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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Exploring geochemical distribution of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in wetland and agricultural soils and associated health risks

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan 13. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25141-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study is carried out to understand the degree of soil pollution, transport mechanism, and distribution pattern of potentially toxic elements (PTEs), including the exposure effects on human health. Towards this, topsoil samples were collected from the Saman wetland and surrounding agricultural fields in the Gangetic plain, India. The results show that the mean concentration of Cu, Hg, Zn, Pb, Th, As, U, and Cd of both soil types exceed the natural background values. The multivariate analysis suggests the soils are moderately contaminated with As, Cd, Zn, Pb, and Hg (possibly from anthropogenic sources) and heavily contaminated with Th and U, likely ascended from geogenic sources. The GIS-based geostatistical plots coupled with principal component analysis (PCA) and hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) apportion the sources of these toxic elements, which vary greatly and are closely correlated to the geogenic processes and local anthropogenic sources like pesticides and agrochemicals. The health risk assessment revealed that the cumulative hazard index (HI) values of PTEs are lower than the safe level, suggesting no significant noncarcinogenic effect for adults and children. However, excess cancer risk (ECR) values exceed the permissible limit (1 × 10-6), signifying that exposure to the toxic element concentration may cause cancer in the exposed population, most probably in the children subpopulation. Thus, this study highlights the importance of local compliance, ensuring the quality checks and management policies in using pesticides and other agrochemicals containing PTEs to control the imposed cancer risks.

PMID:36637646 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-25141-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outcomes of Filipinos with inflammatory rheumatic diseases developing COVID-19 prior to vaccinations and new variants: a historical perspective

Clin Rheumatol. 2023 Jan 13. doi: 10.1007/s10067-023-06507-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We described the profile and outcome of Filipino patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRDs) who developed COVID-19 (IRD-C19) during the onset of the pandemic, prior to vaccinations and variants. We obtained de-identified data of Filipino patients with IRD-C19 from the Global Rheumatology Alliance registry from March 2020 to August 2021. Descriptive statistics and multivariate analyses were applied. Registered were 164 patients (mean age 44 years; 70% female). The most common IRDs were systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE, 41.4%), rheumatoid arthritis (RA, 15.2%), and gout (14.6%). Majority were receiving conventional DMARDs (59.1%) and/or glucocorticoid therapy (GC, 51.2%). Half (58.5%) were hospitalized, with risk higher in active IRD (OR 3.7), heart disease (8.52), and hypertension (8.73); and lower in SLE patients (0.15). Among hospitalized patients, 76% needed supplemental oxygen. Heart disease (6.28), hypertension (7.6), and moderate-to-high IRD activity (3.37) were associated with higher odds of requiring oxygen supplementation. Hypertension was associated with mechanical ventilation (8.23). Twenty-four (15%) patients died, with odds lower if on prednisone ≥ 10 mg/day (0.17) and with other autoimmune IRDs aside from SLE and RA (0.05). Among patients with IRD-C19 prior to vaccinations and variants, higher disease activity, hypertension, and heart disease were associated with poorer outcomes. Prednisone ≥ 10 mg/day was associated with lower odds of death. This study provides valuable historical information, emphasizing the need for continued data collection to clarify COVID-19’s impact.

PMID:36637634 | DOI:10.1007/s10067-023-06507-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence and risk factors for ototoxicity after cisplatin-based chemotherapy

J Cancer Surviv. 2023 Jan 13. doi: 10.1007/s11764-022-01313-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Ototoxicity is a prominent side effect of cisplatin-based chemotherapy. There are few reports, however, estimating its prevalence in well-defined cohorts and associated risk factors.

METHODS: Testicular cancer (TC) survivors given first-line cisplatin-based chemotherapy completed validated questionnaires. Descriptive statistics evaluated the prevalence of ototoxicity, defined as self-reported hearing loss and/or tinnitus. We compared patients with and without tinnitus or hearing loss using Chi-square test, two-sided Fisher’s exact test, or two-sided Wilcoxon rank sum test. To evaluate ototoxicity risk factors, a backward selection logistic regression procedure was performed.

RESULTS: Of 145 TC survivors, 74% reported ototoxicity: 68% tinnitus; 59% hearing loss; and 52% reported both. TC survivors with tinnitus were more likely to indicate hypercholesterolemia (P = 0.008), and difficulty hearing (P < .001). Tinnitus was also significantly related to age at survey completion (OR = 1.79; P = 0.003) and cumulative cisplatin dose (OR = 5.17; P < 0.001). TC survivors with hearing loss were more likely to report diabetes (P = 0.042), hypertension (P = 0.007), hypercholesterolemia (P < 0.001), and family history of hearing loss (P = 0.044). Risk factors for hearing loss included age at survey completion (OR = 1.57; P = 0.036), hypercholesterolemia (OR = 3.45; P = 0.007), cumulative cisplatin dose (OR = 1.94; P = 0.049), and family history of hearing loss (OR = 2.87; P = 0.071).

