Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rao-Burbea centroids applied to the statistical characterization of time series and images through ordinal patterns

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):033144. doi: 10.1063/5.0136240.

ABSTRACT

Divergences or similarity measures between probability distributions have become a very useful tool for studying different aspects of statistical objects, such as time series, networks, and images. Notably, not every divergence provides identical results when applied to the same problem. Therefore, it seems convenient to have the widest possible set of divergences to be applied to the problems under study. Besides this choice, an essential step in the analysis of every statistical object is the mapping of each one of their representing values into an alphabet of symbols conveniently chosen. In this work, we choose the family of divergences known as the Burbea-Rao centroids (BRCs). For the mapping of the original time series into a symbolic sequence, we work with the ordinal pattern scheme. We apply our proposals to analyze simulated and real time series and to real textured images. The main conclusion of our work is that the best BRC, at least in the studied cases, is the Jensen-Shannon divergence, besides the fact that it verifies some interesting formal properties.

PMID:37003832 | DOI:10.1063/5.0136240

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Co-evolution of synchronization and cooperation with multi-agent Q-learning

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):033128. doi: 10.1063/5.0141824.

ABSTRACT

Cooperation is a widespread phenomenon in human society and plays a significant role in achieving synchronization of various systems. However, there has been limited progress in studying the co-evolution of synchronization and cooperation. In this manuscript, we investigate how reinforcement learning affects the evolution of synchronization and cooperation. Namely, the payoff of an agent depends not only on the cooperation dynamic but also on the synchronization dynamic. Agents have the option to either cooperate or defect. While cooperation promotes synchronization among agents, defection does not. We report that the dynamic feature, which indicates the action switching frequency of the agent during interactions, promotes synchronization. We also find that cooperation and synchronization are mutually reinforcing. Furthermore, we thoroughly analyze the potential reasons for synchronization promotion due to the dynamic feature from both macro- and microperspectives. Additionally, we conduct experiments to illustrate the differences in the synchronization-promoting effects of cooperation and dynamic features.

PMID:37003824 | DOI:10.1063/5.0141824

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Noise-driven bursting birhythmicity in the Hindmarsh-Rose neuron model

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):033106. doi: 10.1063/5.0134561.

ABSTRACT

The stochastic Hindmarsh-Rose model is studied in the parameter region where two bursting limit cycles of different types coexist. We show that under the influence of noise, transitions between basins of attractions appear, which generates stochastic bursting oscillations of mixed modes. The formation of this new regime is accompanied by anti-coherence and coherence resonances as well as by the transition to chaos. We investigate the probabilistic mechanism of the noise-driven bursting birhythmicity using the stochastic sensitivity functions and confidence domains method.

PMID:37003823 | DOI:10.1063/5.0134561

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Selecting embedding delays: An overview of embedding techniques and a new method using persistent homology

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):032101. doi: 10.1063/5.0137223.

ABSTRACT

Delay embedding methods are a staple tool in the field of time series analysis and prediction. However, the selection of embedding parameters can have a big impact on the resulting analysis. This has led to the creation of a large number of methods to optimize the selection of parameters such as embedding lag. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the fundamentals of embedding theory for readers who are new to the subject. We outline a collection of existing methods for selecting embedding lag in both uniform and non-uniform delay embedding cases. Highlighting the poor dynamical explainability of existing methods of selecting non-uniform lags, we provide an alternative method of selecting embedding lags that includes a mixture of both dynamical and topological arguments. The proposed method, Significant Times on Persistent Strands (SToPS), uses persistent homology to construct a characteristic time spectrum that quantifies the relative dynamical significance of each time lag. We test our method on periodic, chaotic, and fast-slow time series and find that our method performs similar to existing automated non-uniform embedding methods. Additionally, n-step predictors trained on embeddings constructed with SToPS were found to outperform other embedding methods when predicting fast-slow time series.

PMID:37003815 | DOI:10.1063/5.0137223

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Notes on resonant and synchronized states in complex networks

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):033120. doi: 10.1063/5.0134285.

