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Distinct Circadian Assessments From Wearable Data Reveal Social Distancing Promoted Internal Desynchrony Between Circadian Markers

Front Digit Health. 2021 Nov 16;3:727504. doi: 10.3389/fdgth.2021.727504. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Mobile measures of human circadian rhythms (CR) are needed in the age of chronotherapy. Two wearable measures of CR have recently been validated: one that uses heart rate to extract circadian rhythms that originate in the sinoatrial node of the heart, and another that uses activity to predict the laboratory gold standard and central circadian pacemaker marker, dim light melatonin onset (DLMO). We first find that the heart rate markers of normal real-world individuals align with laboratory DLMO measurements when we account for heart rate phase error. Next, we expand upon previous work that has examined sleep patterns or chronotypes during the COVID-19 lockdown by studying the effects of social distancing on circadian rhythms. In particular, using data collected from the Social Rhythms app, a mobile application where individuals upload their wearable data and receive reports on their circadian rhythms, we compared the two circadian phase estimates before and after social distancing. Interestingly, we found that the lockdown had different effects on the two ambulatory measurements. Before the lockdown, the two measures aligned, as predicted by laboratory data. After the lockdown, when circadian timekeeping signals were blunted, these measures diverged in 70% of subjects (with circadian rhythms in heart rate, or CRHR, becoming delayed). Thus, while either approach can measure circadian rhythms, both are needed to understand internal desynchrony. We also argue that interventions may be needed in future lockdowns to better align separate circadian rhythms in the body.

PMID:34870267 | PMC:PMC8634937 | DOI:10.3389/fdgth.2021.727504

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Sequencing-based genome-wide association studies reporting standards

Cell Genom. 2021 Oct 13;1(1):100005. doi: 10.1016/j.xgen.2021.100005.

ABSTRACT

Genome sequencing has recently become a viable genotyping technology for use in genome-wide association studies (GWASs), offering the potential to analyze a broader range of genome-wide variation, including rare variants. To survey current standards, we assessed the content and quality of reporting of statistical methods, analyses, results, and datasets in 167 exome- or genome-wide-sequencing-based GWAS publications published from 2014 to 2020; 81% of publications included tests of aggregate association across multiple variants, with multiple test models frequently used. We observed a lack of standardized terms and incomplete reporting of datasets, particularly for variants analyzed in aggregate tests. We also find a lower frequency of sharing of summary statistics compared with array-based GWASs. Reporting standards and increased data sharing are required to ensure sequencing-based association study data are findable, interoperable, accessible, and reusable (FAIR). To support that, we recommend adopting the standard terminology of sequencing-based GWAS (seqGWAS). Further, we recommend that single-variant analyses be reported following the same standards and conventions as standard array-based GWASs and be shared in the GWAS Catalog. We also provide initial recommended standards for aggregate analyses metadata and summary statistics.

PMID:34870259 | PMC:PMC8637874 | DOI:10.1016/j.xgen.2021.100005

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Optimising health and economic impacts of COVID-19 vaccine prioritisation strategies in the WHO European Region: a mathematical modelling study

Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2022 Jan;12:100267. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100267. Epub 2021 Nov 30.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Countries in the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region differ in terms of the COVID-19 vaccine supply conditions. We evaluated the health and economic impact of different age-based vaccine prioritisation strategies across this demographically and socio-economically diverse region.

METHODS: We fitted age-specific compartmental models to the reported daily COVID-19 mortality in 2020 to inform the immunity level before vaccine roll-out. Models capture country-specific differences in population structures, contact patterns, epidemic history, life expectancy, and GDP per capita.We examined four strategies that prioritise: all adults (V+), younger (20-59 year-olds) followed by older adults (60+) (V20), older followed by younger adults (V60), and the oldest adults (75+) (V75) followed by incrementally younger age groups. We explored four roll-out scenarios (R1-4) – the slowest scenario (R1) reached 30% coverage by December 2022 and the fastest (R4) 80% by December 2021. Five decision-making metrics were summarised over 2021-22: mortality, morbidity, and losses in comorbidity-adjusted life expectancy, comorbidity- and quality-adjusted life years, and human capital. Six vaccine profiles were tested – the highest performing vaccine has 95% efficacy against both infection and disease, and the lowest 50% against diseases and 0% against infection.

