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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Early warning indicators capture catastrophic transitions driven by explicit rates of environmental change

Ecology. 2024 Feb 23:e4240. doi: 10.1002/ecy.4240. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In response to external changes, ecosystems can undergo catastrophic transitions. Early warning indicators aim to predict such transitions based on the phenomenon of critical slowing down at bifurcation points found under a constant environment. When an explicit rate of environmental change is considered, catastrophic transitions can become distinct phenomena from bifurcations, and result from a delayed response to noncatastrophic bifurcations. We use a trophic metacommunity model where transitions in time series and bifurcations of the system are distinct phenomena. We calculate early warning indicators from the time series of the continually changing system and show that they predict not the bifurcation of the underlying system but the actual catastrophic transition driven by the explicit rate of change. Predictions based on the bifurcation structure could miss catastrophic transitions that can still be captured by early warning signals calculated from time series. Our results expand the repertoire of mechanistic models used to anticipate catastrophic transitions to nonequilibrium ecological systems exposed to a constant rate of environmental change.

PMID:38400588 | DOI:10.1002/ecy.4240

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A framework for testing non-inferiority in a three-arm, sequential, multiple assignment randomized trial

Stat Methods Med Res. 2024 Feb 23:9622802241232124. doi: 10.1177/09622802241232124. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Sequential multiple assignment randomized trial design is becoming increasingly used in the field of precision medicine. This design allows comparisons of sequences of adaptive interventions tailored to the individual patient. Superiority testing is usually the initial goal in order to determine which embedded adaptive intervention yields the best primary outcome on average. When direct superiority is not evident, yet an adaptive intervention poses other benefits, then non-inferiority testing is warranted. Non-inferiority testing in the sequential multiple assignment randomized trial setup is rather new and involves the specification of non-inferiority margin and other important assumptions that are often unverifiable internally. These challenges are not specific to sequential multiple assignment randomized trial and apply to two-arm non-inferiority trials that do not include a standard-of-care (or placebo) arm. To address some of these challenges, three-arm non-inferiority trials that include the standard-of-care arm are proposed. However, methods developed so far for three-arm non-inferiority trials are not sequential multiple assignment randomized trial-specific. This is because apart from embedded adaptive interventions, sequential multiple assignment randomized trial typically does not include a third standard-of-care arm. In this article, we consider a three-arm sequential multiple assignment randomized trial from an National Institutes of Health-funded study of symptom management strategies among people undergoing cancer treatment. Motivated by that example, we propose a novel data analytic method for non-inferiority testing in the framework of three-arm sequential multiple assignment randomized trial for the first time. Sample size and power considerations are discussed through extensive simulation studies to elucidate our method.

PMID:38400576 | DOI:10.1177/09622802241232124

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of cannula diameter on pregnancy outcomes after minimally invasive fetal laser surgery in the treatment of twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2024 Feb 23. doi: 10.1111/aogs.14761. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (PPROM) remains a major complication of fetal laser surgery in the treatment of twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS). The aim of the study was to determine the impact of cannula size on pregnancy outcomes, with a particular focus on PPROM.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: The protocol was developed and registered in the PROSPERO database under registration number CRD42022333630. The PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE databases were searched electronically on May 18, 2022, and updated on March 2, 2023, utilizing a combination of the relevant MeSH terms, keywords, and word variants for “TTTS” and “laser”. Randomized controlled trials, prospective and retrospective cohorts, case-control studies, and case reports/series with more than five participants were considered eligible for inclusion. Studies reporting the cannula diameter and PPROM rate after laser surgery in the treatment of monochorionic pregnancies affected by TTTS between 16- and 26 weeks’ gestation were included. Data was extracted independently, and when appropriate, a random-effects meta-analysis was undertaken to calculate pooled estimates and their confidence intervals. Heterogeneity in the effect estimates of the individual studies was calculated using the I2 statistic. The primary outcome was PPROM rate. Secondary outcomes were survival rate, preterm birth, and incomplete surgery. The quality of the included studies was assessed using a modified quality in prognosis study tool.

