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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Novel multidisciplinary hub-and-spoke tertiary service for the management of severe acute pancreatitis

BMJ Open Gastroenterol. 2021 Mar;8(1):e000501. doi: 10.1136/bmjgast-2020-000501.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is associated with high mortality (15%-30%). Current guidelines recommend these patients are best managed in a multidisciplinary team setting. This study reports experience in the management of SAP within the UK’s first reported hub-and-spoke pancreatitis network.

DESIGN: All patients with SAP referred to the remote care pancreatitis network between 2015 and 2017 were prospectively entered onto a database by a dedicated pancreatitis specialist nurse. Baseline characteristics, aetiology, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, interventions, complications, mortality and follow-up were analysed.

RESULTS: 285 patients admitted with SAP to secondary care hospitals during the study period were discussed with the dedicated pancreatitis specialist nurse and referred to the regional service. 83/285 patients (29%; 37 male) were transferred to the specialist centre mainly for drainage of infected pancreatic fluid collections (PFC) in 95% (n=79) of patients. Among the patients transferred; 29 (35%) patients developed multiorgan failure with an inpatient mortality of 14% (n=12/83). The median follow-up was 18.2 months (IQR=11.25-35.51). Multivariate analysis showed that transferred patients had statistically significant longer overall hospital stay (p<0.001) but less ICU stay (p<0.012).

CONCLUSION: This hub-and-spoke model facilitates the management of the majority of patients with SAP in secondary care setting. 29% warranted transfer to our tertiary centre, predominantly for endoscopic drainage of PFCs. An evidence-based approach with a low threshold for transfer to tertiary care centre can result in lower mortality for SAP and fewer days in ICU.

PMID:33789915 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgast-2020-000501

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Post-covid syndrome in individuals admitted to hospital with covid-19: retrospective cohort study

BMJ. 2021 Mar 31;372:n693. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n693.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To quantify rates of organ specific dysfunction in individuals with covid-19 after discharge from hospital compared with a matched control group from the general population.

DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING: NHS hospitals in England.

PARTICIPANTS: 47 780 individuals (mean age 65, 55% men) in hospital with covid-19 and discharged alive by 31 August 2020, exactly matched to controls from a pool of about 50 million people in England for personal and clinical characteristics from 10 years of electronic health records.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rates of hospital readmission (or any admission for controls), all cause mortality, and diagnoses of respiratory, cardiovascular, metabolic, kidney, and liver diseases until 30 September 2020. Variations in rate ratios by age, sex, and ethnicity.

RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 140 days, nearly a third of individuals who were discharged from hospital after acute covid-19 were readmitted (14 060 of 47 780) and more than 1 in 10 (5875) died after discharge, with these events occurring at rates four and eight times greater, respectively, than in the matched control group. Rates of respiratory disease (P<0.001), diabetes (P<0.001), and cardiovascular disease (P<0.001) were also significantly raised in patients with covid-19, with 770 (95% confidence interval 758 to 783), 127 (122 to 132), and 126 (121 to 131) diagnoses per 1000 person years, respectively. Rate ratios were greater for individuals aged less than 70 than for those aged 70 or older, and in ethnic minority groups compared with the white population, with the largest differences seen for respiratory disease (10.5 (95% confidence interval 9.7 to 11.4) for age less than 70 years v 4.6 (4.3 to 4.8) for age ≥70, and 11.4 (9.8 to 13.3) for non-white v 5.2 (5.0 to 5.5) for white individuals).

CONCLUSIONS: Individuals discharged from hospital after covid-19 had increased rates of multiorgan dysfunction compared with the expected risk in the general population. The increase in risk was not confined to the elderly and was not uniform across ethnicities. The diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of post-covid syndrome requires integrated rather than organ or disease specific approaches, and urgent research is needed to establish the risk factors.

PMID:33789877 | DOI:10.1136/bmj.n693

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The genetic architecture of human complex phenotypes is modulated by linkage disequilibrium and heterozygosity

Genetics. 2021 Mar 31;217(3):iyaa046. doi: 10.1093/genetics/iyaa046.

