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Population level physical activity before and during the first national COVID-19 lockdown: A nationally representative repeat cross-sectional study of 5 years of Active Lives data in England

Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2022 Jan;12:100265. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100265. Epub 2021 Nov 30.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To limit the spread of COVID-19 in March 2020, the population of England was instructed to stay home, leaving only for essential shopping, health-care, work, or exercise. The impact on population activity behaviours is not clear. We describe changes in duration and types of activity undertaken by adults ≥16 years in England between March and May 2016-19 and 2020, by socio-demographic strata.

METHODS: Using nationally representative data collected between November 2015 and May 2020 by the Sport England Active Lives Surveys (n=726,257) we assessed trends in amount and type of non-occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Using data from n=74,430 mid-April to mid-May respondents, we then estimated the odds ratios of reporting any activity in the four-week recall period in 2020 compared to 2016-19. Gamma regressions estimated the mean ratios (MR) of duration amongst those reporting any activity in 2020 compared to 2016-19.

FINDINGS: Population activity declined substantially after the restrictions were introduced. Compared to 2016-19 levels, the odds of reporting any activity in 2020 were 30% lower (95% confidence interval (CI) 26-34%). The largest declines were amongst non-white ethnicities, the youngest and oldest age groups, and the unemployed; no socio-demographic subgroup had higher odds. Amongst those undertaking activity, weekly duration was similar in the two periods (MR 0.99, 95%CI (0.96-1.01%)). The odds of participating in walking for leisure and gardening were 11% (6-16%) and 15% (9-21%) higher, respectively, whereas the odds for team and racket sport and walking for travel participation were 76% (73-79%) and 66% (64-68%) lower, respectively.

INTERPRETATION: Restrictions introduced in Spring 2020 likely reduced physical activity levels in England. The magnitude of the declines were not uniform by demographic groups or by activity type, which future policies should consider.

FUNDING: TS, KW, SJS, and SB are supported by UK Medical Research Council [grant numbers MC_UU_00006/4 and MC_UU_12015/3] and SB is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre in Cambridge (IS-BRC-1215-20014).

PMID:34870255 | PMC:PMC8629728 | DOI:10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100265

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Paravertebral anesthetic nerve block for pain control after peroral endoscopic myotomy

Tech Innov Gastrointest Endosc. 2021;23(4):297-303. doi: 10.1016/j.tige.2021.06.006. Epub 2021 Jun 24.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Excess post-operative opioid medication use can delay recovery and is associated with long-term misuse, addiction, and overdose. We aimed to explore the effect of pre-procedural thoracic paravertebral nerve block (PNB) on pain-related outcomes after POEM.

METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, consecutive patients who did and did not receive a PNB prior to POEM were compared. The outcomes were peak and cumulative pain scores, total opioid use during hospitalization, and length of stay. After adjusting for confounders, the associations between nerve block and the outcomes of interest were explored.

RESULTS: Forty-nine consecutive patients were enrolled; 25 patients received a block whereas the subsequent 24 did not. There were no differences in baseline characteristics between the study groups. In unadjusted analyses, there was no significant difference between patients who did and did not undergo PNB in peak pain score (7.8 vs. 8.7, p=0.14), cumulative pain score in the first 12 hours (area under curve 66.5 vs. 75.8, p=0.22), median total opioid use (38.9 mg morphine equivalent dosing vs. 42, p=1.00), and median length of hospitalization (26.5 hours vs. 24, p=0.35). In multivariable regression models, PNB was not associated with a reduction in pain scores, opioid use, or hospitalization. There were no adverse events related to the block.

CONCLUSIONS: In this exploratory, observational study, paravertebral nerve block immediately before POEM did not result in a statistically significant reduction in pain-related outcomes or hospitalization. Additional observational studies may elucidate whether higher anesthetic doses or longer acting formulations would be of value.

PMID:34870251 | PMC:PMC8635293 | DOI:10.1016/j.tige.2021.06.006

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I’m alone but not lonely. U-shaped pattern of self-perceived loneliness during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK and Greece

Public Health Pract (Oxf). 2021 Nov;2:100219. doi: 10.1016/j.puhip.2021.100219. Epub 2021 Nov 27.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: In the past months, many countries have adopted varying degrees of lockdown restrictions to control the spread of the COVID-19 virus. According to the existing literature, some consequences of lockdown restrictions on people’s lives are beginning to emerge yet the evolution of such consequences in relation to the time spent in lockdown is understudied. To inform policies involving lockdown restrictions, this study adopted a data-driven Machine Learning approach to uncover the short-term time-related effects of lockdown on people’s physical and mental health.