FINDINGS: Of the 20 decision-making metrics and roll-out scenario combinations, the same optimal strategy applied to all countries in only one combination; V60 was more or similarly desirable than V75 in 19 combinations. Of the 38 countries with fitted models, 11-37 countries had variable optimal strategies by decision-making metrics or roll-out scenarios. There are greater benefits in prioritising older adults when roll-out is slow and when vaccine profiles are less favourable.

INTERPRETATION: The optimal age-based vaccine prioritisation strategies were sensitive to country characteristics, decision-making metrics, and roll-out speeds. A prioritisation strategy involving more age-based stages (V75) does not necessarily lead to better health and economic outcomes than targeting broad age groups (V60). Countries expecting a slow vaccine roll-out may particularly benefit from prioritising older adults.

FUNDING: World Health Organization, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the Medical Research Council (United Kingdom), the National Institute of Health Research (United Kingdom), the European Commission, the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (United Kingdom), Wellcome Trust.

PMID:34870256 | PMC:PMC8629724 | DOI:10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100267

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Population level physical activity before and during the first national COVID-19 lockdown: A nationally representative repeat cross-sectional study of 5 years of Active Lives data in England

Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2022 Jan;12:100265. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100265. Epub 2021 Nov 30.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To limit the spread of COVID-19 in March 2020, the population of England was instructed to stay home, leaving only for essential shopping, health-care, work, or exercise. The impact on population activity behaviours is not clear. We describe changes in duration and types of activity undertaken by adults ≥16 years in England between March and May 2016-19 and 2020, by socio-demographic strata.

METHODS: Using nationally representative data collected between November 2015 and May 2020 by the Sport England Active Lives Surveys (n=726,257) we assessed trends in amount and type of non-occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Using data from n=74,430 mid-April to mid-May respondents, we then estimated the odds ratios of reporting any activity in the four-week recall period in 2020 compared to 2016-19. Gamma regressions estimated the mean ratios (MR) of duration amongst those reporting any activity in 2020 compared to 2016-19.

FINDINGS: Population activity declined substantially after the restrictions were introduced. Compared to 2016-19 levels, the odds of reporting any activity in 2020 were 30% lower (95% confidence interval (CI) 26-34%). The largest declines were amongst non-white ethnicities, the youngest and oldest age groups, and the unemployed; no socio-demographic subgroup had higher odds. Amongst those undertaking activity, weekly duration was similar in the two periods (MR 0.99, 95%CI (0.96-1.01%)). The odds of participating in walking for leisure and gardening were 11% (6-16%) and 15% (9-21%) higher, respectively, whereas the odds for team and racket sport and walking for travel participation were 76% (73-79%) and 66% (64-68%) lower, respectively.

INTERPRETATION: Restrictions introduced in Spring 2020 likely reduced physical activity levels in England. The magnitude of the declines were not uniform by demographic groups or by activity type, which future policies should consider.

FUNDING: TS, KW, SJS, and SB are supported by UK Medical Research Council [grant numbers MC_UU_00006/4 and MC_UU_12015/3] and SB is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre in Cambridge (IS-BRC-1215-20014).

PMID:34870255 | PMC:PMC8629728 | DOI:10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100265

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Paravertebral anesthetic nerve block for pain control after peroral endoscopic myotomy

Tech Innov Gastrointest Endosc. 2021;23(4):297-303. doi: 10.1016/j.tige.2021.06.006. Epub 2021 Jun 24.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Excess post-operative opioid medication use can delay recovery and is associated with long-term misuse, addiction, and overdose. We aimed to explore the effect of pre-procedural thoracic paravertebral nerve block (PNB) on pain-related outcomes after POEM.

METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, consecutive patients who did and did not receive a PNB prior to POEM were compared. The outcomes were peak and cumulative pain scores, total opioid use during hospitalization, and length of stay. After adjusting for confounders, the associations between nerve block and the outcomes of interest were explored.

RESULTS: Forty-nine consecutive patients were enrolled; 25 patients received a block whereas the subsequent 24 did not. There were no differences in baseline characteristics between the study groups. In unadjusted analyses, there was no significant difference between patients who did and did not undergo PNB in peak pain score (7.8 vs. 8.7, p=0.14), cumulative pain score in the first 12 hours (area under curve 66.5 vs. 75.8, p=0.22), median total opioid use (38.9 mg morphine equivalent dosing vs. 42, p=1.00), and median length of hospitalization (26.5 hours vs. 24, p=0.35). In multivariable regression models, PNB was not associated with a reduction in pain scores, opioid use, or hospitalization. There were no adverse events related to the block.

