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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predicting the Potential Global Distribution of Scirtothrips dorsalis (Hood) (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) with Emphasis on the Americas Using an Ecological Niche Model

Neotrop Entomol. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.1007/s13744-023-01038-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Scirtothrips dorsalis Hood (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) is an invasive pest that is popularly known as chilli thrips. This insect pest has a wide range of hosts distributed across 72 plant families, causing damage to numerous crops of great economic importance. In the Americas, it is present in the USA, Mexico, Suriname, Venezuela, Colombia, and some Caribbean Islands. Knowing the regions which have environmentally suitable conditions for the survival of this pest is important for phytosanitary monitoring and inspection. Thus, our objective was to forecast the distribution potential of S. dorsalis with a focus on the Americas. Models were produced to design this distribution, in which the environmental variables used were made available in Wordclim version 2.1. The algorithms used for the modeling were the generalized additive model (GAM), generalized linear model (GLM), maximum entropy (MAXENT), random forest (RF), and Bioclim, in addition to the ensemble, which consisted of the grouping of the algorithms used. The metrics used to evaluate the models were area over the curve (AUC), true ability statistics (TSS), and Sorensen score. All models had satisfactory results (> 0.8) for all metrics used. In North America, the model showed favorable regions on the west coast of the USA and east coast near New York. In South America, the potential distribution of the pest is significant, encompassing regions in all countries. It is concluded that S. dorsalis has suitable areas for the occurrence in the three American subcontinents and, in particular, a large part of South America.

PMID:36884146 | DOI:10.1007/s13744-023-01038-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Performance evaluation of computer-aided automated master frame selection techniques for fetal echocardiography

Med Biol Eng Comput. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.1007/s11517-023-02814-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Fetal echocardiography is widely used for the assessment of fetal heart development and detection of congenital heart disease (CHD). Preliminary examination of the fetal heart involves the four-chamber view which indicates the presence of all the four chambers and its structural symmetry. Examination of various cardiac parameters is generally done using the clinically selected diastole frame. This largely depends on the expertise of the sonographer and is prone to intra- and interobservational errors. To overcome this, automated frame selection technique is proposed for the recognition of fetal cardiac chamber from fetal echocardiography.

METHODS: Three techniques have been proposed in this research study to automate the process of determining the frame referred as “Master Frame” that can be used for the measurement of the cardiac parameters. The first method uses frame similarity measures (FSM) for the determination of the master frame from the given cine loop ultrasonic sequences. FSM makes use of similarity measures such as correlation, structural similarity index (SSIM), peak signal to noise ratio (PSNR), and mean square error (MSE) to identify the cardiac cycle, and all the frames in one cardiac cycle are superimposed to form the master frame. The final master frame is obtained by considering the average of the master frame obtained using each similarity measure. The second method uses averaging of ± 20% from the midframes (AMF). The third method uses averaging of all the frames (AAF) of the cine loop sequence. Both diastole and master frames have been annotated by the clinical experts, and their ground truths are compared for validation. No segmentation techniques have been used to avoid the variability of the performance of various segmentation techniques. All the proposed schemes were evaluated using six fidelity metrics such as Dice coefficient, Jaccard ratio, Hausdorff distance, structural similarity index, mean absolute error, and Pratt figure of merit.

RESULTS: The three proposed techniques were tested on the frames extracted from 95 ultrasound cine loop sequences between 19 and 32 weeks of gestation. The feasibility of the techniques was determined by the computation of fidelity metrics between the master frame derived and the diastole frame chosen by the clinical experts. The FSM-based identified master frame found to closely match with manually chosen diastole frame and also ensures statistically significant. The method also detects automatically the cardiac cycle. The resultant master frame obtained through AMF though found to be identical to that of the diastole frame, the size of the chambers found to be reduced that can lead to inaccurate chamber measurement. The master frame obtained through AAF was not found to be identical to that of clinical diastole frame.

CONCLUSION: It can be concluded that the frame similarity measure (FSM)-based master frame can be introduced in the clinical routine for segmentation followed by cardiac chamber measurements. Such automated master frame selection also overcomes the manual intervention of earlier reported techniques in the literature. The fidelity metrics assessment further confirms the suitability of proposed master frame for automated fetal chamber recognition.

