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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How do fluctuating ecological dynamics impact the evolution of hosts and parasites?

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2023 Mar 27;378(1873):20220006. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0006. Epub 2023 Feb 6.

ABSTRACT

Theoretical models of the evolution of parasites and their hosts have shaped our understanding of infectious disease dynamics for over 40 years. Many theoretical models assume that the underlying ecological dynamics are at equilibrium or constant, yet we know that in a great many systems there are fluctuations in the ecological dynamics owing to a variety of intrinsic or extrinsic factors. Here, we discuss the challenges presented when modelling evolution in systems with fluctuating ecological dynamics and summarize the main approaches that have been developed to study host-parasite evolution in such systems. We provide an in-depth guide to one of the methods by applying it to two worked examples of host evolution that have not previously been studied in the literature: when cycles occur owing to seasonal forcing in competition, and when the presence of a free-living parasite causes cycles, with accompanying interactive Python code provided. We review the findings of studies that have explored host-parasite evolution when ecological dynamics fluctuate, and point to areas of future research. Throughout we stress the importance of feedbacks between the ecological and evolutionary dynamics in driving the outcomes of infectious disease systems. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Infectious disease ecology and evolution in a changing world’.

PMID:36744565 | DOI:10.1098/rstb.2022.0006

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A systematic computational analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis H37Rv and human CD34+ genomic expression reveals crucial molecular entities involved in infection progression

J Biomol Struct Dyn. 2023 Feb 6:1-16. doi: 10.1080/07391102.2023.2175257. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The co-evolution of Mycobacterium tuberculosis H37Rv along with its host systems enables the pathogenic bacterium to emerge as a multi-drug resistant form. This creates challenges for a more efficacious treatment strategy that can mitigate the infection. Working towards the same, our study followed a mathematical and statistical approach proposing that mycobacterial transcription factors regulating virulence and adaptation, host cell cytoplasmic component metabolism, oxidoreductase activity and respiratory ETC would be targets for antibiotics against Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Simultaneously, extending the statistical study on Mycobacterium-infected human cord blood CD34+ cells revealed that the human CD34+ genes, S100A8 and FGR (tyrosine-protein kinase, Src2), might be affected in the infection pathogenesis by Mycobacterium. Further, the deduced Mycobacterium-human gene interaction network proposed that mycobacterial coregulators Rv0452 (MarR family regulator) and Rv3862c (WhiB6) triggered genes controlling bacterial metabolism, which influences human immunological pathways involving TLR2 and CXCL8/MAPK8.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

PMID:36744528 | DOI:10.1080/07391102.2023.2175257

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The system of self-consistent models based on quasi-SMILES as a tool to predict the potential of nano-inhibitors of human lung carcinoma cell line A549 for different experimental conditions

Drug Chem Toxicol. 2023 Feb 6:1-8. doi: 10.1080/01480545.2023.2174986. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The different features of the impact of nanoparticles on cells, such as the structure of the core, presence/absence of doping, quality of surface, diameter, and dose, were used to define quasi-SMILES, a line of symbols encoded the above physicochemical features of the impact of nanoparticles. The correlation weight for each code in the quasi-SMILES has been calculated by the Monte Carlo method. The descriptor, which is the sum of the correlation weights, is the basis for a one-variable model of the biological activity of nano-inhibitors of human lung carcinoma cell line A549. The system of models obtained by the above scheme was checked on the self-consistence, i.e., reproducing the statistical quality of these models observed for different distributions of available nanomaterials into the training and validation sets. The computational experiments confirm the excellent potential of the approach as a tool to predict the impact of nanomaterials under different experimental conditions. In conclusion, our model is a self-consistent model system that provides a user to assess the reliability of the statistical quality of the used approach.