ABSTRACT

We propose an extended Gaussian mixture model for the distribution of causal effects of common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for human complex phenotypes that depends on linkage disequilibrium (LD) and heterozygosity (H), while also allowing for independent components for small and large effects. Using a precise methodology showing how genome-wide association studies (GWASs) summary statistics (z-scores) arise through LD with underlying causal SNPs, we applied the model to GWAS of multiple human phenotypes. Our findings indicated that causal effects are distributed with dependence on total LD and H, whereby SNPs with lower total LD and H are more likely to be causal with larger effects; this dependence is consistent with models of the influence of negative pressure from natural selection. Compared with the basic Gaussian mixture model it is built on, the extended model-primarily through quantification of selection pressure-reproduces with greater accuracy the empirical distributions of z-scores, thus providing better estimates of genetic quantities, such as polygenicity and heritability, that arise from the distribution of causal effects.

PMID:33789345 | DOI:10.1093/genetics/iyaa046

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Efficacy and safety of prophylactic intravenous administration of tranexamic acid in abdominal aorta balloon-assisted pelvic tumor surgery

Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2021 Mar 30;101(12):851-855. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112137-20210111-00086.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the efficacy and safety of prophylactic intravenous (IV) administration of tranexamic acid (TXA) in abdominal aorta balloon-assisted pelvic tumor surgery. Methods: The data of patients who underwent abdominal aorta balloon-assisted pelvic tumor surgery in Peking University People’s Hospital from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019 were retrospectively collected. According to whether receiving the prophylactic use of TXA, the patients were divided into two groups: TXA group and control group. After propensity score matching based on age, gender and surgeon, 51 patients in TXA group and 51 patients in control group were allocated. The baseline, intraoperative and postoperative clinical data of the two groups were compared to explore the efficacy and safety of TXA. Results: A total of 525 cases undergoing abdominal aorta balloon-assisted pelvic surgery were enrolled from 2015 to 2019, of which 51 cases received prophylactic use of TXA, with a utilization rate of 9.7%. There were no significant differences in age [(40.7±15.1) years vs (38.2±14.5) years, P=0.393], gender (male: 51.0% vs 49.0%, P=0.843), body weight, body mass index (BMI), complications, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, hemoglobin, hemocrit (Hct), platelet, coagulation function-related indexes and tumor pathological types between the two groups (all P>0.05). Likewise, there were no significant differences in operation time, anesthesia time, cumulative time of balloon occlusion, intraoperative blood loss, intravenous fluid volume and blood transfusion volume between the two groups (all P>0.05). Additionally, there were no significant differences in postoperative ICU admission rate and length of hospital stay between the two groups (all P>0.05), and no venous thromboembolism (VTE) or death was reported. Compared with the control group, the rate of blood transfusion at 24 hours after operation in the TXA group was lower (41.2% vs 70.6%, P=0.003). The level of fibrinogen degradation products was lower [10.4 (6.1, 22.6) mg/L vs 13.2 (7.0, 24.7) mg/L], but the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.326). Conclusions: Prophylactic IV use of TXA does not reduce intraoperative bleeding in abdominal aorta balloon-assisted pelvic tumor surgery, but can decrease the rate of postoperative blood transfusion. No increased risk of postoperative TXA-related VTE was observed.

PMID:33789366 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112137-20210111-00086

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Evaluation of Risk Factors for Adverse Functional Outcomes after Radical Prostatectomy in Patients with Previous Transurethral Surgery of the Prostate

Urol Int. 2021 Mar 31:1-6. doi: 10.1159/000513657. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: A history of transurethral surgery of the prostate is generally considered as a risk factor of adverse functional outcomes after radical prostatectomy (RP). We tested whether the risk of postoperative urinary incontinence (UIC) and erectile dysfunction (ED) after RP could be further substantiated in such patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We tested the effect of the following variables on UIC and ED rates 1 year after RP: residual prostate volume after transurethral desobstruction, the time from transurethral desobstruction to RP, the type of transurethral desobstruction (TURP vs. laser enucleation), age, and nerve-sparing surgery (yes vs. no). UIC was defined as usage of any pad except a safety pad. ED was defined as no sexual intercourse possible.

RESULTS: Overall, 216 patients treated with RP between 2010 and 2019 in a tertiary care center were evaluated. All patients had previously undergone transurethral desobstruction. Regarding UIC analyses, only time from transurethral desobstruction to RP significantly influenced UIC rates (p = 0.003). Regarding ED rates, none of the tested variables reached statistical significance.

