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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Temporal changes in cumulative mortality risks of cancer, by occupation, in the working population of Japan from 1995 to 2020: A benchmark for radiation risk comparison

J Radiol Prot. 2024 Feb 29. doi: 10.1088/1361-6498/ad2ebc. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to provide benchmark data for discussing the tolerability of cancer risk associated with occupational radiation exposure. It focused on differences in cancer mortality risk by occupation among Japan’s working population and examined baseline cancer mortality risks and its variations from 1995 through 2020. Data were collected every five years from national vital statistics sources. By focusing on the same types of cancer among radiation induced effects, cumulative mortality risks were calculated for colorectal, lung, and breast cancer (females only) for those aged 15-74. The average cumulative mortality risk for the working population in Japan has decreased by 30-60% over the past 25 years. Service workers and male managers were at an average risk, among all workers, while clerical workers and transportation and manufacturing workers had about half the average risk. The risks were higher for professionals and female managers, about 1.5 to 2 times the average for professionals and up to 5 times the average for female managers. The decrease in the average cancer mortality risk in the working population as a baseline suggests that risk tolerance in society might have changed over time. Since differences in mortality by occupation were confirmed, the usefulness of occupational data as a benchmark needs further investigation, as high-risk/low-risk occupations vary by country and region. The results of this study contribute to put radiation risks into perspective with the background risk of cancer.

PMID:38422516 | DOI:10.1088/1361-6498/ad2ebc

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

National Trends in Orthopaedic Pain Management from 2016 to 2020

J Am Acad Orthop Surg. 2024 Feb 28. doi: 10.5435/JAAOS-D-23-00806. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Effective pain management is vital in orthopaedic care, impacting postoperative recovery and patient well-being. This study aimed to discern national and regional pain prescription trends among orthopaedic surgeons through Medicare claims data, using geospatial analysis to ascertain opioid and nonopioid usage patterns across the United States.

METHODS: Physician-level Medicare prescription databases from 2016 to 2020 were filtered to orthopaedic surgeons, and medications were categorized into opioids, muscle relaxants, anticonvulsants, and NSAIDs. Patient demographics were extracted from a Medicare provider demographic data set, while county-level socioeconomic metrics were obtained primarily from the American Community Survey. Geospatial analysis was conducted using Geoda software, using Moran I statistic for cluster analysis of pain medication metrics. Statistical trends were analyzed using linear regression, Mann-Whitney U test, and multivariate logistic regression, focusing on prescribing rates and hotspot/coldspot identification.

RESULTS: Analysis encompassed 16,505 orthopaedic surgeons, documenting more than 396 million days of pain medication prescriptions: 57.42% NSAIDs, 28.57% opioids, 9.84% anticonvulsants, and 4.17% muscle relaxants. Annually, opioid prescriptions declined by 4.43% (P < 0.01), while NSAIDs rose by 3.29% (P < 0.01). Opioid prescriptions dropped by 210.73 days yearly per surgeon (P < 0.005), whereas NSAIDs increased by 148.86 days (P < 0.005). Opioid prescriptions were most prevalent in the West Coast and Northern Midwest regions, and NSAID prescriptions were most prevalent in the Northeast and South regions. Regression pinpointed spine as the highest and hand as the lowest predictor for pain prescriptions.

DISCUSSION: On average, orthopaedic surgeons markedly decreased both the percentage of patients receiving opioids and the duration of prescription. Simultaneously, the fraction of patients receiving NSAIDs dramatically increased, without change in the average duration of prescription. Opioid hotspots were located in the West Coast, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, Idaho, the Northern Midwest, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Future directions could include similar examinations using non-Medicare databases.

