Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Modeling vaccination coverage during the 2022 central Ohio measles outbreak: a cross-sectional study

Lancet Reg Health Am. 2023 Jun 27;23:100533. doi: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100533. eCollection 2023 Jul.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Of the eight large (>50 cases) US postelimination outbreaks, the first and last occurred in Ohio. Ohio’s vaccination registry is incomplete. Community-level immunity gaps threaten more than two decades of measles elimination in the US. We developed a statistical model, VaxEstim, to rapidly estimate the early-phase vaccination coverage and immunity gap in the exposed population during the 2022 Central Ohio outbreak.

METHODS: We used reconstructed daily incidence (from publicly available data) and assumptions about the distribution of the serial interval, or the time between symptom onset in successive measles cases, to estimate the effective reproduction number (i.e., the average number of secondary infections caused by an infected individual in a partially immune population). We estimated early-phase measles vaccination coverage by comparing the effective reproduction number to the basic reproduction number (i.e., the average number of secondary infections caused by an infected individual in a fully susceptible population) while accounting for vaccine effectiveness. Finally, we estimated the early-phase immunity gap as the difference between the estimated critical vaccination threshold and vaccination coverage.

FINDINGS: VaxEstim estimated the early-phase vaccination coverage as 53% (95% credible interval, 21%-77%), the critical vaccination threshold as 93%, and the immunity gap as 42% (95% credible interval, 18%-74%).

INTERPRETATION: This study estimates a significant immunity gap in the exposed population during the early phase of the 2022 Central Ohio measles outbreak, suggesting a robust public health response is needed to identify the susceptible community and develop community-specific strategies to close the immunity gap.

FUNDING: This work was supported in part by the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, National Institutes of Health; the UK Medical Research Council (MRC); the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office; the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology; Imperial College London, and the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Community Jameel; the EDCTP2 programme, supported by the EU; and the Sergei Brin Foundation.

PMID:37497395 | PMC:PMC10366459 | DOI:10.1016/j.lana.2023.100533

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predictors of nonunion for transverse femoral shaft fractures treated with intramedullary nailing: a SIGN database study

OTA Int. 2023 Jul 25;6(3):e281. doi: 10.1097/OI9.0000000000000281. eCollection 2023 Sep.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Nonunion is a common postfracture complication resulting in decreased quality of life for patients in resource-limited settings. This study aims to determine how age, sex, injury mechanism, and surgical intervention affect the rate of nonunion in transverse femur fractures treated with a SIGN intramedullary nail (IMN).

METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted using the SIGN online surgical database. All patients older than 16 years with simple transverse (<30 degrees), open or closed, femur fractures treated using a SIGN IMN between 2007 and 2021 were included. Our primary outcome of nonunion was measured with the modified Radiographic Union Scale for Tibial fractures (mRUST); scores ≤9 of 16 defined nonunion. The secondary outcome was squat depth. Outcomes were evaluated at follow-up appointments between 240 and 365 days postoperatively. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used for statistical comparison.

RESULTS: Inclusion criteria were met for 182 patients. The overall radiographic union rate was 61.0%, and a high proportion (84.4%) of patients could squat with their hips at or below the level of their knees. Older age, retrograde approach, and fracture distraction were associated with nonunion, but sex, injury mechanism, and other surgical variables were not.

CONCLUSION: Poor reduction with fracture distraction was associated with a higher rate of nonunion. Loss of follow-up may have contributed to our overall union rate; however, we observed high rates of functional healing using the SIGN IMN.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.

