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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Health Monitoring of Fattening Pigs – Use of Production Data, Farm Characteristics and On-Farm Examination

Porcine Health Manag. 2021 Aug 3;7(1):45. doi: 10.1186/s40813-021-00225-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The use of processed secondary data for health monitoring of fattening pigs has been established in various areas, such as the use of antibiotics or in the context of meat inspection. Standardized scores were calculated based on several sources of production data and can be used to describe animal health in a large collective of pig units. In the present study, the extent to which these scores are related to different farm characteristics and management decisions were investigated. In addition, slaughter scores were compared with the results of a veterinary examination on the farms.

RESULTS: The comparison of the results of the uni- and multifactorial analyses revealed that almost all of the examined factors play a role in at least one of the scores when considered individually. However, when various significant influencing factors were taken into account at any one time, most of the variables lost their statistical significance due to confounding effects. In particular, production data such as production costs or daily feed intake remained in the final models of the scores on mortality, average daily gain and external lesions. Regarding the second part of the investigation, a basic technical correlation between the slaughter scores and the on-farm indicators could be established via principal component analysis. The modelling of the slaughter scores by the on-farm indicators showed that the score on external lesions could be represented by equivalent variables recorded on the farm (e.g., lesions caused by tail or ear biting).

CONCLUSIONS: It has been demonstrated that the examined health scores are influenced by various farm and management characteristics. However, when several factors are taken into account, confounding occurs in some cases, which must be considered by consultants. Additionally, it was shown that on-farm examination content is related to the scores based on equivalent findings from slaughter pigs.

PMID:34344485 | DOI:10.1186/s40813-021-00225-y

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Observational versus antibiotic therapy for acute uncomplicated diverticulitis: A non-inferiority meta-analysis based on a Delphi consensus

Surgery. 2021 Jul 31:S0039-6060(21)00695-4. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2021.07.012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to determine if observational therapy is noninferior to antibiotics for acute uncomplicated diverticulitis according to clinically relevant margins.

METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane were systematically searched by 2 independent reviewers to identify comparative studies of observational therapy versus antibiotics for acute uncomplicated diverticulitis. Non-inferiority margins (ΔNI) for each outcome were based on Delphi consensus including 50 patients and 55 physicians: persistent diverticulitis (ΔNI = 4.0%), progression to complicated diverticulitis (ΔNI = 3.0%), and time to recovery (ΔNI = 5 days). Risk differences and mean differences were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. One-sided 90% confidence intervals and Z-tests were used to determine non-inferiority. A sensitivity analysis was performed, excluding patients post hoc determined to have complicated diverticulitis.

RESULTS: Nine studies (3 randomized controlled trials, 6 observational studies) met inclusion criteria: observational therapy (n = 2,011) versus antibiotics (n = 1,144). Observational therapy was noninferior to antibiotics regarding the risk of persistent diverticulitis (pooled risk differences: -0.39%, 90% CI -3.22 to 2.44%, ΔNI: 4.0%, PNI < 0.001; I2 = 66%) and progression to complicated diverticulitis (pooled risk differences: -0.030%, 90% CI -0.99 to 0.92%, ΔNI: 3.0%, PNI < 0.001; I2 = 0%). On sensitivity analysis, observational therapy remained noninferior for both outcomes. When stratified by study design, observational therapy also remained noninferior for both outcomes among randomized controlled trials only. Only 1 study reported on time to recovery as a continuous outcome, with no statistical difference between antibiotics and observational therapy.

CONCLUSION: According to clinically relevant ΔNIs, observational therapy was noninferior to antibiotics for the treatment of acute uncomplicated diverticulitis with regard to persistent diverticulitis and progression to complicated diverticulitis.