STUDY DESIGN: An online questionnaire was launched on 17 April 2020, distributed through convenience sampling and was self-completed by 2,276 people from 66 different countries.

METHODS: Focusing on the UK sample (N = 325), 12 aggregated variables representing the participant’s living environment, physical and mental health were used to train a RandomForest model to estimate the week of survey completion.

RESULTS: Using an index of importance, Self-Perceived Loneliness was identified as the most influential variable for estimating the time spent in lockdown. A significant U-shaped curve emerged for loneliness levels, with lower scores reported by participants who took part in the study during the 6th lockdown week (p = 0.009). The same pattern was replicated in the Greek sample (N = 137) for week 4 (p = 0.012) and 6 (p = 0.009) of lockdown.

CONCLUSIONS: From the trained Machine Learning model and the subsequent statistical analysis, Self-Perceived Loneliness varied across time in lockdown in the UK and Greek populations, with lower symptoms reported during the 4th and 6th lockdown weeks. This supports the dissociation between social support and loneliness, and suggests that social support strategies could be effective even in times of social isolation.

PMID:34870253 | PMC:PMC8626633 | DOI:10.1016/j.puhip.2021.100219

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Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW) as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients; a Cross Sectional Study

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 13;9(1):e67. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1325. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has been introduced as a predictive factor for mortality in several critical illnesses and infectious diseases. This study aimed to assess the possible relationship between RDW on admission and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality.

METHOD: This cross-sectional study was performed using the Isfahan COVID-19 registry. Adult confirmed cases of COVID-19 admitted to four hospitals affiliated with Isfahan University of Medical Sciences in Iran were included. Age, sex, O2 saturation, RDW on admission, Intensive Care Unit admission, laboratory data, history of comorbidities, and hospital outcome were extracted from the registry. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to study the independent association of RDW with mortality.

RESULTS: 4152 patients with the mean age of 61.1 ± 16.97 years were included (56.2% male). 597 (14.4%) cases were admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) and 477 (11.5%) cases died. The mortality rate of patients with normal and elevated RDW was 7.8% and 21.2%, respectively (OR= 3.1, 95%CI: 2.6-3.8), which remained statistically significant after adjusting for age, O2 saturation, comorbidities, and ICU admission (2.03, 95% CI: 1.68-2.44). Moreover, elevated RDW mortality Hazard Ratio in patients who were not admitted to ICU was higher than ICU-admitted patients (3.10, 95% CI: 2.35-4.09 vs. 1.47, 95% CI: 1.15-1.88, respectively).

CONCLUSION: The results support the presence of an association between elevated RDW and mortality in patients with COVID-19, especially those who were not admitted to ICU. It seems that elevated RDW can be used as a predictor of mortality in COVID-19 cases.

PMID:34870233 | PMC:PMC8628640 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1325

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Screening Performance Characteristics of Ultrasonography in Confirmation of Endotracheal Intubation; a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 26;9(1):e68. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1360. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies have suggested that point-of-care ultrasonography can be used for confirming the placement of endotracheal tube. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonography for confirming endotracheal tube placement.

METHODS: In this meta-analysis, systematic search of the previous published papers investigating the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasonography for confirmation of endotracheal tube placement was performed. Seven electronic databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, EBSCO, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Database were searched up to July 2021, for all relevant articles published in English on this topic. Meta-DiSc version 1.4 software was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: The estimated pooled sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonography for confirmation of endotracheal tube location were 0.98 (95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.96), respectively. The pooled positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 5.94 (95% CI 4.41-7.98) and 0.03 (95% CI: 0.02-0.04), respectively. The diagnostic odds ratio of ultrasonography was 281.47 and the area under hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) revealed an appropriate accuracy of 0.98.

CONCLUSION: Ultrasonography has high diagnostic accuracy and can be used as a promising tool for confirmation of endotracheal tube placement, especially in critically ill patients or when capnography is not available, or its result is equivocal.

