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Nevin Manimala Statistics

τ $$ tau $$ -Inflated beta regression model for censored recurrent events

Stat Med. 2024 Mar 15;43(6):1170-1193. doi: 10.1002/sim.9999. Epub 2024 Jan 20.

ABSTRACT

This research introduces a multivariate τ $$ tau $$ -inflated beta regression ( τ $$ tau $$ -IBR) modeling approach for the analysis of censored recurrent event data that is particularly useful when there is a mixture of (a) individuals who are generally less susceptible to recurrent events and (b) heterogeneity in duration of event-free periods amongst those who experience events. The modeling approach is applied to a restructured version of the recurrent event data that consists of censored longitudinal times-to-first-event in τ $$ tau $$ length follow-up windows that potentially overlap. Multiple imputation (MI) and expectation-solution (ES) approaches appropriate for censored data are developed as part of the model fitting process. A suite of useful analysis outputs are provided from the τ $$ tau $$ -IBR model that include parameter estimates to help interpret the (a) and (b) mixture of event times in the data, estimates of mean τ $$ tau $$ -restricted event-free duration in a τ $$ tau $$ -length follow-up window based on a patient’s covariate profile, and heat maps of raw τ $$ tau $$ -restricted event-free durations observed in the data with censored observations augmented via averages across MI datasets. Simulations indicate good statistical performance of the proposed τ $$ tau $$ -IBR approach to modeling censored recurrent event data. An example is given based on the Azithromycin for Prevention of COPD Exacerbations Trial.

PMID:38386367 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9999

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A rank-based approach to evaluate a surrogate marker in a small sample setting

Biometrics. 2024 Jan 29;80(1):ujad035. doi: 10.1093/biomtc/ujad035.

ABSTRACT

In clinical studies of chronic diseases, the effectiveness of an intervention is often assessed using “high cost” outcomes that require long-term patient follow-up and/or are invasive to obtain. While much progress has been made in the development of statistical methods to identify surrogate markers, that is, measurements that could replace such costly outcomes, they are generally not applicable to studies with a small sample size. These methods either rely on nonparametric smoothing which requires a relatively large sample size or rely on strict model assumptions that are unlikely to hold in practice and empirically difficult to verify with a small sample size. In this paper, we develop a novel rank-based nonparametric approach to evaluate a surrogate marker in a small sample size setting. The method developed in this paper is motivated by a small study of children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a diagnosis for a range of liver conditions in individuals without significant history of alcohol intake. Specifically, we examine whether change in alanine aminotransferase (ALT; measured in blood) is a surrogate marker for change in NAFLD activity score (obtained by biopsy) in a trial, which compared Vitamin E ($n=50$) versus placebo ($n=46$) among children with NAFLD.

PMID:38386359 | DOI:10.1093/biomtc/ujad035

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessment of a Large Language Model’s Responses to Questions and Cases About Glaucoma and Retina Management

JAMA Ophthalmol. 2024 Feb 22. doi: 10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2023.6917. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Large language models (LLMs) are revolutionizing medical diagnosis and treatment, offering unprecedented accuracy and ease surpassing conventional search engines. Their integration into medical assistance programs will become pivotal for ophthalmologists as an adjunct for practicing evidence-based medicine. Therefore, the diagnostic and treatment accuracy of LLM-generated responses compared with fellowship-trained ophthalmologists can help assess their accuracy and validate their potential utility in ophthalmic subspecialties.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the diagnostic accuracy and comprehensiveness of responses from an LLM chatbot with those of fellowship-trained glaucoma and retina specialists on ophthalmological questions and real patient case management.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This comparative cross-sectional study recruited 15 participants aged 31 to 67 years, including 12 attending physicians and 3 senior trainees, from eye clinics affiliated with the Department of Ophthalmology at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York. Glaucoma and retina questions (10 of each type) were randomly selected from the American Academy of Ophthalmology’s Commonly Asked Questions. Deidentified glaucoma and retinal cases (10 of each type) were randomly selected from ophthalmology patients seen at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai-affiliated clinics. The LLM used was GPT-4 (version dated May 12, 2023). Data were collected from June to August 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Responses were assessed via a Likert scale for medical accuracy and completeness. Statistical analysis involved the Mann-Whitney U test and the Kruskal-Wallis test, followed by pairwise comparison.

