Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Simulation of the Movement of a Locust Swarm in Argentina in 2020

Neotrop Entomol. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s13744-021-00883-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This work presents a simulation for the trajectory of a locust swarm of the species Schistocerca cancellata (Audinet-Serville), between May 22nd and July 29th, 2020, in Argentina. To obtain the directions, temperature, and intensities of the wind, used to determine the daily traveled distance of the insects, the data of weather forecast from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are used. A statistical analysis shows the effectiveness of the forecast model used in comparison with the real data given by SENASA, which provides latitude and longitude coordinates for the cited period. The results found for the movement of the cloud were satisfactory, they matched with the real data, identifying that temperature and wind speed have a great influence on the movement of locust swarms. The methodology used allows monitoring in real-time their movement, predicting the trajectory and making it possible to plan actions by government control agencies with pesticides in convenient areas.

PMID:34037969 | DOI:10.1007/s13744-021-00883-1

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Alliance-Outcome Association in Couple Therapy: A Common Fate Model

Fam Process. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1111/famp.12666. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The working alliance has been shown to be a robust predictor of couple therapy outcomes. However, there are still questions regarding the best way to conceptualize and analyze the association between the alliance and outcomes in the couple therapy context. This study presents results from a relatively novel analytic approach for evaluating the alliance and therapy outcomes via the shared influence model (i.e., common fate statistical methodology) with 93 couples who had at least three sessions. Examining the alliance in couple therapy this way allows for nuance in conceptualizing the process of the alliance among partners and the therapist in couple therapy. Empirically, the question that remains is whether the shared experience of the alliance between partners is a stronger predictor of therapy outcome as compared to the unique individual experiences of the alliance. This approach has not yet been utilized to model the couple alliance-outcome association. Results revealed that the shared influence model demonstrated a significant association between the alliance and therapy outcome. Specifically, the couple-level alliance construct was adequately represented from the partners’ alliance ratings with the therapist, and couples that report higher shared alliance experiences were also likely to have better therapy outcomes. These findings suggest that conceptualizing and analyzing the alliance at the couple level may be strongly advantageous. Implications for research and practice are provided.

PMID:34037992 | DOI:10.1111/famp.12666

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Monopolar Radiofrequency for reposing fat planes and facial rejuvenation: A prospective study on 30 subjects towards true antiaging

J Cosmet Dermatol. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1111/jocd.14255. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Monopolar radiofrequency(MRF) for facial rejuvenation works by diffusely heating the dermis and subdermal fibro-septal network. Immediate collagen contraction and long-term neo-collagenesis produce anti-aging effects.

AIM: To lift and repose drooping fat planes along their vectors of descent to restore natural, youthful contours using MRF and to objectively measure, quantify and analyse the anti-aging effects of MRF on the backdrop of functional facial anatomy.

METHODS: This was a prospective study on 30 subjects aged 25-65 years who underwent three sessions of MRF (Exilis,BTL Aesthetics) with a modified protocol at weekly intervals. Clinical evaluation at baseline and 4 weeks after the final session was done according to the Global drooping and wrinkle classification & scoring system(GDWCSS) and statistically evaluated. Two patients each were analyzed with Ultrasound and Vectra-H1 imaging for change in subcutaneous fat depth and volume over different facial areas, respectively.

RESULTS: There was improvement in all parameters (volume alteration and wrinkles) of the GDWCSS, of which improvement in cases that had baseline severe(grade-4) temporal fat loss, malar fat loss, periorbital hollowing and puffiness was statistically significant. The results of imaging supported the clinical findings.

CONCLUSION: MRF targets facial collagen as deep as the facial fat, thereby achieving ‘reversal’ of the grooves and bulges of aging with subtle volume re-distribution and favorable ‘remoulding’ of fat pads. The result is simultaneous skin tightening, lifting and contouring in manner that is natural, regenerative and corrective. Given its versatility, efficacy, safety and tolerability, it is emerging as a power-player in the dermatologist’s anti-aging armamentarium.

PMID:34038038 | DOI:10.1111/jocd.14255

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association Between Conflicts of Interest and Authors’ Positions on Harms of Varenicline: a Cross-Sectional Analysis

J Gen Intern Med. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s11606-021-06915-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the relationship between industry funding/conflicts of interest and authors’ positions in opinion pieces on drug safety. Harmful effects of varenicline, a treatment for smoking cessation, have been highly contested.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between pharmaceutical industry funding/authors’ financial conflicts of interest and position on varenicline in opinion articles, especially in relation to the minimization of harms; to assess whether opinion pieces on drug safety issues written by authors with conflicts of interest are more frequently cited in the news or social media.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis.

