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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Interrater reliability of photographic assessment of thyroid eye disease using the VISA classification

Int Ophthalmol. 2024 Feb 20;44(1):98. doi: 10.1007/s10792-024-02934-z.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine the interrater reliability (IRR) of thyroid eye disease (TED) photographic assessment using the VISA classification. To assess whether a VISA grading atlas improves ophthalmology trainees’ performance in photographic assessment of TED.

METHODS: A prospective, partially randomized, international study conducted from September 2021 to May 2022. Online study invitation was emailed to a volunteer sample group of 68 ophthalmology college accredited consultants and trainees, and 6 were excluded from the study. Participants were asked to score 10 patient photographs of TED using only the inflammation and motility restriction components of the VISA classification. IRR was compared between groups of practitioners by their level of experience. A clinical activity grading atlas was randomized to 50% of the ophthalmology trainees.

RESULTS: Overall rater ICC was 0.96 for inflammation and 0.99 for motility restriction. No statistically significant difference in IRR between rater groups was identified. Trainees with a grading atlas had the highest IRR for inflammation (ICC = 0.95). Each subcomponent of the inflammation and motility restriction components of VISA classification had an ICC considered good to excellent. The mean overall rater score was 4.6/9 for inflammation and 3.5/12 for motility restriction. For motility restriction there was a reduced mean score variance among all raters when scoring photographs with more severe motility restriction.

CONCLUSION: IRR using the inflammation and motility restriction components of the VISA classification was excellent. A VISA grading atlas improved trainee performance in grading inflammation.

PMID:38376802 | DOI:10.1007/s10792-024-02934-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Simplified Methods for Modelling Dependent Parameters in Health Economic Evaluations: A Tutorial

Appl Health Econ Health Policy. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s40258-024-00874-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In health economic evaluations, model parameters are often dependent on other model parameters. Although methods exist to simulate multivariate normal (MVN) distribution data and estimate transition probabilities in Markov models while considering competing risks, they are technically challenging for health economic modellers to implement. This tutorial introduces easily implementable applications for handling dependent parameters in modelling.

METHODS: Analytical proofs and proposed simplified methods for handling dependent parameters in typical health economic modelling scenarios are provided, and implementation of these methods are illustrated in seven examples along with the SAS and R code.

RESULTS: Methods to quantify the covariance and correlation coefficients of correlated variables based on published summary statistics and generation of MVN distribution data are demonstrated using examples of physician visits data and cost component data. The use of univariate normal distribution data instead of MVN distribution data to capture population heterogeneity is illustrated based on the results from multiple regression models with linear predictors, and two examples are provided (linear fixed-effects model and Cox proportional hazards model). A conditional probability method is introduced to handle two or more state transitions in a single Markov model cycle and applied in examples of one- and two-way state transitions.

CONCLUSIONS: This tutorial proposes an extension of routinely used methods along with several examples. These simplified methods may be easily applied by health economic modellers with varied statistical backgrounds.

PMID:38376793 | DOI:10.1007/s40258-024-00874-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Ammoniacal nitrogen recovery from swine slurry using a gas-permeable membrane: pH control strategies and feed-to-trapping volume ratio

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32193-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Gas-permeable membrane (GPM) technology is gaining interest to recover nitrogen from residual effluents due to its effectiveness, simple operation and capacity of producing a nutrient rich product with fertilising value. In this study, a GPM contactor was used at 25 °C to recover total ammoniacal nitrogen (TAN) from swine slurry as a concentrated (NH4)2SO4 solution. Firstly, a synthetic solution was tested on a wide pH range (6-12). Results showed that the ammonia mass transfer constants (Km) increased from 7.9·10-9 to 1.2·10-6 m/s as the pH increased. The reagent consumption to control the pH per mole nitrogen recovered had a minimum at pH 9, which showed a Km value of 3.0·10-7 m/s. Secondly, various pH control strategies were tested using swine slurry, including (i) no pH control, (ii) pH control at 8.5, 9.0 and 10.0, and (iii) an initial spike of the NaOH equivalent to the required to control the pH at 9. The test without pH control reached a TAN recovery of around 60%, which could be an interesting strategy when high nitrogen recoveries or short operating times are not required. The pH control at 9 stood out as the most favourable operating condition due to its high Km and lower reagent consumption. Thirdly, several feed-to-trapping volume ratios ranging from 1:1 to 15:1 were tested using swine slurry at pH 9. These assays revealed that a GPM process with a high feed-to-trapping volume ratio fastens the recovery of 99% of TAN as a high purity (NH4)2SO4 solution containing 40 g N/L.