PMID:38422494 | DOI:10.5435/JAAOS-D-23-00806

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High diversity within and low but significant genetic differentiation among geographic and temporal populations of the global Streptococcus pneumoniae

Can J Microbiol. 2024 Feb 29. doi: 10.1139/cjm-2023-0155. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Streptococcus pneumoniae is the major cause of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). However, the global population structure remains largely unexplored. In this study, we investigated the spatial and temporal patterns of genetic variation of S. pneumoniae based on archived multilocus sequence typing data from PubMLST.org. Our analyses demonstrated both shared and unique distributions of sequence types (STs) and allele types among regional populations. Among the 17,915 global STs, 36 representing 15,263 isolates were broadly shared among all six continents, consistent with recent clonal dispersal and expansion of this pathogen. The analysis of molecular variance revealed that >96% genetic variations were found within individual regional populations. However, though low (<4%), statistically significant genetic differentiation among regional populations were observed. Comparisons between non-clone-corrected and clone-corrected datasets showed that localized clonal expansion contributed significantly to the observed genetic differentiations among regions. Temporal analyses of the isolates showed that implementation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine impacted the distributions of STs but the effect on population structure were relatively limited. Linkage disequilibrium analyses identified evidence for recombination in all continental populations, however, the inferred recombination was not random. We discussed the limitations and implications of our analyses to the global epidemiology and vaccine developments for S. pneumoniae.

PMID:38422492 | DOI:10.1139/cjm-2023-0155

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Comprehensive Inherited Risk Estimation for Risk-Based Breast Cancer Screening in Women

J Clin Oncol. 2024 Feb 29:JCO2300295. doi: 10.1200/JCO.23.00295. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Family history (FH) and pathogenic variants (PVs) are used for guiding risk surveillance in selected high-risk women but little is known about their impact for breast cancer screening on population level. In addition, polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have been shown to efficiently stratify breast cancer risk through combining information about common genetic factors into one measure.

METHODS: In longitudinal real-life data, we evaluate PRS, FH, and PVs for stratified screening. Using FinnGen (N = 117,252), linked to the Mass Screening Registry for breast cancer (1992-2019; nationwide organized biennial screening for age 50-69 years), we assessed the screening performance of a breast cancer PRS and compared its performance with FH of breast cancer and PVs in moderate- (CHEK2)- to high-risk (PALB2) susceptibility genes.

RESULTS: Effect sizes for FH, PVs, and high PRS (>90th percentile) were comparable in screening-aged women, with similar implications for shifting age at screening onset. A high PRS identified women more likely to be diagnosed with breast cancer after a positive screening finding (positive predictive value [PPV], 39.5% [95% CI, 37.6 to 41.5]). Combinations of risk factors increased the PPVs up to 45% to 50%. A high PRS conferred an elevated risk of interval breast cancer (hazard ratio [HR], 2.78 [95% CI, 2.00 to 3.86] at age 50 years; HR, 2.48 [95% CI, 1.67 to 3.70] at age 60 years), and women with a low PRS (<10th percentile) had a low risk for both interval- and screen-detected breast cancers.

CONCLUSION: Using real-life screening data, this study demonstrates the effectiveness of a breast cancer PRS for risk stratification, alone and combined with FH and PVs. Further research is required to evaluate their impact in a prospective risk-stratified screening program, including cost-effectiveness.

PMID:38422475 | DOI:10.1200/JCO.23.00295

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Penile Cancer Mortality in Brazil: Are We Making Progress?

JCO Glob Oncol. 2024 Feb;10:e2300303. doi: 10.1200/GO.23.00303.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aims to analyze the trends in mortality rates from penile cancer (PeC) and the treatment modalities adopted in Brazil over recent years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Death records for PeC cases (International Classification of Diseases, version 10 C60) and treatment modalities were extracted from the DATASUS database. A joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to examine the data.

RESULTS: A total of 7,848 deaths due to PeC were recorded in Brazil between 1996 and 2020. Increasing mortality trends were observed, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.91 (0.6-1.2; P < .001). The North and Northeast regions had the highest age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and AAPCs. From 2008 to 2020, the ASMR in the Northeast region remained stable, whereas the North region surpassed it. The Southeast region exhibited a significant downward trend, with an AAPC of -0.91 (-1.3 to -0.5; P < .001). Penile biopsies declined and were more frequent in the southeastern region. A total of 8,498 penile amputations were performed, with 39.4% and 29.1% conducted in the Southeast and Northeast regions, respectively.

