultrasound findings in usual interstitial pneumonia patterns: a pilot study

Monaldi Arch Chest Dis. 2022 Sep 7. doi: 10.4081/monaldi.2022.2356. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

It is unknown what role chest ultrasound plays in distinguishing the various usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) patterns of high-resolution chest tomography (HRCT). The purpose of this study was to see if there was a link between the results of chest ultrasound (u/s) and HRCT in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We performed chest u/s in 16 patients with UIP and probable UIP patterns to indeterminate UIP and alternative diagnosis patterns in this single center prospective study to determine any possible relationship with the HRCT findings. A chest radiologist reviewed each HRCT to determine the pattern in accordance with the American Thoracic Society (ATS) / European Respiratory Society (ERS) Guidelines. The local multidisciplinary committee validated the patients’ diagnoses before they were included. When compared to the indeterminate for UIP or alternative diagnosis pattern group, there was a trend (p=0.07) toward the presence of more B lines in UIP or probable UIP patterns. There was no statistically significant difference in the presence of small, large, white lung, or pleural line thickening >5mm. Subgroup analysis revealed that patients with honeycombing were more likely to have a fragmented pleural line (p=0.04). To summarize, in our pilot study, chest u/s appears unable to differentiate UIP and probable UIP patterns from indeterminate UIP and alternative diagnosis patterns. However, it appears that this technique can be used to recognize the honeycombing pattern.

PMID:36069640 | DOI:10.4081/monaldi.2022.2356

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Time Series Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Genomes and Correlations among Highly Prevalent Mutations

Microbiol Spectr. 2022 Sep 7:e0121922. doi: 10.1128/spectrum.01219-22. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The efforts of the scientific community to tame the recent pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seem to have been diluted by the emergence of new viral strains. Therefore, it is imperative to understand the effect of mutations on viral evolution. We performed a time series analysis on 59,541 SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences from around the world to gain insights into the kinetics of the mutations arising in the viral genomes. These 59,541 genomes were grouped according to month (January 2020 to March 2021) based on the collection date. Meta-analysis of these data led us to identify significant mutations in viral genomes. Pearson correlation of these mutations led us to the identification of 16 comutations. Among these comutations, some of the individual mutations have been shown to contribute to viral replication and fitness, suggesting a possible role of other unexplored mutations in viral evolution. We observed that the mutations 241C>T in the 5′ untranslated region (UTR), 3037C>T in nsp3, 14408C>T in the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), and 23403A>G in spike are correlated with each other and were grouped in a single cluster by hierarchical clustering. These mutations have replaced the wild-type nucleotides in SARS-CoV-2 sequences. Additionally, we employed a suite of computational tools to investigate the effects of T85I (1059C>T), P323L (14408C>T), and Q57H (25563G>T) mutations in nsp2, RdRp, and the ORF3a protein of SARS-CoV-2, respectively. We observed that the mutations T85I and Q57H tend to be deleterious and destabilize the respective wild-type protein, whereas P323L in RdRp tends to be neutral and has a stabilizing effect. IMPORTANCE We performed a meta-analysis on SARS-CoV-2 genomes categorized by collection month and identified several significant mutations. Pearson correlation analysis of these significant mutations identified 16 comutations having absolute correlation coefficients of >0.4 and a frequency of >30% in the genomes used in this study. The correlation results were further validated by another statistical tool called hierarchical clustering, where mutations were grouped in clusters on the basis of their similarity. We identified several positive and negative correlations among comutations in SARS-CoV-2 isolates from around the world which might contribute to viral pathogenesis. The negative correlations among some of the mutations in SARS-CoV-2 identified in this study warrant further investigations. Further analysis of mutations such as T85I in nsp2 and Q57H in ORF3a protein revealed that these mutations tend to destabilize the protein relative to the wild type, whereas P323L in RdRp is neutral and has a stabilizing effect. Thus, we have identified several comutations which can be further characterized to gain insights into SARS-CoV-2 evolution.

PMID:36069583 | DOI:10.1128/spectrum.01219-22