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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Causes of delays in construction projects in the Province of Aceh, Indonesia

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0263337. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263337. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Implementations of construction projects in Indonesia, especially in Aceh Province, are often delayed. Time, quality, and cost are three important components of planning a construction project. The benchmark for a successful construction project is the project completion time being in accordance with the time period specified in the contract. In project implementation, there is often a risk of delays in completing construction projects that can cause losses and fines; therefore, it is necessary to know the risk factors potentially causing project delays. The purpose of this study was to identify the risk factors causing delays greatly affecting construction projects in Aceh Province. The data used in this study were questionnaire data distributed to 68 respondents. The data processing methods included validity tests, reliability tests, and the construction of descriptive statistics. Ultimately, 60 delay factors were obtained; of these, 30 risk indicators were included in the very influential category with a mode value of (= 5), 29 delay risk indicators were in the high influence category with a mode value of (= 4), and one indicator was included in the category of medium influence (= 3).

PMID:35089971 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0263337

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deep learning via LSTM models for COVID-19 infection forecasting in India

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0262708. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262708. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have major impact to health and medical infrastructure, economy, and agriculture. Prominent computational and mathematical models have been unreliable due to the complexity of the spread of infections. Moreover, lack of data collection and reporting makes modelling attempts difficult and unreliable. Hence, we need to re-look at the situation with reliable data sources and innovative forecasting models. Deep learning models such as recurrent neural networks are well suited for modelling spatiotemporal sequences. In this paper, we apply recurrent neural networks such as long short term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, and encoder-decoder LSTM models for multi-step (short-term) COVID-19 infection forecasting. We select Indian states with COVID-19 hotpots and capture the first (2020) and second (2021) wave of infections and provide two months ahead forecast. Our model predicts that the likelihood of another wave of infections in October and November 2021 is low; however, the authorities need to be vigilant given emerging variants of the virus. The accuracy of the predictions motivate the application of the method in other countries and regions. Nevertheless, the challenges in modelling remain due to the reliability of data and difficulties in capturing factors such as population density, logistics, and social aspects such as culture and lifestyle.

PMID:35089976 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262708

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of non-aversive versus tail-lift handling on breeding productivity in a C57BL/6J mouse colony

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0263192. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263192. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Non-aversive handling is a well-documented refinement measure for improving rodent welfare. Because maternal stress is related to reduced productivity, we hypothesized that welfare benefits associated with non-aversive handling would translate to higher production and fewer litters lost in a laboratory mouse breeding colony. We performed a randomized controlled trial to examine the effects of a standard method of handling (tail-lift with forceps) versus non-aversive handling with transfer tunnels (‘tunnel-handled’) on breeding performance in 59 C57BL/6J mouse pairs. Intervention assignments could not be concealed from technicians, but were concealed from assessors and data analyst. An operationally significant effect of tunnel-handling (large enough differences to warrant programmatic change) was defined before study initiation as a 5% increase in productivity, or one extra pup over the reproductive lifetime of each pair. Pairs were randomly allocated to handling intervention and cage rack location, and monitored over an entire 6-month breeding cycle. For each group, we measured number of pups born and weaned, and number of entire litters lost prior to weaning. Differences between transfer methods were estimated by two-level hierarchical mixed models adjusted for parental effects and parity. Compared to tail-lift mice, tunnel-handled mice averaged one extra pup per pair born (+1.0; 95% CI 0.9, 1.1; P = 0.41) and weaned (+1.1, 95% CI 0.9, 1.2; P = 0.33). More tunnel-handled pairs successfully weaned all litters produced (13/29 pairs, 45% vs 4/30 pairs, 13%; P = 0.015), averaged fewer litter losses prior to weaning (11/29 pairs [38%] vs 26/30 pairs [87%]; P <0.001), and had a 20% lower risk of recurrent litter loss. The increase in numbers of pups produced and weaned with tunnel handling met threshold requirement for operational significance. These data and projected cost savings persuaded management to incorporate tunnel handling as standard of care across the institution. These data also suggest that overlooked husbandry practices such as cage transfer may be major confounders in studies of mouse models.

