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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Natural land cover positively correlates with COVID-19 health outcomes

BMC Public Health. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):623. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15484-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses special challenges for societies, as the disease causes millions of deaths. Although the direct prevention measures affect the prevalence and mortality the most, the other indirect factors, including natural environments and economics, could not be neglected. Evaluating the effect of natural land cover on COVID-19 health outcomes is an urgent and crucial public health topic.

METHODS: Here, we examine the relationships between natural land cover and the prevalence and mortality of COVID-19 in the United States. To probe the effects of long-term living with natural land cover, we extract county-level land cover data from 2001 to 2019. Based on statistically spatial tests, we employ the Spatial Simultaneous Autoregressive (SAC) Model to estimate natural land cover’s impact and monetary values on COVID-19 health outcomes. To examine the short-term effects of natural environments, we build a seasonal panel data set about the greenery index and COVID-19 health outcomes. The panel SAC model is used to detect the relationship between the greenery index and seasonal COVID-19 health outcomes.

RESULTS: A 1% increase in open water or deciduous forest is associated with a 0.004-death and 0.163-conformed-case, or 0.006-death and 0.099-confirmed-case decrease in every 1,000 people. Converting them into monetary value, for the mortality, a 1% increase in open water, deciduous forest, or evergreen forest in a county is equivalent to a 212-, 313-, or 219-USD increase in household income in the long term. Moreover, for the prevalence, a 1% change in open water, deciduous forest, or mixed forest is worth a 382-, 230-, or 650-USD increase in household income. Furthermore, a rational development intensity is also critical to reduce the risk of the COVID-19 pandemic. More greenery in the short term is also linked to lower prevalence and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study underscores the importance of incorporating natural land cover as a means of mitigating the risks and negative consequences of future pandemics like COVID-19 and promoting overall public health.

PMID:37003998 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-15484-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Low human beta-defensin-2 levels in the sputum of COPD patients are associated with the risk of exacerbations

BMC Pulm Med. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):106. doi: 10.1186/s12890-023-02364-0.

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a complicated chronic inflammatory disease. It is important to investigate the characteristics of acute exacerbation of COPD to develop new therapeutic strategies.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the relationship between the human beta-defensin-2 (hBD-2) levels and aggravation of COPD.

METHODS: We detected the sputum hBD-2 level of 254 patients from Guangzhou, China, for 2 years. The study participants were categorized into the COPD group (n = 203, GOLD 0-4) and the control group (n = 51, 40-79 years old). At baseline, 12th month, and 24th month, we detected the sputum hBD-2 level and levels of cytokines, such as CXCL10, CXCL11, and IFN.

RESULTS: At baseline, there were no significant differences in the sputum and serum hBD-2 levels between the patients and the controls. However, the sputum hBD-2 levels of patients who had at least one symptom aggravation over the next 2 years were significantly lower than those of patients without any exacerbations (1130.9 ± 858.4 pg/mL vs. 2103.7 ± 1294.2 pg/mL, respectively; p = 0.001). Nevertheless, there were no statistically significant differences in the sputum hBD-2 levels between patients (no aggravation history) and controls (2084.9 ± 1317.6 pg/mL vs. 2152.5 ± 1251.6 pg/mL, respectively; p = 0.626). We used a logistic regression model to assess the relationship between aggravation and sputum hBD-2 levels. Interestingly, we found that low hBD-2 level (< 1000 pg/mL) was significantly associated with exacerbations. Specifically, patients with low hBD-2 levels were more likely to experience exacerbations in the next 12 months (0.333 vs. 0.117; p = 0.001). Moreover, we compared the hBD-2 levels between controls and patients with GOLD 3-4 and found that participants with bacteria (+) and/or viruses (+) had an association between hBD-2 level and disease severity (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION: Patients at risk of exacerbations are more likely to have lower sputum hBD-2 levels. These results have important implications for future therapies for COPD.

PMID:37003996 | DOI:10.1186/s12890-023-02364-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of dietary habits and cooking confidence using virtual teaching kitchens for perimenopausal women

BMC Public Health. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):622. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15509-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The transition to menopause is a time when women are at increased risk for chronic and cardiovascular diseases, and weight gain. This study evaluates the efficacy of virtual teaching kitchen (TK) interventions on cooking confidence and consumption of a healthy diet in women over 45.

