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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The confounding effect of multi-type human papillomavirus infections on type-specific natural history parameter identification

Epidemics. 2021 Jun 24;36:100468. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100468. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) from infection to cervical cancer differs between HPV types. Accordingly, type-specific natural history parameters are crucial for the mathematical models used to optimize the nearly life-long series of disease prevention measures. These parameters are estimated from genotyped data from trials and population level screening programs, typically one type at a time, which requires projecting the multiple-type data to the single type. To analyze impacts of such projection methods on the estimates, we compared estimating one type at a time using different projection methods with estimating all types together. We simulated genotyped data with chosen parameter values for two HPV types and analyzed the identifiability of the chosen values using the different estimation methods. We found the success of estimating one type at a time to be excessively sensitive to the data projection method, with potential to falsely identify the parameters at wrong values. Estimating all types together identified the parameters well. Our results were consistent both when trial and population level data were used. In conclusion, the potential confounding by multi-type infections has to be considered when choosing an estimation method for type-specific natural history parameters.

PMID:34217104 | DOI:10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100468

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Fatty acid composition in relation to chilling susceptibility of blood orange cultivars at different storage temperatures

Plant Physiol Biochem. 2021 Jun 19;166:770-776. doi: 10.1016/j.plaphy.2021.06.013. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Fatty acid composition in the peel of four blood orange cultivars (‘Moro’, ‘Tarocco’, ‘Sanguinello’, and ‘Sanguine’) was identified and quantified by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS), in order to find its correlation with chilling susceptibility at harvest time and after 180 days of storage at 2 and 5 °C (2 days at 20 °C for shelf life). Twelve fatty acids were detected including 6 saturated (SFA) and 6 unsaturated (UFA), from which 4 monounsaturated (MUFA) and 2 polyunsaturated (PUFA) fatty acids occurred. The major fatty acids were palmitic, linoleic, and linolenic acids. The chilling injury (CI) index was significantly higher at 2 than 5 °C for all cultivars, with ‘Sanguinello’ being the more tolerant cultivar. The multivariate statistical analyses showed that ‘Sanguinello’ had the highest UFA, UFA/SFA ratio, and the lowest SFA, while ‘Moro’ as a cold sensitive cultivar had the highest SFA, the lowest UFA, and UFA/SFA ratio. Our findings revealed that the higher level of PUFAs (linoleic and linolenic acids) and enhancement of the UFA/SFA ratio are considered the most main adaptive mechanism under low temperatures of storage.

PMID:34217133 | DOI:10.1016/j.plaphy.2021.06.013

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Environmental and ecological factors influencing soil functionality of biologically crusted soils by different lichen species in drylands

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jun 18;794:148491. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148491. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Biocrusts are an essential soil surface cover at drylands where ecosystems are especially fragile to soil degradation processes due to climatic peculiarities. In the present work, (micro)biological and physicochemical properties indicative of soil functionality were studied in two different biocrust types dominated by Dipolschistes diacapsis and Lepraria isidiata and in underlying soil at two different depths (SL1, soil layer right below the biocrusts, and SL2, soil layer underlying SL1) at the Tabernas desert (southeast Spain). The influence of climatic factors (rainfall and temperature) and general soil properties on the (micro)biological properties were also analyzed in different environmental (climatic) conditions over a period of two years. PERMANOVA analyses showed significant statistical differences (Pseudo-F = 63.9; P (perm) = 0.001) among biocrust and soil layers. Throughout the study period, enzyme activities involved in C, N, and P cycles; microbial biomass-C; basal respiration; and several properties directly related to ecosystem productivity (total organic carbon, total nitrogen, concentration of ammonium and nitrate) were higher in both biocrust types than in the underlying soil layers, showing that biocrusts improved soil functions related to nutrient cycling. These properties progressively diminished in successive soil layers under the biocrusts (biocrusts > SL1 > SL2). Biocrusts showed greater similarity to each other and to SL1 than to SL2 in (micro)biological properties. A distance-based linear model analysis showed that total organic carbon, rainfall, pH, mineralized N-NH4+, and total nitrogen were the most important variables for predicting (micro)biological soil properties in biocrusts. Different biochemical behavior between the biocrusts and successive underlying soil layers has been found in wet periods. After rainfall periods, the biocrusts showed important peaks in basal soil respiration and in enzyme activities involved in C and P cycles. Nevertheless, soil biochemical properties hardly showed any peak in SL1 and did not change in SL2 despite soil moisture being higher in the soil layers below the biocrusts. Correlation analyses corroborated the existence of different relationships between soil moisture and enzymatic activities. In biocrusts, soil moisture showed a greater number of significant positive correlations with enzymes such as β-glucosidase, invertase, and phosphomonoesterase among others, whereas in SL1 it was only correlated with cellulase and in SL2 with dehydrogenase. A change in rainfall regime, as predicted by models based on climate change in arid and semiarid zones, could affect the activity of soil enzymes in the biocrusts and underlying layers, thus aggravating the degradation of these fragile dryland ecosystems.

