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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Performance and diagnostic accuracy of scoring systems in adult patients with suspected appendicitis

Langenbecks Arch Surg. 2023 Jul 6;408(1):267. doi: 10.1007/s00423-023-02991-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aims to determine the most accurate appendicitis scoring system and optimal cut-off points for each scoring system.

METHODS: This single-centred prospective cohort study was conducted from January-to-June 2021, involving all patients admitted on suspicion of appendicitis. All patients were scored according to the Alvarado score, Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) score, Raja Isteri Pengiran Anak Saleha (RIPASA) score and Adult Appendicitis score (AAS). The final diagnosis for each patient was recorded. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated for each system. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed for each scoring system, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. Optimal cut-off scores were calculated using Youden’s Index.

RESULTS: A total of 245 patients were recruited with 198 (80.8%) patients underwent surgery. RIPASA score had higher sensitivity and specificity than other scoring systems without being statistically significant (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 62.3%, optimal score 8.5, AUC 0.724), followed by the AAS (sensitivity 60.2%, specificity 75.4%, optimal score 14, AUC 0.719), AIR score (sensitivity 76.7%, specificity 52.2%, optimal score 5, AUC 0.688) and Alvarado score (sensitivity 69.9%, specificity 62.3%, optimal score 5, AUC 0.681). Multiple logistic regression revealed anorexia (p-value 0.018), right iliac fossa tenderness (p-value 0.005) and guarding (p-value 0.047) as significant clinical factors independently associated with appendicitis.

CONCLUSION: Appendicitis scoring systems have shown moderate sensitivity and specificity in our population. The RIPASA scoring system has shown to be the most sensitive, specific and easy-to-use scoring system in the Malaysian population whereas the AAS is most accurate in excluding low-risk patients.

PMID:37410251 | DOI:10.1007/s00423-023-02991-5

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Development and validation of a real-world model to predict 1-year Level 3 (severe) hypoglycaemia risk in adults with diabetes (the iNPHORM study, United States)

Diabetes Obes Metab. 2023 Jul 6. doi: 10.1111/dom.15186. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: We aimed to develop and internally validate a real-world prognostic model for Level 3 hypoglycaemia risk compatible with outpatient care in the United States.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: iNPHORM is a 12-month, US-based panel survey. Adults (18-90 years old) with type 1 diabetes mellitus or insulin- and/or secretagogue-treated type 2 diabetes mellitus were recruited from a nationwide, probability-based internet panel. Among participants completing $$ ge $$ 1 follow-up questionnaire(s), we modelled 1-year Level 3 hypoglycaemia risk using Andersen and Gill’s Cox survival and penalized regression with multiple imputation. Candidate variables were selected for their clinical relevance and ease of capture at point-of-care.

RESULTS: In total, 986 participants [type 1 diabetes mellitus: 17%; men: 49.6%; mean age: 51 (SD: 14.3) years] were analysed. Across follow-up, 035.1 (95% CI: 32.2-38.1)% reported ≥1 Level 3 event(s), and the rate was 5.0 (95% CI: 4.1-6.0) events per person-year. Our final model showed strong discriminative validity and parsimony (optimism corrected c-statistic: 0.77). Numerous variables were selected: age; sex; body mass index; marital status; level of education; insurance coverage; race; ethnicity; food insecurity; diabetes type; glycated haemoglobin value; glycated haemoglobin variability; number, type and dose of various medications; number of SH events requiring hospital care (past year and over follow-up); type and number of comorbidities and complications; number of diabetes-related health care visits (past year); use of continuous/flash glucose monitoring; and general health status.

CONCLUSIONS: iNPHORM is the first US-based primary prognostic study on Level 3 hypoglycaemia. Future model implementation could potentiate risk-tailored strategies that reduce real-world event occurrence and overall diabetes burden.