PMID:34870234 | PMC:PMC8628646 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1360

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Aluminum Phosphide Poisoning Mortality Rate in Iran; a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 3;9(1):e66. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1396. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: According to statistics provided by the forensic medicine facility of Iran, there are a high number of Aluminum phosphide (ALP) poisoning-related deaths in the country; while the mortality rate varies in different studies. This study aimed to determine a pooled estimate of ALP poisoning mortality rate in Iran.

METHODS: The present study was a systematic review and meta-analysis of the mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iran. Through the quarry of Persian and English databases, using “aluminum phosphide”, “phosphine”, “rice pills”, “poisoning”, and “Iran” as keywords, and no time restrictions, studies reporting mortality rate in ALP poisoning cases were collected. The random-effects model was used to pool the proportions of mortality and age of survivors versus non-survivors.

RESULTS: 21 studies with 3432 cases of ALP poisoning were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iran was 39.6%, (95% CI: 31.5%-47.9%; I2 = 95%). Since there was significant publication bias, the trim-and-fill correction was conducted and the corrected pooled mortality rate was estimated to be 27.3% (95% CI: 18.9%- 36.5%), which is the rate that should be considered for clinical guidance. Morality rate in male and female patients was 62.3% (95% CI: 53.5%-70.8%) and 37.7% (95% CI: 29.2%-46.5%), respectively (p < 0.01). Survivors had significantly lower mean age than non-survivors (SMD: -0.26 (95% CI: -0.37 to -0.15); p < 0.01; I2=0%).

CONCLUSION: According to this report, the Mortality rate of ALP poisoning in Iranian population is about 27%, with men having a higher fatality rate than women. Poisoning at a younger age is associated with better results.

PMID:34870232 | PMC:PMC8628645 | DOI:10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1396

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The Adjunctive Effect of Autologous Platelet Concentrates on Orthodontic Tooth Movement: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Current Randomized Controlled Trials

Int Orthod. 2021 Dec 2:S1761-7227(21)00139-X. doi: 10.1016/j.ortho.2021.10.004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of autologous platelet concentrates (APCs) as adjuncts on accelerating orthodontic tooth movement (OTM) of the human subjects undergoing orthodontic treatment and to critically appraise the available literature.

METHODS AND MATERIALS: Five electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) were searched from 2000 up to May 2021 to retrieve eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating patients who underwent orthodontic treatment that involved OTM of maxillary and mandibular incisors and canines. All the enrolled cases were treated with APCs and had no local or systemic interfering factors. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the modified JADAD scale. The effect sizes were assessed using mean difference (MD). The heterogeneity analysis was conducted using (I2) statistic at α=0.10.

RESULTS: Finally, seven RCTs were included in the qualitative, and two RCTs were included in the quantitative analysis. The meta-analysis was performed regarding the effect of injectable platelet-rich fibrin (I-PRF) on the rate of canine tooth movement in millimeters at different intervals of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd months. In the 1st month, I-PRF (WMD:0.12mm, CI95% -5.01 to 5.24, I2=90%) did not significantly affect OTM. In the 2nd month, I-PRF (WMD:0.66mm, CI95% 0.60 to 0.73, I2=10%) significantly increased the OTM. However, in the 3rd month, I-PRF did not significantly increase the OTM (WMD:0.54mm, CI95% -1.38 to 2.47, I2=67%).

CONCLUSIONS: According to the low certainty of evidence about this topic, providing a definite conclusion is not possible. However, applying I-PRF seems to be efficient in accelerating the OTM of the canines. Further high-quality studies with larger sample sizes will be indispensable to validate this conclusion.

PMID:34866025 | DOI:10.1016/j.ortho.2021.10.004

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International trends in cancer incidence in middle-aged and older adults in 44 countries

J Geriatr Oncol. 2021 Dec 2:S1879-4068(21)00257-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jgo.2021.11.011. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We examine international incidence trends of lung, colorectal, prostate, and breast cancers, as well as all cancers combined excluding non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) in adults aged 50 and older, over a fifteen-year period using data from 113 high quality population-based cancer registries included in the Cancer in Five Continents (CI5) series and NORDCAN.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We calculated annual incidence rates between 1998 and 2012 for ages 50-64, 65-74, and 75+, by sex and both sexes combined. We estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) in rates using quasi-Poisson regression models.

