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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Review of Statistical and Methodological Issues in the Forensic Prediction of Malingering from Validity Tests: Part II-Methodological Issues

Neuropsychol Rev. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s11065-023-09602-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Forensic neuropsychological examinations to detect malingering in patients with neurocognitive, physical, and psychological dysfunction have tremendous social, legal, and economic importance. Thousands of studies have been published to develop and validate methods to forensically detect malingering based largely on approximately 50 validity tests, including embedded and stand-alone performance and symptom validity tests. This is Part II of a two-part review of statistical and methodological issues in the forensic prediction of malingering based on validity tests. The Part I companion paper explored key statistical issues. Part II examines related methodological issues through conceptual analysis, statistical simulations, and reanalysis of findings from prior validity test validation studies. Methodological issues examined include the distinction between analog simulation and forensic studies, the effect of excluding too-close-to-call (TCTC) cases from analyses, the distinction between criterion-related and construct validation studies, and the application of the Revised Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool (QUADAS-2) in all Test of Memory Malingering (TOMM) validation studies published within approximately the first 20 years following its initial publication to assess risk of bias. Findings include that analog studies are commonly confused for forensic validation studies, and that construct validation studies are routinely presented as if they were criterion-reference validation studies. After accounting for the exclusion of TCTC cases, actual classification accuracy was found to be well below claimed levels. QUADAS-2 results revealed that extant TOMM validation studies all had a high risk of bias, with not a single TOMM validation study with low risk of bias. Recommendations include adoption of well-established guidelines from the biomedical diagnostics literature for good quality criterion-referenced validation studies and examination of implications for malingering determination practices. Design of future studies may hinge on the availability of an incontrovertible reference standard of the malingering status of examinees.

PMID:37594690 | DOI:10.1007/s11065-023-09602-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quality of life of Brazilian families who have children with Fragile X syndrome: a descriptive study

J Community Genet. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s12687-023-00660-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to assess the Family Quality of Life (FQoL) of Brazilian families with male children with Fragile X syndrome (FXS). Data from 53 families were collected using forms that included sociodemographic and clinical information, as well as the Beach Center Family Quality of Life Scale, a 5-point Likert scale ranging from “very dissatisfied” (1) to “very satisfied” (5). The mean overall FQoL score was 3.56 ± 0.79; the emotional well-being domain had the lowest score (2.98 ± 1.11) and showed significant differences between the other domains: family interaction (3.81 ± 0.89; p < 0.001), parenting (3.66 ± 0.89; p < 0.001), physical and material well-being (3.48 ± 0.83; p < 0.001), and disability-related support (3.75 ± 0.98; p < 0.001). Physical and material well-being was the second-lowest domain and was statistically different from the family interaction domain (p = 0.013). Lower FQoL satisfaction ratings were found in families with children who had difficulty getting along with people of the same age (t(51) = -3.193, p = 0.002; d = 1.019) and difficulty in living together on a day-to-day basis (t(51) = -3.060, p = 0.004; d = 0.888). These results highlight the importance of proper emotional support for the family, emphasizing the need to provide assistance not only for individuals with FXS but also for other family members. Besides, we advocate for the adoption of public policies that provide financial assistance to families and the implementation of the Brazilian Policy of Comprehensive Care for People with Rare Diseases.

PMID:37594660 | DOI:10.1007/s12687-023-00660-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The aortic calcification is a risk factor for colorectal anastomotic leakage

Updates Surg. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s13304-023-01630-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The current pooling up analysis aimed to evaluate whether aortic calcification (AC) was a potential risk factor for anastomotic leakage (AL) after colorectal surgery.

METHODS: In this study, we searched studies in three databases including PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library on April 20, 2022. In order to investigate the association between AC and AL, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of AC were pooled up. Our study was performed with RevMan 5.3 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement.

RESULTS: We finally enrolled eight studies involving 1955 patients for statistical analysis. As for all patients, we found that AC could significantly increase the risk of AL after surgery (HR = 2.31, I2 = 0%, 95%CI = 1.58 to 3.38, P < 0.01). In five studies including patients undergoing colorectal surgery (benign diseases and cancers), AC was also a risk factor for AL (HR = 3.30, I2 = 2%; 95%CI = 1.83 to 5.95, P < 0.01). In terms of the other three studies that only included CRC patients, there was still a correction between AC and AL (HR = 1.80, I2 = 0%, 95%CI = 1.10 to 2.96, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION: Patients with AC were more likely to develop AL after colorectal surgery. Moreover, subgroup analysis suggested that AC was a predictor for AL after CRC surgery.