PMID:37409569 | DOI:10.1111/dom.15186

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China special issue on gastrointestinal tumor-radiological features of pathological complete response in mismatch repair deficient colorectal cancer after neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade: A post hoc analysis of the PICC phase II trial

Int J Cancer. 2023 Jul 6. doi: 10.1002/ijc.34647. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Neoadjuvant programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) blockade exhibits promising efficacy in patients with mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) colorectal cancer (CRC). However, discrepancies between radiological and histological findings have been reported in the PICC phase II trial (NCT03926338). Therefore, we strived to discern radiological features associated with pathological complete response (pCR) based on computed tomography (CT) images. Data were obtained from the PICC trial that included 36 tumors from 34 locally advanced dMMR CRC patients, who received neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade for 3 months. Among the 36 tumors, 28 (77.8%) tumors achieved pCR. There were no statistically significant differences in tumor longitudinal diameter, the percentage change in tumor longitudinal diameter from baseline, primary tumor sidedness, clinical stage, extramural venous invasion status, intratumoral calcification, peritumoral fat infiltration, intestinal fistula and tumor necrosis between the pCR and non-pCR tumors. Otherwise, tumors with pCR had smaller posttreatment tumor maximum thickness (median: 10 mm vs 13 mm, P = .004) and higher percentage decrease in tumor maximum thickness from baseline (52.9% vs 21.6%, P = .005) compared to non-pCR tumors. Additionally, a higher proportion of the absence of vascular sign (P = .003, odds ratio [OR] = 25.870 [95% CI, 1.357-493.110]), nodular sign (P < .001, OR = 189.000 [95% CI, 10.464-3413.803]) and extramural enhancement sign (P = .003, OR = 21.667 [2.848-164.830]) was observed in tumors with pCR. In conclusion, these CT-defined radiological features may have the potential to serve as valuable tools for clinicians in identifying patients who have achieved pCR after neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade, particularly in individuals who are willing to adopt a watch-and-wait strategy.

PMID:37409565 | DOI:10.1002/ijc.34647

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Use of probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2023 Jul 6. doi: 10.1111/jgh.16256. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) exhibit compositional changes in their gut microbiome, which represents a potential therapeutic target. Probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics are microbiome-targeted therapies that have been proposed as treatment for NAFLD. We aim to systematically review the effects of these therapies in liver-related outcomes of NAFLD patients.

METHODS: We conducted a systematic search in Embase (Ovid), Medline (Ovid), Scopus, Cochrane, and EBSCOhost from inception to August 19, 2022. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that treated NAFLD patients with prebiotics and/or probiotics. We meta-analyzed the outcomes using standardized mean difference (SMD) and assessed study heterogeneity using Cochran’s Q test and I2 statistics. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk-of-Bias 2 tool.

RESULTS: A total of 41 (18 probiotics, 17 synbiotics, and 6 prebiotics) RCTs were included. Pooled data demonstrated that the intervention had significantly improved liver steatosis (measured by ultrasound grading) (SMD: 4.87; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.27, 7.25), fibrosis (SMD: -0.61 kPa; 95% CI: -1.12, -0.09 kPa), and liver enzymes including alanine transaminase (SMD: -0.86 U/L; 95% CI: -1.16, -0.56 U/L), aspartate transaminase (SMD: -0.87 U/L; 95% CI: -1.22, -0.52 U/L), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (SMD: -0.77 U/L; 95% CI: -1.26, -0.29 U/L).

CONCLUSIONS: Microbiome-targeted therapies were associated with significant improvements in liver-related outcomes in NAFLD patients. Nevertheless, limitations in existing literature like heterogeneity in probiotic strains, dosage, and formulation undermine our findings. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022354562) and supported by the Nanyang Technological University Start-up Grant and Wang Lee Wah Memorial Fund.