PMID:36744523 | DOI:10.1080/01480545.2023.2174986

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of reducing blue light from smartphone screen on subjective quality of sleep among students

Chronobiol Int. 2023 Feb 6:1-8. doi: 10.1080/07420528.2023.2173606. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The exposure of humans to artificial light at night (ALAN) with predominant blue part of the visible spectrum is strongly influencing circadian rhythm and sleep through melanopsin-containing retinal ganglion cells (RGC). We hypothesized that reducing the amount of emitted blue light from screens of mobile phones during the night will increase sleep quality in our student population. The aim of the work was to investigate the effect of reducing blue light from smartphone screen during the night on subjective quality of sleep among students of medicine. The target population was students of medicine aged 20 to 22 years old of both sexes. The primary outcome of the study was subjective sleep quality, assessed by the Serbian version of the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). The mean total PSQI score before intervention was 6.83 ± 2.73 (bad), while after the intervention the same score was statistically significant reduced to 3.93 ± 1.68 (good) with large effect size. The study has shown that a reduction of blue light emission from LED backlight screens of mobile phones during the night leads to improved subjective quality of sleep in students, as well as improvement in daytime functioning and going to sleep.

PMID:36744480 | DOI:10.1080/07420528.2023.2173606

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Implementation of maternal guidelines for gravid teenagers with hypertensive disorders in KwaZulu-Natal

Curationis. 2023 Feb 1;46(1):e1-e7. doi: 10.4102/curationis.v46i1.2395.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The worldwide phenomenon of teenage pregnancy among 13-9-year-olds is complicated by obstetric conditions. Among the top three causes of maternal mortality, hypertension is the third in South Africa. Quality maternal care is assured by obstetric practitioners (OPs) implementing guidelines specific for management of hypertension in pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate implementation of maternal guidelines for hypertension in pregnancy among teenagers.

METHODS: As a retrospective quantitative research design was used, 173 maternal records of pregnant teenagers from 13 to 19 years were sampled from six district hospitals and Community Health Centres (CHCs) between 01 January 2017 and 31 December 2019 to undergo systematic random sampling. A pretested structured checklist was used to record data from sampled maternal records. Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 26 was used for data analysis, and results were presented using simple descriptive statistics.

RESULTS: Research results indicated that teenagers who suffered from hypertension intrapartum and postpartum did not receive maternal care according to the guidelines for maternity care in South Africa. Blood pressure was not measured of six (3.47%) intrapartum and five (2.9%) postpartum teenagers. Seventeen (9.8%) hypertensive postpartum teenagers received their antihypertensives.

CONCLUSION: Public health institutions (PHIs) compromised provision of quality maternal care among teenagers, evidenced by incomplete intrapartum and postpartum assessment, diagnosis and management of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP).Contribution: This study contributed to facilitating adherence to guidelines improving healthcare of teenagers in government facilities.

PMID:36744473 | DOI:10.4102/curationis.v46i1.2395

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

QSAR study of tetrahydropteridin derivatives as polo-like kinase 1(PLK1) Inhibitors with molecular docking and dynamics study

SAR QSAR Environ Res. 2023 Feb 6:1-26. doi: 10.1080/1062936X.2023.2167860. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PLK1 is the key target for dealing with different cancer because it plays an important role in cell proliferation. According to the regulation of OECD, a QSAR model was developed from a dataset of 68 tetrahydropteridin derivatives. Three descriptors (maxHaaCH, ATSC7i, AATS7m) were considered for the development of the QSAR model. The reliability and predictability of the developed QSAR model were evaluated by various statistical parameters (r2 = 0.8213, r2ext = 0.8771 and CCCext = 0.9364). The maxHaaCH descriptor is positively correlated to pIC50 whereas, the ATSC7i and AATS7m are negatively correlated with pIC50. The QSAR model explains all the structural features and shows a good correlation with the activity. Based on molecular modelling techniques, five compounds (D1-D5) were designed. Molecular docking and dynamics studies of the most active compound were performed with PDB ID: 2RKU. The results of the present investigation may be employed to identify and develop effective inhibitors for the treatment of PLK1-related pathophysiological disorders.