PMID:37594659 | DOI:10.1007/s13304-023-01630-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Performance Implications of Force-Vector-Specific Resistance and Plyometric Training: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis

Sports Med. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s40279-023-01902-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: According to the principle of specific adaptations to imposed demands, training induces specific adaptations that predominantly transfer towards performance tasks of similar physiological and/or biomechanical characteristics. Functional performance improvements secondary to resistance and plyometric training have been hypothesized to be force-vector specific; however, the literature pertaining to this matter appears somewhat equivocal.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of the present systematic review with meta-analysis was to synthesize the available body of literature regarding the performance implications of vertically and horizontally oriented resistance- and plyometric training.

DATA SOURCES: The review drew from the following sources: PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro), Cochrane Library, Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), SPORTDiscus and Google Scholar.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: To qualify for inclusion, studies had to compare the efficacy of vertically and horizontally oriented resistance and/or plyometric training, with one or multiple outcome measures related to vertical/horizontal jumping, sprinting and/or change of direction speed (CODS).

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS: For each outcome measure, an inverse-variance random effects model was applied, with between-treatment effects quantified by the standardized mean difference (SMD) and associated 95% confidence- and prediction intervals.

RESULTS: Between-treatment effects were of trivial magnitude for vertical jumping (SMD = – 0.04, P = 0.69) and long-distance (≥ 20 m) sprinting (0.03, P = 0.83), whereas small to moderate effects in favor of horizontal training were observed for horizontal jumping (0.25, P = 0.07), short-distance (≤ 10 m) sprinting (0.72, P = 0.01) and CODS (0.31, P = 0.06), although only the short-distance sprint outcome reached statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our meta-analysis reveals a potential superiority of horizontally oriented training for horizontal jumping, short-distance sprinting and CODS, whereas vertically oriented training is equally efficacious for vertical jumping and long-distance sprinting. From an applied perspective, the present analysis provides an advanced basis for weighting of vertical and horizontal force-vector exercises as an integrated component for optimizing sport-specific performances. The present systematic review with meta-analysis was not a priori registered.

PMID:37594654 | DOI:10.1007/s40279-023-01902-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Application and impact of Lasso regression in gastroenterology: A systematic review

Indian J Gastroenterol. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s12664-023-01426-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression is a statistical technique that can be used to study the effects of clinical variables in outcome prediction. In this study, we aimed at systematically reviewing the application of Lasso regression in gastroenterology for developing predictive models and providing a method of performing Lasso regression. A comprehensive search strategy was conducted in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane CENTRAL databases (Keywords: lasso regression; gastrointestinal tract/diseases) following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Studies were screened for eligibility based on pre-defined selection criteria and the data was extracted using a standardized form. Total 16 studies were included, comprising a diverse range of gastroenterological disease-related outcomes. Sample sizes ranged from 134 to 8861 subjects. Eleven studies reported liver disease-related prediction models, while five focused on non-hepatic etiology models. Lasso regression was applied for variable selection, risk prediction and model development, with various validation methods and performance metrics used. Model performance metrics included Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC), C-index and calibration plots. In gastroenterology, Lasso regression has been used in various diseases such as inflammatory bowel disease, liver disease and esophageal cancer. It is valuable for complex scenarios with many predictors. However, its effectiveness depends on high-quality and complete data. While it identifies important variables, it doesn’t provide causal interpretations. Therefore, cautious interpretation is necessary considering the study design and data quality.

PMID:37594652 | DOI:10.1007/s12664-023-01426-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Potential Impact of MYH9 (rs3752462) and ELMO1 (rs741301) Genetic Variants on the Risk of Nephrotic Syndrome Incidence