PMID:37409560 | DOI:10.1111/jgh.16256

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Prevalence of FH-Causing Variants and Impact on LDL-C Concentration in European, South Asian, and African Ancestry Groups of the UK Biobank

Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 2023 Jul 6. doi: 10.1161/ATVBAHA.123.319438. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a monogenic disease that causes high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and higher risk of premature coronary heart disease. The prevalence of FH-causing variants and their association with LDL-C in non-European populations remains largely unknown. Using DNA diagnosis in a population-based cohort, we aimed to estimate the prevalence of FH across 3 major ancestry groups in the United Kingdom.

METHODS: Principal component analysis was used to distinguish genetic ancestry in UK Biobank participants. Whole exome sequencing data were analyzed to provide a genetic diagnosis of FH. LDL-C concentrations were adjusted for statin use.

RESULTS: Principal component analysis distinguished 140 439 European, 4067 South Asian, and 3906 African participants with lipid and whole exome sequencing data. There were significant differences between the 3 groups, including total and LDL-C concentrations, and prevalence and incidence of coronary heart disease. We identified 488, 18, and 15 participants of European, South Asian, and African ancestry carrying a likely pathogenic or pathogenic FH-variant. No statistical difference in the prevalence of an FH-causing variant was observed: 1 out of 288 (95% CI, 1/316-1/264) in European, 1 out of 260 (95% CI, 1/526-1/173) in African, and 1 out of 226 (95% CI, 1/419-1/155) in South Asian. Carriers of an FH-causing variant had significantly higher LDL-C concentration than noncarriers in every ancestry group. There was no difference in mean (statin-use adjusted) LDL-C concentration in FH-variant carriers depending on their ancestry background. Self-reported statin use was nonsignificantly highest in FH-variant carriers of South Asian ancestry (55.6%), followed by African (40.0%) and European (33.8%; P=0.15).

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of FH-causing variants in the UK Biobank is similar across the ancestry groups analyzed. Despite overall differences in lipid concentrations, FH-variant carriers across the 3 ancestry groups had similar LDL-C levels. In all ancestry groups, the proportion of FH-variant carriers treated with lipid-lowering therapy should be improved to reduce future risk of premature coronary heart disease.

PMID:37409534 | DOI:10.1161/ATVBAHA.123.319438

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Effects of platelet-rich fibrin produced by three centrifugation protocols on bone neoformation in defects created in rat calvaria

Platelets. 2023 Dec;34(1):2228417. doi: 10.1080/09537104.2023.2228417.

ABSTRACT

This study evaluated the potential of Leukocyte-platelet-rich fibrin (L-PRF; fixed angle centrifugation protocol), Advanced-platelet-rich fibrin (A-PRF; low-speed fixed angle centrifugation protocol), and Horizontal-platelet-rich fibrin (H-PRF; horizontal centrifugation protocol) in bone neoformation in critical size defects (CSDs) in rat calvaria. Thirty-two rats were divided into groups: Control (C), L-PRF, A-PRF, and H-PRF. 5 mm diameter CSDs were created in the animals’ calvaria. Defects from group Control (C) were filled with blood clots, while defects from groups L-PRF, A-PRF, and H-PRF were filled with respective platelet-rich fibrin (PRF) membranes. L-PRF, A-PRF, and H-PRF were prepared from animal blood collection and specific centrifugation protocols. At 14 and 30 days, calcein (CA) and alizarin (AL) injections were performed, respectively. Animals were euthanized at 35 days. Microtomographic, laser confocal microscopy, and histomorphometric analyzes were performed. Data were statistically analyzed (ANOVA, Tukey, p < .05). L-PRF, A-PRF, and H-PRF groups showed higher values of bone volume (BV), newly formed bone area (NFBA), and precipitation of CA and AL than the C group (p < .05). The H-PRF group showed higher values of BV, number of trabeculae (Tb. N), NFBA, and higher precipitation of AL than the A-PRF and L-PRF groups (p < .05). Therefore, it can be concluded that: i) L-PRF, A-PRF, and H-PRF potentiate bone neoformation in CSDs in rat calvaria; ii) H-PRF demonstrated more biological potential for bone healing.

