Category: Statistics

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2024 Jun 8;45(6):3614-3626. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202307161.

ABSTRACT

The altitude distribution patterns of soil microorganisms and their driving mechanisms are crucial for understanding the consequences of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems. There is an obvious altitude difference in Datong River Basin in the Qilian Mountains. Two spatial scale transections were set up along the mountain slope (with altitude spanning 1 000 m) and the mainstream direction (with altitude spanning 300-500 m), respectively. The distribution characteristics of the soil bacterial community structure and diversity along the altitude gradients were examined using high-throughput sequencing technology. Based on the FAPROTAX database, the altitude distribution patterns of nitrogen cycling functional groups were analyzed to investigate the major environmental factors influencing the altitude distribution patterns of soil bacterial communities. The findings revealed that:① Soil physicochemical characteristics varied significantly with altitude. The content of total nitrogen (TN) and nitrate nitrogen (NO₃^–) were positively correlated with the altitude (P < 0.01), whereas the soil bulk density and pH were negatively connected (P < 0.001). ② The abundance of OTU increased significantly along the altitude (P < 0.01), and the richness and diversity indices increased along the altitude, although the trend was not statistically significant (P > 0.05). ③ The predominant bacterial communities were Acidobacteria, Proteobacteria, and Bacteroidetes, and as altitude climbed, their relative abundances varied between increasing, decreasing, and slightly decreasing, respectively. ④ The nitrogen cycling processes involved 13 functional groups, primarily nitrification, aerobic ammonia oxidation, aerobic nitrite oxidation, etc. As the altitude increased, the response law changed, with an increase in the abundance of nitrobacteria (P < 0.01), a slight increase in the abundance of aerobic ammonia-oxidizing bacteria and nitrite-oxidizing bacteria, and a hump-back tendency in bacteria abundance for nitrogen respiration. ⑤ Redundancy analysis revealed that the key determinants influencing soil bacterial populations at the phylum level were altitude, pH, and the content of NH₄⁺. Mantel analysis showed that the dominant groups of soil bacterial nitrogen cycling were all statistically and significantly driven by altitude (P < 0.01). ⑥ The α-diversity of the bacterial community with increasing altitude were both increased along the mountain slope and the mainstream direction, but the soil properties, the abundance of N-cycling functional groups, and the main environmental factors differed. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the altitude distribution pattern of soil microorganisms at different spatial scales.

PMID:38897781 | DOI:10.13227/j.hjkx.202307161

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2024 Jun 8;45(6):3129-3141. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202307245.

ABSTRACT

Groundwater nitrate (NO₃^–) contamination in China has become a serious environmental problem, especially in agricultural production areas, which greatly affects the safety of drinking groundwater and requires urgent attention. In this study, the main sources of groundwater nitrate in China were reviewed, including atmospheric deposition, soil nitrogen, agricultural fertilization, and fecal sewage, among which fecal sewage and agricultural fertilization were the main reasons for the excessive groundwater nitrate. The application of hydrochemical analysis, multivariate statistical analysis, stable isotope tracer method, and microbial source tracking in the source apportionment of groundwater nitrate was summarized. All types of source apportionment methods had certain limitations. It is suggested that a variety of methods should be used to identify the source of groundwater nitrate, and the contribution rate of different pollution sources should be calculated using multivariate statistical analysis and isotope quantitative analysis models. The source apportionment of nitrate pollution has undergone a process from qualitative to quantitative research. At present, the SIAR and MixSIAR models based on δ¹⁵N-NO₃^–and δ¹⁸O-NO₃^– have been used widely to analyze the source of nitrate. However, due to the overlap of isotope characteristic values of different input end-members, the difference in δ¹⁵N-NO₃^–and δ¹⁸O-NO₃^– values under different spatial and temporal changes, and the influence of isotope fractionation in the process of nitrogen migration and transformation, the results calculated by the model remain uncertain. It is necessary to further optimize the analytical method of the model to obtain the source of nitrate pollution and its contribution rate more accurately to further aid in the scientific management of groundwater resources.