CONCLUSIONS: In this exploratory, observational study, paravertebral nerve block immediately before POEM did not result in a statistically significant reduction in pain-related outcomes or hospitalization. Additional observational studies may elucidate whether higher anesthetic doses or longer acting formulations would be of value.

PMID:34870251 | PMC:PMC8635293 | DOI:10.1016/j.tige.2021.06.006

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I’m alone but not lonely. U-shaped pattern of self-perceived loneliness during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK and Greece

Public Health Pract (Oxf). 2021 Nov;2:100219. doi: 10.1016/j.puhip.2021.100219. Epub 2021 Nov 27.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: In the past months, many countries have adopted varying degrees of lockdown restrictions to control the spread of the COVID-19 virus. According to the existing literature, some consequences of lockdown restrictions on people’s lives are beginning to emerge yet the evolution of such consequences in relation to the time spent in lockdown is understudied. To inform policies involving lockdown restrictions, this study adopted a data-driven Machine Learning approach to uncover the short-term time-related effects of lockdown on people’s physical and mental health.

STUDY DESIGN: An online questionnaire was launched on 17 April 2020, distributed through convenience sampling and was self-completed by 2,276 people from 66 different countries.

METHODS: Focusing on the UK sample (N = 325), 12 aggregated variables representing the participant’s living environment, physical and mental health were used to train a RandomForest model to estimate the week of survey completion.

RESULTS: Using an index of importance, Self-Perceived Loneliness was identified as the most influential variable for estimating the time spent in lockdown. A significant U-shaped curve emerged for loneliness levels, with lower scores reported by participants who took part in the study during the 6th lockdown week (p = 0.009). The same pattern was replicated in the Greek sample (N = 137) for week 4 (p = 0.012) and 6 (p = 0.009) of lockdown.

CONCLUSIONS: From the trained Machine Learning model and the subsequent statistical analysis, Self-Perceived Loneliness varied across time in lockdown in the UK and Greek populations, with lower symptoms reported during the 4th and 6th lockdown weeks. This supports the dissociation between social support and loneliness, and suggests that social support strategies could be effective even in times of social isolation.

PMID:34870253 | PMC:PMC8626633 | DOI:10.1016/j.puhip.2021.100219

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Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW) as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients; a Cross Sectional Study

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 13;9(1):e67. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1325. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has been introduced as a predictive factor for mortality in several critical illnesses and infectious diseases. This study aimed to assess the possible relationship between RDW on admission and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality.

METHOD: This cross-sectional study was performed using the Isfahan COVID-19 registry. Adult confirmed cases of COVID-19 admitted to four hospitals affiliated with Isfahan University of Medical Sciences in Iran were included. Age, sex, O2 saturation, RDW on admission, Intensive Care Unit admission, laboratory data, history of comorbidities, and hospital outcome were extracted from the registry. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to study the independent association of RDW with mortality.

RESULTS: 4152 patients with the mean age of 61.1 ± 16.97 years were included (56.2% male). 597 (14.4%) cases were admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) and 477 (11.5%) cases died. The mortality rate of patients with normal and elevated RDW was 7.8% and 21.2%, respectively (OR= 3.1, 95%CI: 2.6-3.8), which remained statistically significant after adjusting for age, O2 saturation, comorbidities, and ICU admission (2.03, 95% CI: 1.68-2.44). Moreover, elevated RDW mortality Hazard Ratio in patients who were not admitted to ICU was higher than ICU-admitted patients (3.10, 95% CI: 2.35-4.09 vs. 1.47, 95% CI: 1.15-1.88, respectively).

CONCLUSION: The results support the presence of an association between elevated RDW and mortality in patients with COVID-19, especially those who were not admitted to ICU. It seems that elevated RDW can be used as a predictor of mortality in COVID-19 cases.

PMID:34870233 | PMC:PMC8628640 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1325

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Screening Performance Characteristics of Ultrasonography in Confirmation of Endotracheal Intubation; a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 26;9(1):e68. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1360. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies have suggested that point-of-care ultrasonography can be used for confirming the placement of endotracheal tube. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonography for confirming endotracheal tube placement.