PMID:35089969 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0263192

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence and factors associated with failed induction of labor in Worabe Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Southern Ethiopia

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0263371. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263371. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Induction of labor is one of the most used obstetric procedures in the world. It is performed in around 20% of all pregnancies. Failed induction of labor, on the other hand, has been associated with poorer mother and newborn health outcomes. Besides, there is a scarcity of data on the current burden and drivers. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the prevalence and factors associated with failed induction in Worabe Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Southern Ethiopia.

METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted on medical records of mothers who delivered through induction of labor during September 1st, 2018 to August 30th, 2020. The samples were collected using a systematic sampling technique. The data was extracted using a checklist. Data were entered into EpiData (version 3.1) and analyzed using SPSS (version 24). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to decide the association of explanatory variables with the outcome variable. Odds ratio with their 95% CI were calculated to identify the presence and strength of an association. A p-value of < 0.05 was used to declare statistical significance.

RESULTS: In this study, the prevalence of failed induction was observed to be 22.2%. The associated factors included rural residence (AOR = 5.7, 95% CI: 3.12-11.02), primiparity (AOR = 8.4, 95% CI: 2.72-22.36) and unfavourable bishop score (AOR = 5.9, 95% CI: 4.52-16.12).

CONCLUSIONS: In comparison to the rate reported in developed countries, the study area had a high rate of failed induction. Being rural residence, primiparity and unfavourable bishop score were the associated factors of failed induction. Therefore, to reduce of the rate of failed induction, health care practitioners should analyze cervical status (using Bishop Score) to decide the possibility of successful induction, with a focus on associated factors like parity.

PMID:35089970 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0263371

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Understanding the role of village fund and administrative capacity in stunting reduction: Empirical evidence from Indonesia

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0262743. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262743. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

The Indonesian government launched various programs to handle stunting cases, including village funds. This paper examined the effects of village fund programs and village apparatuses’ capacities to combat stunting based on aggregate data at the district level in Indonesia. Using descriptive data analysis and fixed effect panel regression, we observed that village fund programs could significantly reduce Indonesia’s stunting prevalence, especially outside Java. It also revealed that the increasing education of regional leaders does not necessarily positively impact leaders’ skills in handling stunting. At the same time, the number of village officials has a statistically significant influence on reducing stunting prevalence. It advised that the village budget fund can support national priorities in tackling the prevalence of stunting. Furthermore, it is essential to build the capacity of the village head for increasing awareness of health activities, especially early prevention of stunting, in addition to an adequate number of officials.

PMID:35089957 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262743

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Metformin exposure, maternal PCOS status and fetal venous liver circulation: A randomized, placebo-controlled study

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0262987. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262987. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Metformin is prescribed to women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) to prevent pregnancy complications. Children exposed to metformin vs. placebo in utero, have increased head circumference at birth and are more overweight and obese at 8 years of age. Also, maternal PCOS-status seems to alter the long-term cardio-metabolic health of offspring. We hypothesized that the long-term effects of metformin-exposure and/or maternal PCOS may be mediated by circulatory adaptations during fetal life.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This is a sub-study of a larger double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial, where women with PCOS were randomized to metformin (2g/day) or placebo in pregnancy, a total of 487 women. A sub-group of participants (N = 58) took part in this sub-study and had an extended ultrasound examination at gestational week 32, including blood flow velocity and diameter measurements of the umbilical vein (UV), the ductus venosus (DV) and the portal vein (PV). Blood flow volume was calculated and adjusted for estimated fetal weight (EFW) (normalized flow). Metformin exposed fetuses were compared to placebo exposed fetuses. Fetuses of mothers with PCOS (metformin [n = 30] and placebo [n = 28]) were compared to a low-risk reference population (N = 160) by z-score statistics.