PMID:38897737 | DOI:10.13227/j.hjkx.202307245

Tob Control. 2024 Jun 19:tc-2024-058593. doi: 10.1136/tc-2024-058593. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Terms such as ‘natural’, ‘organic’ and ‘tobacco and water’ on cigarette packs may communicate misleading reduced harm messages to consumers. This study describes sales volume and price for brands that used these misleading descriptors in the USA by year, brand and state.

METHODS: The data come from Information Resources Incorporated sales data collected in 44 US states from January 2018 to January 2023. Trained coders used Universal Product Codes, purchased packs and internet searches to identify cigarettes sold with ‘natural’, ‘organic’ and ‘tobacco and water’ on packs. We report cigarette pack unit sales counts (sales volume) and average price per pack by year, as well as per cent year-over-year change in sales volume and price and annual market share by descriptor terms.

RESULTS: Overall, pack sales volume decreased year-over-year from 2019 to 2022. Sales volume for packs with ‘natural’, ‘tobacco and water’ and ‘organic’ decreased less than overall; in some cases, they increased. In 2022, packs with ‘natural’ accounted for the greatest share of cigarette unit sales (5.42% or 33 605 036 packs), followed by ‘tobacco and water’ (2.25% or 12 959 905 packs) and ‘organic’ (0.53% or 4 614 592 packs). Natural American Spirit (NAS) and Winston accounted for most sales with ‘natural’ and ‘tobacco and water’; NAS accounted for nearly all sales with ‘organic’. Packs with ‘natural’, ‘tobacco and water’ or ‘organic’ made up the largest portion of sales in western (Oregon, Idaho, California, Colorado and Washington) and northeastern (Vermont, Massachusetts and New Hampshire) US states.

CONCLUSION: Brands using ‘natural’, ‘tobacco and water’ and ‘organic’ on packs increased their market share between 2019 and 2022; in some states, market share was over 10% in 2022. Our findings emphasise the importance of regulating these terms and continually monitoring their population impact.

PMID:38897726 | DOI:10.1136/tc-2024-058593

Lancet Child Adolesc Health. 2024 Jul;8(7):510-521. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(24)00098-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The degree of physiological responses to individual antipsychotic drugs is unclear in children and adolescents. With network meta-analysis, we aimed to investigate the effects of various antipsychotic medications on physiological variables in children and adolescents with neuropsychiatric and neurodevelopmental conditions.

METHODS: For this network meta-analysis, we searched Medline, EMBASE, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and Scopus from database inception until Dec 22, 2023, and included randomised controlled trials comparing antipsychotics with placebo in children or adolescents younger than 18 years with any neuropsychiatric and neurodevelopmental condition. Primary outcomes were mean change from baseline to end of acute treatment in bodyweight, BMI, fasting glucose, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, prolactin, heart rate, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and QT interval corrected for heart rate (QTc) for patients receiving either active treatment or placebo. For multigroup trials reporting several doses, we calculated a summary value for each physiological variable for all doses. After transitivity assessment, we fitted frequentist random-effects network meta-analyses for all comparisons in the network. A Kilim plot was used to summarise the results for all treatments and outcomes, providing information regarding the strength of the statistical evidence of treatment effects, using p values. Network heterogeneity was assessed with τ, risk of bias of individual trials was assessed with the Cochrane Collaboration’s Tool for Assessing Risk of Bias, and the credibility of findings from each network meta-analysis was assessed with the Confidence in Network Meta-Analysis (CINEMA) app. This study is registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021274393).