METHODS: This teaching kitchen intervention is a synchronous online series of classes for perimenopausal women, with 45 min of live cooking and 15 min of nutrition discussion. From September 2020 through January 2022, participants completed online pre- post-intervention surveys addressing weight, eating habits, cooking confidence and self-efficacy. Analysis used paired samples t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank sum test for normally and non-normal distributed data respectively.

RESULTS: Of the 609 unique participants, 269 women completed both pre and post surveys after attending classes. Participants self-reported a statistically significant decreased weight (p < 0.001), increased daily consumption of fruit/vegetables (p < 0.039), fish (p < 0.001) and beans (p < 0.005), and decreased daily consumption of red meat (p < 0.001), sugary beverages (p < 0.029) and white grains (p < 0.039). There was significant improvement in cooking self-efficacy and confidence.

CONCLUSIONS: Virtual teaching kitchens were effective in improving culinary and dietary habits among peri- and post-menopausal women. This early evidence suggests that teaching kitchens can effectively reach larger populations for healthy behavioral modification.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Study obtained IRB exemption.

PMID:37003991 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-15509-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Research on hand, foot and mouth disease incidence forecasting using hybrid model in mainland China

BMC Public Health. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):619. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15543-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to construct a more accurate model to forecast the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in mainland China from January 2008 to December 2019 and to provide a reference for the surveillance and early warning of HFMD.

METHODS: We collected data on the incidence of HFMD in mainland China between January 2008 and December 2019. The SARIMA, SARIMA-BPNN, and SARIMA-PSO-BPNN hybrid models were used to predict the incidence of HFMD. The prediction performance was compared using the mean absolute error(MAE), mean squared error(MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and correlation analysis.

RESULTS: The incidence of HFMD in mainland China from January 2008 to December 2019 showed fluctuating downward trends with clear seasonality and periodicity. The optimal SARIMA model was SARIMA(1,0,1)(2,1,2)[12], with Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Schwarz information criterion (BIC) values of this model were 638.72, 661.02, respectively. The optimal SARIMA-BPNN hybrid model was a 3-layer BPNN neural network with nodes of 1, 10, and 1 in the input, hidden, and output layers, and the R-squared, MAE, and RMSE values were 0.78, 3.30, and 4.15, respectively. For the optimal SARIMA-PSO-BPNN hybrid model, the number of particles is 10, the acceleration coefficients c1 and c2 are both 1, the inertia weight is 1, the probability of change is 0.95, and the values of R-squared, MAE, and RMSE are 0.86, 2.89, and 3.57, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the SARIMA and SARIMA-BPNN hybrid models, the SARIMA-PSO-BPNN model can effectively forecast the change in observed HFMD incidence, which can serve as a reference for the prevention and control of HFMD.

PMID:37003988 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-15543-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Non-thyroidal Illness Syndrome (NTIS) is no independent predictor for mortality in ICU patients

BMC Anesthesiol. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):103. doi: 10.1186/s12871-023-02015-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Low T3-(/T4-) syndrome, also known as non-thyroidal Illness Syndrome (NTIS) describes a decrease in free serum thyroid hormones without a concomitant increase in TSH, frequently observed in critically ill patients. However, whether NTIS is only a metabolic adaption to stress in critically ill or plays a crucial role as an independent risk factor for ICU mortality, remains unknown. Our study aimed to evaluate NTIS as an independent risk factor for increased ICU mortality.

METHODS: All patients admitted to the interdisciplinary intensive care unit (ICU) at the University Hospital of Leipzig between 2008 and 2014 were retrospectively analyzed for thyroidal function. Baseline data, information on additional thyroid function tests, disease progression, hospital and ICU length of stay (LOS) and patient outcome were retrospectively analyzed from the hospitals digital information system. For statistical evaluation, univariate analysis, matched pairs analysis and multivariate logistic regression were conducted.

RESULTS: One thousand, seven hundred ninety patients were enrolled in the study, of which 665 showed NTIS. Univariate analysis revealed a positive association of NTIS with ICU- and hospital-LOS, need for mechanical ventilation, incidence of sepsis, acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute liver failure and increased ICU mortality. Results of matched pair analysis confirmed these findings. In multivariate logistic regression, NTIS was associated with an increased ICU-LOS, increased duration of mechanical ventilation, acute kidney injury and liver failure, but showed no independent association with increased ICU-mortality.

CONCLUSION: Duration of mechanical ventilation as well as incidence of acute kidney injury, sepsis and acute liver failure were detected as independent predictors of mortality in patients with NTIS. NTIS itself was no independent predictor of increased ICU-mortality.