PMID:34217081 | DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148491

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Climate influence on the 2019 fires in Amazonia

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jun 26;794:148718. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148718. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Amazonia experienced unusually devastating fires in August 2019, leading to huge regional and global environmental and economic losses. The increase in fires has been largely attributed to anthropogenic deforestation, but anomalous climate conditions could also have contributed. This study investigates the climate influence on Amazonia fires in August 2019 and underlying mechanisms, based on statistical correlation and multiple linear regression analyses of 2001-2019 satellite-based fire products and multiple observational or reanalyzed climate datasets. Positive fire anomalies in August 2019 were mainly located in southern Amazonia. These anomalies were mainly driven by low precipitation and relative humidity, which increased fuel dryness and contributed to 38.9 ± 9.5% of the 2019 anomaly in pyrogenic carbon emissions over the southern Amazonia. The dry conditions were associated with southerly wind anomalies over southern Amazonia that suppressed the climatological southward transport of water vapor originating from the Atlantic. The southerly wind anomalies were caused by the combination of a Gill-type cyclonic response to the warmer North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), and enhancement of the Walker and Hadley circulations over South America due to the colder SST in the eastern Pacific, and a mid-latitude wave train triggered by the warmer condition in the western Indian Ocean. Our study highlights, for the first time, the important role of Indian Ocean SST for fires in Amazonia. It also reveals how cold SST anomalies in the tropical eastern Pacific link the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding December-January to the dry-season fires in Amazonia. Our findings can develop theoretical basis of global tropical SST-based fire prediction, and have potential to improve prediction skill of extreme fires in Amazonia and thus to take steps to mitigate their impacts which is urgency given that dry conditions led to the extreme fires are becoming common in Amazonia.

PMID:34217088 | DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148718

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Redundancy between spectral and higher-order texture statistics for natural image segmentation

Vision Res. 2021 Jun 30;187:55-65. doi: 10.1016/j.visres.2021.06.007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Visual texture, defined by local image statistics, provides important information to the human visual system for perceptual segmentation. Second-order or spectral statistics (equivalent to the Fourier power spectrum) are a well-studied segmentation cue. However, the role of higher-order statistics (HOS) in segmentation remains unclear, particularly for natural images. Recent experiments indicate that, in peripheral vision, the HOS of the widely adopted Portilla-Simoncelli texture model are a weak segmentation cue compared to spectral statistics, despite the fact that both are necessary to explain other perceptual phenomena and to support high-quality texture synthesis. Here we test whether this discrepancy reflects a property of natural image statistics. First, we observe that differences in spectral statistics across segments of natural images are redundant with differences in HOS. Second, using linear and nonlinear classifiers, we show that each set of statistics individually affords high performance in natural scenes and texture segmentation tasks, but combining spectral statistics and HOS produces relatively small improvements. Third, we find that HOS improve segmentation for a subset of images, although these images are difficult to identify. We also find that different subsets of HOS improve segmentation to a different extent, in agreement with previous physiological and perceptual work. These results show that the HOS add modestly to spectral statistics for natural image segmentation. We speculate that tuning to natural image statistics under resource constraints could explain the weak contribution of HOS to perceptual segmentation in human peripheral vision.

PMID:34217005 | DOI:10.1016/j.visres.2021.06.007

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Distributed learning for sketched kernel regression

Neural Netw. 2021 Jun 25;143:368-376. doi: 10.1016/j.neunet.2021.06.020. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We study distributed learning for regularized least squares regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). The divide-and-conquer strategy is a frequently used approach for dealing with very large data sets, which computes an estimate on each subset and then takes an average of the estimators. Existing theoretical constraint on the number of subsets implies the size of each subset can still be large. Random sketching can thus be used to produce the local estimators on each subset to further reduce the computation compared to vanilla divide-and-conquer. In this setting, sketching and divide-and-conquer are complementary to each other in dealing with the large sample size. We show that optimal learning rates can be retained. Simulations are performed to compare sketched and non-standard divide-and-conquer methods.