PMID:34344525 | DOI:10.1016/j.surg.2021.07.012

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The role of personality, social economic and prevention strategy effects on health-related quality of life among people living with HIV/AIDS

Infect Dis Poverty. 2021 Aug 3;10(1):104. doi: 10.1186/s40249-021-00890-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: HIV/AIDS has transformed into a chronic controllable but not yet curable infectious disease as other chronic diseases to some extent. The additional of so called fourth 90% that included the improved health-related quality of life (HRQoL) for people living with HIV (PLWHIV) required solutions beyond antiretroviral therapy and viral load suppression. This study will explore the role of personality, social economic and prevention strategy effection on HRQoL among people living with HIV/AIDS.

METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among PLWHIV aged more than 16 years old in the 10 municipalities in Yunnan Province, China from October 2019 to May 2020, enrolling total 1997 participants. Individual-level HRQoL data were measured by 12-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-12) and EuroQol Five Dimensions Questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L). We assembled municipal-level data about social economic from Yunnan Statistical Yearbook in 2020 and strategy practice information from the self-evaluation system. We used the principal component analysis to build the social economic and strategy effect on each area respectively and one-way ANOVA was used to perform univariate analysis to identify the predictors with significant differences. Finally we used multi-level model (MLM) to explore the personality, social economic and strategy effects in health-related quality of life among PLWHIV.

RESULTS: The global score for quality of life measured using EQ-5D-5L had an estimated mean score (standard deviation, SD) of 0.901 ± 0.146. The HRQoL score measured using PCS-12 had an estimated mean score (SD) of 46.62 ± 8.55. The mean MCS-12 score (SD) was estimated to be 47.80 ± 9.71. The area-level predictors explained a proportion of 13.6-17.2% for the between-area variation of the HRQoL scores, regardless of the total HRQoL, physical component and mental component. The impacts of stigma (P < 0.01), social support (P < 0.001), anxiety (P < 0.001), depression (P < 0.05) and social economic status (P < 0.05) on HRQoL at the individual-level were significantly different. The plots visualized the impact of individual-level factors on a respondent’s HRQoL was modified by the area-level characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS: The study identified the possible strategy determinant of individual HRQoL of PLWHIV and also the area effect on HRQoL. Stigma, social support, anxiety, depression and social economic status were the individual-level determinants on HRQoL. These could be a valuable resource for evaluating the overall health of the areas and help improve local decision making.

PMID:34344462 | DOI:10.1186/s40249-021-00890-9

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Implementing CT tumor volume and CT pleural thickness into future staging systems for malignant pleural mesothelioma

Cancer Imaging. 2021 Aug 3;21(1):48. doi: 10.1186/s40644-021-00415-5.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Tumor thickness and tumor volume measured by computed tomography (CT) were suggested as valuable prognosticator for patients’ survival diagnosed with malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM). The purpose was to assess the accuracy of CT scan based preoperatively measured tumor volume and thickness compared to actual tumor weight of resected MPM specimen and pathologically assessed tumor thickness, as well as an analysis of their impact on overall survival (OS).

METHODS: Between 09/2013-08/2018, 74 patients were treated with induction chemotherapy followed by (extended) pleurectomy/decortication ((E)PD). In 53 patients, correlations were made between CT-measured volume and -tumor thickness (cTV and cTT) and actual tumor weight (pTW) based on the available values. Further cTV and pT/IMIG stage were correlated using Pearson correlation. Overall survival (OS) was calculated with Kaplan Meier analysis and tested with log rank test. For correlation with OS Kaplan-Meier curves were made and log rank test was performed for all measurements dichotomized at the median.

RESULTS: Median pathological tumor volume (pTV) and pTW were 530 ml [130 ml – 1000 ml] and 485 mg [95 g – 982 g] respectively. Median (IQR) cTV was 77.2 ml (35.0-238.0), median cTT was 9.0 mm (6.2-13.7). Significant association was found between cTV and pTV (R = 0.47, p < 0.001) and between cTT and IMIG stage (p = 0,001) at univariate analysis. Multivariate regression analysis revealed, that only cTV correlates with pTV. Median follow-up time was 36.3 months with 30 patients dead at the time of the analysis. Median OS was 23.7 months. 1-year and 3-year survival were 90 and 26% respectively and only the cTV remained statistically associated with OS.

