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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The risk matrix: Drug-related deaths in prisons in England and Wales, 2015-2020

J Community Psychol. 2023 Jan 5. doi: 10.1002/jcop.22989. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This article explores the factors contributing to drug-related deaths in English and Welsh prisons between 2015 and 2020. Based on content analysis of all Prison and Probation Ombudsman ‘other non-natural’ fatal incident investigation reports, descriptive statistics were generated. Qualitative analysis explored the circumstances surrounding deaths and key risk factors. Most deaths were of men, whose mean age was 39 years. Drug toxicity was the main factor in causing death, exacerbated by underlying physical health conditions and risk-taking behaviours. A variety of substances were involved. New psychoactive substances became more important over time. A high proportion had recorded histories of substance use and mental illness. During this period, the prison system was under considerable stress creating dangerous environments for drug-related harm. This study highlights the process of complex interaction between substances used, individual characteristics, situational features and the wider environment in explaining drug-related deaths in prisons. Implications for policy and practice are discussed.

PMID:36601729 | DOI:10.1002/jcop.22989

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Variable importance evaluation with personalized odds ratio for machine learning model interpretability with applications to electronic health records-based mortality prediction

Stat Med. 2023 Jan 5. doi: 10.1002/sim.9642. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The interpretability of machine learning models, even though with an excellent prediction performance, remains a challenge in practical applications. The model interpretability and variable importance for well-performed supervised machine learning models are investigated in this study. With the commonly accepted concept of odds ratio (OR), we propose a novel and computationally efficient Variable Importance evaluation framework based on the Personalized Odds Ratio (VIPOR). It is a model-agnostic interpretation method that can be used to evaluate variable importance both locally and globally. Locally, the variable importance is quantified by the personalized odds ratio (POR), which can account for subject heterogeneity in machine learning. Globally, we utilize a hierarchical tree to group the predictors into five groups: completely positive, completely negative, positive dominated, negative dominated, and neutral groups. The relative importance of predictors within each group is ranked based on different statistics of PORs across subjects for different application purposes. For illustration, we apply the proposed VIPOR method to interpreting a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model, which aims to predict the mortality of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients using real-world electronic health records (EHR) data. We compare the important variables derived from MLP with other machine learning models, including tree-based models and the L1-regularized logistic regression model. The top importance variables are consistently identified by VIPOR across different prediction models. Comparisons with existing interpretation methods are also conducted and discussed based on publicly available data sets.

PMID:36601725 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9642

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Psychoeducational interventional programme during the COVID-19 pandemic for nurses with severe occupational stress: A randomized controlled trial

Int J Nurs Pract. 2023 Jan 5:e13129. doi: 10.1111/ijn.13129. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Occupational stress is generally acknowledged as a major issue in the health sector that may have a detrimental impact on nurses’ psychological and physical health, particularly during the COVID-19 epidemic.

AIM: This study evaluated the effectiveness of a psychoeducational interventional programme in decreasing occupational stress and improving coping methods among nurses during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS: This study used a cluster-randomized approach. Data were collected from 80 nurses working in two public health-care centres from May to August 2020 in Jordan. Two centres were assigned randomly to the intervention and control groups. The psychoeducational programme was delivered to the intervention group in six sessions over 6 days for 2 weeks. The collected data were analysed using SPSS through descriptive and inferential statistics. Occupational stress and coping strategies were measured.

RESULTS: Repeated-measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated that the degrees of occupational stress and coping strategies significantly differed between study groups over the three points of data collection.

CONCLUSION: This psychoeducational interventional programme is a valuable noninvasive method that can improve individual coping strategies to manage stress in practice during the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:36601722 | DOI:10.1111/ijn.13129

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Whole-brain DTI parameters associated with tau protein and hippocampal volume in Alzheimer’s disease

Brain Behav. 2023 Jan 4:e2863. doi: 10.1002/brb3.2863. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The causes of the neurodegenerative processes in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) are not completely known. Recent studies have shown that white matter (WM) damage could be more severe and widespread than whole-brain cortical atrophy and that such damage may appear even before the damage to the gray matter (GM). In AD, Amyloid-beta (Aβ42 ) and tau proteins could directly affect WM, spreading across brain networks. Since hippocampal atrophy is common in the early phase of disease, it is reasonable to expect that hippocampal volume (HV) might be also related to WM integrity. Our study aimed to evaluate the integrity of the whole-brain WM, through diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) parameters, in mild AD and amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) due to AD (with Aβ42 alteration in cerebrospinal fluid [CSF]) in relation to controls; and possible correlations between those measures and the CSF levels of Aβ42 , phosphorylated tau protein (p-Tau) and total tau (t-Tau). We found a widespread WM alteration in the groups, and we also observed correlations between p-Tau and t-Tau with tracts directly linked to mesial temporal lobe (MTL) structures (fornix and hippocampal cingulum). However, linear regressions showed that the HV better explained the variation found in the DTI measures (with weak to moderate effect sizes, explaining from 9% to 31%) than did CSF proteins. In conclusion, we found widespread alterations in WM integrity, particularly in regions commonly affected by the disease in our group of early-stage disease and patients with Alzheimer’s disease. Nonetheless, in the statistical models, the HV better predicted the integrity of the MTL tracts than the biomarkers in CSF.