PMID:37003983 | DOI:10.1186/s12871-023-02015-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessment of cecal microbiota modulation from piglet dietary supplementation with copper

BMC Microbiol. 2023 Mar 31;23(1):92. doi: 10.1186/s12866-023-02826-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Swine production expanded in the last decades. Efforts have been made to improve meat production and to understand its relationship to pig gut microbiota. Copper (Cu) is a usual supplement to growth performance in animal production. Here, two performance studies were conducted to investigate the effects of three different sources of Cu on the microbiota of piglets. A total of 256 weaned piglets were randomly allocated into 4 treatments (10 replicates per treatment of 4 piglets per pen in Trial 1 and 8 replicates of 3 piglets per pen in Trial 2). Treatments included a control group (fed 10 mg/kg of Cu from CuSO4), a group fed at 160 mg/kg of Copper (II) sulfate (CuSO4) or tri-basic copper chloride (TBCC), and a group fed with Cu methionine hydroxy analogue chelated (Cu-MHAC) at 150, 80, and 50 mg/kg in Phases 1 (24-35 d), 2 (36-49 d), and 3 (50-70 d), respectively. At 70 d, the cecum luminal contents from one pig per pen were collected and polled for 16 S rRNA sequencing (V3/V4 regions). Parameters were analyzed in a completely randomized block design, in which each experiment was considered as a block.

RESULTS: A total of 1337 Operational Taxonomic Units (OTUs) were identified. Dominance and Simpson ecological metrics were statistically different between control and treated groups (P < 0.10) showing that different Cu sources altered the gut microbiota composition with the proliferation of some bacteria that improve gut health. A high abundance of Prevotella was observed in all treatments while other genera were enriched and differentially modulated, according to the Cu source and dosage. The supplementation with Cu-MHAC can modify a group of bacteria involved in feed efficiency (FE) and short chain fatty acids (SCFA) production (Clostridium XIVa, Desulfovibrio, and Megasphera). These bacteria are also important players in the activation of ghrelin and growth hormones that were previously reported to correlate with Cu-MHAC supplementation.

CONCLUSIONS: These results indicated that some genera seem to be directly affected by the Cu source offered to the animals. TBCC and Cu-MHAC (even in low doses) can promote healthy modifications in the gut bacterial composition, being a promising source of supplementation for piglets.

PMID:37003969 | DOI:10.1186/s12866-023-02826-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Posterior dental restoration material choices in privately insured people in the United States, 2017 through 2019

J Am Dent Assoc. 2023 Mar 30:S0002-8177(23)00071-5. doi: 10.1016/j.adaj.2023.02.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the context of evolving dental materials and techniques and a national agenda to phasedown use of dental amalgam, estimates of dental amalgam placement are necessary for monitoring purposes.

METHODS: Numbers of amalgam and composite posterior restorations from 2017 through 2019 were calculated using retrospective dental claims analysis of privately insured patients. Kruskal-Wallis and multilevel, multivariable negative binomial regression models were used to test for differences in rates of amalgam and composite restoration placement by age group, sex, urban or rural area, and percentage race and ethnicity area distribution. Statistical significance was set at 0.05, with Benjamini-Hochberg correction for false discovery rate.

RESULTS: The rate of amalgam restorations declined over time from a mean of 6.29 per 100 patients in 2017 to 4.78 per 100 patients in 2019, whereas the composite restoration rate increased from 27.6 per 100 patients in 2017 to 28.8 per 100 in 2019. The mean number of amalgam restorations placed per person were lowest in females compared with males, in urban areas compared with rural areas, and in areas with more than 75% non-Hispanic White residents.

CONCLUSIONS: Amalgam restoration placements in privately insured people in the United States declined from 2017 through 2019. Amalgam restoration placements may be unevenly distributed by location.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Achieving further declines of dental amalgam use may require changes to insurance coverage, incentives, and provider training as well as augmented disease prevention and health promotion efforts. These efforts should focus particularly on groups with high caries risk or higher rates of amalgam placement.

PMID:37003957 | DOI:10.1016/j.adaj.2023.02.005

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Integrating Implementation Science in a Quality and Patient Safety Improvement Learning Collaborative: Essential Ingredients and Impact

Jt Comm J Qual Patient Saf. 2023 Feb 14:S1553-7250(23)00054-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jcjq.2023.02.001. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a current lack of research exploring the contextual factors of why and how quality improvement collaboratives (QICs) work. To this end, a mixed methods study was undertaken to improve our understanding of what works for whom and in what context among participants in a nationwide Canadian QIC.