FINDINGS: Of 6676 studies screened, 47 randomised controlled trials were included, which included 6500 children (mean age 13·29 years, SD 2·14) who received treatment for a median of 7 weeks (IQR 6-8) with either placebo (n=2134) or one of aripiprazole, asenapine, blonanserin, clozapine, haloperidol, lurasidone, molindone, olanzapine, paliperidone, pimozide, quetiapine, risperidone, or ziprasidone (n=4366). Mean differences for bodyweight change gain compared with placebo ranged from -2·00 kg (95% CI -3·61 to -0·39) with molindone to 5·60 kg (0·27 to 10·94) with haloperidol; BMI -0·70 kg/m² (-1·21 to -0·19) with molindone to 2·03 kg/m² (0·51 to 3·55) with quetiapine; total cholesterol -0·04 mmol/L (-0·39 to 0·31) with blonanserin to 0·35 mmol/L (0·17 to 0·53) with quetiapine; LDL cholesterol -0·12 mmol/L (-0·31 to 0·07) with risperidone or paliperidone to 0·17 mmol/L (-0·06 to 0·40) with olanzapine; HDL cholesterol 0·05 mmol/L (-0·19 to 0·30) with quetiapine to 0·48 mmol/L (0·18 to 0·78) with risperidone or paliperidone; triglycerides -0·03 mmol/L (-0·12 to 0·06) with lurasidone to 0·29 mmol/L (0·14 to 0·44) with olanzapine; fasting glucose from -0·09 mmol/L (-1·45 to 1·28) with blonanserin to 0·74 mmol/L (0·04 to 1·43) with quetiapine; prolactin from -2·83 ng/mL (-8·42 to 2·75) with aripiprazole to 26·40 ng/mL (21·13 to 31·67) with risperidone or paliperidone; heart rate from -0·20 bpm (-8·11 to 7·71) with ziprasidone to 12·42 bpm (3·83 to 21·01) with quetiapine; SBP from -3·40 mm Hg (-6·25 to -0·55) with ziprasidone to 10·04 mm Hg (5·56 to 14·51) with quetiapine; QTc from -0·61 ms (-1·47 to 0·26) with pimozide to 0·30 ms (-0·05 to 0·65) with ziprasidone.

INTERPRETATION: Children and adolescents show varied but clinically significant physiological responses to individual antipsychotic drugs. Treatment guidelines for children and adolescents with a range of neuropsychiatric and neurodevelopmental conditions should be updated to reflect each antipsychotic drug’s distinct profile for associated metabolic changes, alterations in prolactin, and haemodynamic alterations.

FUNDING: UK Academy of Medical Sciences, Brain and Behaviour Research Foundation, UK National Institute of Health Research, Maudsley Charity, the Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, National Institute of Health and Care Research Biomedical Centre at King’s College London and South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, the Italian Ministry of University and Research, the Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan, and Swiss National Science Foundation.

PMID:38897716 | DOI:10.1016/S2352-4642(24)00098-1

Lancet Child Adolesc Health. 2024 Jul;8(7):500-509. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(24)00076-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prenatal drug exposure (PDE) is a global public health problem that is strongly associated with the need for child protection services, including placement into out-of-home care (OOHC). We aimed to assess school outcomes for children with PDE (both with and without neonatal abstinence syndrome [NAS]) and the association of school performance with OOHC.

METHODS: Using linked population health, OOHC, and school test data, we compared results on the Australian standardised curriculum-based test, the National Assessment Program-Literacy and Numeracy (NAPLAN), for children with PDE who were born in New South Wales (NSW) between 2001 and 2020 and had completed at least one NAPLAN test between Jan 1, 2008, and June 30, 2021, administered in Year 3 (age 8-9 years), Year 5 (age 10-11 years), Year 7 (age 12-13 years), or Year 9 (age 14-15 years). Linked datasets included NSW Perinatal Data Collection (birth data), NSW Admitted Patient Data Collection (hospital diagnoses), NSW Education Standards Authority (NAPLAN scores), NSW Family and Community Services Dataset-KiDS Data Collection (OOHC information), NSW Mental Health Ambulatory Data Collection, and NSW Registry for Births, Deaths, and Marriages. The primary outcome was scoring above or below the National Minimum Standard (NMS) in any test domain (mathematics, language, writing, and spelling) at each year level, comparing the relative risk of scoring below NMS between children with and without PDE (and with or without NAS within the PDE group), and with and without OOHC contact. The association between OOHC on the likelihood of scoring above NMS was also investigated for PDE and non-PDE cohorts.