CONCLUSION: Preoperatively assessed CT tumor volume and actual tumor volume showed a significant correlation. CT tumor volume may predict pathological tumor volume as a reflection of tumor burden, which supports the integration of CT tumor volume into future staging systems.

PMID:34344472 | DOI:10.1186/s40644-021-00415-5

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The development and validation of prognostic models for overall survival in the presence of missing data in the training dataset: a strategy with a detailed example

Diagn Progn Res. 2021 Aug 4;5(1):14. doi: 10.1186/s41512-021-00103-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The United Kingdom Myeloma Research Alliance (UK-MRA) Myeloma Risk Profile is a prognostic model for overall survival. It was trained and tested on clinical trial data, aiming to improve the stratification of transplant ineligible (TNE) patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. Missing data is a common problem which affects the development and validation of prognostic models, where decisions on how to address missingness have implications on the choice of methodology.

METHODS: Model building The training and test datasets were the TNE pathways from two large randomised multicentre, phase III clinical trials. Potential prognostic factors were identified by expert opinion. Missing data in the training dataset was imputed using multiple imputation by chained equations. Univariate analysis fitted Cox proportional hazards models in each imputed dataset with the estimates combined by Rubin’s rules. Multivariable analysis applied penalised Cox regression models, with a fixed penalty term across the imputed datasets. The estimates from each imputed dataset and bootstrap standard errors were combined by Rubin’s rules to define the prognostic model. Model assessment Calibration was assessed by visualising the observed and predicted probabilities across the imputed datasets. Discrimination was assessed by combining the prognostic separation D-statistic from each imputed dataset by Rubin’s rules. Model validation The D-statistic was applied in a bootstrap internal validation process in the training dataset and an external validation process in the test dataset, where acceptable performance was pre-specified. Development of risk groups Risk groups were defined using the tertiles of the combined prognostic index, obtained by combining the prognostic index from each imputed dataset by Rubin’s rules.

RESULTS: The training dataset included 1852 patients, 1268 (68.47%) with complete case data. Ten imputed datasets were generated. Five hundred twenty patients were included in the test dataset. The D-statistic for the prognostic model was 0.840 (95% CI 0.716-0.964) in the training dataset and 0.654 (95% CI 0.497-0.811) in the test dataset and the corrected D-Statistic was 0.801.

CONCLUSION: The decision to impute missing covariate data in the training dataset influenced the methods implemented to train and test the model. To extend current literature and aid future researchers, we have presented a detailed example of one approach. Whilst our example is not without limitations, a benefit is that all of the patient information available in the training dataset was utilised to develop the model.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Both trials were registered; Myeloma IX- ISRCTN68454111 , registered 21 September 2000. Myeloma XI- ISRCTN49407852 , registered 24 June 2009.

PMID:34344484 | DOI:10.1186/s41512-021-00103-9

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Nintedanib downregulates the transition of cultured systemic sclerosis fibrocytes into myofibroblasts and their pro-fibrotic activity

Arthritis Res Ther. 2021 Aug 3;23(1):205. doi: 10.1186/s13075-021-02555-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Circulating fibrocytes are an important source of fibroblasts and myofibroblasts, which are involved in fibrotic processes, including systemic sclerosis (SSc). The study aimed to investigate the effect of nintedanib (a tyrosine kinase inhibitor) in inhibiting the in vitro transition of circulating SSc fibrocytes into myofibroblasts and their pro-fibrotic activity.