PMID:36601694 | DOI:10.1002/brb3.2863

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Reperfusion measurements, treatment time, and outcomes in patients receiving endovascular treatment within 24 hours of last known well

CNS Neurosci Ther. 2023 Jan 4. doi: 10.1111/cns.14080. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The aim of this study was to explore the interaction between reperfusion and treatment time on the outcomes of patients undergoing endovascular treatment presenting within 24 h of last known well, and to compare the predictive ability of different reperfusion measurements on outcomes.

METHODS: Eligible patients from a single-center cohort were enrolled in this study. Reperfusion was assessed using reperfusion index (decreased volume of hypoperfusion lesion compared with baseline) measured by repeated perfusion imaging, and modified treatment in cerebral ischemia score measured by digital subtraction angiography, respectively. The interactions between reperfusion measurements and treatment time on outcomes were explored using multivariate-adjusted logistic and linear regression models. The predictive abilities of reperfusion measurements on outcomes were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and values of R-square.

RESULTS: Reperfusion index and treatment time had significant interactions on 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2 and infarct growth (p for interaction <0.05). Although the AUCs were statistically similar (AUCs of mRS 0-2 prediction, mTICI≥2b:0.63, mTICI≥2c:0.59, reperfusion index≥0.5:0.66, reperfusion index ≥0.9:0.73, P value of any of the two AUCs >0.05), reperfusion index≥0.9 showed the highest R-square values in outcome prediction (R-square values of 3-month mRS 0-2 and infarct growth = 0.21) among all the reperfusion measurements.

CONCLUSION: Treatment time mitigated the effect of reperfusion on outcomes of patients receiving endovascular treatment within 24 h of last known well. Reperfusion index≥0.9 might serve as a better proxy of good outcomes compared with other reperfusion measurements.

PMID:36601659 | DOI:10.1111/cns.14080

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Relationship among genetic variants, obesity traits and asthma in the Taiwan Biobank

BMJ Open Respir Res. 2022 Dec;9(1):e001355. doi: 10.1136/bmjresp-2022-001355.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Obesity and asthma impose a heavy health and economic burden on millions of people around the world. The complex interaction between genetic traits and phenotypes caused the mechanism between obesity and asthma is still vague. This study investigates the relationship among obesity-related polygenic risk score (PRS), obesity phenotypes and the risk of having asthma.

METHODS: This is a matched case-control study, with 4 controls (8288 non-asthmatic) for each case (2072 asthmatic). Data were obtained from the 2008-2015 Taiwan Biobank Database and linked to the 2000-2016 National Health Insurance Research Database. All participants were ≥30 years old with no history of cancer and had a complete questionnaire, as well as physical examination, genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphisms and clinical diagnosis data. Environmental exposure, PM2.5, was also considered. Multivariate adjusted ORs and 95% CIs were calculated using conditional logistic regression stratified by age and sex. Mediation analysis was also assessed, using a generalised linear model.

RESULTS: We found that the obese phenotype was associated with significantly increased odds of asthma by approximately 26%. Four obesity-related PRS, including body mass index (OR=1.07 (1.01-1.13)), waist circumference (OR=1.10 (1.04-1.17)), central obesity as defined by waist-to-height ratio (OR=1.09 (1.03-1.15)) and general-central obesity (OR=1.06 (1.00-1.12)), were associated with increased odds of asthma. Additional independent risk factors for asthma included lower educational level, family history of asthma, certain chronic diseases and increased PM2.5 exposure. Obesity-related PRS is an indirect risk factor for asthma, the link being fully mediated by the trait of obesity.

CONCLUSIONS: Obese phenotypes and obesity-related PRS are independent risk factors for having asthma in adults in the Taiwan Biobank. Overall, genetic risk for obesity increases the risk of asthma by affecting the obese phenotype.

PMID:36600406 | DOI:10.1136/bmjresp-2022-001355

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Recombinant human erythropoietin plus methylprednisolone versus methylprednisolone in treatment of acute spinal cord injury:protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

BMJ Open. 2022 Dec 7;12(12):e056689. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-056689.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies in animal models indicate that recombinant human erythropoietin (rHuEPO) is very effective in enhancing neurological recovery after spinal cord injury (SCI). We described a protocol aimed at evaluating the efficacy of rHuEPO plus methylprednisolone (MP) compared with MP alone in improving neurological function of patients with SCI in randomised controlled trials (RCTs).