FINDINGS: The PDE cohort included 3836 children, and the non-PDE cohort included 897 487 children. Within the PDE cohort, 3192 children had a NAS diagnosis and 644 children had no NAS diagnosis. 1755 (45·8%) children with PDE required OOHC compared with 12 880 (1·4%) of 897 487 children without PDE. Children with PDE were more likely than children without PDE to score below NMS in any domain from Year 3 (risk ratio 2·72 [95% CI 2·58-2·76]) to Year 9 (2·36 [2·22-2·50]). Performance was similar regardless of a NAS diagnosis (Year 3: 0·96 [0·84-1·10]; Year 9: 0·98 [0·84-1·15]). The likelihood of scoring above NMS in Year 9 was reduced for children with PDE and without NAS (0·57 [0·45-0·73]) and NAS (0·58 [0·52-0·64]) compared with those without PDE, and also for children who received OOHC (0·60 [0·57-0·64]) compared with those without OOHC, when adjusted for confounders. Among children with PDE, those receiving OOHC had a similar likelihood of scoring above NMS compared with children who did not receive OOHC, from Year 3 (1·01 [0·92-1·11]) to Year 9 (0·90 [0·73-1·10]), when adjusted for confounding factors. By contrast, among children without PDE, those receiving OOHC were less likely to score above NMS than those who did not receive OOHC, from Year 3 (0·78 [0·76-0·80]) to Year 9 (0·58 [0·54-0·61]).

INTERPRETATION: Compared with children without PDE, school performance in children with PDE-regardless of whether they were diagnosed with NAS-is poor, and the gap widens with age. The risk of poor performance persists regardless of OOHC status. This finding underscores the need for all children with PDE to receive long-term, culturally sensitive, and proactive support to improve life success.

FUNDING: SPHERE Mindgardens Neuroscience Network, Australian Red Cross, Alpha Maxx Healthcare, Centre for Research Excellence for Integrated Health and Social Care, National Health and Medical Research Council, and University of Sydney.

PMID:38897715 | DOI:10.1016/S2352-4642(24)00076-2

Endocrinol Diabetes Nutr (Engl Ed). 2024 May;71(5):216-220. doi: 10.1016/j.endien.2024.03.018.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: It is suggested to wait at least 3 months to repeat a fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) to avoid possible inflammatory cytological changes induced by a previous procedure. This study evaluated the influence of the interval between 2 FNACs in a cohort with a previous non-diagnostic (ND) FNAC. We analysed the occurrence of ND or atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS) results in the second FNAC, based on the intervals between procedures.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective study (2017-2020) including thyroid nodules with a ND result, subjected to another FNAC. Demographic, clinical and echographic data, interval between FNACs and their results were collected. We considered the intervals: ≤/>3 months and ≤/>6 months. Second FNAC results were classified as ND, AUS/FLUS or diagnostic (including the other Bethesda categories).

RESULTS: Included 190 nodules (190 patients – 82.1% women, mean age 60±13.7 years) with a first ND FNAC. The second FNAC results were: ND in 63 cases, AUS/FLUS in 9 and diagnostic in 118 cases. There were no statistical differences in FNAC results performed≤3 months (13 ND, 2 AUS/FLUS, 19 diagnostic) vs >3 months (50 ND, 7 AUS/FLUS, 99 diagnostic; p=0.71). Similarly, there were no statistical differences considering a longer time interval: ≤6 months (32 ND, 3 AUS/FLUS, 59 diagnostic) vs >6 months (31 ND, 6 AUS/FLUS, 59 diagnostic; p=0.61).