CONCLUSIONS: Ototoxicity risk factors included age, cisplatin dose, cardiovascular risk factors, and family history of hearing loss. Three of four TC survivors report some type of ototoxicity; thus, follow-up of cisplatin-treated survivors should include routine assessment for ototoxicity with provision of indicated treatments.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Survivors should be aware of risk factors associated with ototoxicity. Referrals to audiologists before, during, and after cisplatin treatment is recommended.

PMID:36637632 | DOI:10.1007/s11764-022-01313-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the Expression of miRNAs, LncRNAs, and their Target Gene, Caspase 3 in Glioblastoma Multiform: A Case-Control Study

Mol Biotechnol. 2023 Jan 13. doi: 10.1007/s12033-022-00632-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Glioblastoma multiform (GBM) is an invasive cancer that causes high mortality in patients. Disruption of the apoptosis process is one of the main pathogenesis of the disease. Recently, LncRNAs and miRNAs have been shown to play an important role in the process of apoptosis. To follow the aim of study, 100 patients participated in the two groups of 50 individuals, including 50 GBM patients and 50 healthy individuals as the control group. Mononuclear cells were isolated from peripheral blood samples and RNA extraction was done. The expression changes of miR-17-5p, miR-20-5p, LINC01605, FAS-AS1, and Caspase 3 were examined using RT-PCR in both groups. Expression of LINC01605, miR-20-5p, and miR-17-5p increased in patients, while Caspase 3 and FAS-AS1 decreased; the difference was statistically significant between the two groups. In addition, it was found that these factors have the appropriate sensitivity and specificity as diagnostic markers. Finally, It is suggested to use the LINC01605, FAS-AS1, miR-20-5p, miR-17-5p, and Caspase 3 as apoptosis predictors in the GM patients.

PMID:36637626 | DOI:10.1007/s12033-022-00632-8

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Optimal threshold of a control parameter for tomotherapy respiratory tracking: A phantom study

J Appl Clin Med Phys. 2023 Jan 12:e13901. doi: 10.1002/acm2.13901. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Radixact Synchrony® , a real-time motion tracking and compensating modality, is used for helical tomotherapy. Control parameters are used for the accurate application of irradiation. Radixact Synchrony® uses the potential difference, which is an index of the accuracy of the prediction model of target motion and is represented by a statistical prediction of the 3D distance error. Although there are several reports on Radixact Synchrony® , few have reported the appropriate settings of the potential difference threshold.

PURPOSE: This study aims to determine the optimal threshold of the potential difference of Radixact Synchrony® during respiratory tumor-motion-tracking irradiation.

METHODS: The relationship among the dosimetric accuracy, motion tracking accuracy, and control parameter was evaluated using a moving platform, a phantom with a basic respiratory model (the fourth power of a sinusoidal wave), and several irregular respiratory model waveforms. The dosimetric accuracy was evaluated by gamma analysis (3%, 1 mm, 10% dose threshold). The tracking accuracy was measured by the distance error of the difference between the tracked and driven positions of the phantom. The largest potential difference for 95% of treatment time was evaluated, and its correlation with the gamma-pass ratio and distance error was investigated. The optimal threshold of the potential difference was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS: A linear correlation was identified between the potential difference and the gamma-pass ratio (R = -0.704). A linear correlation was also identified between the potential difference and distance error (R = 0.827). However, as the potential difference increased, it tended to underestimate the distance error. The ROC analysis revealed that the appropriate cutoff value of the potential difference was 3.05 mm.

CONCLUSION: The irradiation accuracy with motion tracking by Radixact Synchrony® could be predicted from the potential difference, and the threshold of the potential difference should be set to ∼3 mm.

PMID:36635847 | DOI:10.1002/acm2.13901

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Spatial-temporal Evolution and Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions at County-level in China

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2023 Jan 8;44(1):549-559. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202202137.

ABSTRACT

Counties are the key spatial units in achieving the reduction and control of carbon emissions. It is of great significance to study and reveal the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing mechanism of carbon emissions for realizing the “carbon peak and carbon neutral” goal. In this study, the spatial-temporal evolution and heterogeneity of carbon emissions at the county level in China from 2000 to 2017 were analyzed by using mathematical statistics and panel data regression modeling, and the influencing mechanism was explored. The results showed that: ① from 2000 to 2017, the annual growth rate of carbon emissions was 7.12%, which experienced the three stages of “sharp rise, slow rise, and high fluctuation” and finally stabilized at approximately 90×108 t. At the county scale, there was a significant positive spatial autocorrelation. ② The general panel regression model showed that GDP, construction land area, population, per capita GDP, and per capita deposit balance of financial institutions were significantly correlated with carbon emissions, and the former three had the strongest promoting effect on carbon emissions. ③ The goodness of fit of the geographically and temporally weighted regression model was high, and the direction and intensity of the other impact factors changed greatly in spatial-temporal characteristics, except that GDP showed a stable promoting effect globally. The results showed that carbon emission levels and main influencing factors varied among counties in China. This study revealed the heterogeneity of carbon emissions at the county level, which is helpful to optimize the spatial-temporal implementation path of the “dual carbon” target.