METHODS: The authors used a mixed methods approach consisting of a written survey and 30-to-45-minute telephone interviews with collaborative team members, coaches, and senior leaders of participating safety improvement project (SIP) organizations to identify the essential elements of an integrated approach involving implementation science/knowledge translation, quality improvement (QI), patient safety, and collaborative learning/networked approach to enhancing safety and quality and building implementation capabilities. Survey data were analyzed using descriptive statistics. Interview data were analyzed by three team members using thematic analysis and development of an emergent coding schema.

RESULTS: Four themes emerged as the essential elements: (1) integrating implementation science into the QI/patient safety learning collaborative; (2) reinforcing of and opening eyes to implementation science by an expert implementation specialist; (3) valuing the sense making and strategies shared by coaches; and (4) experiencing challenges to implementation amplified by the COVID-19 pandemic. Teams also reported improvements in teamwork and patient outcomes as a result of participating in the QIC.

CONCLUSION: This study’s findings provide deeper insight into the “essential ingredients” (expert implementation specialist, coaches) grounded in an integrated approach that drew from QI, patient safety, and implementation science. Organizations can use the key learnings on how best to implement quality and safety projects by leveraging the sense making of the expert implementation specialist and coaches in an integrated networked learning approach.

PMID:37003945 | DOI:10.1016/j.jcjq.2023.02.001

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Positional influence of center of masticatory forces on occlusal contact forces using a digital occlusal analyzer

J Prosthet Dent. 2023 Mar 30:S0022-3913(23)00171-3. doi: 10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.03.007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Digital occlusal analyzers allow the recording of dental contact forces. Some authors assume a unique location for the center of contact forces at the position of maximum intercuspation, while others indicate variations in dental contact forces when recorded at different times of the day. Which approach is more appropriate is unclear.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this in vitro study was to analyze whether a change in the balance of masticatory forces influences the location of the center of contact forces and its magnitude.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Three different dental casts, selected under dental criteria, were mounted in maximum intercuspation on a semiadjustable articulator equipped with a pattern indicating 9 different force application points (intersection point between 3 longitudinal rows and 3 transverse columns). A force of constant magnitude (169 N) was applied 10 times at each of the application points, and occlusal forces were recorded with a digital occlusal analyzer. Then, two variables were studied: the location of the center of contact forces and its magnitude. Each force application position (9 positions × 3 dental casts=27 in total) was repeated 10 times, and measured data were statistically analyzed with 2-way repeated measures ANOVA (α=.05) test.

RESULTS: The repeatability of the method indicated that the coefficient of variation mean was 0.37% in the location of the center of contact forces and that its magnitude was 3.70%. The 2-way repeated measures ANOVA test revealed statistically significant variations in the location of the center of contact forces and its magnitude, revealing that longitudinal changes of the application point of masticatory forces affected the magnitude of contact forces and that longitudinal and transverse changes of the application point of masticatory forces affected the location of the center of contact forces.

CONCLUSIONS: The location of the center of contact force and its magnitude provided by a digital occlusal analyzer at the position of maximum intercuspation are not necessarily unique to each articulated dental cast. Even if the intensity of the masticatory force remains unchanged, changes in its lateral or longitudinal balance also influence the result of the occlusion forces.

PMID:37003941 | DOI:10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.03.007

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The power of the placebo effect in diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Prim Care Diabetes. 2023 Mar 30:S1751-9918(23)00067-0. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2023.03.006. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This review aims to identify the magnitude of the placebo effect in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Literature research was conducted Medline, Embase and Virtual Health Library for studies published between the date of inception and June 2021. The eligibility criteria included randomized controlled trials, showing comparison to placebo, having participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus, and having glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) as the primary outcome. Meta-analysis was conducted with the effect of changing HbA1c in relation to the baseline. Exploration of heterogeneity was performed.The meta-analysis showed an increase in the average of HbA1c compared to the baseline of 0.14% (95% CI: 0.07-0.21). There was a significant difference between follow-up times (p = 0.03) and between administration routes (p = 0.01), with an increase in HbA1c in the oral route [0.15% (95% CI: 0.07-0.23)]. The meta-regression of the year of publication showed a significant downward trend (p = 0.01) of the increase in HbA1c compared to the baseline.In this study, the expected placebo effect of Hba1c reduction was not found; instead, higher Hba1c levels were observed in the control groups, although this effect was reduced over the years. Registration: PROSPERO ID CRD42020172797.

PMID:37003927 | DOI:10.1016/j.pcd.2023.03.006