Biochem Genet. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s10528-023-10481-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The kidney lost a lot of protein in the urine when you have nephrotic syndrome (NS). Clinical manifestations mostly common in NS include massive proteinuria, hypoalbuminemia, hyperlipidemia, and edema. Idiopathic nephrotic syndrome is currently classified into steroid-dependent (SDNS) and steroid-resistant (SRNS) based on the initial response to corticosteroid therapy at presentation. Several reports examined the association of the MYH9 gene (rs3752462, C > T) variant and ELMO1 gene (rs741301 G > A) variant as risk factors for Nephrotic Syndrome. This study aimed to determine the potential effect of the MYH9 gene (rs3752462, C > T) and ELMO1 gene (rs741301) variant on the risk of (NS) among Egyptian Children. This study included two hundred participants involving 100 nephrotic syndrome (NS) cases and 100 healthy controls free from nephrotic syndrome (NS). The MYH9 gene (rs3752462, C > T) variant and ELMO1 gene (rs G > A741301) variant were analyzed by ARMS-PCR technique. Nephrotic syndrome cases include 74% SRNS and 26% SDNS. Higher frequencies of the heterozygous carrier (CT) and homozygous variant (TT) genotypes of the MYH9 (rs3752462, C > T) variant were observed in NS patients compared to the controls with p-value < 0.001. The frequencies of the MYH9 (rs3752462, C > T variant indicated a statistically significant elevated risk of NS under various genetic models, including allelic model (OR 2.85, p < 0.001), dominant (OR 3.97, p < 0.001) models, and the recessive model OR 5.94, p < 0.001). Higher frequencies of the heterozygous carrier (GA) and homozygous variant (AA) genotypes of ELMO1gene (rs G > A741301) variant were observed in NS patients compared to the controls with p-value < 0.001. The frequencies of the ELMO1 (rs G > A741301) variant indicated a statistically significant elevated risk of NS under various genetic models, including allelic model (OR 2.15, p < 0.001), dominant models (OR 2.8, p < 0.001), and the recessive model (OR 4.17, p = 0.001). Both MYH9 and ELMO1 gene variants are significantly different in NS in comparison with the control group (p < 0.001). The MYH9 gene (rs3752462, C > T) and ELMO1gene (rs G > A741301) variants were considered independent risk factors for NS among Egyptian Children.

PMID:37594641 | DOI:10.1007/s10528-023-10481-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Bouncing Back: Resilience as a Protective Factor for the Impact of Child Problem Behavior on Caregiver Depressive Cognitions Among Youth with Autism Spectrum Disorder

J Autism Dev Disord. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s10803-023-06094-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Caregivers of children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) often report higher rates of depression and the related negative thought patterns that may precede a clinical diagnosis. These negative thought patterns are referred to as depressive cognitions. Depressive cognitions are exacerbated by child problem behaviors (CPB) but may be impacted by parental resilience. The current study examines relations between CPB and depressive cognitions and the role of resilience as a moderator among caregivers of children with ASD (n = 287) and a sample of caregivers of children who are typically developing (n = 207). Significant positive associations were found between CPB and depressive cognitions for caregivers of children with ASD and who are typically developing. A moderation analysis revealed that, among the ASD sample, the model accounted for 33% of the variance in caregiver depressive cognitions (R2 = 0.33, SE = 35.52, p < 0.001). The interaction of child problem behaviors and caregiver resilience on caregiver depressive cognitions was statistically significant (B = – 0.016, SE = 0.007, p = 0.037), thus resilience was a significant moderator, for caregivers of children with ASD. Resilience serves as a protective factor in the relationship between child problem behavior and caregiver depressive cognitions for caregivers of children with ASD only. This finding highlights the importance of assessing and supporting resilience among caregivers of children with ASD. Interventions addressing child behavior would benefit from additional components to bolster caregiver resilience to enhance caregiver mental health and protect against depressive cognitions.

PMID:37594631 | DOI:10.1007/s10803-023-06094-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Fluorescence of D-Glucose-Derived Carbon Dots: Effect of Process Parameters

J Fluoresc. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s10895-023-03392-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to synthesize highly fluorescent carbon dots (CDs) from glucose using a microwave hydrothermal method. It explored the impact of glucose concentration, process time, molar ratio of KH2PO4 to glucose, and homogenization time on the resulting CDs, employing a fractional plan 3(k-1) with four independent parameters for twenty-seven synthesis. Results showed that longer process times at 200°C increased the fluorescence intensity of the CDs. The molar ratio of KH2PO4 to glucose, glucose concentration, and process time significantly influenced fluorescence. Homogenization was crucial for obtaining small particles, though an anti-aggregation agent might still be needed. UV-vis spectroscopy, spectrofluorimetry, and DLS were used to analyze the synthesized CDs. The UV-vis absorption maxima were observed around 230 nm and 282 nm, with peak shifts at different excitation wavelengths. Out of the twenty-seven samples, six CDs samples were identified to be below 10 nm and a total of twelve below 50 nm. Analyzing the results, the study concluded that the CDs possess strong fluorescence and are suitable for diverse applications. For enhanced fluorescence, longer process times at 200°C and the use of KH2PO4 were recommended, while shorter processes were preferred for obtaining smaller particles. Hierarchical clustering, the k-means method, Pareto charts, and profiles for predicted values and desirability were used to analyze the results. It was confirmed that higher fluorescence is favored by longer process time at 200°C and the use of KH2PO4. In order to obtain smaller particles, shorter processes should be used.