CONCLUSION: Brazil has experienced increasing mortality trends in PeC over the past 2 decades. Low schooling, married, and young men from the North or Northeast regions represent the majority of deaths. Urgent efforts are needed to enhance the diagnosis and treatment of PeC to prevent and reduce mortality rates in the country.

PMID:38422465 | DOI:10.1200/GO.23.00303

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Effectiveness of an intervention to improve ART adherence among men who have sex with men living with HIV: a randomized controlled trial in three public HIV clinics in Mexico

AIDS Care. 2024 Feb 29:1-16. doi: 10.1080/09540121.2023.2299322. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We conducted a parallel-group randomized controlled trial in three HIV clinics in Mexico to evaluate a user-centred habit-formation intervention to improve ART adherence among MSM living with HIV. We randomized 74 participants to the intervention group and 77 to the control group. We measured adherence at one, four, and ten months through medication possession ratio and self-reported adherence. Additionally, we measured viral load, CD4 cell count, major depression disorder symptoms, and alcohol and substance use disorder at baseline, fourth and tenth months. We found no statistically significant effect on adherence between groups. However, the intervention demonstrated positive results in major depression disorder symptoms (21% vs. 6%, p = 0.008) and substance use disorder (11% vs. 1%, p = 0.018) in the fourth month. The latter is relevant because, in addition to its direct benefit, it might also improve the chances of maintaining adequate adherence in the long term. This trial was retrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (trial number NCT03410680) on 8 January 2018.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03410680.

PMID:38422450 | DOI:10.1080/09540121.2023.2299322

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Quantitative Predictors of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy on Dynamic Contrast-enhanced 3T Breast MRI

J Breast Imaging. 2022 Apr 15;4(2):168-176. doi: 10.1093/jbi/wbab095.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether changes in quantitative parameters on breast MRI better predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in breast cancer than change in volume.

METHODS: This IRB-approved retrospective study included women with newly diagnosed breast cancer who underwent 3T MRI before and during NAC from January 2013 to December 2019 and underwent surgery at our institution. Clinical data such as age, histologic diagnosis and grade, biomarker status, clinical stage, maximum index cancer dimension and volume, and surgical pathology (presence or absence of in-breast pCR) were collected. Quantitative parameters were calculated using software. Correlations between clinical features and MRI quantitative measures in pCR and non-pCR groups were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS: A total of 182 women with a mean age of 52 years (range, 26-79 years) and 187 cancers were included. Approximately 45% (85/182) of women had pCR at surgery. Stepwise multivariate regression analysis showed statistical significance for changes in quantitative parameters (increase in time to peak and decreases in peak enhancement, wash out, and Kep [efflux rate constant]) for predicting pCR. These variables in combination predicted pCR with 81.2% accuracy and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.878. The AUCs of change in index cancer volume and maximum dimension were 0.767 and 0.613, respectively.

CONCLUSION: Absolute changes in quantitative MRI parameters between pre-NAC MRI and intra-NAC MRI could help predict pCR with excellent accuracy, which was greater than changes in index cancer volume and maximum dimension.

PMID:38422427 | DOI:10.1093/jbi/wbab095

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Mentorship Interest in Breast Imaging: Survey Results From the Society of Breast Imaging

J Breast Imaging. 2022 Apr 15;4(2):161-167. doi: 10.1093/jbi/wbab100.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study assessed mentorship interest within the breast radiologist community to guide development of a mentorship program through the Society of Breast Imaging (SBI).

METHODS: A 19-question survey developed by the SBI mentorship committee was distributed electronically to its members March 16, 2021, to May 7, 2021, to gauge interest in forming a society-sponsored mentorship program. Responses were analyzed, with subgroups compared using chi-square analysis.