RESULTS: The combined question-case mean rank for accuracy was 506.2 for the LLM chatbot and 403.4 for glaucoma specialists (n = 831; Mann-Whitney U = 27976.5; P < .001), and the mean rank for completeness was 528.3 and 398.7, respectively (n = 828; Mann-Whitney U = 25218.5; P < .001). The mean rank for accuracy was 235.3 for the LLM chatbot and 216.1 for retina specialists (n = 440; Mann-Whitney U = 15518.0; P = .17), and the mean rank for completeness was 258.3 and 208.7, respectively (n = 439; Mann-Whitney U = 13123.5; P = .005). The Dunn test revealed a significant difference between all pairwise comparisons, except specialist vs trainee in rating chatbot completeness. The overall pairwise comparisons showed that both trainees and specialists rated the chatbot’s accuracy and completeness more favorably than those of their specialist counterparts, with specialists noting a significant difference in the chatbot’s accuracy (z = 3.23; P = .007) and completeness (z = 5.86; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study accentuates the comparative proficiency of LLM chatbots in diagnostic accuracy and completeness compared with fellowship-trained ophthalmologists in various clinical scenarios. The LLM chatbot outperformed glaucoma specialists and matched retina specialists in diagnostic and treatment accuracy, substantiating its role as a promising diagnostic adjunct in ophthalmology.

PMID:38386351 | DOI:10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2023.6917

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Undiagnosed Cancer Cases in the US During the First 10 Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic

JAMA Oncol. 2024 Feb 22. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.6969. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the normal course of cancer screening and detection in the US. A nationwide analysis of the extent of this disruption using cancer registry data has not been conducted.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the observed and expected cancer rate trends for March through December 2020 using data from all 50 US states and the District of Columbia.

DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a population-based cross-sectional analysis of cancer incidence trends using data on cases of invasive cancer diagnosis reported to the US Cancer Statistics from January 1, 2018, through December 31, 2020. Data analyses were performed from July 6 to 28, 2023.

EXPOSURE(S): Age, sex, race, urbanicity, and state-level response to the COVID-19 pandemic at the time of cancer diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Used time-series forecasting methods to calculate expected cancer incidence rates for March 1 through December 31, 2020, from prepandemic trends (January 2018-February 2020). Measured relative difference between observed and expected cancer incidence rates and numbers of potentially missed cancer cases.

RESULTS: This study included 1 297 874 cancer cases reported in the US from March 1 through December 31, 2020, with an age-adjusted incidence rate of 326.5 cases per 100 000 population. Of the observed cases, 657 743 (50.7%) occurred in male patients, 757 106 (58.3%) in persons 65 years or older, and 1 066 566 (82.2%) in White individuals. Observed rates of all-sites cancer incidence in the US were 28.6% (95% prediction interval [PI], 25.4%-31.7%) lower than expected during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic response (March-May 2020); 6.3% (95% PI, 3.8%-8.8%) lower in June to December 2020; and overall, 13.0% (95% PI, 11.2%-14.9%) lower during the first 10 months of the pandemic. These differences indicate that there were potentially 134 395 (95% PI, 112 544-156 680) undiagnosed cancers during that time frame. Prostate cancer accounted for the largest number of potentially missed cases (22 950), followed by female breast (16 870) and lung (16 333) cancers. Screenable cancers saw a total rate reduction of 13.9% (95% PI, 12.2%-15.6%) compared with the expected rate. The rate of female breast cancer showed evidence of recovery to previous trends after the first 3 months of the pandemic, but levels remained low for colorectal, cervical, and lung cancers. From March to May 2020, states with more restrictive COVID-19 responses had significantly greater disruptions, yet by December 2020, these differences were nonsignificant for all sites except lung, kidney, and pancreatic cancer.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cross-sectional analysis of cancer incidence trends found a substantial disruption to cancer diagnoses in the US during the first 10 months of the COVID-19 pandemic. The overall and differential findings can be used to inform where the US health care system should be looking to make up ground in cancer screening and detection.