PMID:36635843 | DOI:10.13227/j.hjkx.202202137

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Structure and Function of Soil Fungal Community in Rotation Fallow Farmland in Alluvial Plain of Lower Yellow River

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2023 Jan 8;44(1):482-493. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202203233.

ABSTRACT

This study was conducted to clarify the structure and function of the fungal community and the microecology change characteristics of farmland soil fertility response to different fallow rotation patterns. It aimed to provide a reference for promoting farmland ecological restoration and farmland quality improvement in the alluvial plain of the lower Yellow River. Farmland soil subject to a long-term rotation fallow experiment since 2018 was studied using Illumina MiSeq high-throughput sequencing technology, and the ‘FUNGuild’ fungal function prediction tool was used to analyze differences in soil fungal community structure and function under the following four rotation fallow regimes: long fallow (LF), winter wheat and summer fallow (WF), winter fallow and summer maize (FM), and annual rotation of winter wheat and summer maize (WM). The results showed that LF (fallow lasting two years) increased the richness and diversity of fungal communities in the topsoil (0-20 cm layer), whereas WF increased the richness and diversity of fungi in the deep soil (20-40 cm layer) after winter wheat harvest. A total of 2262 OTU were obtained from all soil samples, which were divided into 14 phyla, 34 classes, 75 orders, 169 families, 309 genera, and 523 species. OTU shared by the two soil layers included 420 types (0-20 cm layer) and 253 types (20-40 cm layer), respectively. The fungal community structure of the four rotation fallow soils was similar at the phylum level, mainly including Ascomycota, Basidiomycota, and Mortierellomycota. The total abundances of the three dominant bacteria were 91.69%-96.91% (0-20 cm layer) and 91.67%-94.86% (20-40 cm layer), respectively. Principal component analysis showed that the first principal component (PC1) and the second principal component (PC2) could explain the difference in community structure by 45.56% (0-20 cm layer) and 46.20% (20-40 cm layer). Additionally, the LDA results of LEfSe (threshold was 4.0) showed that there were 64 fungal evolutionary branches in LF, FM, WF, and WM with statistically significant differences (P<0.05). According to RDA analysis, total organic carbon (TOC), total phosphorus (TP), available nitrogen (AN), and soil water content (SWC) were the main environmental factors that significantly affected fungal community in the 0-40 cm soil layer (P<0.05). The functional prediction with FUNGuild showed that the main nutrient types among different treatments in different soil layers were saprotrophic, saprotrophic-symbiotrophic, pathotrophic-saprotrophic-symbiotrophic, and pathotrophic. In LF, the nutrient type of topsoil was mainly pathotrophic-saprotrophic-symbiotrophic, whereas in deep soil, the relative abundance of pathotrophic fungi was the highest. Additionally, in the treatments with planted wheat or corn (FM, WF, and WM), saprotrophic was the main type in both soil layers. Therefore, different fallow patterns were linked to variation in the structure, diversity, and nutrient types of soil fungal communities. Based on these results, seasonal fallow practices could regulate the farmland soil micro-ecological environment of intensive planting and promote the health and harmony of farmland soil ecosystems.

PMID:36635836 | DOI:10.13227/j.hjkx.202203233

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Application of WRF Optimal Parameterization Scheme for Different Air Quality Models

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2023 Jan 8;44(1):104-117. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202203077.

ABSTRACT

Accurate meteorological fields and applicable air quality models are important ways to optimize air pollution simulations. To improve the accuracy of winter air pollution models in the Sichuan basin, we conducted a meteorological field simulation using 25 sets of parameterized scheme combinations in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. Based on the optimal parameters, the air pollution levels were simulated using AERMOD and CALPUFF models in a local large steel plant, and the data were verified by comparing the data from four National Ambient Air Monitoring Stations (NAAMS). The results indicated that the WRF model parameters had substantial effects on the simulation of the ground wind field, high-altitude wind field, and ground humidity field. In contrast, the parameters had no significant effect on the simulation of the ground temperature field, high-altitude temperature field, and high-altitude humidity field. The combination of the SLAB land surface process scheme and Dudhia shortwave radiation scheme with four boundary layer schemes, namely YSU, ACM2, BouLac, and MRF, could well-simulate the trends of winter surface wind, temperature, and humidity fields in Sichuan basin. The simulation results were analyzed by combining the statistical parameters of high-altitude wind, temperature, and humidity. The group 1 parameter scheme was applicable to simulate the meteorological field of Dazhou. Group 13 and Group 17 parameters were applicable to simulate the meteorological fields in Chengdu during the day and night, respectively. The correlation between CALPUFF simulation and monitoring value was better than that for AERMOD. CALPUFF was more accurate than AERMOD when referring to the monitoring data from NAAMS No.3. In addition, the simulation quality of CALPUFF was slightly better than that of AERMOD with reference to data from NAAMS No.2. Using air pollutant monitoring data from NAAMS as a reference, the simulated results of CALPUFF on NOx and PM10 were improved compared to AERMOD at all four stations. Data from the Q-Q diagram indicated that the simulated results of CALPUFF on SO2, NOx, and PM10 were closer to the monitored values compared to those of AERMOD.

