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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of first pass reperfusion on outcome in patients with posterior circulation ischemic stroke

J Neurointerv Surg. 2021 May 4:neurintsurg-2021-017507. doi: 10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017507. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: First pass reperfusion (FPR), that is, excellent reperfusion (expanded treatment in cerebral ischemia (eTICI) 2C-3) in one pass, after endovascular treatment (EVT) of an occluded artery in the anterior circulation, is associated with favorable clinical outcome, even when compared with multiple pass excellent reperfusion (MPR). In patients with posterior circulation ischemic stroke (PCS), the same association is expected, but currently unknown. We aimed to assess characteristics associated with FPR and the influence of FPR versus MPR on outcomes in patients with PCS.

METHODS: We used data from the MR CLEAN Registry, a prospective observational study. The effect of FPR on 24-hour National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, as percentage reduction, and on modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at 3 months, was tested with linear and ordinal logistic regression models.

RESULTS: Of 224 patients with PCS, 45 patients had FPR, 47 had MPR, and 90 had no excellent reperfusion (eTICI <2C). We did not find an association between any of the patient, imaging, or treatment characteristics and FPR. FPR was associated with better NIHSS (-45% (95% CI: -65% to -12%)) and better mRS scores (adjusted common odds ratio (acOR): 2.16 (95% CI: 1.23 to 3.79)) compared with no FPR. Outcomes after FPR were also more favorable compared with MPR, but the effect was smaller and not statistically significant (NIHSS: -14% (95% CI: -51% to 49%), mRS acOR: 1.50 (95% CI: 0.75 to 3.00)).

CONCLUSIONS: FPR in patients with PCS is associated with favorable clinical outcome in comparison with no FPR. In comparison with MPR, the effect of FPR was no longer statistically significant. Nevertheless, our data support the notion that FPR should be the treatment target to pursue in every patient treated with EVT.

PMID:33947768 | DOI:10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017507

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Predicting falls in community-dwelling older adults: a systematic review of prognostic models

BMJ Open. 2021 May 4;11(5):e044170. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044170.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and critically appraise prognostic models for falls in community-dwelling older adults.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Prospective cohort studies with any follow-up period. Studies had to develop or validate multifactorial prognostic models for falls in community-dwelling older adults (60+ years). Models had to be applicable for screening in a general population setting.

INFORMATION SOURCE: MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, The Cochrane Library, PsycINFO and Web of Science for studies published in English, Danish, Norwegian or Swedish until January 2020. Sources also included trial registries, clinical guidelines, reference lists of included papers, along with contacting clinical experts to locate published studies.

DATA EXTRACTION AND RISK OF BIAS: Two authors performed all review stages independently. Data extraction followed the Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies checklist. Risk of bias assessments on participants, predictors, outcomes and analysis methods followed Prediction study Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool.

RESULTS: After screening 11 789 studies, 30 were eligible for inclusion (n=86 369 participants). Median age of participants ranged from 67.5 to 83.0 years. Falls incidences varied from 5.9% to 59%. Included studies reported 69 developed and three validated prediction models. Most frequent falls predictors were prior falls, age, sex, measures of gait, balance and strength, along with vision and disability. The area under the curve was available for 40 (55.6%) models, ranging from 0.49 to 0.87. Validated models’ The area under the curve ranged from 0.62 to 0.69. All models had a high risk of bias, mostly due to limitations in statistical methods, outcome assessments and restrictive eligibility criteria.

CONCLUSIONS: An abundance of prognostic models on falls risk have been developed, but with a wide range in discriminatory performance. All models exhibited a high risk of bias rendering them unreliable for prediction in clinical practice. Future prognostic prediction models should comply with recent recommendations such as Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42019124021.