ABSTRACT

Synchronization and resonance on networks are some of the most remarkable collective dynamical phenomena. The network topology, or the nature and distribution of the connections within an ensemble of coupled oscillators, plays a crucial role in shaping the local and global evolution of the two phenomena. This article further explores this relationship within a compact mathematical framework and provides new contributions on certain pivotal issues, including a closed bound for the average synchronization time in arbitrary topologies; new evidences of the effect of the coupling strength on this time; exact closed expressions for the resonance frequencies in terms of the eigenvalues of the Laplacian matrix; a measure of the effectiveness of an influencer node’s impact on the network; and, finally, a discussion on the existence of a resonant synchronized state. Some properties of the solution of the linear swing equation are also discussed within the same setting. Numerical experiments conducted on two distinct real networks-a social network and a power grid-illustrate the significance of these results and shed light on intriguing aspects of how these processes can be interpreted within networks of this kind.

PMID:37003810 | DOI:10.1063/5.0134285

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Fractional order-induced bifurcations in a delayed neural network with three neurons

Chaos. 2023 Mar;33(3):033143. doi: 10.1063/5.0135232.

ABSTRACT

This paper reports the novel results on fractional order-induced bifurcation of a tri-neuron fractional-order neural network (FONN) with delays and instantaneous self-connections by the intersection of implicit function curves to solve the bifurcation critical point. Firstly, it considers the distribution of the root of the characteristic equation in depth. Subsequently, it views fractional order as the bifurcation parameter and establishes the transversal condition and stability interval. The main novelties of this paper are to systematically analyze the order as a bifurcation parameter and concretely establish the order critical value through an implicit function array, which is a novel idea to solve the critical value. The derived results exhibit that once the value of the fractional order is greater than the bifurcation critical value, the stability of the system will be smashed and Hopf bifurcation will emerge. Ultimately, the validity of the developed key fruits is elucidated via two numerical experiments.

PMID:37003808 | DOI:10.1063/5.0135232

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Long-range transport and deposition on the Arctic snowpack of nuclear contaminated particulate matter

J Hazard Mater. 2023 Mar 28;452:131317. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2023.131317. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The primary environmental concern related to nuclear power is the production of radioactive waste hazardous to humans and the environment. The main scientific and technological problems to address this are related to the storage and disposal of the nuclear waste and monitoring the dispersion of radioactive species into the environment. In this work, we determined an anomalously high 14C activity, well above the modern natural background, on surface and seasonal snow sampled in early May 2019 on glaciers in the Hornsund fjord area (Svalbard). Due to the lack of local sources, the high snow concentrations of 14C suggest long-range atmospheric transport of nuclear waste particles from lower latitudes, where nuclear power plants and treatment stations are located. The analysis of the synoptic and local meteorological data allowed us to associate the long-range transport of this anomalous 14C concentration to an intrusion event of a warm and humid air mass that likely brought pollutants from Central Europe to the Arctic in late April 2019. Elemental and organic carbon, trace element concentration data, and scanning electron microscopy morphological analysis were performed on the same snow samples to better constrain the transport process that might have led to the high 14C radionuclide concentrations in Svalbard. In particular, the highest 14C values found in the snowpack (> 200 percent of Modern Carbon, pMC) were associated with the lowest OC/EC ratios (< 4), an indication of an anthropogenic industrial source, and with the presence of spherical particles rich in iron, zirconium, and titanium which, altogether, suggest an origin related to nuclear waste reprocessing plants. This study highlights the role of long-range transport in exposing Arctic environments to human pollution. Given that the frequency and intensity of these atmospheric warming events are predicted to increase due to ongoing climate change, improving our knowledge of their possible impact to Arctic pollution is becoming urgent.

PMID:37003004 | DOI:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2023.131317

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Genetic association of lipids and lipid-lowering drug target genes with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

EBioMedicine. 2023 Mar 30;90:104543. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104543. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Some observational studies found that dyslipidaemia is a risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and lipid-lowering drugs may lower NAFLD risk. However, it remains unclear whether dyslipidaemia is causative for NAFLD. This Mendelian randomisation (MR) study aimed to explore the causal role of lipid traits in NAFLD and evaluate the potential effect of lipid-lowering drug targets on NAFLD.

METHODS: Genetic variants associated with lipid traits and variants of genes encoding lipid-lowering drug targets were extracted from the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium genome-wide association study (GWAS). Summary statistics for NAFLD were obtained from two independent GWAS datasets. Lipid-lowering drug targets that reached significance were further tested using expression quantitative trait loci data in relevant tissues. Colocalisation and mediation analyses were performed to validate the robustness of the results and explore potential mediators.

