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The secondary transmission pattern of COVID-19 based on contact tracing in Rwanda

BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Jun;6(6):e004885. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004885.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 has shown an exceptionally high spread rate across and within countries worldwide. Understanding the dynamics of such an infectious disease transmission is critical for devising strategies to control its spread. In particular, Rwanda was one of the African countries that started COVID-19 preparedness early in January 2020, and a total lockdown was imposed when the country had only 18 COVID-19 confirmed cases known. Using intensive contact tracing, several infections were identified, with the majority of them being returning travellers and their close contacts. We used the contact tracing data in Rwanda for understanding the geographic patterns of COVID-19 to inform targeted interventions.

METHODS: We estimated the attack rates and identified risk factors associated to COVID-19 spread. We used Bayesian disease mapping models to assess the spatial pattern of COVID-19 and to identify areas characterised by unusually high or low relative risk. In addition, we used multiple variable conditional logistic regression to assess the impact of the risk factors.

RESULTS: The results showed that COVID-19 cases in Rwanda are localised mainly in the central regions and in the southwest of Rwanda and that some clusters occurred in the northeast of Rwanda. Relationship to the index case, being male and coworkers are the important risk factors for COVID-19 transmission in Rwanda.

CONCLUSION: The analysis of contact tracing data using spatial modelling allowed us to identify high-risk areas at subnational level in Rwanda. Estimating risk factors for infection with SARS-CoV-2 is vital in identifying the clusters in low spread of SARS-CoV-2 subnational level. It is imperative to understand the interactions between the index case and contacts to identify superspreaders, risk factors and high-risk places. The findings recommend that self-isolation at home in Rwanda should be reviewed to limit secondary cases from the same households and spatiotemporal analysis should be introduced in routine monitoring of COVID-19 in Rwanda for policy making decision on real time.

PMID:34103325 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004885

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Longitudinal cohorts for harnessing the electronic health record for disease prediction in a US population

BMJ Open. 2021 Jun 8;11(6):e044353. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044353.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The depth and breadth of clinical data within electronic health record (EHR) systems paired with innovative machine learning methods can be leveraged to identify novel risk factors for complex diseases. However, analysing the EHR is challenging due to complexity and quality of the data. Therefore, we developed large electronic population-based cohorts with comprehensive harmonised and processed EHR data.

PARTICIPANTS: All individuals 30 years of age or older who resided in Olmsted County, Minnesota on 1 January 2006 were identified for the discovery cohort. Algorithms to define a variety of patient characteristics were developed and validated, thus building a comprehensive risk profile for each patient. Patients are followed for incident diseases and ageing-related outcomes. Using the same methods, an independent validation cohort was assembled by identifying all individuals 30 years of age or older who resided in the largely rural 26-county area of southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin on 1 January 2013.

FINDINGS TO DATE: For the discovery cohort, 76 255 individuals (median age 49; 53% women) were identified from which a total of 9 644 221 laboratory results; 9 513 840 diagnosis codes; 10 924 291 procedure codes; 1 277 231 outpatient drug prescriptions; 966 136 heart rate measurements and 1 159 836 blood pressure (BP) measurements were retrieved during the baseline time period. The most prevalent conditions in this cohort were hyperlipidaemia, hypertension and arthritis. For the validation cohort, 333 460 individuals (median age 54; 52% women) were identified and to date, a total of 19 926 750 diagnosis codes, 10 527 444 heart rate measurements and 7 356 344 BP measurements were retrieved during baseline.

FUTURE PLANS: Using advanced machine learning approaches, these electronic cohorts will be used to identify novel sex-specific risk factors for complex diseases. These approaches will allow us to address several challenges with the use of EHR.

PMID:34103314 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044353

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Protocol for the Project SAVE randomised controlled trial examining CBT for insomnia among veterans in treatment for alcohol use disorder