PMID:37409489 | DOI:10.1080/09537104.2023.2228417

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Acupuncture improves certain aspects of sleep in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation patients: a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial

Acupunct Med. 2023 Jul 6:9645284231181403. doi: 10.1177/09645284231181403. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: High-dose chemotherapy followed by hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is associated with a high symptom burden including sleep disturbance. Here we present the results of a secondary analysis of a randomized, sham-controlled trial assessing the effect of acupuncture on sleep quality during HSCT.

METHODS: Adult multiple myeloma patients undergoing inpatient and outpatient autologous HSCT were randomized and blinded to receive either true or sham acupuncture (by licensed acupuncturists) once daily for 5 days starting the day after chemotherapy. Sleep onset, total sleep time, sleep efficiency percentage and sleep-onset latency time were assessed using an actigraphy-based sleep monitor. A multivariate regression analysis was conducted to compare the average area-under-the-curve of five acupuncture intervention days for each sleep outcome between groups, adjusted by baseline score and inpatient or outpatient chemotherapy stratum.

RESULTS: Over 32 months, 63 patients were enrolled. Participants undergoing true acupuncture experienced a significant improvement in sleep efficiency when compared to sham (-6.70, 95% CI -13.15, -0.25, p = 0.042). Subgroup analysis showed that the improvement was more prominent in the inpatient setting (-9.62, 95% CI -18.76, -0.47; p = 0.040). True acupuncture tended to improve wake time after sleep onset (WASO; -10.95, p = 0.054). Between-group differences in other sleep related variables were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that true acupuncture may improve certain aspects of sleep, including sleep efficiency and possibly WASO, in multiple myeloma patients undergoing HSCT. By studying patient reported outcomes in future larger scale studies, acupuncture’s role in improving sleep quality during HSCT treatment could be further elucidated.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01811862 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

PMID:37409464 | DOI:10.1177/09645284231181403

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Long-Term Prevalence of Systolic Dysfunction in MYBPC3 Versus MYH7-Related Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Circ Genom Precis Med. 2023 Jul 6:e003832. doi: 10.1161/CIRCGEN.122.003832. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The 2 sarcomere genes most commonly associated with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), MYBPC3 (myosin-binding protein C3) and MYH7 (β-myosin heavy chain), are indistinguishable at presentation, and genotype-phenotype correlations have been elusive. Based on molecular and pathophysiological differences, however, it is plausible to hypothesize a different behavior in myocardial performance, impacting lifetime changes in left ventricular (LV) function.

METHODS: We reviewed the initial and final echocardiograms of 402 consecutive HCM patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic MYBPC3 (n=251) or MYH7 (n=151) mutations, followed over 9±8 years.

RESULTS: At presentation, MYBPC3 patients were less frequently obstructive (15% versus 26%; P=0.005) and had lower LV ejection fraction compared with MYH7 (66±8% versus 68±8%, respectively; P=0.03). Both HCM patients harboring MYBPC3 and MYH7 mutations exhibited a small but significant decline in LV systolic function during follow-up; however, new onset of severe LV systolic dysfunction (LV ejection fraction, <50%) was greater among MYBPC3 patients (15% versus 5% among MYH7; P=0.013). Prevalence of grade II/III diastolic dysfunction at final evaluation was comparable between MYBPC3 and MYH7 patients (P=0.509). In a Cox multivariable analysis, MYBPC3-positive status (hazard ratio, 2.53 [95% CI, 1.09-5.82]; P=0.029), age (hazard ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.00-1.06]; P=0.027), and atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio, 2.39 [95% CI, 1.14-5.05]; P=0.020) were independent predictors of severe systolic dysfunction. No statistically significant differences occurred with regard to incidence of atrial fibrillation, heart failure, appropriate implanted cardioverter defibrillator shock, or cardiovascular death.