PMID:36884143 | DOI:10.1007/s11517-023-02814-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Association Between Facilitator Competent Adherence and Outcomes in Parenting Programs: a Systematic Review and SWiM Analysis

Prev Sci. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.1007/s11121-023-01515-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

There is increasing interest about the fidelity with which interventions are implemented because it is theorized that better implementation fidelity by facilitators is associated with better participant outcomes. However, in the parenting program literature, there is mixed evidence on the relationship between implementation fidelity and outcomes. This paper provides a synthesis of the evidence on the relationship between facilitator delivery and outcomes in the parenting program literature. Following PRISMA guidelines, this paper synthesizes the results of a systematic review of studies on parenting programs aiming to reduce violence against children and child behavior problems. Specifically, it examines associations between observational measures of facilitator competent adherence and parent and child outcomes. A meta-analysis was not feasible due to study heterogeneity. As a result, Synthesis Without Meta-Analysis guidelines were followed. Searches in electronic databases, reference searching, forward citation tracking, and expert input identified 9653 articles. After screening using pre-specified criteria, 18 articles were included. The review found that most studies (n = 13) reported a statistically significant positive relationship with at least one parent or child outcome. However, eight studies reported inconsistent findings across outcomes, and four studies found no association with outcomes. The results suggest that better facilitator competent adherence is generally associated with positive parent and child outcomes. However, this finding is weakened by the methodological heterogeneity of included studies and due to the wide variety of ways in which studies conceptualized competent adherence-outcome relationships.

PMID:36884129 | DOI:10.1007/s11121-023-01515-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The illness burden of gastrointestinal illness is two times higher if it is associated with systemic symptoms and signs: a cross-sectional study of the super rugby tournament over 5 seasons (102,738 player-days)

J Sports Med Phys Fitness. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.23736/S0022-4707.23.14253-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gastrointestinal tract illness (GITill) in rugby players is underreported. The incidence, severity (% time loss illness, days lost per illness) and burden of GITill with/without systemic symptoms and signs in professional South African male rugby players during the Super Rugby tournament (2013-2017) are reported.

METHODS: Team physicians completed daily illness logs of players (N.=537; 1141 player-seasons, 102738 player-days). The incidence (illnesses/1000 player-days, 95% CI), severity (% ≥1-day time-loss; days until return-to-play [DRTP]/single illness [mean: 95% CI]) and illness burden (IB: days lost to illness/1000 player-days) for the subcategories of GITill with/without systemic symptoms and signs (GITill+ss; GITill-ss), and gastroenteritis with/without systemic symptoms and signs (GE+ss; GE-ss) are reported.

RESULTS: The incidence of all GITill was 1.0 (0.8-1.2). Incidence was similar for GITill+ss 0.6 (0.4-0.8) and GITill-ss 0.4 (0.3-0.5; P=0.0603). Incidence of GE+ss 0.6 (0.4-0.7) was higher than GE-ss 0.3 (0.2-0.4; P=0.0045). GITill caused ≥1-day time-loss in 62% of cases (GE+ss 66.7%; GE-ss 53.6%). GITill caused an average of 1.1 DRTP/single GITill, which was similar for subcategories. IB of GITill+ss was higher than GITill-ss (IB Ratio: 2.1 [1.1-3.9; P=0.0253]). IB for GITill+ss is 2 times higher than GITill-ss (IB Ratio: 2.1 [1.1-3.9]; P=0.0253); and GE+ss >3 times higher than GE-ss (IB Ratio: 3.0 [1.6-5.8]; P=0.0007).

CONCLUSIONS: GITill accounted for 21.9% of all illnesses during the Super Rugby tournament, with >60% of GITill resulting in time-loss. The average DRTP/single illness was 1.1. GITill+ss and GE+ss resulted in higher IB. Targeted interventions to reduce the incidence and severity of GITill+ss and GE+ss should be developed.

PMID:36884121 | DOI:10.23736/S0022-4707.23.14253-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Standard deviation of CT radiomic features among malignancies in each individual: prognostic ability in lung cancer patients

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.1007/s00432-023-04649-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: It was reported that individual heterogeneity among malignancies (IHAM) might correlate well to the prognosis of lung cancer; however, seldom radiomic study is on this field. Standard deviation (SD) in statistics could scale average amount of variability of a variable; therefore, we used SD of CT feature (FeatureSD) among primary tumor and malignant lymph nodes (LNs) in an individual to represent IHAM, and its prognostic ability was explored.