PARTICIPANTS: English language opinion pieces and narrative reviews about varenicline published between May 2006 and February 2019.

MAIN MEASURES: Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals; the Mann-Whitney two-sample statistic was used to test for differences in Altmetric scores, a measure of media attention.

KEY RESULTS: Of the 221 included articles, 30.3% (67) disclosed the funding source and 62.9% (139) disclosed authors’ conflicts of interest. Authors of opinion pieces on varenicline who reported financial ties to the pharmaceutical industry (as a conflict of interest or funding source) were more likely to minimise the cardiovascular and psychiatric risk of varenicline compared to those without conflicts of interest or industry funding (OR: 4.00; 95% CI: 1.32 to 12.16 for cardiovascular risk; OR: 8.51; 95% CI: 3.79 to 19.11 for psychiatric risk). These associations persisted in sensitivity analyses. No statistically significant difference in Altmetric score was found between articles with (mean 15.83, median 3) and without (mean 11.90, median 1) conflicts of interest, indicating similar media attention (p-value=0.11).

CONCLUSIONS: We found that authors with financial ties to drug companies were more likely to publish opinion pieces that minimised harms of varenicline. These results raise questions about journals’ editorial policies to accept reviews of treatments from authors with financial relationships with manufacturers.

PMID:34037923 | DOI:10.1007/s11606-021-06915-1

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Housing conditions and adverse birth outcomes among Indigenous people in Canada

Can J Public Health. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.17269/s41997-021-00527-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Poor housing conditions and household crowding have been identified as important health concerns for Indigenous populations in many countries but have not been explored in relation to adverse birth outcomes in these populations. We investigated housing conditions and adverse birth outcomes in a nationally representative sample of Indigenous people in Canada.

METHODS: Data were from a cohort of births between May 2004 and May 2006 created by linking birth and infant death registration data with the 2006 Canadian census. Log-binomial regression was used to examine associations between housing variables (persons per room and needed household repairs) and three adverse birth outcomes: preterm birth (PTB), small-for-gestational-age (SGA) birth, and infant mortality. Separate regression models were run for First Nations, Métis and Inuit mothers, with adjustment for parity and parental socio-economic variables.

RESULTS: Need for major household repairs was associated with a slightly increased risk of PTB among First Nations and Métis mothers (adjusted RRs 1.12 and 1.13, respectively; 95% CI 0.94-1.34 and 0.89-1.44, respectively) and a moderately increased risk of infant death in all three groups (aRR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.00-2.85). Household crowding was also associated with a slightly elevated risk of PTB in all three groups (aRR = 1.10, 95% CI 0.95-1.29) and with an increased risk of infant mortality among First Nations (aRR = 1.57, 95% CI 0.97-2.53).

CONCLUSION: This study highlights the need to improve understanding of links between housing conditions and perinatal health outcomes in Indigenous populations, including examining cause-specific infant mortality in relation to housing characteristics.

PMID:34037966 | DOI:10.17269/s41997-021-00527-2

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Mechanical Models of Pattern and Form in Biological Tissues: The Role of Stress-Strain Constitutive Equations

Bull Math Biol. 2021 May 26;83(7):80. doi: 10.1007/s11538-021-00912-5.

ABSTRACT

Mechanical and mechanochemical models of pattern formation in biological tissues have been used to study a variety of biomedical systems, particularly in developmental biology, and describe the physical interactions between cells and their local surroundings. These models in their original form consist of a balance equation for the cell density, a balance equation for the density of the extracellular matrix (ECM), and a force-balance equation describing the mechanical equilibrium of the cell-ECM system. Under the assumption that the cell-ECM system can be regarded as an isotropic linear viscoelastic material, the force-balance equation is often defined using the Kelvin-Voigt model of linear viscoelasticity to represent the stress-strain relation of the ECM. However, due to the multifaceted bio-physical nature of the ECM constituents, there are rheological aspects that cannot be effectively captured by this model and, therefore, depending on the pattern formation process and the type of biological tissue considered, other constitutive models of linear viscoelasticity may be better suited. In this paper, we systematically assess the pattern formation potential of different stress-strain constitutive equations for the ECM within a mechanical model of pattern formation in biological tissues. The results obtained through linear stability analysis and the dispersion relations derived therefrom support the idea that fluid-like constitutive models, such as the Maxwell model and the Jeffrey model, have a pattern formation potential much higher than solid-like models, such as the Kelvin-Voigt model and the standard linear solid model. This is confirmed by the results of numerical simulations, which demonstrate that, all else being equal, spatial patterns emerge in the case where the Maxwell model is used to represent the stress-strain relation of the ECM, while no patterns are observed when the Kelvin-Voigt model is employed. Our findings suggest that further empirical work is required to acquire detailed quantitative information on the mechanical properties of components of the ECM in different biological tissues in order to furnish mechanical and mechanochemical models of pattern formation with stress-strain constitutive equations for the ECM that provide a more faithful representation of the underlying tissue rheology.