METHODS: Circulating fibrocytes were obtained from 18 SSc patients and 5 healthy subjects (HSs). Cultured SSc fibrocytes were maintained in growth medium (untreated cells) or treated with nintedanib 0.1 and 1 μM for 3 and 24 h. Fibroblast-specific protein-1 (S100A4) and α-smooth muscle actin (αSMA), as markers of fibroblast/myofibroblast phenotype, together with type I collagen (COL1) and fibronectin (FN), were investigated by qRT-PCR and Western blotting. Non-parametric tests were used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: Significantly elevated gene and protein expressions of αSMA, S100A4, COL1, and FN were observed in SSc fibrocytes compared to HS fibrocytes (gene: αSMA p < 0.001; others p < 0.0001; protein: all p < 0.05). Interestingly, an increased gene and protein expression of αSMA and S100A4 was found in fibrocytes from SSc patients positive for anti-Scl70 and with interstitial lung disease (ILD) (Scl70+ILD+) compared to Scl70ILD patients (S100A4: gene: p < 0.01; protein: p < 0.05), whereas no differences were observed for COL1 and FN. Nintedanib reduced gene and protein expression of αSMA, S100A4, COL1, and FN in SSc fibrocytes compared to untreated ones with different statistical significance. Noteworthy, nintedanib significantly downregulated gene and protein expression of αSMA, S100A4, COL1, and FN in Scl70+ILD+ fibrocytes (all p < 0.05), whereas only that of S100A4 and FN was significantly downregulated (p < 0.05) in Scl70ILD fibrocytes compared to the related untreated cells.

CONCLUSIONS: Nintedanib seems to downregulate in vitro the transition of fibrocytes into myofibroblasts and their pro-fibrotic activity, particularly in cells isolated from Scl70+ILD+ SSc patients.

PMID:34344444 | DOI:10.1186/s13075-021-02555-2

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Clinical study on the diagnosis of porcine streptococcal meningitis with negative blood and cerebrospinal fluid culture by next-generation sequencing

Eur J Med Res. 2021 Aug 3;26(1):85. doi: 10.1186/s40001-021-00554-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Streptococcus suis (Ss) is a Gram-positive and anaerobic zoonotic pathogen that is susceptible to all populations and can cause meningitis, septicemia, endocarditis and arthritis in humans.

METHODS: In this study, patients with meningitis who were admitted to our hospital with negative blood and cerebrospinal fluid culture were divided into a next-generation sequencing group and a control group. In the next-generation sequencing group, we used the next-generation sequencing method to detect pathogenic bacteria in the patients’ cerebrospinal fluid. In the control group, we used blood and cerebrospinal fluid bacterial culture method to detect pathogenic bacteria in the patients’ cerebrospinal fluid. The detection rates of pathogenic bacteria in the cerebrospinal fluid of the two groups were compared and analyzed.

RESULTS: A total of 18 patients were included in this study, including 8 patients in the next-generation sequencing group and 10 patients in the control group. The mean age (P = 0.613) and mean disease duration (P = 0.294) were similar in both groups. Patients in the next-generation sequencing group had a leukocyte count of 13.13 ± 4.79 × 109, a neutrophil percentage of 83.39 ± 10.36%, and a C-reactive protein level of 134.95 ± 107.69 mg/L. Patients in the control group had a temperature of 38.32 ± 1.07, a leukocyte count of 8.00 ± 2.99 × 109, and a neutrophil percentage of 74.61 ± 8.89%, and C-reactive protein level was 4.75 ± 6.8 mg/L. The statistical results showed that the leukocytes (P = 0.013) and C-reactive protein levels (P = 0.001) were significantly higher in the patients of the next-generation sequencing group than in the control group. No statistically significant differences were seen in body temperature and neutrophil percentage between the two groups (P > 0.05). The incidence of intracranial pressure and meningeal irritation signs were similar in the two groups (P > 0.05). The detection rate of Streptococcus suis in the cerebrospinal fluid of patients in the next-generation sequencing group was 100%, and the detection rate of Streptococcus suis in the cerebrospinal fluid of the control group was 0%.

CONCLUSION: The detection rate of Streptococcus suis infection in cerebrospinal fluid by next-generation sequencing was significantly higher than that by blood and cerebrospinal fluid bacterial culture. Therefore, the diagnosis of porcine streptococcal meningitis by next-generation sequencing method is worthy of clinical promotion and application.