PMID:36744430 | DOI:10.1080/1062936X.2023.2167860

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparative performance of three comorbidity scores in predicting survival after the elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms

Int Angiol. 2023 Feb 6. doi: 10.23736/S0392-9590.22.04974-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We aimed to study the discriminative power of 3 comorbidity scores for predicting 5-year survival after the elective repair of aorto-iliac aneurysms (AAA).

METHODS: 444 patients with AAA undergoing elective repair (33% open and 67% endovascular) between 2000 and 2020 were reviewed. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and subsequent adjustments by Schneeweiss, Quan and Armitage, the Modified Frailty Index (MFI) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists Score (ASA) were calculated from preoperative data. Their association with 5-year survival was analyzed using Cox regression models and their discriminative power and its changes with C statistics and Net Reclassification Index (NRI).

RESULTS: All comorbidity scores were associated with survival after adjusting by age, sex and type of surgical repair: original CCI HR=1.24, P<0.001; Schneeweiss CCI HR=1.23, P<0.001; Quan CCI HR=1.27, P<0.001, Armitage CCI HR=1.46, P<0.001, MFI HR=1.39, P<0.001 and ASA HR=1.68 (P=0.04) and 2.86 (P=0.01) for classes III and IV, respectively. Associated C statistics were of 0.64, 0.65, 0.65, 0.64, 0.61 and 0.59, respectively. Compared with the original CCI, models based on Schneeweiss CCI and Armitage CCI provided minor improvements in NRI (0.32 and 0.23), and the model based on ASA showed lower C statistics (P=0.014) and NRI (-0.30).

CONCLUSIONS: Established comorbidity scores, such as CCI, MFI or ASA, are all associated with 5-year survival after the elective repair of AAAs, being ASA the worst of them. However, their predictive power is in no case sufficient to identify, by themselves, those patients who may not be eligible for intervention on the basis of life expectancy.

PMID:36744425 | DOI:10.23736/S0392-9590.22.04974-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of COVID-19 on National Hockey League Players’ Return To Play

Phys Sportsmed. 2023 Feb 6. doi: 10.1080/00913847.2023.2177080. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the on-ice performance and return to play (RTP) rate following COVID-19 for National Hockey League (NHL) players during the 2020-21 season.

METHODS: Players with COVID-19 during the abbreviated 2020-21 season were identified using publicly accessible online sources. Demographics and on-ice metrics were accessed using the NHL’s online statistics website. The length of time, rate of RTP, and games missed due to COVID-19 were analyzed. Primary outcomes included average time on ice (TOI) per game (TOI/G), average TOI per shift (TOI/S), and points per game (PPG) compared at different timepoints including pre- and post-COVID-19.

RESULTS: A total of 73 players (47 forwards, 18 defencemen, 8 goalies) had a documented COVID-19 diagnosis during the abbreviated 2020-21 season. Players missed an average of 5.6 games (14.7 days) due to COVID-19. The post-COVID-19 RTP rate was 97.3%, including playoffs. No differences were found in TOI/G between the pre- (15.7 ± 3.9 min) and post-COVID-19 (15.8 ± 3.4 min, p = 0.874) or in the first (15.8 ± 4.0 min) and second week (15.9 ± 3.8 min, p = 0.925) returned. TOI/shift did not change from pre- (45.6 ± 5.3 sec) to post-COVID-19 (46.7 ± 4.6 sec, p = 0.035) or in first (46.2 ± 5.4 sec) and second week post-COVID-19 (46.2 ± 4.8 sec, p = .854). No differences were identified for PPG between career, pre-COVID-19, and post-COVID-19 (0.44 vs 0.38 vs 0.41; p = 0.274).

CONCLUSION: RTP post-COVID was markedly high for NHL players. While the effects of COVID-19 on specific physiological measures remains to be elucidated, this study found NHL players do not have reduced performance following COVID-19.