CONCLUSIONS: Time interval between FNACs was not relevant to the final cytological result. Early FNAC repetition did not increase the cases of ND or AUS/FLUS.

PMID:38897705 | DOI:10.1016/j.endien.2024.03.018

Air Med J. 2024 Jul-Aug;43(4):321-327. doi: 10.1016/j.amj.2024.03.002. Epub 2024 Apr 6.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This observational study provides an overview of the implementation and impact of the helipad at the Bucharest Emergency University Hospital, Romania. The helipad, established in April 2019, is the only rooftop medical helipad in Bucharest authorized for day and night flights. Its influence extends beyond the local region, enabling the hospital to receive patients from various cities across Romania. The helipad has particularly strengthened the hospital’s capabilities in cardiology, neurovascular emergencies, and neonatal care. Patients with acute myocardial infarctions or strokes can now be swiftly transported to the hospital for immediate intervention, whereas critically ill newborns can receive specialized care at the earliest stages of their lives. The objective of this article was to present a comprehensive timeline of the helipad’s implementation and to demonstrate its transformative role in improving patient transportation, enhancing medical interventions, and elevating the overall efficiency of the health care facility.

METHODS: The study is a retrospective regional caseload analysis based on data gathered from the Emergency Department of the University Emergency Hospital of Bucharest database. We included all 215 air transfer missions registered between December 2019 and December 2022, exactly 3 years apart from the beginning of the program.

RESULTS: The findings provide valuable insights into patient demographics, case distribution, and trends, highlighting the importance of specialized medical interventions at the University Emergency Hospital of Bucharest. In particular, the mean age of patients treated at the hospital was 55.9 years, with a higher representation of males (156) than females (59). The average duration of hospitalization was 10.68 days. The study also examined transportation statistics, showing a decrease in the average number of transports per month over the years. Cardiologic cases accounted for the highest frequency (62.8%) among the analyzed categories followed by neurosurgery (8.8%) and neurologic cases (8.4%).

CONCLUSION: The analysis provides important insights into patient demographics, case distribution, and trends. The findings highlight the significance of specialized medical interventions, particularly in cardiology and neurosurgery, which accounted for the majority of the cases. The implementation of the helipad has greatly improved patient transportation and facilitated timely medical assistance.

PMID:38897695 | DOI:10.1016/j.amj.2024.03.002

Air Med J. 2024 Jul-Aug;43(4):308-312. doi: 10.1016/j.amj.2024.01.010. Epub 2024 Feb 22.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Intoxicated patients are often encountered by emergency medical services (eg, in cases of recreational drug use, accidental ingestion, or inhalation of toxic substances or [attempted] suicide). Earlier research showed that a physician-staffed helicopter emergency medical service (P-HEMS) is regularly dispatched for intoxicated patients. However, it is still unclear if there is added value of P-HEMS compared with standard care provided by an ambulance crew. The aim of this study was to analyze the contribution of additional expertise and equipment that P-HEMS brings to the prehospital scene.

METHODS: In this retrospective study, we searched the database of the helicopter emergency medical service Lifeliner 1 serving the northwestern quadrant of the Netherlands for cases that involved intoxications from January 2013 to July 2020. Patients were included in this study if the primary reason for P-HEMS dispatch was intoxication. The types of intoxication were categorized as (illicit/recreational) drug related, suicide attempt, or accidental. The agents were categorized as stimulants, depressants, hallucinogenic, cannabinoids, and other substances such as bleach or insulin. Patient characteristics, vital signs, and the therapeutic interventions performed were recorded for analysis.