PMID:37594585 | DOI:10.1007/s10895-023-03392-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The association between phosphate level at admission and early mortality in acute pancreatitis

J Gastroenterol. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s00535-023-02034-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Abnormal phosphate levels are associated with adverse outcomes in critical illness. However, there is scarce evidence on phosphate’s impact on acute pancreatitis outcomes, and the few studies examining this subject are relatively small and show conflicting data. We sought to determine the association between phosphate level at admission and the clinical course and outcomes of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS: In this retrospective single-center observational study, we included all adult patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of acute pancreatitis between January 2008 and June 2021. Phosphate levels at admission were classified as normal (2.8-4.5 mg/dl), low (below 2.8 mg/dl), or high (above 4.5 mg/dl).

RESULTS: Out of 2308 cases, 1868 patients had documented phosphate levels at admission and were thus included in our final analysis. 1096 (59%) had normal phosphate levels, 686 (37%) had hypophosphatemia, and 86 (4.6%) had hyperphosphatemia on admission. 30-day mortality rates were 3.4%, 3.8%, and 19% in normal, low, and high phosphate levels, respectively. In univariate analysis, hyperphosphatemia was significantly associated with 30-day mortality, with an OR of 6.54 (95% CI 3.39-12.2, p < 0.001; AUC = 0.58). In a multivariate analysis adjusting for age, MAP, GFR, BUN, and pH, hyperphosphatemia remained a statistically significant independent predictor of early mortality (OR-2.93, 95% CI 1.28-6.51, p = 0.009). Hypophosphatemia was not significantly associated with 30-day mortality in univariate analysis, OR of 1.13 (95% CI 0.67-1.87, p = 0.6).

CONCLUSION: Hyperphosphatemia at admission was independently associated with increased 30-day mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. Hypophosphatemia at admission was not significantly associated with 30-day mortality.

PMID:37594581 | DOI:10.1007/s00535-023-02034-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness and rapidity on olfatory fuction recovery in CRS patients treated with Dupilumab: a real life prospective controlled study

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2023 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s00405-023-08184-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recovery of olfactory function plays a prominent role in patients with chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP). While rates and timing of such recovery vary, monoclonal antibodies might yield better results which we aimed at evaluating with this study.

METHODOLOGY: A prospective controlled study was conducted at our tertiary otolaryngological center from April 1, 2021, to October 1, 2022, in CRSwNP patients. We included an active group (n = 60 patients) performing dupilumab treatment and a control group (n = 60 patients) treated with intranasal and oral corticosteroids. Primary endpoints were changes in smell visual analogical scale (VAS) and SS-I (Sniffin’ Sticks-identification) scores, and olfactory recovery rate. The secondary efficacy endpoints were nasal obstruction, rhinorrhea, headache, SNOT-22, and nasal congestion score (NCS).

RESULTS: At 6 months, the active group demonstrated better outcomes than control in SS-I scores (10.23 ± 4.21 vs.3.68 ± 3.08; p < 0.001). No significant differences were found in blood eosinophil count, SNOT-22, and NPS (p > 0.05 for all). Olfactory function in the treatment arm improved in 86.66% (52/60 cases), with normal scores in 48.33% (29/60), while the control group reported a lower recovery rate (3/60; 5%), with no normal olfaction cases. Log-rank comparison for Kaplan-Meier functions was statistically significant (p < 0.001), but no differences were found in subanalysis in the active group based on blood eosinophil count at baseline, SNOT-22, and NPS scores.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients who receive dupilumab treatment may experience a faster recovery of olfactory function compared to those receiving corticosteroid therapy. This result would be maintained regardless of the severity of type 2 CRSwNP inflammation, the volume of the polyps, or the patient’s subjective symptomatology.

PMID:37594543 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-023-08184-6