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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Which method is successful in closure of acute oroantral communication? A retrospective study

Med Oral Patol Oral Cir Bucal. 2023 Dec 27:26084. doi: 10.4317/medoral.26084. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study’s purpose is to retrospectively evaluate the success of surgical methods used in treating Oroantral Communication (OAC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study was designed as a retrospective cohort study on patients who developed OAC after surgery maxillary posterior region. The records of patients previously treated with OAC were scanned through the hospital registry software. A data set was created by recording patients’ age, gender, systemic disease, etiological reasons, and surgical methods. The primary predictor variable was the surgical method used to treat OAC. Other variables were age, gender, systemic disease and etiological reasons. The primary outcome was oroantral fistula development after the first surgical intervention. The patients who were positive in clinical examination and Valsalva test on control days were considered unsuccessful. One-way analysis of variance and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for quantitative variables in more than two groups. Pearson chi-square test was used to compare categorical data.

RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study was completed with 605 patients who met the study criteria among 95,883 patients who underwent surgery in the maxillary posterior region. The incidence of OAC was 0.63%. The patients consisted of 238 female and 367 male patients. The mean age was 41.06±14.48 years. Buccal flap and Buccal Fat Pad methods were used most frequently in the treatment. While treatment was completed with the first surgical intervention in 592 (97.85%) patients, OAF developed in 13 (2.15%) patients. No statistically significant relation existed between surgical technique and OAF development (p>0.005). The success rate of the Buccal Flap method was 98.7%, and the Buccal Fat Pad method was 95.8%.

CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study showed that noninvasive methods in openings smaller than 5 mm and surgical treatment methods in openings larger than 5 mm have a high success rate with the limitations of present study.

PMID:38150602 | DOI:10.4317/medoral.26084

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Minimally Invasive Extended Totally Extraperitoneal Versus Transabdominal Retromuscular Ventral Hernia Mesh Repair: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

J Laparoendosc Adv Surg Tech A. 2023 Dec 27. doi: 10.1089/lap.2023.0342. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Minimally invasive surgery for ventral hernia repair (MIS-VHR) with mesh in retromuscular plane can be performed by either transabdominally (TA-RM) or via enhanced view totally extraperitoneal approach (eTEP). Although both techniques offer the mesh extension in the best anatomical space, closure of hernia defect, avoidance of traumatic fixation, the superiority of one approach over another is not established. This systematic review and meta-analysis were set up to analyze safety and efficacy of eTEP in comparison with TA-RM. Materials and Methods: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) framework was used as guideline to conduct systematic search of literature. Studies that provided comparative data of MIS-VHR using eTEP versus TA-RM were identified. Primary outcomes were major complications. These were defined as grade III-IV according to Clavien-Dindo classification. Secondary outcomes included: surgical site infection (SSI) rates, seroma rates, surgical site occurrence requiring procedural intervention (SSOPI), minor complications (Clavien-Dindo grade I-II), intraoperative complications, recurrence rate, postoperative ileus, duration of surgery, postoperative pain. Random- and fixed-effects models of statistical analysis were used. Risk difference (RD) was computated for binary outcomes (major and minor complications, SSI, seroma, SSOPI, recurrence, ileus) with 95% confidence intervals. I2 test was used to assess statistical heterogeneity. Risk of bias assessment was performed using Newcastle-Ottawa framework. Results: There were 3 observational studies that enrolled 370 participants. In the eTEP group there were 166 patients and, in the TA-RM group there were 204 patients. There was no significant RD with regard to major complications (RD -0.02 [-0.06 to 0.02], test for overall effect: Z = 0.86 [P = .39]). There was no significant RD in occurrence of minor complications, SSI, seroma, SSOPI, recurrence, ileus. Conclusions: Both eTEP and TA-RM were found to have equal safety profile. Further high-quality studies evaluating patient reported outcomes and late recurrence may be useful. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023429160.

PMID:38150538 | DOI:10.1089/lap.2023.0342

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Fire-modulated fluctuations in nutrient availability stimulate biome-scale floristic turnover in time, and elevated species richness, in low-nutrient fynbos heathland

Ann Bot. 2023 Dec 27:mcad199. doi: 10.1093/aob/mcad199. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In many systems, postfire vegetation recovery is characterised by temporal changes in plant species composition and richness. We attribute this to changes in resource availability with time since fire, with the magnitude of species turnover determined by the degree of resource limitation. Here we test the hypothesis that postfire species turnover in South African fynbos heathland is powered by fire-modulated changes in nutrient availability, with the magnitude of turnover in nutrient-constrained fynbos being greater than in fertile renosterveld shrubland. We also test the hypothesis that floristic overlaps between fynbos and renosterveld are attributable nutritional augmentation of fynbos soils immediately after fire.