RESULTS: There was no difference in fetal liver flow between metformin vs. placebo-exposed fetuses. Fetuses of mothers with PCOS had higher EFW (0.63 [95% CI 0.44-0.83] p<0.001), lower normalized UV, DV, PV, and lower total venous liver blood flows than the reference population.

CONCLUSION: Metformin during pregnancy did not affect fetal liver blood-flow. In our population, maternal PCOS-status was associated with reduced total venous liver blood-flow, which may explain altered growth and metabolism later in life.

PMID:35089960 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262987

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of a virtual learning environment on the conscious prescription of antibiotics among Colombian dentists

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0262731. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262731. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Appropriate antibiotic prescription contributes to reducing bacterial resistance; therefore, it is critical to provide training regarding this challenge. The objective of this study was to develop a virtual learning environment for antibiotic prescription and to determine its impact on dentists’ awareness, attitudes, and intention to practice. First, the learning content on multimedia resources was developed and distributed into three challenges that participants had to overcome. Then, a quasi-experimental study was performed in which the virtual learning environment was implemented on dentists from seven Colombian cities. The median of correct answers and the levels of awareness, attitudes, and intention to practice were compared before, immediately after, and 6-months post-intervention. Wilcoxon signed-rank and McNemar’s tests were used to determine the differences. A total of 206 participants who finished the virtual learning environment activities exhibited a favorable and statistically significant impact on the median of correct answers of awareness (p < 0.001), attitudes (p < 0.001), and intention to practice (p = 0.042). A significant increase occurred in the number of participants with a high level of awareness (p < 0.001) and a non-significant increase in participants with high levels of attitudes (p = 0.230) and intention to practice (p = 0.286). At 6 months, the positive effect on the median of correct answers on awareness and intention to practice persisted (p < 0.001); however, this was not evident for attitudes (p = 0.105). Moreover, there was a significant decrease in the number of participants who showed low levels of awareness (p = 0.019) and a slight increase in those with high levels of the same component (p = 0.161). The use of a virtual learning environment designed for dentists contributed to a rapid improvement in awareness and intention to practice antibiotic prescription; however, their attitudes and information retention need reinforcement.

PMID:35089952 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262731

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Socio-cognitive factors influencing access to HIV prevention services among people who inject drugs in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: An integrated bio-behavioural survey

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0261500. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261500. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: People who inject drugs (PWID) in Sub-Saharan Africa have limited access to comprehensive HIV services. While it is important to inform programming, knowledge about factors influencing access to comprehensive HIV services is scarce. We assessed the proportions of PWID with access to HIV prevention services and associated socio-cognitive factors in Tanzania.

METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among PWID between October and December 2017 in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Data on access to HIV prevention services, demographics and selected socio-cognitive factors were collected through structured face-to-face interviews. Weighted descriptive and forward selection multivariable logistics regression analyses were done to assess independent associations between HIV prevention services and predictors of interest. The results were two tailed and a p-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: The study included 611 PWID (males: 94.4%) with a median age of 34 years (Interquartile Range (IQR), 29-38). A large majority of participants reported to have access to condoms (87.8%), sterile needles/syringes (72.8%) and ever tested for HIV (66.0%). About half (52.0%) reported to have used condoms in the past one month and about a third (28.5%) accessed a peer educator. The odds of testing for HIV decreased among participants who perceived their HIV risk to be high (aOR = 0.29; 95%CI: 0.17-0.49) and those experienced sexual violence (aOR = 0.60; 95%CI 0.37-0.98). However, the odds of testing for HIV increased among participants with secondary level of education (aOR = 2.16; 95%CI: 1.06-5.55), and those who reported having correct comprehensive HIV knowledge (CCHK) (aOR = 1.63; 95%CI 1.12-2.41). The odds of access to condoms increased among females (aOR = 2.23; 95%CI: 1.04-5.02) but decreased among participants with secondary level of education (aOR = 0.41; 95%CI: 0.19-0.84), an income of >TZS 200,000 (aOR = 0.39; 95%CI: 0.23-0.66) and those who perceived their HIV risk to be high (aOR = 0.13; 95%CI: 0.03-0.36). The odds of access to peer educators was higher among participants with primary (aOR = 1.61; 95%CI: 1.01-2.26), and secondary (aOR = 2.71; 95%CI: 1.39-5.33) levels of education. The odds of access to sterile needle and syringe decreased among participants who perceived their HIV risk to be high (aOR = 0.11;95%CI 0.05-0.22), and low-medium (aOR = 0.25;95%CI 0.11-0.52) but increased among those with primary level of education (aOR = 1.72;95%CI 1.06-2.78).