PMID:38376782 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-024-32193-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatial Variation in Excess Mortality Across Europe: A Cross-Sectional Study of 561 Regions in 21 Countries

J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s44197-024-00200-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To measure the burden of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 at the subnational level by estimating excess mortality, defined as the increase in all-cause mortality relative to an expected baseline mortality level.

METHODS: Statistical and demographic analyses of regional all-cause mortality data provided by the vital statistics systems of 21 European countries for 561 regions in Central and Western Europe. Life expectancy losses at ages 0 and 60 for males and females were estimated.

RESULTS: We found evidence of a loss in life expectancy in 391 regions, whilst only three regions exhibit notable gains in life expectancy in 2020. For 12 regions, losses of life expectancy amounted to more than 2 years and three regions showed losses greater than 3 years. We highlight geographical clusters of high mortality in Northern Italy, Spain and Poland, whilst clusters of low mortality were found in Western France, Germany/Denmark and Norway/Sweden.

CONCLUSIONS: Regional differences of loss of life expectancy are impressive, ranging from a loss of more than 4 years to a gain of 8 months. These findings provide a strong rationale for regional analysis, as national estimates hide significant regional disparities.

PMID:38376764 | DOI:10.1007/s44197-024-00200-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Racial disparities in law enforcement/court-ordered psychiatric inpatient admissions after the 2008 recession: a test of the frustration-aggression-displacement hypothesis

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s00127-024-02627-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Societies under duress may selectively increase the reporting of disordered persons from vulnerable communities to law enforcement. Mentally ill African American males reportedly are perceived as more threatening relative to females and other race/ethnicities. We examine whether law enforcement/court order-requested involuntary psychiatric hospitalizations increased among African American males shortly after ambient economic decline-a widely characterized population stressor.

METHODS: We identified psychiatric inpatient admissions requested by law enforcement/court orders from 2006 to 2011 across four US states (Arizona, California, New York, North Carolina). Our analytic sample comprises 13.1 million psychiatric inpatient admissions across 95 counties over 72 months. We operationalized exposure to economic downturns as percent change in monthly employment in a metropolitan statistical area (MSA). We used zero inflated negative binomial and linear fixed effects regression analyses to examine psychiatric inpatient admissions requested by law enforcement/court orders following regional employment decline over a time period that includes the Great Recession of 2008.

FINDINGS: Declines in monthly employment precede by one month a 6% increase in psychiatric hospitalizations requested by law enforcement/court order among African American males (p < 0.05), but not among other race/sex groups. Estimates amount to an excess of 2554 involuntary admissions among African American males statistically attributable to aggregate-level employment decline.

CONCLUSIONS: Economic downturns may increase involuntary psychiatric commitments among African American males. Our findings underscore the unique vulnerability of racial/ethnic minorities during economic contractions.

PMID:38376752 | DOI:10.1007/s00127-024-02627-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

All-epiphyseal anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction yields superior sports performances than the trans-epiphyseal technique in skeletally immature patients: a systematic review

J Orthop Traumatol. 2024 Feb 20;25(1):7. doi: 10.1186/s10195-024-00751-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) tears in skeletally immature patients are increasingly common. Evidence comparing the outcomes of all-epiphyseal versus trans-epiphyseal ACL reconstruction in skeletally immature patients is limited, and the current literature could benefit from a comprehensive systematic review. The present study compared all-epiphyseal versus trans-epiphyseal ACL reconstruction in skeletally immature patients. The outcomes of interest were to compare joint laxity, patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), return to sport, and complications.

METHODS: This study was conducted according to the 2020 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement. In November 2023, the following databases were accessed: PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Embase. No additional filters were used in the database search. All the clinical studies investigating ACL reconstruction in skeletally immature patients were accessed. Only articles that clearly stated the surgical technique (all- or trans-epiphyseal) were eligible. Only articles with a minimum of 6 months of follow-up were included. Only articles that clearly stated that surgeries were conducted in children with open physis were eligible.