PMID:34344456 | DOI:10.1186/s40001-021-00554-2

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Effect of smoking on retinal thickness and vascular density in thyroid eye disease

Korean J Ophthalmol. 2021 Aug 3. doi: 10.3341/kjo.2021.0059. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect of smoking on retinal thickness and macular and peripapillary vascular density in thyroid eye disease (TED).

PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, subjects diagnosed with TED were analyzed in three groups; smokers, passive smokers, and non-smokers. Ganglion cell complex (GCC) thickness, total retinal thickness, macular superficial vascular plexus densities, deep vascular plexus densities, optic nerve head (ONH), and radial peripapillary capillary (RPC) density were measured in each group.

RESULTS: 22 eyes (21.6%) of active smokers, 11 eyes (10.8%) of passive smokers, and 69 eyes (67.6%) of non-smokers constitute the study subjects. 21 (12.6%) eyes had active status (CAS≥3), 77 (46.1%) eyes were neither active nor compressive (NANC), 4 (2.4%) eyes of 2 patients constituted the compressive group. Age and disease-activity adjusted analysis was performed. GCC thickness of smokers was significantly higher than non-smokers in the inferior Hemi-parafoveal sector (p = 0.04). Active smokers had significantly higher (P < 0.01) retinal thickness in all sectors compared to non-smokers, except the foveal sector. Smokers had lower superficial vessel density in the superior parafoveal sector compared to non-smokers (p = 0.04). Considering deep vessel densities between smokers and non-smokers, no significant difference was observed. RPC densities (significant difference was observed in the whole image and infranasal peripapillary sector), Macular vascular densities (significant difference was observed in parafoveal sectors), and ONH (not reaching statistical significance level in any sectors) were highest in passive smokers.

CONCLUSION: Smoking is associated with increased total retinal thickness. Macular vascular densities were not different between smokers and non-smokers in TED.

PMID:34344134 | DOI:10.3341/kjo.2021.0059

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Study on changes of voice characteristics after adenotonsillectomy or adenoidectomy in children

Zhonghua Er Bi Yan Hou Tou Jing Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Jul 7;56(7):724-729. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn115330-20200813-00672.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To study voice changes in children after adenotonsillectomy or adenoidectomy and the relationship with the vocal tract structure. Methods: Fifty patients were recruited in this study prospectively, aged from 4 to 12 years old with the median age of 6. They were underwent adenotonsillectomy or adenoidectomy in Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University from July 2019 to August 2020. In the cases, there are 31 males and 19 females. Thirty-six patients underwent adenotonsillectomy and 14 patients underwent adenoidectomy alone. Twenty-two children (13 males, 9 females) with Ⅰ degree of bilateral tonsils without adenoid hypertrophy and no snoring were selected as normal controls. Adenoid and tonsil sizes were evaluated. Subjective changes of voice were recorded after surgery. Moreover, voice data including fundamental frequency(F0), jitter, shimmer, noise to harmonic ratio(NHR), maximum phonation time(MPT), formant frequencies(F1-F5) and bandwidths(B1-B5) of vowel/a/and/i/were analyzed before, 3 days and 1 month after surgery respectively.SPSS 23.0 was used for statistical analysis. Results: Thirty-six patients(72.0%,36/50) complained of postoperative voice changes. The incidence was inversely correlated with age. In children aged 4-6, 7-9, and 10-12, the incidence was 83.3%(25/30), 63.6%(7/11) and 44.4%(4/9) respectively. Voice changes appeared more common in children underwent adenotonsillectomy(77.8%,28/36) than in those underwent adenoidectomy alone(57.1%,8/14), but there was no statistical difference. After operation, for vowel/a/, MPT(Z=2.18,P=0.041) and F2(t=2.13,P=0.040) increased, B2(Z=2.04,P=0.041) and B4(Z=2.00,P=0.046) decreased. For vowel/i/, F2(t=2.035,P=0.050) and F4(t=4.44,P=0.0001) increased, B2(Z=2.36,P=0.019) decreased. Other acoustic parameters were not significantly different from those before surgery. The F2(r=-0.392, P =0.032) of vowel/a/and F2(r=-0.279, P=0.048) and F4 (r=-0.401, P =0.028) of vowel/i/after adenotonsillectomy were significantly higher than those of adenoidectomy alone. Half of patients with postopertive voice changes can recover spontaneously 1 month after surgery. Conclusions: Voice changes in children underwent adenotonsillectomy or adenoidectomy might be related to their changes in formants and bandwidths. The effect of adenotonsillectomy on voice was more significant compared with that of adenoidectomy alone. The acoustic parameters did not change significantly after surgery except MPT.