CONCLUSION: The risk of UIC and ED after RP is substantial in men who had previously undergone transurethral desobstruction. The time from transurethral desobstruction to RP significantly impacts on the postoperative UIC rates. This observation should be further explored in future studies.

PMID:33789314 | DOI:10.1159/000513657

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Whether Adding Vitamin D to Tadalafil 5 mg Treatment Is Useful in Patients with Erectile Dysfunction and Vitamin D Deficiency?

Urol Int. 2021 Mar 31:1-6. doi: 10.1159/000514056. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Numerous factors such as endothelial disease and hormonal disorder cause the development of erectile dysfunction (ED). However, the relationship between vitamin D deficiency (VDD) and ED is unclear. Moreover, the benefit of vitamin D replacement on ED patients with VDD is uncertain. As far as we know, there is no study yet in the literature regarding the addition of vitamin D to phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors in the treatment of ED patients with VDD. In this study, we investigated whether adding vitamin D to daily tadalafil treatment would be beneficial in ED patients with VDD.

METHODS: A total of 111 patients with VDD accompanying ED were retrospectively evaluated between January 2016 and December 2019. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the treatment they received. Group 1 (n = 58) was treated with daily oral tadalafil 5 mg, while group 2 (n = 53) received oral tadalafil 5 mg and 4,000 IU vitamin D3. Total International Index of Erectile Function-15 (IIEF-15) scores and vitamin D levels of the groups were compared at the end of the study.

RESULTS: The mean vitamin D level was increased statistically significant in group 2, but no difference was seen in group 1 (p < 0.001 and p > 0.05, respectively). There was a significant increase in median erectile function, orgasmic function, sexual desire, sexual satisfaction, and overall satisfaction scores in both groups (p < 0.001). However, the increase in median erectile function and sexual desire scores was significantly higher in group 2 compared to group 1 at the end of the study (p = 0.01 and p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION: We found that adding vitamin D to 5 mg oral daily tadalafil treatment may have an additional positive effect on erectile function and sexual desire in ED patients with VDD.

PMID:33789318 | DOI:10.1159/000514056

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Ghost QTL and hotspots in experimental crosses: novel approach for modeling polygenic effects

Genetics. 2021 Mar 31;217(3):iyaa041. doi: 10.1093/genetics/iyaa041.

ABSTRACT

Ghost quantitative trait loci (QTL) are the false discoveries in QTL mapping, that arise due to the “accumulation” of the polygenic effects, uniformly distributed over the genome. The locations on the chromosome that are strongly correlated with the total of the polygenic effects depend on a specific sample correlation structure determined by the genotypes at all loci. The problem is particularly severe when the same genotypes are used to study multiple QTL, e.g. using recombinant inbred lines or studying the expression QTL. In this case, the ghost QTL phenomenon can lead to false hotspots, where multiple QTL show apparent linkage to the same locus. We illustrate the problem using the classic backcross design and suggest that it can be solved by the application of the extended mixed effect model, where the random effects are allowed to have a nonzero mean. We provide formulas for estimating the thresholds for the corresponding t-test statistics and use them in the stepwise selection strategy, which allows for a simultaneous detection of several QTL. Extensive simulation studies illustrate that our approach eliminates ghost QTL/false hotspots, while preserving a high power of true QTL detection.

PMID:33789342 | DOI:10.1093/genetics/iyaa041

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Calcium Electroporation for Keloids: A First-in-Man Phase I Study

Dermatology. 2021 Mar 31:1-9. doi: 10.1159/000514307. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Keloid scarring is a pathologic proliferation of scar tissue that often causes pruritus, pain, and disfigurement. Keloids can be difficult to treat and have a high risk of recurrence. Recent studies have shown promising results in the treatment of cutaneous metastases with intralesional calcium combined with electroporation (calcium electroporation). As calcium electroporation has shown limited side effects it has advantages when treating benign keloid lesions, and on this indication we performed a phase I study.

METHODS: Patients with keloids were treated with at least 1 session of calcium electroporation and followed up for 2 years. Calcium was administered intralesionally (220 mM) followed by the application of eight 100-µs pulses (400 V) using linear-array electrodes and Cliniporator (IGEA, Italy). Treatment efficacy was evaluated clinically (size, shape, erythema), by patient self-assessment (pruritus, pain, other) and assessed histologically.