PMID:36744406 | DOI:10.1080/00913847.2023.2177080

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The diagnostic significance of CDH17-positive circulating tumor cells in patients with colorectal cancer

Expert Rev Mol Diagn. 2023 Feb 6. doi: 10.1080/14737159.2023.2176223. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: : Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer deaths in Hong Kong. We tested the hypothesis that circulating tumor cell (CTC) analysis by ARB101 antibody could be used as a tool for CRC detection, progression, and therapy response.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: : ARB101 antibody was used for investigation of CDH17 expression in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue sections and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) of CRC patients.

RESULTS: Using ARB101, highest sensitivity was observed in 98/100 (98%) colorectal cancer tissue compared to 72/100 gastric cancer (72%) and 27/32 pancreatic cancer (84%). Immunoreactivity of CDH17 was significantly higher in distant metastatic (tumor-node-metastasis [TNM] stage IV) than non-distant metastatic (TNM stage I to III) colorectal cancer. ARB101 antibody also manifested the higher sensitivity than c-erbB2 (8%) and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-targeting antibodies (37%) with the significance (p < 0.0001). ARB101 positive CTCs were detected in 64/83 (77%) TNM stage I to IV colorectal cancer patients. Detailed analysis showed that ARB101 positive CTCs (threshold ⩾1) were identified in 17/25 stage I (68%), 14/21 stage II (67%), 18/21 stage III (86%) and 15/16 stage IV (94%) colorectal cancer patients. Furthermore, ARB101 positive CTCs were detected in TNM stage I to III colorectal cancer patients before and after surgical operation. The difference of ARB101 positive CTCs between those 2 groups of matched patient samples are statistically significant (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS: CTC detection by ARB101 antibody could serve as a potential non-invasive approach for CRC detection, progression, and monitoring treatment response of colorectal cancers.

PMID:36744385 | DOI:10.1080/14737159.2023.2176223

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Occupational exposure of vehicular emissions and cardiorespiratory risk among urban metropolitan bus drivers: A cross-sectional comparative study

Work. 2023 Feb 2. doi: 10.3233/WOR-220189. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vehicular emissions on long-term exposure predispose metropolitan bus drivers to cardiorespiratory ailments.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cardiorespiratory risk of urban metropolitan bus drivers related to vehicular emission exposure.

METHODS: Bus drivers (with service >5 years, n = 254) and their administrative controls (primarily engaged in indoor white collared jobs, n = 73) were recruited. Demographic, occupational and clinical details were collected through pre-validated standardized format. Pulmonary Function Test (PFT) and lipid profile were carried out with standard protocol. Risk for cardiovascular events for preceding 10-years was estimated with WHO/ISH risk prediction chart and QRISK3 score. Exposure assessments for particulate matter (PM) were performed for both groups while duty hours.

RESULTS: Exposure of drivers to PM2.5 six times and PM10 five times higher in comparison to administration staff (PM2.5- 970.9 v/s 145.0μg/m3 TWA and PM10- 1111.7 v/s 233.8μg/m3 TWA). Bus drivers exhibited significantly higher prevalence of respiratory symptoms (dyspnea-25% v/s 6.8% and cough-20.1% v/s 9.8%) and compromised PFT (obstructive-21% v/s 5.7% and restrictive-4.2% v/s 2.9%) in comparison to controls. Multivariate regression statistics reveal a significant decline for FEV1/FVC and FEV25-75 % among bus drivers compared to controls, controlling the influence of physiological and environmental factors. The difference between predicted cardiac age and their respective chronological age was twice higher (8.3 v/s 4.3 years) among drivers compared to their administration staff.

CONCLUSION: Bus drivers were exposed to high levels of outdoor air pollutants. Further, the drivers exhibited higher risk for ischemic attack and obstructive airway diseases as compared to administration staff.

PMID:36744353 | DOI:10.3233/WOR-220189