BMJ Open. 2021 Jun 8;11(6):e045667. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045667.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: As many as 74% of veterans with alcohol use disorders (AUDS) report symptoms of insomnia. Insomnia represents a barrier to alcohol treatment because insomnia symptoms (1) may lead to relapse among those who use alcohol to help them sleep and may negatively impact (2) executive functions and (3) emotion regulation skills. Cognitive-behavioural therapy for insomnia (CBT-I) is an efficacious first-line treatment for insomnia; however, no research has examined the impact of CBT-I on individuals’ response to alcohol treatment. In the Sleep and Alcohol for Veterans (Project SAVE) randomised controlled trial, we hypothesise that CBT-I will enhance the efficacy of alcohol treatment among Veterans with insomnia by enhancing their abilities to attend to treatment, regulate emotions and initiate sleep without alcohol.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Eighty Veterans enrolled in alcohol treatment at the Veterans Administration (VA) hospital will be randomly assigned to receive either CBT-I or single-session sleep hygiene (SH) education. Individuals will be eligible to participate if they meet Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5) criteria for moderate to severe AUD and Insomnia Disorder of at least 1-month duration. Participants will complete assessments at baseline, post-treatment and 6-week follow-up. Preliminary process outcomes include retention/recruitment rates and treatment satisfaction (feasibility and acceptability, respectively). Primary outcomes are insomnia severity, percentage of heavy-drinking days and alcohol-related problems. We will assess a variety of secondary clinical and mechanistic outcomes (eg, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, attention and working memory).

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval was obtained in October 2018. Data collection began in July 2019 and is planned for completion by July 2021. Trial results will be disseminated at local and national conferences, in peer-reviewed publications and through media outlets, as available. Results will also be shared with interested participants and clinical collaborators at the end of the trial.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT03806491 (pre-results).

PMID:34103317 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045667

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Pre-clinical in vivo evaluation study on a new Chinese-made surgical biopatch for atrial septum

Zhonghua Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 1;59(6):513-519. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20200820-00656.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of a new Chinese-made surgical biopatch for atrial septum under the establishment of atrial septal defect animal model in miniature pigs. Methods: From June 2018 to April 2019, 26 pigs were divided into experimental group (15 pigs) and the control group (11 pigs). Animal models of atrial septal defect were established by traditional surgical methods. The to-be-evaluated and listed surgical biological patches (with a diameter of 10 mm) were implanted in the experimental group and the control group to repair the atrial septal defect. Cardiac ultrasound and blood examination of all animals were performed before and at 7, 30, 90, 180 days after operation, the results were analyzed with repetitive measurement and analysis of variance. At 90 days and 180 days after the operation, tissue samples were taken from animals after euthanasia. Pathological examination of heart and major organs were conducted. The independent sample t test and rank sum test were used to compare the data between the two groups, and the nonparametric was used to compare the patch calcification score between the two groups. Results: In total of 26 animals, 14 animals in the experimental group(6 at 90 days, 8 at 180 days) and 9 animals in the control group(4 at 90 days, 5 at 180 days) reached the end of the experiment. The other 3 animals (1 in the experimental group and 2 in the control group) died of arrhythmia, whole heart failure and right heart failure, the results of pathological examination showed that the causes of death were unrelated to the experimental materials. Cardiac ultrasound showed no patch leakage in all animals. There was no statistically significant difference in cardiac ultrasound and blood examination between the two groups at different time points after operation (all P>0.05). The pathological results showed that all the implants were intact and had good biocompatibility. There was no significant difference in the mean endothelialization rate between the experimental group and the control group at 90 and 180 days after operation ((80.8±29.1)% vs. (82.5±23.6)%, t=0.095, P=0.927; (78.8±36.4)% vs. (82.0±19.2)%, t=0.182, P=0.859) on 90 and 180 days, there was no significant difference in the patch calcification score between the two groups (1.00(1.25) vs. 2.00(0.75), Z=6.500, P=0.214; 0(0.75) vs. 1.00(2.00), Z=12.000, P=0.139). Conclusion: The new Chinese-made surgical biopatch for atrial septum has comparable safety and efficacy to that of the marketable patch in miniature pig atrial septal defect animal model.

PMID:34102737 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20200820-00656

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Enodvascular treatment of isolated abdominal aortic dissection

Zhonghua Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 1;59(6):525-529. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20201102-00778.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To examine the outcome of endovascular treatment in patients of isolated abdominal aortic dissection. Methods: From February 2012 to June 2020, 61 patients (44 males, 17 females) with an age of (60.2±11.4) years (range: 43 to 87 years) of isolated abdominal aortic dissection who underwent the endovascular treatment, including bifurcated and straight aortic stent graft, in the Department of Vascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University were enrolled. There were 47 patients treated with bifurcated aortic stent grafts and 14 patients with straight aortic stent grafts. Patient demographic, preoperative, intraoperative, perioperative data were collected. Clinical follow-up data, including mortality, relative complications and aortic remodeling, were obtained. Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test was used to calculate and compare the rates of survival and freedom from all adverse events. Results: The operative time was (142.4±47.9) minutes (range:70 to 310 minutes) and (95.7±23.7) minutes (range: 70 to 150 minutes) in bifurcated stent group and straight stent group, respectively. The perioperative mortality was 0. One patient had partial occlusion of the left renal artery, and 3 patients had type Ⅰa endoleak post-operation. The follow-up period was (37.1±22.1) months (range: 3 to 91 months). Three patents suffered from type B aortic dissection; one of them progressed into type A aortic dissection and died, another one was treated with secondary endovascular operation, and the remaining one was treated conservatively. One patient had type A aortic dissection and was treated conservatively for 57 months without any discomfort. Stent grafts in iliac artery occlusion happened in 2 patients treated with a bifurcated graft, one of them was treated with a secondary operation because of severe symptom. Aortic remodeling was well with the treatment of bifurcated and straight grafts. There was no difference in the cumulative survival (P=0.584) and freedom from all adverse events (P=0.309) between the two different endovascular treatment strategies. Conclusion: Endovascular aortic repair is an effective and safe treatment strategy for isolated abdominal aortic dissection with reliable mid-term result and excellent aortic remodeling.