PMID:34037880 | DOI:10.1007/s11538-021-00912-5

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

4-step, 2-h carboplatin desensitization in Japanese patients with ovarian cancer: a prospective study

Int J Clin Oncol. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s10147-021-01935-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Carboplatin is a key drug for ovarian cancer. However, it sometimes induces hypersensitivity reactions (HSRs) that result in the discontinuation of the treatment. Although various desensitization protocols have been reported in previous retrospective studies, a limited number of prospective studies have analyzed these protocols.

METHODS: Patients with platinum-sensitive relapsed ovarian cancer who experienced carboplatin-induced HSRs were treated with diluted solutions of 1/1000, 1/100, 1/10 and an undiluted solution of carboplatin over a 1-h period. If no HSRs occurred within the first two cycles, a short protocol regimen over a 30-min period per solution was followed. The primary endpoint was treatment completion rate.

RESULTS: Between May 2015 and September 2018, 21 patients were enrolled from two institutions. One patient experienced platinum-sensitive recurrence after the desensitization protocol; thus, 22 sessions were analyzed. Epinephrine use, treatment-related death, and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions did not occur. The median number of desensitization cycles was 6 (range 1-6). Two sessions were discontinued early because of grade 2 dysgeusia and grade 2 malaise. Treatment in two (9.1%) patients was discontinued because of HSR development. The treatment completion rate was 90.9%. Six (27.3%) sessions met the criteria for transition to the short protocol regimen. In 14 (63.6%) sessions, HSRs were observed during infusion of the undiluted solution. The median progression-free survival and overall survival were 14.8 and 23.8 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION: This 4-step, 2-h carboplatin desensitization protocol is safe and feasible. Patients require careful monitoring with a rapid response to HSRs, especially during the administration of undiluted solutions.

PMID:34037884 | DOI:10.1007/s10147-021-01935-7

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of external counterpulsation on intrinsic myocardial function evaluated by speckle tracking echocardiography in refractory angina patients: a randomized controlled trial

Int J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s10554-021-02289-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

External Counterpulsation (ECP) is one of the therapeutic options in patients with refractory angina inadequately controlled by medical, interventional, or surgical therapy. The 2D Speckle Tracking Echocardiography (2D-STE) method is considered superior in assessing clinical improvement. We would like to evaluate any improvement of myocardial intrinsic function using 2D-STE in patients underwent standard ECP protocol (35 sessions). We conducted a double-blind randomized controlled trial. Patients with refractory angina who could not be revascularized conventionally were randomized into two groups: (1) the ECP group (300 mmHg) and (2) the Sham/control group (75 mmHg). ECP standard therapy was given for 35 sessions (1 h/day/session). The 2D-STE data, including longitudinal strain and post systolic index (PSI) were obtained before and after therapy. 43 subjects were analyzed, with 22 subjects in ECP group and 21 control subjects (Sham group). A homogenous baseline strain was found either globally (12.42 ± 4.55 vs 12.00 ± 4.92 [- %]; P = 0.774) or segmentally/regionally (12.63 (0.01-25.16) vs 12.43 (0.01-27.20) [- %]; P = 0.570). There was no statistically significant improvement between groups in the left ventricle longitudinal strain globally (P = 0.535) and segmentally/regionally (P = 0.434). PSI parameters showed improvement in the ECP group (P = 0.049), and segments with PSI ≥ 20% seemed to improve longitudinal strains in the ECP group after therapy (P = 0.042). In conclusion, 35 ECP therapy sessions did not improve either global or segmental/regional left ventricular mechanical function in patients with refractory angina. However, the mechanical function of myocardial segments with PSS tends to improve after ECP therapy.