RESULTS: Data from 1489 patients (1493 procedures) were collected, of which 32% (490 of 1489 patients) were female. The mean length of follow-up was 46.6 months. The mean age of the patients was 12.7 years. No difference was found in joint laxity (Table 3): positive pivot shift (P = 0.4), positive Lachman test (P = 0.3), and mean arthrometer laxity (P = 0.1). No difference was found in PROMs (Table 4): International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) (P = 0.3), Lysholm (P = 0.4), and Tegner (P = 0.7). The trans-epiphyseal technique was associated with a greater rate of patients unable to return to sports (1% versus 7%, P = 0.0001) and with a longer time to return to sports (7.7 versus 8.6 months, P = 0.01). Though the trans-epiphyseal technique was associated with a lower rate of return to sport, this difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.8). No difference was evidenced in the rate of patients who had reduced their league or level of sports activity (P = 0.6) or in the rate of patients who had returned to their previous league or level of sports activity (P = 0.7). No difference was found in the rate of complication: re-tear (P = 0.8), reoperation (P = 0.7), increased laxity (P = 0.9), and persistent instability sensation (P = 0.3).

CONCLUSION: Trans-epiphyseal ACL reconstruction was associated with a greater rate of patients unable to return to sport and with a longer time to return to sport compared with the all-epiphyseal technique in skeletally immature patients. Level of evidence Level III, systematic review.

PMID:38376718 | DOI:10.1186/s10195-024-00751-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Structural and functional changes following brain surgery in pediatric patients with intracranial space-occupying lesions

Brain Imaging Behav. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s11682-023-00799-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We explored the structural and functional changes of the healthy hemisphere of the brain after surgery in children with intracranial space-occupying lesions. We enrolled 32 patients with unilateral intracranial space-occupying lesions for brain imaging and cognitive assessment. Voxel-based morphometry and surface-based morphometry analyses were used to investigate the structural images of the healthy hemisphere. Functional images were analyzed using regional homogeneity, amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations, and fractional-amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations. Voxel-based morphometry and surface-based morphometry analysis used the statistical model built into the CAT 12 toolbox. Paired t-tests were used for functional image and cognitive test scores. For structural image analysis, we used family-wise error correction of peak level (p < 0.05), and for functional image analysis, we use Gaussian random-field theory correction (voxel p < 0.001, cluster p < 0.05). We found an increase in gray matter volume in the healthy hemisphere within six months postoperatively, mainly in the frontal lobe. Regional homogeneity and fractional-amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations also showed greater functional activity in the frontal lobe. The results of cognitive tests showed that psychomotor speed and motor speed decreased significantly after surgery, and reasoning increased significantly after surgery. We concluded that in children with intracranial space-occupying lesions, the healthy hemisphere exhibits compensatory structural and functional effects within six months after surgery. This effect occurs mainly in the frontal lobe and is responsible for some higher cognitive compensation. This may provide some guidance for the rehabilitation of children after brain surgery.

PMID:38376714 | DOI:10.1007/s11682-023-00799-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Acoustic emission of kidney stones: a medical adaptation of statistical breakdown mechanisms

Urolithiasis. 2024 Feb 20;52(1):36. doi: 10.1007/s00240-024-01531-0.

ABSTRACT

Kidney stones have a prevalence rate of > 10% in some countries. There has been a significant increase in surgery to treat kidney stones over the last 10 years, and it is crucial that such techniques are as effective as possible, while limiting complications. A selection of kidney stones with different chemical and structural properties were subjected to compression. Under compression, they emit acoustic signals called crackling noise. The variability of the crackling noise was surprisingly great comparing weddellite, cystine and uric acid stones. Two types of signals were found in all stones. At high energies of the emitted sound waves, we found avalanche behaviour, while all stones also showed signals of local, uncorrelated collapse. These two types of events are called ‘wild’ for avalanches and ‘mild’ for uncorrelated events. The key observation is that the crossover from mild to wild collapse events differs greatly between different stones. Weddellite showed brittle collapse, extremely low crossover energies (< 5 aJ) and wild avalanches over 6 orders of magnitude. In cystine and uric acid stones, the collapse was more complicated with a dominance of local “mild” breakings, although they all contained some stress-induced collective avalanches. Cystine stones had high crossover energies, typically [Formula: see text] 750 aJ, and a narrow window over which they showed wild avalanches. Uric acid stones gave moderate values of crossover energies, [Formula: see text] 200 aJ, and wild avalanche behaviour for [Formula: see text] 3 orders of magnitude. Further research extended to all stone types, and measurement of stone responses to different lithotripsy strategies, will assist in optimisation of settings of the laser and other lithotripsy devices to insight fragmentation by targeting the ‘wild’ avalanche regime.