PMID:38386344 | DOI:10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.6969

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Sex Differences in Psychopathology Following Potentially Traumatic Experiences

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Feb 5;7(2):e240201. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.0201.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Various psychopathology may follow trauma; however, sex differences in these ranging manifestations of posttraumatic psychopathology remain understudied.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate sex-specific incidence of posttraumatic psychopathology.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based cohort study of Danish national health registries included a cohort of individuals who experienced a potentially traumatic event (PTE) from 1994 to 2016. Individuals were further categorized by presence of any pretrauma psychopathology. A comparison group of individuals who experienced a nontraumatic stressor (nonsuicide death of a first-degree relative) was examined as a reference cohort.

EXPOSURES: At least 1 of 8 PTEs (eg, physical assault, transportation accident) derived through health registry International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes, with additional qualifiers to improve classification accuracy.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incidence of 9 categories of ICD-10 psychiatric disorders recorded in registries within 5 years of PTEs. The standardized morbidity ratios (SMRs) for psychopathology outcomes were also calculated to compare individuals experiencing PTEs with those experiencing a nontraumatic stressor.

RESULTS: This study included 1 398 026 individuals who had been exposed to trauma (475 280 males [34.0%]; 922 750 females [66.0%]). The group of males who had been exposed to trauma were evenly distributed across age, while most females in the trauma-exposed group were aged 16 to 39 years (592 385 [64.2%]). Males and females were equally distributed across income quartiles and predominantly single. Following PTEs, the most common diagnosis was substance use disorders for males (35 160 [7.4%]) and depressive disorders for females (29 255 [3.2%]); incidence proportions for these and other disorders were higher among males and females with any pretrauma psychopathology. Certain PTEs had elevated onset of various psychiatric disorders and some sex differences emerged. Following physical assault, associations were found with schizophrenia or psychotic disorders for males (SMR, 17.5; 95% CI, 15.9-19.3) and adult personality disorders for females (SMR, 16.3; 95% CI, 14.6-18.3). For noninterpersonal PTEs, males had larger SMRs for substance use, schizophrenia or psychotic disorders, and adult personality disorders (SMR, 43.4; 95% CI, 41.9-45.0), and females had larger SMRs for depressive disorders (SMR, 19.0; 95% CI, 18.6-19.4). Sex differences were also observed, particularly when considering pretrauma psychopathology. For example, among interpersonal PTEs, males were most likely to develop substance use disorders after physical assault, whereas females were more likely to develop various disorders, with stronger associations seen for females without pretrauma psychiatric diagnoses. Among noninterpersonal PTEs, exposure to toxic substance showed robust associations with psychopathology, particularly in those without pretrauma psychopathology, with sex-specific differences across psychiatric categories.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Mental disorders after trauma were wide-ranging for males and females, and sex differences in patterns of posttraumatic psychopathology were more pronounced when accounting for pretrauma psychopathology. Findings provide new insights for sex-relevant PTEs and their mental health consequences. It also outlines future directions for advancing understanding of a constellation of posttraumatic psychopathology in males and females.

PMID:38386319 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.0201

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ZSCAN10 deficiency causes a neurodevelopmental disorder with characteristic oto-facial malformations