RESULTS: Six patients were included in this small proof of concept study. Treatment was well tolerated, with all patients requesting further treatment. Two out of 6 patients experienced a decrease in keloid thickness over 30%. A mean reduction of 11% was observed in volume size, and a mean flattening of 22% was observed (not statistically significant). Five out of 6 patients reported decreased pain and pruritus. No serious adverse effects or recurrences were observed over a mean follow-up period of 338 days.

CONCLUSION: In this first phase I clinical study on calcium electroporation for keloids, treatment was found to be safe with minor side effects. Overall, patients experienced symptom relief, and in some patients keloid thickness was reduced.

PMID:33789301 | DOI:10.1159/000514307

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Women neurosurgeons around the world: a systematic review

Neurosurg Focus. 2021 Mar;50(3):E12. doi: 10.3171/2020.12.FOCUS20902.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Gender disparities in neurosurgery have persisted even as the number of female medical students in many countries has risen. An understanding of the current gender distribution of neurosurgeons around the world and the possible factors contributing to country-specific gender disparities is an important step in improving gender equity in the field.

METHODS: The authors performed a systematic review of studies pertaining to women in neurosurgery. Papers listed in PubMed in the English language were collected. A modified grounded theory approach was utilized to systematically identify and code factors noted to contribute to gender disparities in neurosurgery. Statistical analysis was performed with IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows.

RESULTS: The authors identified 39 studies describing the density of women neurosurgeons in particular regions, 18 of which documented the proportion of practicing female neurosurgeons in a single or in multiple countries. The majority of these studies were published within the last 5 years. Eight factors contributing to gender disparity were identified, including conference representation, the proverbial glass ceiling, lifestyle, mentoring, discrimination, interest, salary, and physical burden.

CONCLUSIONS: The topic of women in neurosurgery has received considerable global scholarly attention. The worldwide proportion of female neurosurgeons varies by region and country. Mentorship was the most frequently cited factor contributing to noted gender differences, with lifestyle, the glass ceiling, and discrimination also frequently mentioned. Future studies are necessary to assess the influence of country-specific sociopolitical factors that push and pull individuals of all backgrounds to enter this field.

PMID:33789239 | DOI:10.3171/2020.12.FOCUS20902

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Predisposing and Precipitating Factors for Delirium in the Very Old (≥80 Years): A Prospective Cohort Study of 3,076 Patients

Gerontology. 2021 Mar 31:1-9. doi: 10.1159/000514298. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Predisposing and precipitating factors for delirium for the elderly, over the age of 65 years, are known, but not for the very old, over 80 years. As the society is getting older and evermore patients will reach >80 years, more evidence of the factors and their contribution to delirium is required in this patient group.

METHODS: In the course of 1 year, 3,076 patients above 80 years were screened prospectively for delirium based on a Delirium Observation Screening (DOS) scale, Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist (ICDSC), and a DSM (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual)-5 nursing instrument (ePA-AC) construct. Relevant predisposing and precipitating factors for delirium were assessed with a multiple regression analysis.

RESULTS: Of 3,076 patients above 80 years, 1,285 (41.8%) developed a delirium, which led to twice prolonged hospitalization (p < 0.001), requirement for subsequent assisted living (OR 2.2, CI: 1.73-2.8, p < 0.001), and increased mortality (OR 24.88, CI: 13.75-45.03, p < 0.001). Relevant predisposing factors were dementia (OR 15.6, CI: 10.17-23.91, p < 0.001), pressure sores (OR 4.61, CI: 2.74-7.76, p < 0.001), and epilepsy (OR 3.65, CI: 2.12-6.28, p < 0.0001). Relevant precipitating factors were acute renal failure (4.96, CI: 2.38-10.3, p < 0.001), intracranial hemorrhage (OR 8.7, CI: 4.27-17.7, p < 0.001), and pleural effusions (OR 3.25, CI: 1.77-17.8, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Compared to the general delirium rate of approximately 20%, the prevalence of delirium doubled above the age of 80 years (41.8%) due to predisposing factors uncommon in younger patients.

PMID:33789299 | DOI:10.1159/000514298