CONCLUSION: Access to condom, HIV testing, sterile needles and syringes were relatively high among PWID. However, condom use and access to peer educators was relatively low. HIV knowledge and risk perception, gender, education, and sexual violence influenced access to HIV prevention services. There is an urgent need to address the identified socio-cognitive factors and scale up all aspects of HIV prevention services to fast-track attainment of the 2025 UNAIDS goals and ending the HIV epidemic.

PMID:35089928 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0261500

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Factors related to severe single-vehicle tree crashes: In-depth crash study

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 28;17(1):e0248171. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248171. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Vehicle-tree collisions are the most common type of road crash with fixed obstacle in Czech Republic. Based on the literature review and using real world in-depth crash data, this paper aims to define factors, which significantly influence the injury severity of single vehicle-tree crashes. In-depth data provide a comprehensive view to the failure on the system infrastructure-human-vehicle related to crash, the in-depth crash database include very detailed information related to infrastructure, vehicle, human failure and crash participants characteristics and their medical condition and also crash reconstruction. Multinomial logistic regression and generalized linear mixed model were used to determine the individual effect of each predictor. The statistically significant variables were the day period, trunk diameter and impact speed. Using multinomial logistic regression shows also vehicle age as statistically significant. Obtained results can help to efficiently direct countermeasures not only on the road infrastructure-e.g. speed reduction in selected locations with specified tree character. However, the emphasis should be also focused on driver behaviour.

PMID:35089932 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0248171

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adhesion-regulated junction slippage controls cell intercalation dynamics in an Apposed-Cortex Adhesion Model

PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Jan 28;18(1):e1009812. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009812. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Cell intercalation is a key cell behaviour of morphogenesis and wound healing, where local cell neighbour exchanges can cause dramatic tissue deformations such as body axis extension. Substantial experimental work has identified the key molecular players facilitating intercalation, but there remains a lack of consensus and understanding of their physical roles. Existing biophysical models that represent cell-cell contacts with single edges cannot study cell neighbour exchange as a continuous process, where neighbouring cell cortices must uncouple. Here, we develop an Apposed-Cortex Adhesion Model (ACAM) to understand active cell intercalation behaviours in the context of a 2D epithelial tissue. The junctional actomyosin cortex of every cell is modelled as a continuous viscoelastic rope-loop, explicitly representing cortices facing each other at bicellular junctions and the adhesion molecules that couple them. The model parameters relate directly to the properties of the key subcellular players that drive dynamics, providing a multi-scale understanding of cell behaviours. We show that active cell neighbour exchanges can be driven by purely junctional mechanisms. Active contractility and cortical turnover in a single bicellular junction are sufficient to shrink and remove a junction. Next, a new, orthogonal junction extends passively. The ACAM reveals how the turnover of adhesion molecules regulates tension transmission and junction deformation rates by controlling slippage between apposed cell cortices. The model additionally predicts that rosettes, which form when a vertex becomes common to many cells, are more likely to occur in actively intercalating tissues with strong friction from adhesion molecules.

PMID:35089922 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009812