RESULTS: From 1998 to 2012, incidence trends for all cancers (excluding NMSC) have increased in most countries across all age groups, with the greatest increase observed in adults aged 75+ in Ecuador (AAPC = +3%). Colorectal cancer incidence rates increased in the majority of countries, across all age groups. Lung cancer rates among females have increased but decreased for males. Prostate cancer rates have sharply increased in men aged 50-64 with AAPC between 5% and 15% in 24 countries, while decreasing in the 75+ age group in 21 countries, by up to -7% in Bahrain. Female breast cancer rates have increased across all age groups in most countries, especially in the 65-74 age group and in Asia with AAPC increasing to 7% in the Republic of Korea.

CONCLUSIONS: These findings assist with anticipating changing patterns and needs internationally. Due to the specific needs of older patients, it is urgent that cancer systems adapt to address their growing number.

PMID:34866023 | DOI:10.1016/j.jgo.2021.11.011

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Performance of a Commonly Used Pressure Injury Risk Model Under Changing Incidence

Jt Comm J Qual Patient Saf. 2021 Nov 6:S1553-7250(21)00290-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jcjq.2021.10.008. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hospital-acquired pressure injuries (HAPIs) cause patient harm and increase health care costs. We sought to evaluate the performance of the Braden QD Scale-associated changes in HAPI incidence.

METHODS: Using electronic health records data from a quaternary children’s hospital, we evaluated the association between Braden QD scores and patient risk of HAPI. We analyzed how this relationship changed during a hospitalwide quality HAPI reduction initiative.

RESULTS: Of 23,532 unique patients, 108 (0.46%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.38%-0.55%) experienced a HAPI. Every 1-point increase in the Braden QD score was associated with a 41% increase in the patient’s odds of developing a HAPI (odds ratio [OR] = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.36-1.46, p < 0.001). HAPI incidence declined significantly following implementation of a HAPI-reduction initiative (β = -0.09, 95% CI = -0.11 – -0.07, p < 0.001), as did Braden QD positive predictive value (β = -0.29, 95% CI = -0.44 – -0.14, p < 0.001) and specificity (β = -0.28, 95% CI = -0.43 – -0.14, p < 0.001), while sensitivity (β = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.30-1.75, p = 0.01) and the concordance statistic (β = 0.18, 95% CI = 0.15-0.21, p < 0.001) increased significantly.

CONCLUSION: Decreases in HAPI incidence following a quality improvement initiative were associated with (1) significant deterioration in threshold-dependent performance measures such as specificity and precision and (2) significant improvements in threshold-independent performance measures such as the concordance statistic. The performance of the Braden QD Scale is more stable as a tool that continuously measures risk than as a prediction tool.

PMID:34866024 | DOI:10.1016/j.jcjq.2021.10.008

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Persistent acute cholecystitis after cholecystostomy – increased mortality due to treatment approach?

HPB (Oxford). 2021 Nov 14:S1365-182X(21)01701-9. doi: 10.1016/j.hpb.2021.11.006. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous cholecystostomy (PC) is a treatment option for acute cholecystitis (AC) in cases where cholecystectomy (CCY) is not feasible due to limited health conditions. The use of PC remains questionable. The aim was to retrospectively analyse the outcome of patients after PC.

METHODS: All patients who underwent PC for AC at a tertiary referral hospital over 10 years were included. Descriptive statistics, analysed mortality with and without CCY after PC, and a multivariable logistic regression for potential confounder and a landmark sensitivity analysis for immortal time bias were used.

RESULTS: Of 158 patients, 79 were treated with PC alone and 79 had PC with subsequent CCY. Without CCY, 48% (38 patients) died compared to 9% with CCY. In the multivariable analysis CCY was associated with 85% lower risk of mortality. The landmark analysis was compatible with the main analyses. Direct PC-complications occurred in 17% patients. Histologically, 22/75 (29%) specimens showed chronic cholecystitis, and 76% AC.

CONCLUSION: Due to the high mortality rate of PC alone, performing up-front CCY is proposed. PC represents no definitive treatment for AC and should remain a short-term solution because of the persistent inflammatory focus. According to these findings, almost all specimens showed persistent inflammation.

PMID:34865990 | DOI:10.1016/j.hpb.2021.11.006