METHODS: The enrolled patients who had accepted PET/CT scans were selected from our previous study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03648151). The patients had primary tumor and at least one LN, and standardized uptake value of LN higher than 2.0 and 2.5 were enrolled as the cohort 1 (n = 94) and 2 (n = 88), respectively. FeatureSD from the combined or thin-section CT were calculated among primary tumor and malignant LNs in each patient, and were separately selected by the survival XGBoost method. Finally, their prognostic ability was compared to the significant patient characteristics identified by the Cox regression.

RESULTS: In the univariate and multi-variate Cox analysis, surgery, target therapy, and TNM stage were significantly against OS in the both cohorts. In the survival XGBoost analysis of the thin-section CT dataset, none FeatureSD could be repeatably ranked on the top list of the both cohorts. For the combined CT dataset, only one FeatureSD ranked in the top three of both cohorts, but the three significant factors in the Cox regression were not even on the list. Both in the cohort 1 and 2, C-index of the model composed of the three factors could be improved by integrating the continuous FeatureSD; furthermore, that of each factor was obviously lower than FeatureSD.

CONCLUSION: Standard deviation of CT features among malignant foci within an individual was a powerful prognostic factor in vivo for lung cancer patients.

PMID:36884114 | DOI:10.1007/s00432-023-04649-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Beware the IBM SPSS statistics® in multiple ROC curves analysis

Intern Emerg Med. 2023 Mar 8:1-3. doi: 10.1007/s11739-023-03247-2. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36884110 | PMC:PMC9993357 | DOI:10.1007/s11739-023-03247-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Utility of hand-held ultrasound for image acquisition and interpretation by trained Kenyan providers

Ultrasound J. 2023 Mar 8;15(1):12. doi: 10.1186/s13089-023-00308-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) plays a prominent role in the timely recognition and management of multiple medical, surgical, and obstetric conditions. A POCUS training program for primary healthcare providers in rural Kenya was developed in 2013. A significant challenge to this program is the acquisition of reasonably priced ultrasound machines with adequate image quality and the ability to transmit images for remote review. The goal of this study is to compare the utility of a smartphone-connected, hand-held ultrasound with a traditional ultrasound device for image acquisition and interpretation by trained healthcare providers in Kenya.

METHODS: This study took place during a routine re-training and testing session for healthcare providers who had already received POCUS training. The testing session involved a locally validated Observed Structured Clinical Exam (OSCE) that assessed trainees’ skills in performing the Extended Focused Assessment with Sonography for Trauma (E-FAST) and focused obstetric exams. Each trainee performed the OSCE twice, once using a smartphone-connected hand-held ultrasound and once using their notebook ultrasound model.

RESULTS: Five trainees obtained a total of 120 images and were scored on image quality and interpretation. Overall E-FAST imaging quality scores were significantly higher for the notebook ultrasound compared to the hand-held ultrasound but there was no significant difference in image interpretation. Overall focused obstetric image quality and image interpretation scores were the same for both ultrasound systems. When separated into individual E-FAST and focused obstetric views, there were no statistically significant differences in the image quality or image interpretation scores between the two ultrasound systems. Images obtained using the hand-held ultrasound were uploaded to the associated cloud storage using a local 3G-cell phone network. Upload times were 2-3 min.

CONCLUSION: Among POCUS trainees in rural Kenya, the hand-held ultrasound was found to be non-inferior to the traditional notebook ultrasound for focused obstetric image quality, focused obstetric image interpretation, and E-FAST image interpretation. However, hand-held ultrasound use was found to be inferior for E-FAST image quality. These differences were not observed when evaluating each E-FAST and focused obstetric views separately. The hand-held ultrasound allowed for rapid image transmission for remote review.

PMID:36884093 | DOI:10.1186/s13089-023-00308-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prevalence and treatment of depressive symptoms in Peru: an interrupted time series analysis in 2014-2021

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2023 Mar 8. doi: 10.1007/s00127-023-02446-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The COVID-19 pandemic increased the burden of mental disorders worldwide. Peru has been one of the countries most affected by COVID-19, however, studies evaluating the medium and long-term consequences of the pandemic on Peruvians’ mental health are recent and represent a new field of study in proliferation. We aimed to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prevalence and treatment of depressive symptoms using nationally representative surveys in Peru.