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study aims to explore the effect of rHuEPO combined with MP on neurological function in patients with SCI through a meta-analysis. To this end, the authors will search eight research databases for data retrieval: MEDLINE, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wan Fang, China Biology Medicine dis, Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane and Embase for RCTs on SCI in any language. The primary outcome will be the American Spinal Injury Association score at the time of follow-up. The secondary outcomes will be the WHOQOL-100 instrument score, neurophysiological state and related factors. Two authors will independently search literature records, scan titles, abstracts and full texts, collect data, and assess materials for risk of bias. Stata V.14.0 will be used for statistical analysis.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This research is exempt from ethics approval because the work is carried out on published documents. We will disseminate this protocol in scientific conferences and a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021260688.

PMID:36600375 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-056689

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Study protocol: hypnosis versus standard care for shoulder dislocation reduction in the emergency department – a multicentre, randomised, controlled study protocol

BMJ Open. 2022 Dec 7;12(12):e062278. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062278.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Anterior shoulder dislocation is a common reason for consultation at the emergency department (ED). Hypnosis could be a safe and effective alternative therapy for pain relief during shoulder dislocation reduction but nowadays, evidence is not sufficient. The main objective of this study is to show that reduction under hypnosis is associated with a decrease in the use of analgesic compared with usual care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will conduct an interventional, controlled, multicentre, randomised study. A total of 44 patients with shoulder dislocation will be randomised in two groups: the hypnosis group (N=22) and the usual care group (N=22). The primary endpoint will be the comparison of morphine equivalent analgesic consumption during a shoulder dislocation reduction manoeuvre. Secondary endpoints will include haemodynamic parameters monitoring, patient and practitioner satisfaction using a Likert scale, use of coanalgesic or sedative drugs, number of reduction attempts and time spent at ED. Adverse events will be recorded. Statistical analysis will include parametric tests, multivariate linear regression and descriptive statistics.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has received ethics approval from the Comité de Protection des Personnes of Sud-Est IV on 03/11/2021 (ANSM informed on 19 November 2021). The results will be published in scientific articles and communicated in national and international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT04992598; National Clinical trial no ID RCB : 2021-A01382-39.

PMID:36600368 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062278

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Prevalence estimates of trafficking in persons using statistical definitions: a cross-sectional high-risk community survey in Cape Town, South Africa

BMJ Open. 2022 Dec 7;12(12):e063617. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063617.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Current research on trafficking in persons (TIP) relies heavily on legal and prosecutorial definitions. A public health approach has called for population-level assessment; however, identification of TIP victims lacks a standardised operational definition. This study applied the Prevalence Reduction Innovation Forum (PRIF) statistical definitions, developed by the US Department of State, to a community survey in Cape Town, South Africa.

DESIGNS: A high-risk sampling strategy was used. TIP screening questions from two instruments were matched with PRIF domain indicators to generate prevalence estimates. Sensitivity, specificity and receiver operating characteristics analyses were conducted to assess the performance of the two screeners.

SETTING: Cross-sectional survey conducted in Cape Town, South Africa, from January to October 2021.

PARTICIPANTS: South Africans and immigrants from other nations residing in Cape Town and its surrounding areas, aged 18 or older, who met the study inclusion criteria for a set of experiences that were identified as TIP risk factors.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome measures were PRIF lifetime and past 12-month TIP positivity. Secondary outcome measures included individual and summary measures from the two screeners.

RESULTS: Our PRIF algorithm yielded a TIP lifetime prevalence rate of 17.0% and past 12-month rate of 2.9%. Summary measures from each TIP screener showed an excellent range of predictive utility. The summary screener measures yielded statistically significant differences among some demographic and background categories. Several screener items were shown less predictive of the PRIF statistical definition criteria than others.

CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence estimates of probable TIP were higher than those reported elsewhere. Our TIP screeners yielded an excellent range of predictive utility for the statistical definitions, promising the potential for wider applications in global and regional TIP research and policymaking. A more systematic sampling strategy is needed even if statistical definitions become widely used.

PMID:36600367 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063617

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of different surgical treatments on children with ankyloglossia: protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

BMJ Open. 2022 Dec 6;12(12):e065653. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-065653.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Ankyloglossia is a situation where the tongue tip cannot go beyond the mandibular incisor because the frenulum linguae is short. It could affect children’s health by interfering with their ability to talk, breast feeding and dental development. The most effective measure to control ankyloglossia is the surgical method. However, which surgical procedure is the best one is still controversial. Thus, this protocol aims to assess the effectiveness of different surgical interventions in children with ankyloglossia.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science and OVID will be searched for relevant information from inception to 31 May 2022. Observational studies in English that investigate the association between surgical methods and ankyloglossia will be included in this protocol. This protocol follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocols. The Critical Appraisal Checklist for Analytical Cross-Sectional Studies and the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale for longitudinal studies will be used to assess the included studies. The improvement of breast feeding and nipple pain will be the primary outcome. STATA V.15.1 will do the statistical analysis in the meta-analysis. Subgroup and meta-regression will be carried out based on the characteristics of included studies.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This systematic review and meta-analysis will summarise relevant information on the effects of different surgical treatments on patients with ankyloglossia. The results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications. The data included in this study will be extracted from the published original studies. Thus, ethical approval and informed consent will not be required.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022323350.

PMID:36600360 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-065653