METHODS: In this meta-analysis, systematic search of the previous published papers investigating the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasonography for confirmation of endotracheal tube placement was performed. Seven electronic databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, EBSCO, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Database were searched up to July 2021, for all relevant articles published in English on this topic. Meta-DiSc version 1.4 software was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: The estimated pooled sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonography for confirmation of endotracheal tube location were 0.98 (95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.96), respectively. The pooled positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 5.94 (95% CI 4.41-7.98) and 0.03 (95% CI: 0.02-0.04), respectively. The diagnostic odds ratio of ultrasonography was 281.47 and the area under hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) revealed an appropriate accuracy of 0.98.

CONCLUSION: Ultrasonography has high diagnostic accuracy and can be used as a promising tool for confirmation of endotracheal tube placement, especially in critically ill patients or when capnography is not available, or its result is equivocal.

PMID:34870234 | PMC:PMC8628646 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1360

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Aluminum Phosphide Poisoning Mortality Rate in Iran; a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 3;9(1):e66. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1396. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: According to statistics provided by the forensic medicine facility of Iran, there are a high number of Aluminum phosphide (ALP) poisoning-related deaths in the country; while the mortality rate varies in different studies. This study aimed to determine a pooled estimate of ALP poisoning mortality rate in Iran.

METHODS: The present study was a systematic review and meta-analysis of the mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iran. Through the quarry of Persian and English databases, using “aluminum phosphide”, “phosphine”, “rice pills”, “poisoning”, and “Iran” as keywords, and no time restrictions, studies reporting mortality rate in ALP poisoning cases were collected. The random-effects model was used to pool the proportions of mortality and age of survivors versus non-survivors.

RESULTS: 21 studies with 3432 cases of ALP poisoning were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iran was 39.6%, (95% CI: 31.5%-47.9%; I2 = 95%). Since there was significant publication bias, the trim-and-fill correction was conducted and the corrected pooled mortality rate was estimated to be 27.3% (95% CI: 18.9%- 36.5%), which is the rate that should be considered for clinical guidance. Morality rate in male and female patients was 62.3% (95% CI: 53.5%-70.8%) and 37.7% (95% CI: 29.2%-46.5%), respectively (p < 0.01). Survivors had significantly lower mean age than non-survivors (SMD: -0.26 (95% CI: -0.37 to -0.15); p < 0.01; I2=0%).

CONCLUSION: According to this report, the Mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iranian population is about 27%, with men having a higher fatality rate than women. Poisoning at a younger age is associated with better results.

PMID:34870232 | PMC:PMC8628645 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1396

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The Adjunctive Effect of Autologous Platelet Concentrates on Orthodontic Tooth Movement: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Current Randomized Controlled Trials

Int Orthod. 2021 Dec 2:S1761-7227(21)00139-X. doi: 10.1016/j.ortho.2021.10.004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of autologous platelet concentrates (APCs) as adjuncts on accelerating orthodontic tooth movement (OTM) of the human subjects undergoing orthodontic treatment and to critically appraise the available literature.

METHODS AND MATERIALS: Five electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) were searched from 2000 up to May 2021 to retrieve eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating patients who underwent orthodontic treatment that involved OTM of maxillary and mandibular incisors and canines. All the enrolled cases were treated with APCs and had no local or systemic interfering factors. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the modified JADAD scale. The effect sizes were assessed using mean difference (MD). The heterogeneity analysis was conducted using (I2) statistic at α=0.10.

RESULTS: Finally, seven RCTs were included in the qualitative, and two RCTs were included in the quantitative analysis. The meta-analysis was performed regarding the effect of injectable platelet-rich fibrin (I-PRF) on the rate of canine tooth movement in millimeters at different intervals of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd months. In the 1st month, I-PRF (WMD:0.12mm, CI95% -5.01 to 5.24, I2=90%) did not significantly affect OTM. In the 2nd month, I-PRF (WMD:0.66mm, CI95% 0.60 to 0.73, I2=10%) significantly increased the OTM. However, in the 3rd month, I-PRF did not significantly increase the OTM (WMD:0.54mm, CI95% -1.38 to 2.47, I2=67%).

CONCLUSIONS: According to the low certainty of evidence about this topic, providing a definite conclusion is not possible. However, applying I-PRF seems to be efficient in accelerating the OTM of the canines. Further high-quality studies with larger sample sizes will be indispensable to validate this conclusion.

PMID:34866025 | DOI:10.1016/j.ortho.2021.10.004