PMID:34037889 | DOI:10.1007/s10554-021-02289-x

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Presence of back pain prior total knee arthroplasty and its effects on short-term patient-reported outcome measures

Eur J Orthop Surg Traumatol. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s00590-021-03010-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Back pain may both decrease patient satisfaction after TKA and confound outcome assessment in satisfied patients. Our primary objective was to determine whether preoperative back pain is associated with differences in postoperative patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs).

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 234 primary TKA patients who completed PROMs preoperatively and 12 weeks postoperatively, which included a back pain questionnaire, the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score for Joint Replacement (KOOS JR) and the Forgotten Joint Score-12 (FJS-12). Cohorts were defined based on the severity of preoperative back pain (none, mild, moderate and severe) and compared. Demographics were compared using ANOVA and Chi-square analysis. Univariate ANCOVA analysis was utilized to compare PROMs while accounting for significant demographic differences.

RESULTS: Both preoperative KOOS JR scores (none: 47.90, mild: 47.61, moderate: 44.61 and severe: 38.70; p = 0.013) and 12-week postoperative KOOS JR scores (none: 61.24, mild: 64.94, moderate: 57.48 and severe: 57.01; p = 0.012) had a statistically significant inverse relationship with regard to the intensity of preoperative back pain. Although FJS-12 scores at the 12-week postoperative period trended lower with increasing levels of preoperative back pain (p = 0.362), it did not reach statistical significance. Patients who reported severe back pain preoperatively achieved the largest delta improvement from baseline compared to those with lesser pain intensity (p = 0.003). Patients who had a 2-grade improvement in their back pain achieved significantly higher KOOS JR scores 12 weeks postoperatively compared to patients with either 1-grade or no improvement (63.53 vs. 55.98; p = 0.042). Both preoperative (47.99 vs. 41.11; p = 0.003) and 12-week postoperative (64.06 vs. 55.73; p < 0.001) KOOS JR scores were statistically higher for those who reported mild or no back pain pre-and postoperatively than those who reported moderate or severe back pain pre-and postoperatively.

CONCLUSION: Knee pain and back pain both exert negative effects on outcome instruments designed to measure pain and function. Although mean improvement from pre- to postoperative KOOS JR scores for patients with severe pre-existing back pain was higher than their counterparts, this statistical difference is likely not clinically significant. This implies that all patients may experience similar benefits from TKA despite the presence or absence of back pain. Attempts to measure TKA outcomes using PROMs should seek to control for lumbago and other sources of body pain. Level of Evidence IIIRetrospective Cohort Study.

PMID:34037858 | DOI:10.1007/s00590-021-03010-3

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The value of various peritumoral radiomic features in differentiating the invasiveness of adenocarcinoma manifesting as ground-glass nodules

Eur Radiol. 2021 May 26. doi: 10.1007/s00330-021-07948-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the ability of CT radiomic features extracted from peritumoral parenchyma of 2 mm and 5 mm distinguishing invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) from adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS)/minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA).

METHODS: For this retrospective study, 121 lung adenocarcinomas appearing as ground-glass nodules on thin-section CT were evaluated. Quantitative radiomic features were extracted from the peritumoral parenchymal region of 2 mm and 5 mm on CT imaging, and the radiomic models of External2 and External5 were constructed. The ROC curves were used to evaluate the performance of different models. Differences between the AUCs were evaluated using DeLong’s method.

RESULTS: The radiomic scores of IAC were statistically higher than those of MIA/AIS in both the External2 and External5 models. The AUCs of the External2 and External5 models were 0.882, 0.778 in the training cohort and 0.888, 0.804 in the validation cohort, respectively. The AUC of the External2 model was not statistically different from the External5 model both in the training cohort (p = 0.116) and validation cohort (p = 0.423).

CONCLUSIONS: The radiomic features extracted from the peritumoral region of 2 mm and 5 mm at thin-section CT showed good predictive values to differentiate the IAC from AIS/MIA. The radiomic features from the peritumoral region of 5 mm provide no additional benefit in distinguishing IAC from MIA/AIS than that of the 2 mm region.

KEY POINTS: • The radiomic models from various peritumoral lung parenchyma were developed and validated to predict invasiveness of adenocarcinoma. • The peritumoral parenchyma of lung adenocarcinoma may contain useful information. • Radiomics from peritumoral lung parenchyma of 5 mm provides no added efficiency of the prediction for invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma.

PMID:34037830 | DOI:10.1007/s00330-021-07948-0