PMID:34102739 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20201102-00778

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Analysis of pathogen distribution and drug resistance of acute,delayed and chronic periprosthetic joint infection

Zhonghua Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 1;59(6):484-490. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20201224-00883.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To analyze the pathogen distribution and drug resistance in acute,delayed and chronic periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Methods: The clinical data of 316 patients with periprosthetic infection after primary hip and knee arthroplasty admitted to the Department of Arthroplasty,the First Affiliated Hospital,Xinjiang Medical University from August 2010 to August 2020 were retrospectively analyzed.There were 146 males and 170 females,aged (62.3±14.2) years (range:22 to 89 years).One hundred and sixty one patients underwent total hip arthroplasty and 155 patients underwent total knee arthroplasty.According to the time of postoperative infection,the patients were divided into acute PJI group (65 cases),delayed PJI group (83 cases) and chronic PJI group (168 cases).The results of pathogen species,composition ratio and drug susceptibility tests were collected,and the independent sample t test,Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact probability test were used for comparison. Results: Gram-positive bacteria were the main pathogens of PJI (49.7%,157/316),and the positive rates of culture in patients with acute PJI,delayed PJI and chronic PJI were 33.8% (22/65),55.4% (46/83) and 53.0% (89/168),and the difference was statistically significant(χ²=8.343,P=0.015).The common bacteria were coagulase-negative Staphylococcus (54.8%,86/157) and Staphylococcus aureus (30.6%,48/157),The drug-sensitivity to linezolid,vancomycin and tigacycline was 100%.The gram-negative bacteria were mainly Escherichia coli and Enterobacter cloacae,and the drug resistance rate to carbapenems was low,ranging from 0 to 9.09%.The drug resistance rates of acute PJI patients to rifampicin,ciprofloxacin and erythromycin were significantly higher than those of late onset and chronic PJI patients,the difference was statistically significant(rifampicin:χ²=14.332,P=0.001;ciprofloxacin:χ²=12.086,P=0.002;erythromycin:χ²=9.096,P=0.010);The drug resistance rate of acute PJI patients to levofloxacin,clindamycin and tetracycline was higher than that of chronic PJI patients,and the difference was statistically significant(levofloxacin:χ²=10.500,P=0.002; clindamycin: χ²=7.103,P=0.007; tetracycline: χ²=6.909,P =0.012).The resistance rate of ampicillin/sulbactam in acute PJI (60.0%) was significantly higher than that in chronic PJI (16.7%),and the difference was statistically significant(χ²= 5.853,P=0.040). Conclusion: Gram-positive bacteria are the main pathogens of PJI,and the resistance rate of pathogens of acute PJI is higher than that of late onset and chronic PJI.

PMID:34102732 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112139-20201224-00883

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A preliminary investigation of the clinical characteristics of community acquired pneumonia with concomitant pulmonary embolism