RESULTS: There was an 18% response rate (598/3277), and 65% (381/588) professed interest in an SBI-sponsored mentorship. Respondents were evenly distributed between academic (241/586, 41%) and private practice (242/586, 41%). Most were breast imaging fellowship-trained (355/593, 60%) and identified as female (420/596, 70%). For practice years, 50% (293/586) were late career (11+ years) with the remainder early-mid career (201/586, 34%) or trainees (92/586, 16%). For mentorship content areas, work/life balance was the most popular choice (275/395, 70%) followed by leadership (234/395, 59%). Most respondents were not currently mentors (279/377, 74%) or mentees (284/337, 84%). Those interested in a mentorship relationship were statistically younger (<45 years old, 234/381, 61% vs 31/207, 15%, P < 0.00001), female (289/381, 76% vs 123/207, 59%, P = 0.00003), academics (189/381, 50% vs 48/207, 23%, P < 0.00001), identified as a racial/ethnic minority (138/381, 64% vs 121/297, 15%, P < 0.00001), and fellowship-trained (262/381, 69% vs 88/207, 43%, P < 0.00001).

CONCLUSION: There is demand, especially among the society’s young and minority members, for an SBI-sponsored mentorship program. Work/life balance and leadership were the most popular choices for guidance.

PMID:38422426 | DOI:10.1093/jbi/wbab100

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The Prevalence and Associated Factors of Peripheral Intravenous Complications in a Thai Hospital

J Infus Nurs. 2024 Mar-Apr 01;47(2):120-131. doi: 10.1097/NAN.0000000000000538.

ABSTRACT

Complications of peripheral intravenous catheters (PIVCs) remain a major contributor to health care costs and are a patient safety problem. The objective of this cross-sectional descriptive study was to examine the prevalence of complications and factors associated with complications from peripheral intravenous fluid administration. The study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital in Thailand. The instruments were developed from the literature review. Data were analyzed using SPSS statistics, version 22. The study examined 441 patients with a total of 497 PIVC sites. Phlebitis (level 1 and 2 only) occurred at 2.41% of all sites; infiltration (level 1 and 2 only) occurred at 1.01% of all sites, and extravasation (mild and moderate only) occurred at 0.60% of all sites. Factors associated with the occurrence of infiltration complications included receiving intravenous (IV) crystalloids (P = .03) and receiving IV analgesic drugs (P = .001). Age was statistically significantly related to extravasation complications (P = .001). Nurses should be aware of possible complications from peripheral intravenous fluid administration, especially in older patients and those receiving IV crystalloids or analgesic drugs.

PMID:38422405 | DOI:10.1097/NAN.0000000000000538

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Evaluating Nursing Students’ Venipuncture and Peripheral Intravenous Cannulation Knowledge, Attitude, and Performance: A Two-Phase Evaluation Study

J Infus Nurs. 2024 Mar-Apr 01;47(2):108-119. doi: 10.1097/NAN.0000000000000539.

ABSTRACT

Peripheral intravenous cannulation and venipuncture are among the most common invasive procedures in health care and are not without risks or complications. The aim of this study was to evaluate the current training provided to nursing and midwifery undergraduate students. Student knowledge, attitude, practice, and performance regarding these procedural skills were assessed. A knowledge, attitude, and practices survey was disseminated to final year nursing and midwifery students as the first phase of this study. For the second phase of the study, nursing students were video recorded and then observed performing the skill of peripheral intravenous cannulation in a simulated environment. Thirty-eight nursing and midwifery students completed the survey, and 66 nursing students participated in the observation study. Descriptive statistics were performed. The mean knowledge score was 7.2 out of 15.0, (standard deviation [SD] = 2.4), and the mean attitude score was 10.20 out of 18.00 (SD = 4.79). Qualitative data from the survey were categorized to demonstrate specific areas of focus for improving the training. The mean performance score was 16.20 out of 28.00 (SD = 2.98). This study provides valuable input to developing and enhancing evidence-based curricula. It can help educators and supervisors, in both academic and clinical settings, identify areas where clinical performance and education could be enhanced.

PMID:38422404 | DOI:10.1097/NAN.0000000000000539