PMID:37497387 | PMC:PMC10368386 | DOI:10.1097/OI9.0000000000000281

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Validity and Reliability of Automatic Tooth Segmentation Generated Using Artificial Intelligence

ScientificWorldJournal. 2023 Jul 18;2023:5933003. doi: 10.1155/2023/5933003. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed at evaluating the precision of the segmented tooth model (STM) that was produced by the artificial intelligence (AI) program (CephX®) with an intraoral scan (IOS) and insignia outcomes. Methods. 10 patients with Cl I malocclusion (mild-to-moderate crowding) who underwent nonextraction orthodontic therapy with the Insignia™ system had IOS and CBCT scans taken before treatment. AI was used to produce a total of 280 STMs; each tooth will be measured from three aspects (apexo-occlusal, mesiodistal, and labiolingual) for DICOM and STL formats. Also, root volume measurements for each tooth generated by using the CephX® software and Insignia™ system were compared. The software used for these measurements was the OnDemand3D program used for the multiplanar reconstruction for DICOM format and Geomagic® Control X™ used for STL format. Statistics. An intraclass correlation (ICC) analysis was used to check the agreement between the volume measurement of the segmented teeth generated by using the CephX® and Insignia™ system. Also, it was used to check the agreement between the STL (IOS), STL (CephX®), and DICOM tooth models. In addition, it was used to determine the intraexaminer repeatability by remeasuring five randomly selected individuals two weeks after the initial measurement. After confirmation of the data normality using the Shapiro-Wilk test, the right and left tooth models and the differences between the DICOM, CephX® (STL), and IOS (STL) tooth models were compared using a paired t-test. The STL (IOS), STL (CephX®), and DICOM tooth models were compared utilizing the ANOVA test. p < 0.05 was set as the statistical significance level. Result. Overall data showed good agreement with ICC. The measurements of the various tooth types on the right and left sides did not differ significantly. Also, there was no significant difference between the three groups. Conclusions. The automatic AI approach (CephX®) may be advised in the clinical practice for patients with mild crowding and no teeth restorations due to its speed and effectiveness.

PMID:37497386 | PMC:PMC10368498 | DOI:10.1155/2023/5933003

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Healthcare utilization, costs, and epidemiology of Huntington’s disease in Israel

Clin Park Relat Disord. 2023 Jun 28;9:100208. doi: 10.1016/j.prdoa.2023.100208. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Data on Huntington’s disease (HD) epidemiology, treatment patterns, and economic burden in Israel are scarce.

METHODS: Annual prevalence and incidence of HD (ICD-9-CM 333.4) were assessed in the Israel-based Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS) database 2016-2018. Adherence (medication possession rate [MPR], proportion of disease covered) were assessed for adult people with HD (PwHD) 2013-2018. Healthcare resources utilization (HCRU) and costs related to inpatient and outpatient visits and all medications in 2018 were assessed for PwHD, who were randomly matched to MHS members without HD (1:3) by birth-year and sex.

RESULTS: Overall, 164 patients had at least one HD diagnosis. Annual prevalence and incidence were 4.45 and 0.24/100,000, respectively. A total of 67.0% of adult patients (n = 106) were taking tetrabenazine (median MPR and proportion of disease covered, 74.3% and 30.2%, respectively), 65.1% benzodiazepines (75.8% and 32.3%), and 11.3% amantadine (79.2% and 6.0%). Over a 1-year follow-up, PwHD (n = 81) had significantly more neurologist, psychiatrist, physiotherapist, and speech therapist visits (P < 0.05 for each) and more hospitalization days (P < 0.0001) compared with matched controls (n = 243). Total healthcare and medication costs per patient (US dollars) were significantly higher for PwHD than controls ($7,343 vs. $3,625; P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: PwHD have greater annual HCRU and medical costs than MHS members without HD in Israel. Among those who have taken medications, adherence was lower than 80% (both MPR and proportion of disease covered), which may translate into suboptimal symptom relief and quality of life.