Zhonghua Jie He He Hu Xi Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 12;44(6):525-530. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20210329-00208.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To understanding the clinical characteristics of the patients of pneumonia concomitant with acute pulmonary embolism, and the early identification of high-risk patients. Methods: Retrospective analysis of hospitalized patients with confirmed diagnosis of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) with concomitant pulmonary embolism (PE) within a period of 5 years. Patients hospitalized with CAP alone in the same period were included in the control group in a ratio of 1∶2 according to the principle of gender and age. The demographic characteristics, clinical feature, laboratory examination, radiographic and other clinical data of these 2 groups of patients were studied. Statistical analysis was performed by Chi-square test, Kruskal-Wallis test and logistic regression. Results: Thirty-nine patients with CAP combined with PE and 78 patients with CAP alone were included. Compared to patients with CAP alone, dyspnea (21/39 vs 21/78, P=0.004), a history of heart disease (10/39 vs 8/78, P=0.031), and a history of connective tissue diseases (3/39 vs 0/78, P=0.035) were more common to seen in patients with CAP combined with PE. D-dimer [2 222(854, 3 539) ng/ml vs 295(168, 707) ng/ml, P=0.000], arterial PH value (7.5±0.5 vs 7.4±0.4, P=0.022), BNP [103.9(48.7, 236.8) pg/ml vs 98.4(44.8, 246.3) pg/ml, P=0.028] and incidence of lower extremity venous thrombosis (18/39 vs 3/41, P=0.000) were higher in patients with CAP combined with PE, while arterial partial pressure of CO2 [(35.3±6.2) mmHg vs (38.4±4.4) mmHg, P=0.009, 1 mmHg=0.133 kPa] was lower. Logistic regression analysis showed that D-dimer (P=0.000) and dyspnea (P=0.033) were associated with the risk of PE. Conclusion: When patients with CAP represent dyspnea or have a history of heart disease or connective tissue diseases concomitant PE should be considered for differential diagnosis. Determination of D-dimer, arterial PH value, arterial partial pressure of CO2, BNP and ultrasonography of lower extremities had important implications for the diagnosis of pneumonia complicated with acute pulmonary embolism.

PMID:34102713 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20210329-00208

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Effect of VDR gene silencing on proliferation and NF-κB activation of airway smooth muscle cells

Zhonghua Jie He He Hu Xi Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 12;44(6):537-542. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20200722-00830.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the effect of VDR gene silencing on proliferation of airway smooth muscle cells (ASMCs) and elucidate the role of NF-κB. Methods: A recombinant lentiviral vector specifically targeting VDR gene in rat was constructed by RNA interference. Rat ASMCs were divided into blank group, empty vector group and interference group. ASM cell line model stably silencing the VDR gene RNA expressing was selected by puromycin. Then MTT colorimetric assay and cell cycle analysis by flow cytometry were used to examine cell proliferation. The activation of nuclear factor-κB was determined by immunofluorescence double label method. Moreover, NF-κB-dependent transcription activity was tested through luciferase reporter gene assay. Western blotting was used for IκBα and phospho-IκBα protein levels and actinomycin D treatment was used to determine IκBα mRNA stability. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 23.0 software. Differences between groups were analyzed using one-way ANOVA analysis. Multiple comparisons among groups were made by Student-Newman-Keuls test. Results: (1) As compared with those in the blank group and the empty vector group, the cell proliferation index (PI) and the percent of ASMCs at G2/M phase in the interference group were markedly increased (P<0.05), but their percent at G0/1 phase was decreased (P<0.05).(2) In the interference group, the nuclear translocation of NF-κB p65 in ASMCs was obviously induced. And its level of receptor gene NF-κB p65 (1.37±0.28) was significantly higher than that in the blank group (1.00±0.19,P=0.031) and in the empty vector group (0.96±0.18,P=0.027).(3) In the interference group, the IκBα protein level in ASMCs (0.13±0.04) was obviously less than that in the blank group (0.29±0.05, P=0.023) and in the empty vector group (0.32±0.07, P=0.014). Oppositely, the p-IκBα/IκBα level in the interference group (0.86±0.04) was much more than that in the blank control group (0.41±0.07, P=0.026) and in the empty vector group (0.37±0.05, P=0.017). (4) In the interference group, IκBα mRNA showed a shorter half-life, (171.31±9.67) min, compared to that in the blank group [(224.69±7.95) min,P=0.032] and in the empty vector group [(230.41±6.37) min,P=0.035]. Conclusion: VDR gene silencing could promote ASMC proliferation and the underlying mechanism may involve the activation of NF-κB signaling pathway.

PMID:34102715 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20200722-00830

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Preliminary analysis of intestinal microflora in patients with different severity of OSAHS