RESULTS: We included a total of 22 studies, consisting of 3426 patients. Only one study was scored as low quality, seven as moderate quality, and the remaining 14 as high quality. The mean PPROM rate after laser surgery treating TTTS was 22.9%, ranging from 11.6% for 9 French (Fr) to 54.0% for 12 Fr. Subsequent meta-regression for the clinically relevant PPROM rate before 34 weeks of gestation, showed increased PPROM rates for increased cannula size (p-value 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review confirmed PPROM as a frequent complication of fetal laser surgery, with a mean PPROM rate of 22.9%. A larger cannula diameter relates to a significant higher PPROM risk for PPROM before 34 weeks gestation. Hence, the ideal balance between optimal visualization requiring larger port diameters and shorter operation time and more complete procedures that benefit from larger diameters is crucial to reduce iatrogenic PPROM rates.

PMID:38400574 | DOI:10.1111/aogs.14761

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association between 4%-tetrasodium EDTA and sepsis in neonatal piglets: A retrospective cohort study

JPEN J Parenter Enteral Nutr. 2024 Feb 23. doi: 10.1002/jpen.2609. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Central line-associated bloodstream infections are a major concern for children with intestinal failure and in animal research using parenteral nutrition (PN). In neonatal piglets receiving PN, we compared sepsis, line occlusions, line replacements, mortality, and costs with and without the use of a 4%-tetrasodium ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (T-EDTA) locking solution.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of piglets with a central venous jugular catheter enrolled in 14-day exclusive PN (TPN) trials or in 7-day short bowel syndrome (SBS) trials, before and after initiation of T-EDTA. Lines were locked with a 1-ml solution for 2 h daily (T-EDTATPN, n = 17; T-EDTASBS, n = 48) and compared with our prior standard of care using 1.5-ml heparin flushes twice daily (CONTPN, n = 34; CONSBS, n = 48). Line patency and signs of sepsis were checked twice daily. Jugular catheters were replaced for occlusions whenever possible. Humane end points were used for sepsis not responding to antibiotic treatment or unresolved catheter occlusions.

RESULTS: Compared with CON, sepsis was reduced using T-EDTA, significantly for TPN (P = 0.006) and with a trend for SBS piglets (P = 0.059). Line occlusions necessitating line changes were reduced 15% in TPN studies (P = 0.16), and no line occlusions occurred for T-EDTA SBS piglets.

CONCLUSION: In our neonatal piglet research, use of T-EDTA locking solution decreased sepsis and, although not statistically significant, reduced occlusions requiring line replacements. Given the expense of animal research, adding a locking solution must be cost-effective, and we were able to show that T-EDTA significantly reduced total research costs and improved animal welfare.

PMID:38400572 | DOI:10.1002/jpen.2609

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outcome of malignant lymphoma in Ukraine. Analysis of 563 cases registered in the Ukrainian Lymphoma Registry in 2019-2021

Br J Haematol. 2024 Feb 23. doi: 10.1111/bjh.19352. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We report the outcome of 563 cases of newly diagnosed lymphoma registered in 2019-2021, including 176 cases (31.2%) of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), 130 (23.1%) of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), 28 (5%) of follicular lymphoma (FL), 16 (2.9%) of mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) and 20 (3.5%) of peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL). After a median follow-up of 30.1 months (95% CI: 28.8-31.3), the 3-year overall survival rates were 95%, 83%, 86%, 100%, 61% and 42% for HL, DLBCL, CLL, FL, MCL and PTCL respectively. These data offer valuable information on the curability of lymphoma patients in Ukraine, in a real-world setting.

PMID:38400556 | DOI:10.1111/bjh.19352

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patellar tendon biomechanical and morphologic properties and their relationship to serum clinical variables in persons with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes

J Orthop Res. 2024 Feb 23. doi: 10.1002/jor.25816. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Tendon biomechanical properties and fibril organization are altered in patients with diabetes compared to healthy individuals, yet few biomarkers have been associated with in vivo tendon properties. We investigated the relationships between in vivo imaging-based tendon properties, serum variables, and patient characteristics across healthy controls (n = 14, age: 45 ± 5 years, body mass index [BMI]: 24 ± 1, hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c]: 5.3 ± 0.1%), prediabetes (n = 14, age: 54 ± 5 years, BMI: 29 ± 2; HbA1c: 5.7 ± 0.1), and type 2 diabetes (n = 13, age: 55 ± 3 years, BMI: 33 ± 2, HbA1c: 6.7 ± 0.3). We used ultrasound speckle-tracking and measurements from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to estimate the patellar tendon in vivo tangent modulus. Analysis of plasma c-peptide, interleukin-1β (IL-1β), IL-6, IL-8, tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), adiponectin, leptin, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), and C-reactive protein (CRP) was completed. We built regression models incorporating statistically significant covariates and indicators for the clinically defined groups. We found that tendon cross-sectional area normalized to body weight (BWN CSA) and modulus were lower in patients with type 2 diabetes than in healthy controls (p < 0.05). Our regression analysis revealed that a model that included BMI, leptin, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), age, and group explained ~70% of the variability in BWN CSA (R2 = 0.70, p < 0.001). For modulus, including the main effects LDL, groups, HbA1c, age, BMI, cholesterol, IGF-1, c-peptide, leptin, and IL-6, accounted for ~54% of the variability in modulus (R2 = 0.54, p < 0.05). While BWN CSA and modulus were lower in those with diabetes, group was a poor predicter of tendon properties when considering the selected covariates. These data highlight the multifactorial nature of tendon changes with diabetes and suggest that blood variables could be reliable predictors of tendon properties.

PMID:38400550 | DOI:10.1002/jor.25816

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Stress Among Immigrants in the United States

J Evid Based Soc Work (2019). 2024 Feb 23:1-20. doi: 10.1080/26408066.2024.2320345. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immigrants comprise a sizable proportion (15%) of the population living in the United States (U.S.). Given these proportions, it is imperative that we understand immigrant experiences of well-being and stress toward improved well-being and integration.

METHODS: To examine the experiences of first- and second-generation immigrants using a comparative approach, we utilized data from two surveys collected under Trump (n = 490) and Biden (n = 306) administrations. Both studies employed non-probability quota and convenience sampling techniques. Questions about experiences of stress (PSS-4), discrimination (Everyday Discrimination Scale), resilience (Brief Resilience Scale), border stress (Border Community and Immigration Stress Scale), immigration policies (general questions) were included in the surveys. Each study sample included diverse racial groups across both immigrant generations. We report frequencies, descriptive statistics, and ANOVAs/post hoc test results.

RESULTS: Findings highlight that levels of both stress and discrimination among non-White participants under the Trump administration were significantly higher than those of White participants, though neither relationship was significant under the Biden administration. Further, White participants exhibited higher resilience under the Trump administration, but not under the Biden administration.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first study to comparatively examine immigrant experiences under the two most recent federal administrations. This study is seminal in highlighting discussions and making policy recommendations to limit immigrant exclusion, curtail exclusionary policies regarding travel bans, and improve pathways to citizenship, enhancing immigrant integration in the U.S. Roles of social workers in supporting immigrant communities and pathways for future research with immigrants are discussed.

PMID:38400548 | DOI:10.1080/26408066.2024.2320345

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The impact of sex on platelet responses to aspirin in patients with peripheral artery disease

Am J Hematol. 2024 Feb 23. doi: 10.1002/ajh.27258. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Women with peripheral artery disease (PAD) have poorer limb salvage outcomes in spite of having lower risk factors for vascular disease than their male counterparts. Mono antiplatelet therapy with aspirin is the cornerstone of medical treatment for PAD to reduce the risk of arterial thrombosis, but platelets in women may have a variable response to this standard of care compared to men. Viscoelastic assays, such as thromboelastography with platelet mapping (TEG-PM), have been utilized to identify prothrombotic states and may provide insight into a patient’s real-time coagulation profile and their response to specific antiplatelet medications. The aim of this prospective, observational study was to delineate the sex differences in platelet function using TEG-PM in patients with PAD on aspirin post-revascularization for PAD. All patients with PAD undergoing revascularization on aspirin monotherapy were prospectively enrolled between December 2020 and September 2023. The cohort was divided by sex, demographics, medications, procedure type, and outcomes were documented. Serial perioperative TEG-PM assays (1, 3, and 6 months) were performed up to 6 months postoperatively and platelet function was evaluated in both groups. Statistical analysis between women and men was performed to identify sex-specific differences in platelet function. Over the study period, a total of 303 patients were enrolled. Of this cohort, 149 patients met the study criteria and 266 samples were analyzed; 52 (34.89%) were women and 97 (65.11%) were men. In the platelet mapping assay, women showed significantly greater MAActF and MAAA , than men (16.66 vs. 14.94, p < .03 and 37.26 vs. 32.38, p < .01, respectively) indicating stronger thrombotic propensity. Additionally, platelet inhibition was significantly lower in women compared to men (52.95% vs. 61.65%, p < .05). In clinical outcomes reported as thrombotic events, women showed significantly higher occlusion in the area of intervention than men (4 vs. 1, p < .05). There is a growing awareness of the variations in the natural course, underlying mechanisms, and resulting outcomes of cardiovascular conditions, including PAD, in relation to sex. In this study, women did not achieve the same levels of platelet inhibition and displayed a procoagulant tendency in comparison to men when administered aspirin. Overall, aspirin monotherapy may be potentially sufficient for men, but women may require increased doses and/or additional antiplatelet medications to achieve an equivalent therapeutic effect.