PMID:37497383 | PMC:PMC10366633 | DOI:10.1016/j.prdoa.2023.100208

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating the impact of including non-randomised studies of interventions in meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials: a protocol for a meta-epidemiological study

BMJ Open. 2023 Jul 26;13(7):e073232. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073232.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Although interest in including non-randomised studies of interventions (NRSIs) in meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) is growing, estimates of effectiveness obtained from NRSIs are vulnerable to greater bias than RCTs. The objectives of this study are to: (1) explore how NRSIs can be integrated into a meta-analysis of RCTs; (2) assess concordance of the evidence from non-randomised and randomised trials and explore factors associated with agreement; and (3) investigate the impact on estimates of pooled bodies of evidence when NRSIs are included.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will conduct a systematic survey of 210 systematic reviews that include both RCTs and NRSIs, published from 2017 to 2022. We will randomly select reviews, stratified in a 1:1 ratio by Core vs non-Core clinical journals, as defined by the National Library of Medicine. Teams of paired reviewers will independently determine eligibility and abstract data using standardised, pilot-tested forms. The concordance of the evidence will be assessed by exploring agreement in the relative effect reported by NRSIs and RCT addressing the same clinical question, defined as similarity of the population, intervention/exposure, control and outcomes. We will conduct univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses to examine the association of prespecified study characteristics with agreement in the estimates between NRSIs and RCTs. We will calculate the ratio of the relative effect estimate from NRSIs over that from RCTs, along with the corresponding 95% CI. We will use a bias-corrected meta-analysis model to investigate the influence on pooled estimates when NRSIs are included in the evidence synthesis.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval is not required. The findings of this study will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations and condensed summaries for clinicians, health policymakers and guideline developers regarding the design, conduct, analysis, and interpretation of meta-analysis that integrate RCTs and NRSIs.

PMID:37495391 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073232

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Implications of rapid population growth on survey design and HIV estimates in the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS), Uganda

BMJ Open. 2023 Jul 26;13(7):e071108. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-071108.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Since rapid population growth challenges longitudinal population-based HIV cohorts in Africa to maintain coverage of their target populations, this study evaluated whether the exclusion of some residents due to growing population size biases key HIV metrics like prevalence and population-level viremia.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Data were obtained from the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) in south central Uganda, an open population-based cohort which began excluding some residents of newly constructed household structures within its surveillance boundaries in 2008. The study includes adults aged 15-49 years who were censused from 2019 to 2020.

MEASURES: We fit ensemble machine learning models to RCCS census and survey data to predict HIV seroprevalence and viremia (prevalence of those with viral load >1000 copies/mL) in the excluded population and evaluated whether their inclusion would change overall estimates.

RESULTS: Of the 24 729 census-eligible residents, 2920 (12%) residents were excluded from the RCCS because they were living in new households. The predicted seroprevalence for these excluded residents was 10.8% (95% CI: 9.6% to 11.8%)-somewhat lower than 11.7% (95% CI: 11.2% to 12.3%) in the observed sample. Predicted seroprevalence for younger excluded residents aged 15-24 years was 4.9% (95% CI: 3.6% to 6.1%)-significantly higher than that in the observed sample for the same age group (2.6% (95% CI: 2.2% to 3.1%)), while predicted seroprevalence for older excluded residents aged 25-49 years was 15.0% (95% CI: 13.3% to 16.4%)-significantly lower than their counterparts in the observed sample (17.2% (95% CI: 16.4% to 18.1%)). Over all ages, the predicted prevalence of viremia in excluded residents (3.7% (95% CI: 3.0% to 4.5%)) was significantly higher than that in the observed sample (1.7% (95% CI: 1.5% to 1.9%)), resulting in a higher overall population-level viremia estimate of 2.1% (95% CI: 1.8% to 2.4%).

CONCLUSIONS: Exclusion of residents in new households may modestly bias HIV viremia estimates and some age-specific seroprevalence estimates in the RCCS. Overall, HIV seroprevalence estimates were not significantly affected.