Zhonghua Jie He He Hu Xi Za Zhi. 2021 Jun 12;44(6):543-549. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20201009-01027.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To analyze the diversity, abundance and structural composition of intestinal microflora in patients with different severity of OSAHS, and to explore their potential role in the occurrence and development of OSAHS. Methods: A total of 27 healthy volunteers(N) [male 19, female 8, age 22-78(44.4±2.7)years old] of Health Examination Center of the Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and 100 patients with OSAHS [male 86, female 14, age 19-78(49.1±1.3) years old] of Sleep Medicine Center of the Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University were enrolled from December 2018 to September 2019, and patient-related sleep monitoring data and medical history data were collected.According to the AHI classification and whether there were complications, OSAHS patients were divided into mild group (L), moderate group (M), severe group (S) and severe complication group (SC).Using 16S rRNA high-throughput sequencing technology to analyze the intestinal flora of all people, bioinformatics related statistics were analyzed by QIIME2 software, and clinical data were analyzed by SPSS 25.0 software. Results: There was no significant difference in intestinal flora Alpha and Beta diversity among all groups (P>0.05). At phylum level, the relative abundance of Bacteroides in OSAHS group was lower than that in normal group (N group: 24.96%, L group: 18.31%, M group: 12.95%, S group: 15.78%, Sc group: 16.48%). At genus level, the relative abundance of Bacteroides (N group:16.03%, L group: 10.82%, M group: 9.79%, S group: 9.29%, Sc group: 8.25%) and Faecalibacterium (N group: 11.21%, L group: 10.42%, M group: 10.21%, S group: 8.54%, Sc group: 6.27%) were negatively correlated with the severity of OSAHS (the values of r respectively were -0.887, -0.945) while the relative abundance of Bifidobacterium (N group: 3.20%, L group: 2.47%, M group: 4.10%, S group: 4.93%, Sc group: 6.27%) and Blautia (N group: 2.52%, L group: 3.59%, M group: 3.81%, S group: 4.11%, Sc group: 5.86%) were positively correlated with the severity of OSAHS (the values of r respectively were 0.916, 0.940) Compared with the S group, the relative abundance of Roseburia (S group: 10.22%, Sc group: 6.65%) in the Sc is lower and the relative abundance of Shigella(S group: 4.64%, Sc group: 10.01%) is higher. Redundancy analysis (RDA) showed that Apnea hypopnea index (AHI), The lowest oxygen saturation (SpO2min), The average saturation of blood oxygen (SpO2mean) and The longest time of apnea (Tmax) were not significantly correlated with the overall abundance of intestinal flora (P>0.05), However, there was a significant correlation between the abundance of different flora and sleep monitoring indicators. Conclusion: There is an intestinal microecological imbalance in patients with OSAHS, mainly due to the reduction of the relative abundance of probiotics producing short-chain fatty acids and the increase of pathogenic bacteria, suggesting that the disturbance of intestinal flora may be related to the occurrence and development of OSAHS.

PMID:34102716 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112147-20201009-01027

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Effects of hormone replacement therapy on endothelial function, arterial stiffness and myocardial deformation in women with Turner syndrome

J Hypertens. 2021 Jun 4. doi: 10.1097/HJH.0000000000002903. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Turner syndrome (TS) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk. We investigated whether hormone replacement therapy (HRT) affects endothelial function, arterial stiffness and myocardial deformation in women with TS.

METHODS: Twenty-five women with TS were studied in the estrogen phase of the HRT and two months after discontinuation of HRT. The following measurements were made: flow-mediated dilation (FMD) of the brachial artery, pulse wave velocity (PWV-Complior) and central systolic blood pressure (cSBP), carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), aortic (Ao) elastic indexes – namely Ao strain, distensibility, stiffness index and pressure strain modulus (Ep) – and left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) using speckle-tracking echocardiography. Ten healthy female of similar age and BMI served as a control group.

RESULTS: Compared to controls, women with TS on HRT had higher PWV (9.1 ± 2.4 vs. 7.5 ± 0.5 m/s), cSBP (130 ± 15 vs. 121 ± 6 mmHg), cIMT (0.66 ± 0.06 vs. 0.55 ± 0.05 mm), aortic stiffness index, Ep and LA strain, and lower FMD (7.2 ± 4 vs. 10.5 ± 2.3%), Ao strain, Ao distensibility and GLS (-18.8 ± 2.7 vs. -21.9 ± 1.5%) (P < 0.05 for all comparisons). Two months after discontinuation of HRT, all women increased FMD (11.7 ± 6 vs. 7.2 ± 4%) and reduced PWV (7.8 ± 1.7 vs. 9.1 ± 2.4 m/s) and cSBP (123 ± 14 vs. 130 ± 15 mmHg). There were no statistically significant changes in BMI, cIMT and GLS (P > 0.05 for all comparisons). The percentage decrease of cSBP was associated with the percentage decrease of PWV (r = 0.54) and reversely related with the percentage increase of FMD (r = -0.57; P < 0.05 for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS: HRT in women with TS may deteriorate endothelial function contributing to increased arterial stiffness and central arterial blood pressure.

PMID:34102661 | DOI:10.1097/HJH.0000000000002903