PMID:33947733 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044170

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Informal caregiving for adults, loneliness and social isolation: a study protocol for a systematic review

BMJ Open. 2021 May 4;11(5):e044902. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044902.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Some empirical studies have identified an association between informal caregiving for adults and loneliness or social isolation. However, there is a lack of a review systematically synthesising empirical studies that have examined these associations. Hence, the aim of this systematic review is to provide an overview of evidence from observational studies.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Three electronic databases (Medline, PsycINFO, CINAHL) will be searched (presumably in May 2021), and reference lists of included studies will be searched manually. Cross-sectional and longitudinal observational studies examining the association between informal caregiving for adults and loneliness or social isolation will be included. Studies focusing on grandchildren care or private care for chronically ill children will be excluded. Data extraction will include information related to study design, definition and measurement of informal caregiving, loneliness and social isolation, sample characteristics, statistical analysis and main results. The quality of the studies will be evaluated using the National Institutes of Health Quality Assessment Tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies. Two reviewers will perform the selection of studies, data extraction and assessment of study quality. Figures and tables will be used to summarise and report results. A narrative summary of the findings will be provided. If data permit, a meta-analysis will be conducted.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: No primary data will be collected. Therefore, approval by an ethics committee is not required. We plan to publish our findings in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42020193099.

PMID:33947734 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044902

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Baseline CD4 count and the time interval between the initial HIV infection and diagnosis among PLHIV in Bhutan

Immun Inflamm Dis. 2021 May 4. doi: 10.1002/iid3.444. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: CD4 count is an important predictor of disease progression, opportunities infection, deaths, and to understand the time interval between initial HIV infection to the first diagnosis. However, baseline CD4 count and the time period between initial infection and the diagnosis amongst PLHIV in Bhutan never been evaluated.

METHODS: This is a retrospective study of the diagnosed PLHIV from the existing data system from January 10 to 30, 2021. Out of 512 reported HIV cases, 488 of those who were more than or equal to 18 years old and had their CD4 count testing within 6 months before initiating ART were considered for analysis. Descriptive statistical analysis was used to analyze the characteristics of the study population and relationship were established using the χ2 Test. We have sought ethics approval and waiver for informed consent as it is the retrospective study of the client’s record. The client’s confidentiality was ensured by removing all the identifiers.

RESULTS: The mean CD4 was 345 cells/ml for males and females. Twenty-five percent of the clients had CD4 counts below 200, 30%, between 200 and 349, 25% between 350 and 499, and 20% above 500 cells/ml. A larger number of males showed a CD4 count below 200 cells/ml while more females showed a CD4 count more than 500 cells/ml. The mean time interval between initial infection to the first diagnosis was 4 years in males and females. However, about one-fourth were found to have been infected between 5 and 8 years before diagnosis and less than 10% were diagnosed within less than 1 year of infection.

CONCLUSIONS: The study revealed a late diagnosis of HIV infection in Bhutan thereby risking the transmission to the community and risk of severe disease and mortality. The upscaling of voluntary counseling and testing, medical screening, and alternative methods like community-based testing including HIV Self Testing for early detection needs to be implemented in the country.

PMID:33945664 | DOI:10.1002/iid3.444

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Ageing and glaucoma progression of the retinal nerve fibre layer using spectral-domain optical coherence tomography analysis

Acta Ophthalmol. 2021 May;99(3):260-268. doi: 10.1111/aos.14553. Epub 2020 Aug 9.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare the effects of ageing and glaucoma progression on the thickness of the circumpapillary retinal nerve fibre layer (cpRNFL) and to evaluate the performance of a set of optical coherence tomography (OCT) progression analyses.

METHODS: The cpRNFL was measured twice by OCT at each of two visits made 10 years apart in 69 healthy individuals and 49 glaucoma patients. Both visits also included Humphrey 24-2 SITA standard testing. The change in cpRNFL thickness was analysed by linear regression, and a sub-analysis was performed on glaucoma patients with a perimetric mean deviation better than -10 dB at the first visit. The proportion of individuals whose OCT progression analyses indicated progression was also evaluated for the same groups.

RESULTS: The average cpRNFL thickness deteriorated by a mean of -0.16 μm/year in the healthy cohort, increased by 0.03 μm/year in the glaucoma cohort, and deteriorated by -0.24 μm/year in eyes with less severe glaucoma; there were no statistically significant differences between the groups. For 17 (30%) of 56 healthy individuals, at least one of the three different OCT progression analyses incorrectly indicated progression.