RESULTS: In our study period, P-HEMS was dispatched 23,878 times. Of these dispatches, a total of 259 cases were included for further analysis. The majority of patients were male (64.5%). Sixty-six patients (25.5%) had an intoxication of depressant agents alone, whereas 60 patients (23.2%) had an intoxication with a combination of agents. With 159 (61.4%) patients, the majority of cases involved recreational drug intoxications. Unintentional intoxications were treated in 27 (10.4%) patients, whereas 73 (28.2%) cases involved suicide attempts. In 159 patients (61.4%), prehospital endotracheal intubation was required; the vast majority was performed by the helicopter emergency medical service physician. Specific antidotes were administered in 56 (21.6%) of the cases.

CONCLUSION: In this study, we found that P-HEMS crews might complement usual prehospital care by ambulance crews for patients with severe intoxications by bringing advanced skills (eg, airway management and specific antidotes) to the scene.

PMID:38897693 | DOI:10.1016/j.amj.2024.01.010

Air Med J. 2024 Jul-Aug;43(4):295-302. doi: 10.1016/j.amj.2024.01.006. Epub 2024 Feb 8.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Critically ill patients requiring urgent interventions or subspecialty care often require transport over significant distances to tertiary care centers. The optimal method of transportation (air vs. ground) is unknown. We investigated whether air transport was associated with lower mortality for patients being transferred to a specialized critical care resuscitation unit (CCRU).

METHODS: This was a retrospective study of all adult patients transferred to the CCRU at the University of Maryland Medical Center in 2018. Our primary outcome was hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes included the length of stay and the time to the operating room (OR) for patients undergoing urgent procedures. We performed optimal 1:2 propensity score matching for each patient’s need for air transport.

RESULTS: We matched 198 patients transported by air to 382 patients transported by ground. There was no significant difference between demographics, the initial Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, or hospital outcomes between groups. One hundred sixty-four (83%) of the patients transported via air survived to hospital discharge compared with 307 (80%) of those transported by ground (P = .46). Patients transported via air arrived at the CCRU more quickly (127 [100-178] vs. 223 [144-332] minutes, P < .001) and were more likely (60 patients, 30%) to undergo urgent surgical operation within 12 hours of CCRU arrival (30% vs. 17%, P < .001). For patients taken to the OR within 12 hours of arriving at the CCRU, patients transported by air were more likely to go to the OR after 200 minutes since the transfer request (P = .001).

CONCLUSION: The transportation mode used to facilitate interfacility transfer was not significantly associated with hospital mortality or the length of stay for critically ill patients.

PMID:38897691 | DOI:10.1016/j.amj.2024.01.006

J Am Coll Cardiol. 2024 Jun 25;83(25):2615-2625. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2024.04.025.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is associated with high early mortality. However, it remains unclear if patients surviving the early phase have long-term excess mortality.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to assess excess mortality in STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with an age- and- sex-matched general population at landmark periods 0 to 30 days, 31 to 90 days, and 91 days to 10 years.

METHODS: Using the Western Denmark Heart Registry, we identified first-time PCI-treated patients who had primary PCI for STEMI from January 2003 to October 2018. Each patient was matched by age and sex to 5 individuals from the general population.

RESULTS: We included 18,818 patients with first-time STEMI and 94,090 individuals from the general population. Baseline comorbidity burden was similar in STEMI patients and matched individuals. Compared with the matched individuals, STEMI was associated with a 5.9% excess mortality from 0 to 30 days (6.0% vs 0.2%; HR: 36.44; 95% CI: 30.86-43.04). An excess mortality remained present from 31 to 90 days (0.9% vs 0.4%; HR: 2.43; 95% CI: 2.02-2.93). However, in 90-day STEMI survivors, the absolute excess mortality was only 2.1 percentage points at 10-year follow-up (26.5% vs 24.5%; HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01-1.08). Use of secondary preventive medications such as statins, antiplatelet therapy, and beta-blockers was very high in STEMI patients throughout 10-year follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS: In primary PCI-treated STEMI patients with high use of guideline-recommended therapy, patients surviving the first 90 days had 10-year mortality that was only 2% higher than that of a matched general population.

PMID:38897670 | DOI:10.1016/j.jacc.2024.04.025