PMID:34344099 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn115330-20200813-00672

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A multicenter, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial of compound wild chrysanthemum eye masks for mild and moderate dry eye

Zhonghua Yan Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Aug 11;57(8):601-607. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112142-20210413-00173.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of compound wild chrysanthemum eye masks for mild and moderate dry eye. Methods: In this double-masked, multicenter, placebo-controlled, randomized trial, middle-aged and elderly patients with mild and moderate dry eye were enrolled from six hospitals (Xiamen Eye Center of Xiamen University, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Wangjing Hospital of China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Affiliated Eye Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Hebei Eye Hospital). The patients were assigned to the compound wild chrysanthemum eye mask group and the eye mask simulator group based on the random number table. Subjective symptoms of dry eye, visual acuity, break-up time (BUT), Schirmer Ⅰ test, and corneal fluorescent staining were evaluated in all patients before treatment and at 1 and 2 weeks after treatment. All adverse reactions during the treatment and follow-up were recorded. Results: A total of 120 patients were enrolled. Among them, 112 subjects were included for statistical analyses after the exclusion of 8 subjects who were lost for follow-up or had an adverse event, with an age of (54.26±7.44) years. All the indicators were equally comparable between the two groups. Before treatment and at 1 and 2 weeks after treatment, the median (lower quartile, upper quartile) of total score of questionnaires in the eye mask group was 14.50 (10.00, 19.00), 9.00 (5.00, 14.00) and 7.00 (4.00, 10.00), respectively, and that in the control group was 14.00 (9.00, 22.50), 12.00 (6.00, 20.00) and 10.00 (3.50, 17.00), respectively. The score decreased significantly in both groups after 1 week (t=9.1604, S=398.00; P<0.01) and 2 weeks (S=681.00, 575.50; P<0.05) of treatment. The total score of questionnaires in the eye mask group was significantly lower than that in the control group (Z=3.27, 2.81; P<0.05) after treatment. After 1 week of treatment, the average BUT of the eye mask group was (5.71±2.31) s, which was significantly longer than that before treatment (5.06±2.00) s (S =208.50, P<0.05). But there was no significant difference in the control group (S=150.00, P>0.05). After 2 weeks of treatment, there was statistically significant difference in BUT between the two groups (S=407.00, t=3.07; P<0.01). After 1 week of the treatment, the amount of tear secretion in the eye mask group [(6.88±4.78) mm] was significantly larger than that before treatment (S=196.50, P<0.05), while the control group [(6.80±5.85) mm] showed no significant difference (S=55.00, P<0.05). After 2 weeks of the treatment, the amount increased significantly to (7.43±4.86) mm and (7.29±4.56) mm, respectively, in both groups (t=-3.29, -2.26; P<0.05). The difference in the average BUT, Schirmer Ⅰ test result and corneal fluorescent staining between both groups was not statistically significant at each time point. Five mild adverse events occurred, including 2 adverse events (2 times, 3.51%) in the eye mask group and 3 adverse events (4 times, 5.36%) in the control group. Conclusions: Compound wild chrysanthemum eye masks can effectively improve the symptoms and physical signs of mild and moderate dry eye and can be used as an auxiliary treatment. (Chin J Ophthalmol, 2021, 57: 601-607).

PMID:34344121 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112142-20210413-00173