Brain. 2024 Feb 22:awae058. doi: 10.1093/brain/awae058. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Neurodevelopmental disorders are major indications for genetic referral and have been linked to more than 1,500 loci including genes encoding transcriptional regulators. The dysfunction of transcription factors often results in characteristic syndromic presentations, however, at least half of these patients lack a genetic diagnosis. The implementation of machine learning approaches has the potential to aid in the identification of new disease genes and delineate associated phenotypes. Next generation sequencing was performed in seven affected individuals with neurodevelopmental delay and dysmorphic features. Clinical characterization included reanalysis of available neuroimaging datasets and 2D portrait image analysis with GestaltMatcher. The functional consequences of ZSCAN10 loss were modelled in mouse embryonic stem cells (mESC), including a knock-out and a representative ZSCAN10 protein truncating variant. These models were characterized by gene expression and Western blot analyses, chromatin immunoprecipitation and quantitative PCR (ChIP-qPCR), and immunofluorescence staining. Zscan10 knockout mouse embryos were generated and phenotyped. We prioritized bi-allelic ZSCAN10 loss-of-function variants in seven affected individuals from five unrelated families as the underlying molecular cause. RNA-Seq analyses in Zscan10-/- mESCs indicated dysregulation of genes related to stem cell pluripotency. In addition, we established in mESCs the loss-of-function mechanism for a representative human ZSCAN10 protein truncating variant by showing alteration of its expression levels and subcellular localization, interfering with its binding to DNA enhancer targets. Deep phenotyping revealed global developmental delay, facial asymmetry, and malformations of the outer ear as consistent clinical features. Cerebral MRI showed dysplasia of the semicircular canals as an anatomical correlate of sensorineural hearing loss. Facial asymmetry was confirmed as a clinical feature by GestaltMatcher and was recapitulated in the Zscan10 mouse model along with inner and outer ear malformations. Our findings provide evidence of a novel syndromic neurodevelopmental disorder caused by bi-allelic loss-of-function variants in ZSCAN10.

PMID:38386308 | DOI:10.1093/brain/awae058

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The Association Between Personal Air Pollution Exposures and Fractional Exhaled Nitric Oxide (FeNO): A Systematic Review

Curr Environ Health Rep. 2024 Feb 22. doi: 10.1007/s40572-024-00430-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Airway inflammation is a common biological response to many types of environmental exposures and can lead to increased nitric oxide (NO) concentrations in exhaled breath. In recent years, several studies have evaluated airway inflammation using fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) as a biomarker of exposures to a range of air pollutants. This systematic review aims to summarize the studies that collected personal-level air pollution data to assess the air pollution-induced FeNO responses and to determine if utilizing personal-level data resulted in an improved characterization of the relationship between air pollution exposures and FeNO compared to using only ambient air pollution exposure data.

RECENT FINDINGS: Thirty-six eligible studies were identified. Overall, the studies included in this review establish that an increase in personal exposure to particulate and gaseous air pollutants can significantly increase FeNO. Nine out of the 12 studies reported statistically significant FeNO increases with increasing personal PM2.5 exposures, and up to 11.5% increase in FeNO per IQR increase in exposure has also been reported between FeNO and exposure to gas-phase pollutants, such as ozone, NO2, and benzene. Furthermore, factors such as chronic respiratory diseases, allergies, and medication use were found to be effect modifiers for air pollution-induced FeNO responses. About half of the studies that compared the effect estimates using both personal and ambient air pollution exposure methods reported that only personal exposure yielded significant associations with FeNO response. The evidence from the reviewed studies confirms that FeNO is a sensitive biomarker for air pollutant-induced airway inflammation. Personal air pollution exposure assessment is recommended to accurately assess the air pollution-induced FeNO responses. Furthermore, comprehensive adjustments for the potential confounding factors including the personal exposures of the co-pollutants, respiratory disease status, allergy status, and usage of medications for asthma and allergies are recommended while assessing the air pollution-induced FeNO responses.

PMID:38386269 | DOI:10.1007/s40572-024-00430-1

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Local anesthetics as a tool for Staphylococcus spp. control: a systematic review

Braz J Microbiol. 2024 Feb 22. doi: 10.1007/s42770-024-01285-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The objective of this work was to carry out a systematic review on the effectiveness of local anesthetics as antimicrobial agents against Staphylococcus spp. Searches were performed in the PubMed, Web of science, Scopus, Embase and Lilacs databases. As inclusion criteria, complete original articles, with in vitro experimental tests with the application of selected anesthetics and bacteria of the genus Staphylococcus spp. This review followed the methodological checklist for writing papers reporting systematic reviews by the PRISMA statement. The risk of bias was assessed according to the JBI critical appraisal checklist. Analysis was performed using an anesthetic-moderated simple linear regression model. This systematic review was registered by the Open Science Framework-OSF ( https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/C5JM7 ). Initially, 1141 articles were found, of which, after careful selection, 52 articles were analyzed. Lidocaine was the most commonly used anesthetic, being evaluated in 35 of the articles. S. aureus ATCC 25923 was the standard microorganism in 17 articles. The impact of the anesthetic concentration in relation to the antimicrobial effect was evaluated and the results showed that there was no statistically significant difference. (F [5, 12] = 0.688 p = 0.642), even when taking into account the moderator effect of anesthetics individually. Therefore, although the antimicrobial effect of local anesthetics was demonstrated in 82.7% of the studies evaluated, great heterogeneity of the results was found, which made it impossible to carry out a meta-analysis and make recommendations based on the evidence.