PMID:38400527 | DOI:10.1002/ajh.27258

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An evaluation of serum blood parameters and amyloid A levels in pregnant women with threatened miscarriage

Am J Reprod Immunol. 2024 Mar;91(3):e13829. doi: 10.1111/aji.13829.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated whether serum amyloid A (AA) levels can be used as a biomarker in patients with threatened abortion.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study was conducted at the Antalya Training and Research Hospital, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Türkiye, between April and October 2023. Eighty-eight pregnant women, 44 diagnosed with threatened miscarriage (Group 1) and 44 healthy individuals (Group 2), were included in the study. Sociodemographic, obstetric, and laboratory parameters were compared between the groups.

RESULTS: No statistically significant differences were observed between the groups in terms of sociodemographic data (age, body mass index, education level, economic status, occupation status, smoking, and alcohol consumption). However, obstetric characteristics (number of pregnancies, living children, miscarriages, dilatation and curettage, gestational age on admission, and fetal crown-rump length) and laboratory values including complete blood count, hematocrit, leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocytes, platelet, hs-C-reactive protein, neutrophil-lymphocyte and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (p > .05), and serum AA values (7.49 ± 3.07 in Group 1 vs. 9.46 ± 4.80 in Group 2, p = .024) differed significantly. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC: 0.662) was statistically significant for serum AA (p = .032), with a cut-off value of ≥7.51 (95% [confidence interval] 0.516-0.749, sensitivity 65%, specificity 51%). The positive predictive value of serum AA for threatened miscarriage was 56.8%, and the negative predictive value 59.4%.

CONCLUSION: This study shows that serum AA can be used as a biomarker in the diagnosis of threatened miscarriage. Prospective studies involving more participants are now needed to confirm our results.

PMID:38400511 | DOI:10.1111/aji.13829

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Which implant is better for the fixation of posterior wall acetabular fractures: A conventional reconstruction plate or a brand-new calcaneal plate?

Injury. 2024 Feb 6;55(4):111413. doi: 10.1016/j.injury.2024.111413. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Increased posterior wall acetabular fractures among older adults, require precise treatment to restore stability to the joint, lower the risk of degenerative arthritis, and enhance overall functional recovery. The purpose of this study was to compare the fixation stability and mechanical characteristics of calcaneal buttress plate and conventional reconstruction plate under different loading condition.

METHODS: Typical acetabular posterior wall fractures were created on twenty synthetic hemipelvis models. They were fixed with calcaneus plate and reconstruction plate. Dynamic and static tests were performed. Displacements of fracture line and stiffness were calculated.

FINDINGS: After dynamic loading, calcaneus plate fixation has significantly less displacement than the reconstruction plate on the superior posterior wall. Under static loading condition, the calcaneus plate group has significantly less displacement than the reconstruction plate group on the inferior posterior part of the fracture. The average stiffness values of the calcaneus plate group and the reconstruction plate group were 265.16±53.98 N/mm and 167.48±36.87 N/mm, respectively and a statistically significant difference was found between the two groups.

INTERPRETATION: The calcaneal plate group demonstrated better stability along the fracture line after dynamic and static loading conditions. Especially when the fragment was on the acetabulum’s superior posterior, inferior posterior, and inferior rim, Calcaneal buttress plates offer biomechanically effective choices.

PMID:38394707 | DOI:10.1016/j.injury.2024.111413