PMID:37495389 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-071108

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Representation of Motion Direction in Visual Area MT Accounts for High Sensitivity to Centripetal Motion, Aligning with Efficient Coding of Retinal Motion Statistics

J Neurosci. 2023 Jul 26:JN-RM-0451-23. doi: 10.1523/JNEUROSCI.0451-23.2023. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The overrepresentation of centrifugal motion in the middle temporal visual area (area MT) has long been thought to provide an efficient coding strategy for optic flow processing. However, this overrepresentation compromises the detection of approaching objects, which is essential for survival. In the present study, we revisited this long-held notion by reanalyzing motion selectivity in area MT of three macaque monkeys (2 males, 1 female) using random-dot stimuli instead of spot stimuli. We found no differences in the number of neurons tuned to centrifugal versus centripetal motion; however, centrifugally tuned neurons showed stronger tuning than centripetally tuned neurons. This was attributed to the heightened suppression of responses in centrifugal neurons to centripetal motion compared to that of centripetal neurons to centrifugal motion. Our modeling implies that this intensified suppression accounts for superior detection performance for weak centripetal motion stimuli. Moreover, through Fisher information analysis, we establish that the population sensitivity to motion direction in peripheral vision corresponds well with retinal motion statistics during forward locomotion. While these results challenge established concepts, considering the interplay of logarithmic Gaussian receptive fields and spot stimuli can shed light on the previously documented overrepresentation of centrifugal motion. Significantly, our findings reconcile a previously found discrepancy between MT activity and human behavior, highlighting the proficiency of peripheral MT neurons in encoding motion direction efficiently.Significance StatementThe efficient coding hypothesis states that sensory neurons are tuned to specific, frequently experienced stimuli. Whereas previous work has found that neurons in the middle temporal (MT) area favor centrifugal motion, which results from forward locomotion, we show here that there is no such bias. Moreover, we found that the response of centrifugal neurons for centripetal motion was more suppressed than that of centripetal neurons for centrifugal motion. Combined with modeling, this provides a solution to a previously known discrepancy between reported centrifugal bias in MT and better detection of centripetal motion by human observers. Additionally, we show that population sensitivity in peripheral MT neurons conforms to an efficient code of retinal motion statistics during forward locomotion.

PMID:37495384 | DOI:10.1523/JNEUROSCI.0451-23.2023

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effects of chromosome polymorphism on the clinical outcomes of in vitro fertilization/embryo transfer-assisted reproduction

J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2023 Dec;36(2):2238863. doi: 10.1080/14767058.2023.2238863.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of chromosome polymorphism on the clinical outcomes of in vitro fertilization/embryo transfer (IVF/ET)-assisted reproductive technology.

METHODS: The case data of 2740 patients treated between January 2018 and January 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were organized into two groups: a case group and a control group. In the case group (n = 81), one or both parents were characterized by chromosomal polymorphism; in the control group (n = 2659), both parents had normal chromosome karyotyping. The primary outcomes included clinical pregnancy rate (clinical pregnancy rate of fresh transfer cycles = number of clinical pregnancy cycles/number of fresh embryo transfer cycles × 100%) and live birth rate (live birth rate per fresh transfer cycles = number of live births/numbers of fresh embryo transfer cycles × 100%). The propensity score matching (PSM) method was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: After PSM 1:2 matching for the patients in the two groups, 72 patients were successfully matched. The clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate in the case group were lower than in the control group before PSM (clinical pregnancy rate: 33.30% case group vs. 46.60% control group, p = .020; live birth rate: 30.90% case group vs. 47.90% control group, p = .03). The differences were statistically significant (p < .05). The live birth rate in the case group was also significantly lower than in the control group after PSM (34.98% case group vs. 74.52% control group; p = .028). The correlation coefficient between clinical pregnancy and grouping (i.e. if there was a characteristic chromosome polymorphism) was -.045 (p = .02), while the correlation coefficient between live birth and grouping was -.046.

CONCLUSION: Chromosome polymorphism is weakly negatively correlated with live birth in IVF/ET-assisted reproduction and can significantly reduce the live birth rate of patients.