CONCLUSIONS: No significant differences in change of cpRNFL thickness between visits were found when comparing healthy subjects with glaucoma patients. Also, further cpRNFL thinning was not observed in glaucomatous eyes in which at least one-third of the visual field had been lost. The OCT progression analyses generated a relatively high proportion of false positives. Using OCT for glaucoma follow-up may not be entirely straightforward.

PMID:33945669 | DOI:10.1111/aos.14553

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Longitudinal proteomic profiling provides insights into host response and proteome dynamics in COVID-19 progression

Proteomics. 2021 May 4:e2000278. doi: 10.1002/pmic.202000278. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In managing patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), early identification of those at high risk and real-time monitoring of disease progression to severe COVID-19 is a major challenge. We aimed to identify potential early prognostic protein markers and to expand understanding of proteome dynamics during clinical progression of the disease. We performed in-depth proteome profiling on 137 sera, longitudinally collected from 25 patients with COVID-19 (non-severe patients, n = 13; patients who progressed to severe COVID-19, n = 12). We identified 11 potential biomarkers, including the novel markers IGLV3-19 and BNC2, as early potential prognostic indicators of severe COVID-19. These potential biomarkers are mainly involved in biological processes associated with humoral immune response, interferon signalling, acute phase response, lipid metabolism, and platelet degranulation. We further revealed that the longitudinal changes of 40 proteins persistently increased or decreased as the disease progressed to severe COVID-19. These 40 potential biomarkers could effectively reflect the clinical progression of the disease. Our findings provide some new insights into host response to SARS-CoV-2 infection, which are valuable for understanding of COVID-19 disease progression. This study also identified potential biomarkers that could be further validated, which may support better predicting and monitoring progression to severe COVID-19. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:33945677 | DOI:10.1002/pmic.202000278

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Refractive prediction of four different intraocular lens calculation formulas compared between new swept source optical coherence tomography and partial coherence interferometry

PLoS One. 2021 May 4;16(5):e0251152. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251152. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare the biometry and prediction of postoperative refractive outcomes of four different formulae (Haigis, SRK/T, Holladay1, Barrett Universal II) obtained by swept-source optical coherence tomography (SS-OCT) biometers and partial coherence interferometry (PCI; IOLMaster ver 5.4).

METHODS: We compared the biometric values of SS-OCT (ANTERION, Heidelberg Engineering Inc., Heidelberg, Germany) and PCI (IOLMaster, Carl Zeiss Meditec, Jena, Germany). Predictive errors calculated using four different formulae (Haigis, SRKT, Holladay1, Barrett Universal II) were compared at 1 month after cataract surgery.

RESULTS: The mean preoperative axial length (AL) showed no statistically significant difference between SS-OCT and PCI (SS-OCT: 23.78 ± 0.12 mm and PCI: 23.77 ± 0.12 mm). The mean anterior chamber depth (ACD) was 3.30 ± 0.04 mm for SS-OCT and 3.23 ± 0.04 mm for PCI, which was significantly different between the two techniques. The mean corneal curvature also differed significantly between the two techniques. The difference in mean arithmetic prediction error was significant in the Haigis, SRKT, and Holladay1 formulae. The difference in mean absolute prediction error was significant in all four formulae.

CONCLUSIONS: SS-OCT and PCI demonstrated good agreement on biometric measurements; however, there were significant differences in some biometric values. These differences in some ocular biometrics can cause a difference in refractive error after cataract surgery. New type SS-OCT was not superior to the IOL power prediction calculated by PCI.

PMID:33945581 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251152

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Social networks in an assisted living community: Correlates of acquaintance and companionship ties among residents

J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2021 May 4:gbab079. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbab079. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Social relationships are important for older adults’ well-being, including those who live in assisted living (AL) communities. This study explores co-resident networks within an AL community and identifies factors associated with residents’ social ties.