FINDINGS: No significant effect of lipid traits and eight lipid-lowering drug targets on NAFLD risk was found. Genetic mimicry of lipoprotein lipase (LPL) enhancement was associated with lower NAFLD risks in two independent datasets (OR1 = 0.60 [95% CI 0.50-0.72], p1 = 2.07 × 10-8; OR2 = 0.57 [95% CI 0.39-0.82], p2 = 3.00 × 10-3). A significant MR association (OR = 0.71 [95% CI, 0.58-0.87], p = 1.20 × 10-3) and strong colocalisation association (PP.H4 = 0.85) with NAFLD were observed for LPL expression in subcutaneous adipose tissue. Fasting insulin and type 2 diabetes mediated 7.40% and 9.15%, respectively, of the total effect of LPL on NAFLD risk.

INTERPRETATION: Our findings do not support dyslipidaemia as a causal factor for NAFLD. Among nine lipid-lowering drug targets, LPL is a promising candidate drug target in NAFLD. The mechanism of action of LPL in NAFLD may be independent of its lipid-lowering effects.

FUNDING: Capital’s Funds for Health Improvement and Research (2022-4-4037). CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant number: 2021-I2M-C&T-A-010).

PMID:37002989 | DOI:10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104543

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spike height improves prediction of future seizure risk

Clin Neurophysiol. 2023 Mar 21;150:49-55. doi: 10.1016/j.clinph.2023.02.180. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated whether interictal epileptiform discharge (IED) rate and morphological characteristics predict seizure risk.

METHODS: We evaluated 10 features from automatically detectable IEDs in a stereotyped population with self-limited epilepsy with centrotemporal spikes (SeLECTS). We tested whether the average value or the most extreme values from each feature predicted future seizure risk in cross-sectional and longitudinal models.

RESULTS: 10,748 individual centrotemporal IEDs were analyzed from 59 subjects at 81 timepoints. In cross-sectional models, increases in average spike height, spike duration, slow wave rising slope, slow wave falling slope, and the most extreme values of slow wave rising slope each improved prediction of an increased risk of a future seizure compared to a model with age alone (p < 0.05, each). In longitudinal model, spike rising height improved prediction of future seizure risk compared to a model with age alone (p = 0.04) CONCLUSIONS: Spike height improves prediction of future seizure risk in SeLECTS. Several other morphological features may also improve prediction and should be explored in larger studies.

SIGNIFICANCE: Discovery of a relationship between novel IED features and seizure risk may improve clinical prognostication, visual and automated IED detection strategies, and provide insights into the underlying neuronal mechanisms that contribute to IED pathology.

PMID:37002980 | DOI:10.1016/j.clinph.2023.02.180

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Sex-Specific Evaluation on Dental Students’ Ability to Perform Subgingival Debridement: A Randomized Trial

JMIR Med Educ. 2023 Mar 31. doi: 10.2196/44989. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A successful periodontitis treatment demands good manual skills. A correlation between biological sex and dental students’ manual dexterity is currently unknown.

OBJECTIVE: This study examines performance differences between male and female students within subgingival debridement.

METHODS: A total of 75 third-year dental students was divided by biological sex (male/female) and randomly assigned to one of two work methods (manual curettes, n=38; power-driven instruments, n=37). Students were trained on periodontitis models for 25 min daily over 10 days using the assigned manual or power-driven instrument. Practical training included subgingival debridement of all tooth types on phantom heads. Practical exams were performed after the training session (T1) and after 6 month (T2) and comprised subgingival debridement of four teeth within 20 min. The percentage of debrided root surface was assessed and statistically analyzed using a linear mixed-effects regression model (P<.05).

RESULTS: The analysis is based on 68 students (both groups n=34). The percentage of cleaned surfaces was not significantly different (P=.397) between male (mean 81.6, SD 18.2) and female (mean 76.3, SD 21.1) students, irrespective of the instrument employed. The use of power-driven instruments (mean 81.3, SD 20.5) led to significantly better results than the use of manual curettes (mean 75.4, SD 19.4; P=.023) and the overall performance decreased over time (T1: mean 84.5, SD 17.5; T2: mean 72.3, SD 20.8; P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Female and male students perform equally well in subgingival debridement. Therefore, sex-differentiated teaching methods are not necessary.

PMID:37002956 | DOI:10.2196/44989