PMID:37495374 | DOI:10.1080/14767058.2023.2238863

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sirolimus-Coated Balloon in an All-Comer Population of Coronary Artery Disease Patients: The EASTBOURNE Prospective Registry

JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2023 Jul 24;16(14):1794-1803. doi: 10.1016/j.jcin.2023.05.005.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Drug-coated balloons (DCB) represent 1 of the most promising innovations in interventional cardiology and may represent a valid alternative to drug-eluting stents. Currently, some sirolimus-coated balloons (SCB) are being investigated for several coronary artery disease applications.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to understand the role of a novel SCB for the treatment of coronary artery disease.

METHODS: EASTBOURNE (All-Comers Sirolimus-Coated Balloon European Registry) is a prospective, multicenter, investigator-driven clinical study that enrolled real-world patients treated with SCB. Primary endpoint was target lesion revascularization (TLR) at 12 months. Secondary endpoints were procedural success, myocardial infarction (MI), all-cause death, and major adverse clinical events (a composite of death, MI, and TLR). All adverse events were censored and adjudicated by an independent clinical events committee.

RESULTS: A total population of 2,123 patients (2,440 lesions) was enrolled at 38 study centers in Europe and Asia. The average age was 66.6 ± 11.3 years, and diabetic patients were 41.5%. De novo lesions (small vessels) were 56%, in-stent restenosis (ISR) 44%, and bailout stenting occurred in 7.7% of the patients. After 12 months, TLR occurred in 5.9% of the lesions, major adverse clinical events in 9.9%, and spontaneous MI in 2.4% of the patients. The rates of cardiac/all-cause death were 1.5% and 2.5%, respectively. The primary outcome occurred more frequently in the ISR cohort (10.5% vs 2.0%; risk ratio: 1.90; 95% CI: 1.13-3.19). After multivariate Cox regression model, the main determinant for occurrence of the primary endpoint was ISR (OR: 5.5; 95% CI: 3.382-8.881).

CONCLUSIONS: EASTBOURNE, the largest DCB study in the coronary field, shows the safety and efficacy of a novel SCB in a broad population of coronary artery disease including small vessels and ISR patients at mid-term follow-up. (The All-Comers Sirolimus-Coated Balloon European Registry [EASTBOURNE]; NCT03085823).

PMID:37495352 | DOI:10.1016/j.jcin.2023.05.005

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Early Rhythm Control in Patients With Incident Atrial Fibrillation Who Had a Prior Stroke

JACC Clin Electrophysiol. 2023 Jul;9(7 Pt 2):1121-1133. doi: 10.1016/j.jacep.2022.11.021. Epub 2023 Feb 22.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There are limited data regarding the benefit of early rhythm control therapy for secondary prevention for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare the risk of recurrent stroke between early rhythm control therapy and usual care in patients with new-onset AF and a history of prior stroke.

METHODS: Using the Korean nationwide claims database, the investigators identified patients who were newly diagnosed with AF and had a history of prior stroke. Patients who received rhythm control therapy, including antiarrhythmic drug, direct current cardioversion, or AF catheter ablation, within 1 year after incident AF were defined as the early rhythm control group, and the others were the usual care group. The propensity score weighting method was used to balance baseline characteristics between the 2 groups. Incident stroke was evaluated as a primary outcome.

RESULTS: A total of 53,509 patients were included (12,455 in the early rhythm control group and 41,054 in the usual care group). All patients were prescribed oral anticoagulants. During a median 2.6 years of follow-up, 4,382 patients had an incident stroke (incidence rate: 2.6 per 100 person-years). Early rhythm control was associated with a lower risk of recurrent stroke compared to the risk associated with usual care (weighted HR: 0.720; 95% CI: 0.666-0.779; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Early rhythm control within 1 year after AF diagnosis might be beneficial to prevent recurrent stroke in patients with incident AF and a history of stroke. Integrated care, including optimal rhythm control with appropriate anticoagulation, should be considered in this population.

PMID:37495321 | DOI:10.1016/j.jacep.2022.11.021