METHODS: Acquaintance and companionship networks within the community are described using cross-sectional survey data (N=38). We use inferential network statistical methods to estimate parameters for factors associated with residents’ acquaintance and companionship ties.

RESULTS: Residents reported an average of 10 acquaintances and almost four companionships with other residents in the sample. The likelihood a resident had an acquaintance was associated with higher levels of cognitive functioning (p<.05), higher levels of physical limitations (p<.01), living in the AL community for a longer time (p<.01), and less frequent contact with outside family and friends (p<.05). Acquaintances were more likely between residents who moved in around the same time as each other (p<.01), lived on the same floor (p<.001), or had similar levels of physical limitations (p<.05). Companionships were more likely to be reported by male residents (p<.05) and residents with higher levels of cognitive functioning (p<.05) or depressive symptoms (p<.05). Longtime residents were more popular as companions (p<.01). Companionships were more likely between residents who lived on the same floor (p<.001) or were similar in age (p<.01).

DISCUSSION: This research contributes to the literature of older adults’ non-kin social relationships by providing detailed descriptions of the acquaintance and companionship networks within an AL community, quantifying correlates of residents’ social ties, and distinguishing between acquaintances and companions.

PMID:33945609 | DOI:10.1093/geronb/gbab079

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems

Ecol Lett. 2021 May 4. doi: 10.1111/ele.13760. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Ecological stability refers to a family of concepts used to describe how systems of interacting species vary through time and respond to disturbances. Because observed ecological stability depends on sampling scales and environmental context, it is notoriously difficult to compare measurements across sites and systems. Here, we apply stochastic dynamical systems theory to derive general statistical scaling relationships across time, space, and ecological level of organisation for three fundamental stability aspects: resilience, resistance, and invariance. These relationships can be calibrated using random or representative samples measured at individual scales, and projected to predict average stability at other scales across a wide range of contexts. Moreover deviations between observed vs. extrapolated scaling relationships can reveal information about unobserved heterogeneity across time, space, or species. We anticipate that these methods will be useful for cross-study synthesis of stability data, extrapolating measurements to unobserved scales, and identifying underlying causes and consequences of heterogeneity.

PMID:33945663 | DOI:10.1111/ele.13760

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Regimen simplification and medication adherence: Fixed-dose versus loose-dose combination therapy for type 2 diabetes

PLoS One. 2021 May 4;16(5):e0250993. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250993. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal patient adherence to pharmacological therapy of type 2 diabetes may be due in part to pill burden. One way to reduce pill burden in patients who need multiple medications is to use fixed-dose combinations. Our study aimed to compare the effects of fixed-dose combination versus loose-dose combination therapy on medication adherence and persistence, health care utilization, therapeutic safety, morbidities, and treatment modification in patients with type 2 diabetes over three years.

METHODS: Using administrative data, we conducted a retrospective controlled cohort study comparing type 2 diabetes patients who switched from monotherapy to either a fixed-dose combination or a loose-dose combination. Adherence was assessed as the primary endpoint and calculated as the proportion of days covered with medication. After using entropy balancing to eliminate differences in observable baseline characteristics between the two groups, we applied difference-in-difference estimators for each outcome to account for time-invariant unobservable heterogeneity.

RESULTS: Of the 990 type 2 diabetes patients included in our analysis, 756 were taking a fixed-dose combination and 234 were taking a loose-dose combination. We observed a statistically significantly higher change in adherence (year one: 0.22, p<0.001, year two: 0.25, p<0.001, and year three: 0.29, p<0.001) as well as higher persistence and a smaller change in the number of drug prescriptions in each of the three years in the fixed-dose combination group compared to the loose-dose combination group. The differences were most pronounced in patients who were poorly adherent, had a high pill burden, or did not have a severe concomitant disease.

CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that taking a fixed-dose combination can lead to a significant improvement in adherence to pharmacological therapy of type 2 diabetes compared to a loose-dose combination. In particular, these findings suggest that reducing pill burden may improve disease management among patients with more complex medication demand and patients who have demonstrated poor medication adherence.

PMID:33945556 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250993