PMID:36635800 | DOI:10.13227/j.hjkx.202203077

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of an open forecasting challenge to assess skill of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease prediction

Parasit Vectors. 2023 Jan 12;16(1):11. doi: 10.1186/s13071-022-05630-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental USA. WNV occurrence has high spatiotemporal variation, and current approaches to targeted control of the virus are limited, making forecasting a public health priority. However, little research has been done to compare strengths and weaknesses of WNV disease forecasting approaches on the national scale. We used forecasts submitted to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge, an open challenge organized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to assess the status of WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) prediction and identify avenues for improvement.

METHODS: We performed a multi-model comparative assessment of probabilistic forecasts submitted by 15 teams for annual WNND cases in US counties for 2020 and assessed forecast accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory power. In the evaluation, we included forecasts produced by comparison models of varying complexity as benchmarks of forecast performance. We also used regression analysis to identify modeling approaches and contextual factors that were associated with forecast skill.

RESULTS: Simple models based on historical WNND cases generally scored better than more complex models and combined higher discriminatory power with better calibration of uncertainty. Forecast skill improved across updated forecast submissions submitted during the 2020 season. Among models using additional data, inclusion of climate or human demographic data was associated with higher skill, while inclusion of mosquito or land use data was associated with lower skill. We also identified population size, extreme minimum winter temperature, and interannual variation in WNND cases as county-level characteristics associated with variation in forecast skill.

CONCLUSIONS: Historical WNND cases were strong predictors of future cases with minimal increase in skill achieved by models that included other factors. Although opportunities might exist to specifically improve predictions for areas with large populations and low or high winter temperatures, areas with high case-count variability are intrinsically more difficult to predict. Also, the prediction of outbreaks, which are outliers relative to typical case numbers, remains difficult. Further improvements to prediction could be obtained with improved calibration of forecast uncertainty and access to real-time data streams (e.g. current weather and preliminary human cases).

PMID:36635782 | DOI:10.1186/s13071-022-05630-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Therapeutic and adverse effects of adrenaline on patients who suffer out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Eur J Med Res. 2023 Jan 12;28(1):24. doi: 10.1186/s40001-022-00974-8.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The efficacy and safety of epinephrine in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains controversial. The meta-analysis was used to comprehensively appraise the influence of epinephrine in OHCA patients.

METHODS: We searched all randomized controlled and cohort studies published by PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library from the inception to August 2022 on the prognostic impact of epinephrine on patients with OHCA. Survival to discharge was the primary outcome, while the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and favorable neurological outcome were secondary outcomes.

RESULTS: The meta-analysis included 18 studies involving 863,952 patients. OHCA patients with adrenaline had an observably improved chance of ROSC (RR 2.81; 95% CI 2.21-3.57; P = 0.001) in randomized controlled studies, but the difference in survival to discharge (RR 1.27; 95% CI 0.58-2.78; P = 0.55) and favorable neurological outcomes (RR 1.21; 95% CI 0.90-1.62; P = 0.21) between the two groups was not statistically significant. In cohort studies, the rate of ROSC (RR 1.62; 95% CI 1.14-2.30; P = 0.007) increased significantly with the adrenaline group, while survival to discharge (RR 0.73; 95% CI 0.55-0.98; P = 0.03) and favorable cerebral function (RR 0.42; 95% CI 0.30-0.58; P = 0.001) were lower than the non-adrenaline group.

CONCLUSION: We found that both the randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies showed that adrenaline increased ROSC in OHCA patients. However, they were unable to agree on a long-term prognosis. The cohort studies showed that adrenaline had an adverse effect on the long-term prognosis of OHCA patients (discharge survival rate and good neurological prognosis), but adrenaline had no adverse effect in the RCTs. In addition to the differences in research methods, there are also some potential confounding factors in the included studies. Therefore, more high-quality studies are needed to fully confirm the effect of adrenaline on the long-term results of OHCA.

PMID:36635781 | DOI:10.1186/s40001-022-00974-8