PMID:38376662 | DOI:10.1007/s00240-024-01531-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Psychometric properties of the Kidney Disease Quality of Life short form 36 (KDQOL-36) scale for the assessment of quality of life in Colombian patients with chronic kidney disease on dialysis

Int Urol Nephrol. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s11255-024-03940-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Considering the importance of incorporating quality of life (QoL) construct during the health care of patients with stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) on dialysis, it is necessary to have evidence on the clinimetric properties of the instruments used for its measurement. This study aimed to establish the clinimetric properties of the Kidney Disease Quality of Life Short Form 36 (KDQOL-36) scale in patients with stage 5 CKD on dialysis in Colombia.

METHODS: A scale validation study was conducted using the classical test theory methodology. The statistical analysis included exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and confirmatory (CFA) techniques performed on two independent subsamples; concurrent criterion validity assessments; internal consistency using four different coefficients; test-retest reliability; and sensitivity to change using mixed model for repeated measures.

RESULTS: The KDQOL-36 scale was applied to 506 patients with a diagnosis of stage 5 CKD on dialysis, attended in five renal units in Colombia. The EFA endorsed the three-factor structure of the scale, and the CFA showed an adequate fit of both the original and empirical models. Spearman’s correlation coefficient values ≥0.50 were found between the domains of the CKD-specific core of the KDQOL-36 scale and the KDQ. Cronbach’s alpha, McDonald’s omega, Greatest lower bound (GLB), and Guttman’s lambda coefficients were ≥0.89, indicating a high degree of consistency. A high level of concordance correlation was found between the two moments of application of the instrument, with values for Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient ≥0.7. The application of the instrument after experiencing an event that could modify the quality of life showed statistically significant differences in the scores obtained.

CONCLUSION: The KDQOL-36 scale is an adequate instrument for measuring QoL in Colombian patients with stage 5 CKD on dialysis.

PMID:38376660 | DOI:10.1007/s11255-024-03940-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Utilizing procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, and serum amyloid A in combination for diagnosing sepsis due to urinary tract infection

Int Urol Nephrol. 2024 Feb 20. doi: 10.1007/s11255-024-03959-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to evaluate the combined diagnostic value of procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and serum amyloid A (SAA) in sepsis caused by urinary tract infection.

METHOD: A total of 80 patients with urosepsis who were hospitalized were included in the study group, and 80 patients with urinary tract infection without sepsis were included in the control group. We collected the PCT, SAA, and CRP levels of patients following admission. Subsequently, we conducted a comparative analysis to assess the specificity, accuracy, and sensitivity of combined diagnostic approaches in contrast to individual diagnostic methods for blood PCT, SAA, and CRP.

RESULTS: The levels of PCT, SAA, and CRP in the study group were significantly higher than those in the control group, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.01). Multi-factor logistic regression analysis revealed that the levels of PCT (P = 0.003) and SAA (P = 0.014) were associated with urosepsis. The sensitivity of PCT was 87.133% and the specificity was 93.066%, which were higher than that of SAA and CRP. The specificity of the combined detection of the three was 95.670%, which was higher than that of PCT, SAA, and CRP alone. Correlation analysis revealed that PCT had a significant positive correlation with CRP and SAA (P < 0.01), and a weak correlation with white blood cell count (WBC) and fibrinogen (FIB) (P = 0.03 for WBC, P = 0.04 for FIB).

CONCLUSION: PCT, SAA, and CRP indicators in patients with urosepsis are significantly elevated, and all three are valuable in the diagnosis of urosepsis. PCT alone has good diagnostic efficiency for urosepsis, and a certain correlation with other inflammatory factors. The diagnostic efficacy of the three indicators in combination is better than that of any one of the three, and is worthy of widespread clinical application.

PMID:38376659 | DOI:10.1007/s11255-024-03959-0