PMID:34217064 | DOI:10.1016/j.neunet.2021.06.020

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Repeated, drug-truncated infections with Ostertagia ostertagi elicit strong humoral and cell-mediated immune responses and confer partial protection in cattle

Vet Parasitol. 2021 Jun 26;296:109510. doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2021.109510. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Bovine ostertagiasis causes significant production losses to the cattle industry. Protective immunity induced by natural infection is slow to develop and anthelmintic resistance is rapidly developing. There is a need to advance alternatives for control of gastrointestinal nematode parasites. The present study investigated the effects of repeated, drug-truncated infections (rDTI) on development of protective immunity and attenuation of a challenge infection by O. ostertagi. Helminth-free calves were randomly assigned to either a rDTI or a control group (n = 5). The rDTI group received daily oral infections of 5000 Ostertagia L3 for 5 consecutive days, then were drug-treated on 14 and 15 days post infection (dpi), to attenuate O. ostertagi at the late fourth larval (L4) through young adult stages. DTI was repeated 3 weeks after the drug treatment. A total of 5 DTIs were administered to the DTI-treated animals. Non-DTI-treated, control animals received tap water as infection control. All animals were drug-treated at the same time. Animals were challenge-infected 4 weeks following the final round of rDTI. The results show that eggs per gram of feces (EPG) in the rDTI group were significantly reduced (P < 0.05) from 21 to 39 dpi, with an overall reduction in cumulative EPG. The control group exhibited reduced (P = 0.0564) average weight gains when compared to those of the rDTI group during weeks 4-5 post infection, a period coinciding with peak EPG output of control animals. Antigen-specific IgG, IgE and IgA responses were detected after the 2nd DTI, and stronger antibody recall responses were elicited by challenge infection. High levels of antigen-specific peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC)/T cell proliferation to whole worm and excretory-secretory (ES) antigens were detected in rDTI-treated animals. These data indicate that partial protective immunity against ostertagiasis, involving cell-mediated and humoral responses, can be attained by rDTI which allowed for maximal antigen exposure from staggered parasitic developmental stages. The data suggest that rDTI can be used as a model to study host-parasite interactions and identify parasite antigens responsible for eliciting host protective immune responses.

PMID:34217073 | DOI:10.1016/j.vetpar.2021.109510

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Multiple sclerosis, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder and COVID-19: A pandemic year in Czechia

Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2021 Jun 24;54:103104. doi: 10.1016/j.msard.2021.103104. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: When the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) appeared, concerns about its course in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) arose. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence, severity and risk factors of the more severe COVID-19 course among MS and NMOSD patients.

METHODS: From March 1, 2020, to February 28, 2021, 12 MS centres, representing 70% of the Czech MS and NMOSD population, reported laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases via the Czech nationwide register of MS and NMOSD patients (ReMuS). The main outcome was COVID-19 severity assessed on an 8-point scale with a cut-off at 4 (radiologically confirmed pneumonia) according to the World Health Organisation´s (WHO) COVID-19 severity assessment.

RESULTS: We identified 958 MS and 13 NMOSD patients, 50 MS and 4 NMOSD patients had pneumonia, 3 MS and 2 NMOSD patients died. The incidence of COVID-19 among patients with MS seems to be similar to the general Czech population. A multivariate logistic regression determined that higher body mass index (BMI [OR 1.07, 95% CI, 1.00-1.14]), older age (OR per 10 years 2.01, 95% CI, 1.41-2.91), high-dose glucocorticoid treatment during the 2 months before COVID-19 onset (OR 2.83, 95% CI, 0.10-7.48) and anti-CD20 therapy (OR 7.04, 95% CI, 3.10-15.87) were independent variables associated with pneumonia in MS patients. Increase odds of pneumonia in anti-CD20 treated MS patients compared to patients with other disease-modifying therapy (same age, sex, BMI, high-dose glucocorticoid treatment during the 2 months before COVID-19 onset, presence of pulmonary comorbidity) were confirmed by propensity score matching (OR 8.90, 95% CI, 3.04-33.24). Reports on COVID-19 infection in patients with NMOSD are scarce, however, data available up to now suggest a high risk of a more severe COVID-19 course as well as a higher mortality rate among NMOSD patients. In our cohort, 4 NMOSD patients (30.77%) had the more severe COVID-19 course and 2 patients (15.39%) died.