PMID:38386261 | DOI:10.1007/s42770-024-01285-2

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Comparison of Heavy Metals in Urine Samples of Smoker and Non-smoker Persons

Biol Trace Elem Res. 2024 Feb 22. doi: 10.1007/s12011-024-04097-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In this study, the concentrations of heavy metals such as cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), and lead (Pb) in the two groups of cigarette smokers and non-smokers in five age range groups were measured. Heavy metal concentrations were collected in participants’ urine samples and analyzed using atomic absorption spectrophotometry (AAS). The results showed that the concentrations of these metals in the urine of smokers were higher than in non-smoker subjects. The mean concentration of Cd, Cr, and Pb for smokers were 1.188 ± 0.931, 1.929 ± 0.940, and 0.069 ± 0.023, respectively, while the mean concentration of Cd, Cr, and Pb for non-smokers were 0.151 ± 0.165, 0.203 ± 0.218, and 0.037 ± 0.030, respectively. The results revealed statistically significant differences when comparing the samples of smokers to the control group in all heavy metals in the present study. Also, the results revealed statistically significant differences in Cd, Cr, and Pb when comparing the samples of smokers to age groups. The trend of metals in urine samples in two groups (smokers and non-smokers) is as follows: Cd > Cr > Pb. The concentration of Cd, Cr, and Pb in all samples of the present study was higher than the biological limit, according to ACGIH. Therefore, Cd, Cr, and Pb were the most critical metals accumulated in the urine of cigarette smokers.

PMID:38386229 | DOI:10.1007/s12011-024-04097-5

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The da Vinci robotic surgery system for the management of endometrial cancer: a single-center experience

J Robot Surg. 2024 Feb 22;18(1):89. doi: 10.1007/s11701-024-01845-6.

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to report our single-center experience of the da Vinci robotic surgery system in the management of endometrial cancer (EC) patients during 2019-2023. We descriptively summarized the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative outcomes. Moreover, we conducted subgroup analyses based on obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) and the intraoperative use of indocyanine green dye (ICG). Overall, 100 patients were analyzed. Eighty-five patients (85%) were obese. The mean operative time and estimated blood loss (EBL) were 240.84 ± 70.08 min (range: 110-720) and 104.2 ± 80.3 ml (range: 20-500), respectively. The mean number of retrieved pelvic LNs was 3.01 ± 3.06 (range: 0-15). The use of ICG was employed in 58 (58%). Only a single patient (1%) underwent conversion to laparotomy. Besides, only three (3%) patients experienced vaginal laceration intraoperatively, respectively. The mean hospital stay was 1.34 ± 0.69 days (range: 1-5). No patient experienced postoperative complications. Most tumors had endometrioid histology (82%), grade-1 tumor (49%), and stage-1A disease (67%). At 3-year follow-up, only two patients (2%) developed recurrence. Patients who received the ICG had significantly lower operative time (225.86 vs. 261.52 min, p = 0.011), estimated blood loss (90 vs. 123.81 ml, p = 0.037), and hospital stay (1.12 vs. 1.64 days, p < 0.001) compared with patients who did not receive it. However, there was no significant difference between both groups regarding the number of retrieved pelvic LNs. Obesity had no significant impact on the rates of intraoperative complications, postoperative complications, and 3-year recurrence incidence. In conclusion, robotic surgery was technically feasible and safe. The use of ICG was statistically linked to favorable outcomes, in terms of decreased operative time, EBL, and hospital stay. Obesity did not impact the perioperative surgical outcomes.

PMID:38386227 | DOI:10.1007/s11701-024-01845-6