METHODS: Our study is an analysis of secondary data. We carried out a time series cross-sectional analysis based on the National Demographic and Health Survey of Peru, collected using a complex sampling design. The Patient Health Questionnaire-9 was used to measure mild (5-9 points), moderate (10-14 points), and severe (15 points or more) depressive symptoms. The participants were men and women aged 15 years and older, living in urban and rural areas of all regions of Peru. The main statistical analysis used segmented regression with Newey-West standard errors, taking into account that each year of the evaluation was divided into four measures (quarter measure).

RESULTS: We included 259,516 participants. An average quarterly increase of 0.17% (95% CI 0.03-0.32%) in the prevalence of moderate depressive symptoms was identified after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (approximately an increase of 1583 new cases of moderate depressive symptoms by each quarter). The percentage of cases treated for mild depressive symptoms increased quarterly by an average of 0.46% (95% CI 0.20-0.71%) after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (approximately an increase of 1242 new cases treated for mild depressive symptoms by each quarter).

CONCLUSION: In Peru, increases in the prevalence of moderate depressive symptoms and the proportion of cases treated with mild depressive symptoms were found after the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, this study is a precedent for future research assessing the prevalence of depressive symptoms and the proportion of cases receiving treatment during the pandemic and post-pandemic years.

PMID:36884090 | DOI:10.1007/s00127-023-02446-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Wolbachia pipientis infections in populations of Aedes albopictus in the city of València (Spain): implications for mosquito control

Rev Esp Salud Publica. 2023 Mar 2;97:e202303017.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The presence of Aedes albopictus, of high sanitary and social impact, was first reported in Valencia (Eastern Spain) in 2015. Innovative tools for its control include the use of the endosymbiotic bacterium Wolbachia pipientis. The release of mosquito males infected with the wPip strain, has proven very promising for large-scale Incompatible Insect Technique (IIT) applications. Before this strategy can be implemented in Valencia, it is important to know whether the natural local mosquito populations are Wolbachia-infected and, if so, identifying the infecting strains/supergroups, these being the objectives of the present work.

METHODS: Eggs were collected from the 19 districts of the València city between May and October 2019. A total of 50 lab-reared adult Ae. albopictus individuals were processed and analyzed for Wolbachia detection and molecular characterization. These actions took place within the framework of a collaboration established with the Department of Health and Consumer Affairs of the city council of Valencia. Fisher’s exact test was used to detect the statistical significance of the differences between groups.

RESULTS: Our study revealed that 94% of the analyzed samples were naturally infected with Wolbachia. Both wAlbA and wAlbB supergroups were identified, with most samples (72% of the infected ones) carrying co-infections.

CONCLUSIONS: These data provide the first characterization of the Wolbachia presence in natural populations of Ae. albopictus in the Mediterranean area of Spain. This information is relevant to evaluate the potential use of Wolbachia strains in order to achieve the suppression of the Asian tiger mosquito populations through massive release of artificially-infected males.

PMID:36883556

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Characteristics of the migrant women attended by the Reproductive Health Care Services of the Catalan Health Institute.

Rev Esp Salud Publica. 2023 Mar 1;97:e202303016.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The feminization of migration, the need to provide health care to an increasingly diverse population, seeking optimal health data led to considering this research. The objective was to determine the characteristics (socio-demographic profile, obstetric and gynecological record, and monitoring) of migrated pregnant women with a pregnancy process completed in 2019 in Catalonia compared to native women, in public centers (ASSIR-ICS).

METHODS: This descriptive study was based on computerized clinical records of women in the 28 centers dependent on the ICS. A descriptive analysis of the variables was carried out to compare the origin of the pregnant women. The Pearson Chi-Square test at 5% and the corrected standardized residual was used to compare the groups and an analysis of variance for the comparison of means also at 5%.

RESULTS: 36.315 women were analyzed and the resulting mean age was 31.1 years. The BMI at the beginning of pregnancy was 25.4 on average. Smoking habit was 18.1% among Spanish 17.3% among European. Sexist violence was 4% in Latin American women, being statistically higher than the rest. The risk of preeclampsia was 23.4% in sub-Saharan women. Gestational diabetes was diagnosed mainly among Pakistanis (18.5%). The prevalence of Sexually Transmitted Infections (STIs) was detected in Latin Americans (8.6%), Spanish (5.8%) and Europeans (4.5%). Sub-Saharan women performed insufficient ultrasound control (58.2%) and had the lowest percentage of visits with 49.5%. Pregnancy monitoring was insufficient in 79.9% of all rural pregnant women.

CONCLUSIONS: There are differences derived from the geographical origins of pregnant women that condition access to health services.

PMID:36883555