CONCLUSION: The majority of MS patients had a mild COVID-19 course contrary to NMOSD patients, however, higher BMI and age, anti-CD20 therapy and high-dose glucocorticoid treatment during the 2 months before COVID-19 onset were associated with pneumonia. Based on this study, we have already started an early administration of anti-SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies and preferential vaccination in the risk group of patients.

PMID:34216998 | DOI:10.1016/j.msard.2021.103104

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Breast cancer in Brazil: Screening program and surgical approach

Cancer Epidemiol. 2021 Jun 30;73:101970. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2021.101970. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Screening mammography for breast cancer (BC) is a current strategy that reduces the mortality of BC by up to 30 %. Although mastectomy has been an important component of treatment for decades, conservative surgery (lumpectomy) has become the gold-standard approach for most cases, yet it depends on early detection of the BC.

METHODS: This was an epidemiological study performed through DATASUS (2010-2018). We evaluated the temporal trend of screening mammograms, deaths from BC, and surgical procedures at national, regional and state levels. Statistical analysis was performed on VassarStat®-Website for Statistical Computation (Vassar College, New York, USA) and the R-software (R Foundation, v.4.0.3).

RESULTS: During 2010-2018 there were 67,392 oncological mastectomies and 48,567 lumpectomies in Brazil’s health system. Mastectomies decreased in the Northeast (-3.67 % ± 0.43 per year) and in Bahia state (-3.58 % ± 0.24 per year). Lumpectomies increased in Brazil (median 2.19 (-9.6 to 20.96)), the Northeast (median -12.07 (-25.8 to 9.43)) and Bahia (median 0.16 (-29.1 to 1.9)). Also, screening mammograms increased in Brazil (3.29 % ± 0.43), the Northeast (6.36 % ± 0.49) and Bahia (5.51 % ± 0.31), with 35,317,728 exams during this period. Deaths from BC increased annually in Brazil (+4.13 % ± 0.86), the Northeast (+4.76 % ± 1.45) and Bahia (+5.65 % ± 0.83).

CONCLUSION: The number of mammograms related to the screening program increased in the years 2010-2018 in Brazil. Furthermore, we identified an increase in lumpectomies as opposed to mastectomies, and this approach is associated with a reduction in hospitalization days by almost a half, which in turn might result in a cost decrease and probably an earlier return to work.

PMID:34216956 | DOI:10.1016/j.canep.2021.101970

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Safety considerations for esophageal dilation by anesthetic type: A systematic review

Am J Otolaryngol. 2021 Jun 18;42(5):103128. doi: 10.1016/j.amjoto.2021.103128. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Esophageal dilation (ED) may be performed in the office under local anesthesia or in a procedure/operating room under general anesthesia or intravenous (IV) sedation. However, indications for type of anesthesia during these procedures have not been established. The purpose of this review is to assess outcomes of esophageal dilation performed using different types of anesthesia to assess the safety of office-based techniques.

METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing the outcomes of anesthesia techniques for ED in adults. Exclusion criteria included reviews, small case series, use of stents, diagnoses with high morbidity, and rare diseases. A comprehensive literature search of the PubMed, CINAHL, and EMBASE databases was performed for articles relating to esophageal dilation.

RESULTS: 876 papers were identified of which 164 full text studies were assessed and 25 were included in the analysis using the PRISMA guidelines. Data regarding demographics, dilation technique, and adverse events were extracted. The DerSimonian-Laird random-effect models with inverse-variance weighting were fit to estimate the combined effects. There were no statistically significant differences among mortality, perforation, or bleeding based on anesthetic.

CONCLUSIONS: With office-based procedures gaining popularity in laryngology, there is a need to profile their safety. Office-based ED appears to have equivalent safety to general and IV sedation, although further research is necessary to define indications favoring office-based techniques.

PMID:34216877 | DOI:10.1016/j.amjoto.2021.103128