CONCLUSIONS: MYBPC3-related HCM showed increased long-term prevalence of systolic dysfunction compared with MYH7, in spite of similar outcome. Such observations suggest different pathophysiology of clinical progression in the 2 subsets and may prove relevant for understanding of genotype-phenotype correlations in HCM.

PMID:37409452 | DOI:10.1161/CIRCGEN.122.003832

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Clinical effect of modified electroconvulsive therapy on schizophrenia

Riv Psichiatr. 2023 Jul-Aug;58(4):183-189. doi: 10.1708/4064.40481.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical efficacy of modified electroconvulsive therapy (MECT) in patients with schizophrenia and provide a reference for the selection of safe and effective treatment options in clinical practice.

METHODS: A total of 200 patients with schizophrenia, who were admitted to Wuhan Wudong Hospital Psychiatric Hospital from January 2019 to December 2020, were selected as the study subjects. They were divided into an observation group and a control group (100 cases in each group) according to a random number table. The control group was treated with conventional antipsychotics (risperidone and aripiprazole), and the observation group was given conventional antipsychotics (risperidone and aripiprazole) with MECT. After 8 weeks, the clinical efficacy, cognitive and memory functions and the occurrence of adverse reactions between the two groups were compared.

RESULTS: The total clinical effective rate of the observation group was 90%, which was higher than that of the control group (74%), and the difference was statistically significant (p<0.05). The Wisconsin Card Sorting Test results of the observation group were better than those of the control group, and the cognitive function of the observation group was better than that of the control group (p<0.05). The Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Fourth Edition index of the observation group was higher than that of the control group, and the memory function of the observation group was better than that of the control group (p<0.05). The overall incidence of adverse reactions in the observation group was lower than that in the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (p=0.001).

CONCLUSION: The application of MECT in patients with schizophrenia can produce a good clinical curative effect, which is beneficial to the improvement and promotion of memory and cognitive functions in patients. Since the occurrence of adverse reactions is controllable, and safety is ideal, MECT has value in clinical application.

PMID:37409436 | DOI:10.1708/4064.40481

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Epimutation detection in the clinical context: guidelines and a use case from a new Bioconductor package

Epigenetics. 2023 Dec;18(1):2230670. doi: 10.1080/15592294.2023.2230670.

ABSTRACT

Epimutations are rare alterations of the normal DNA methylation pattern at specific loci, which can lead to rare diseases. Methylation microarrays enable genome-wide epimutation detection, but technical limitations prevent their use in clinical settings: methods applied to rare diseases’ data cannot be easily incorporated to standard analyses pipelines, while epimutation methods implemented in R packages (ramr) have not been validated for rare diseases. We have developed epimutacions, a Bioconductor package (https://bioconductor.org/packages/release/bioc/html/epimutacions.html). epimutacions implements two previously reported methods and four new statistical approaches to detect epimutations, along with functions to annotate and visualize epimutations. Additionally, we have developed an user-friendly Shiny app to facilitate epimutations detection (https://github.com/isglobal-brge/epimutacionsShiny) to non-bioinformatician users. We first compared the performance of epimutacions and ramr packages using three public datasets with experimentally validated epimutations. Methods in epimutacions had a high performance at low sample sizes and outperformed methods in ramr. Second, we used two general population children cohorts (INMA and HELIX) to determine the technical and biological factors that affect epimutations detection, providing guidelines on how designing the experiments or preprocessing the data. In these cohorts, most epimutations did not correlate with detectable regional gene expression changes. Finally, we exemplified how epimutacions can be used in a clinical context. We run epimutacions in a cohort of children with autism disorder and identified novel recurrent epimutations in candidate genes for autism. Overall, we present epimutacions a new Bioconductor package for incorporating epimutations detection to rare disease diagnosis and provide guidelines for the design and data analyses.

PMID:37409354 | DOI:10.1080/15592294.2023.2230670