METHODS: We use vegetation survey data from two sites on the Cape Peninsula to compare changes in species richness and composition with time since fire.

KEY RESULTS: Whereas fynbos communities display a clear decline in species richness with time since fire, no such decline is apparent in renosterveld. In fynbos, declining species richness is associated with declines in the richness of plant families having high foliar concentrations of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, and possessing attributes which are nutritionally costly. By contrast, families which dominate late-succession fynbos possess adaptations for the acquisition and retention of sparse nutrients. At the family level, recently burnt fynbos is compositionally more similar to renosterveld than is mature fynbos.

CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that nutritionally driven species turnover contributes significantly to fynbos community richness. We propose that the extremely low baseline fertility of fynbos soils serves to lengthen the nutritional resource axis along which species can differentiate and coexist, thereby providing the opportunity for low-nutrient extremophiles to coexist spatially with more fertile adapted species. This mechanism has the potential to operate in any resource-constrained system in which episodic disturbance affects resource availability.

PMID:38150535 | DOI:10.1093/aob/mcad199

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Standardized viscosity as a source of error in computational fluid dynamic simulations of cerebral aneurysms

Med Phys. 2023 Dec 27. doi: 10.1002/mp.16926. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations are a powerful tool for studying cerebral aneurysms, capable of evaluating hemodynamics in a way that is infeasible with imaging alone. However, the difficulty of incorporating patient-specific information and inherent obstacles of in vivo validation have limited the clinical usefulness of CFD of cerebral aneurysms. In this work we investigate the effect of using standardized blood viscosity values in CFD simulations of cerebral aneurysms when compared to simulations of the same aneurysms using patient-specific viscosity values derived from hematocrit measurements.

PURPOSE: The objective of this work is to determine the level of error, on average, that is, caused by using standardized values of viscosity in CFD simulations of cerebral aneurysms. By quantifying this error, we demonstrate the need for incorporating patient-specific viscosity in future CFD investigations of cerebral aneurysms.

METHODS: CFD simulations of forty-one cerebral aneurysms were conducted using patient-specific boundary conditions. For each aneurysm two simulations were conducted, one utilizing patient-specific blood viscosity derived from hematocrit measurements and another using a standardized value for blood viscosity. Hemodynamic parameters such as wall shear stress (WSS), wall shear stress gradient (WSSG), and the oscillatory shear index (OSI) were calculated for each of the simulations for each aneurysm. Paired t-tests for differences in the time-averaged maps of these hemodynamic parameters between standardized and patient-specific viscosity simulations were conducted for each aneurysm. Bland-Altman analysis was used to examine the cohort-wide changes in the hemodynamic parameters. Subjects were broken into two groups, those with higher than standard viscosity and those with lower than standard viscosity. An unpaired t-test was used to compare the percent change in WSS, WSSG, and OSI between patient-specific and standardized viscosity simulations for the two cohorts. The percent changes in hemodynamic parameters were correlated against the direction and magnitude of percent change in viscosity, aneurysm size, and aneurysm location. For all t-tests, a Bonferroni-corrected significance level of 0.0167 was used.

RESULTS: 63.2%, 41.5%, and 48.7% of aneurysms showed statistically significant differences between patient-specific and standardized viscosity simulations for WSS, WSSG, and OSI respectively. No statistically significant difference was found in the percent changes in WSS, WSSG, and OSI between the group with higher than standard viscosity and those with lower than standard viscosity, indicating an increase in viscosity can cause either an increase or decrease in each of the hemodynamic parameters. On a study-wide level no significant bias was found in either direction for WSS, WSSG, or OSI between the simulation groups due to the bidirectional effect of changing viscosity. No correlation was found between percent change of viscosity and percent change of WSS, WSSG, or OSI, meaning an after-the-fact correction for patient-specific viscosity is not feasible.

CONCLUSION: Standardizing viscosity values in CFD of cerebral aneurysms has a large and unpredictable impact on the calculated WSS, WSSG, and OSI when compared to CFD simulations of the same aneurysms using a patient-specific viscosity. We recommend implementing hematocrit-based patient-specific blood viscosity values for all CFD simulations of cerebral aneurysms.

PMID:38150511 | DOI:10.1002/mp.16926

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Dynamics of chikungunya virus transmission in the first year after its introduction in Brazil: A cohort study in an urban community

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2023 Dec 27;17(12):e0011863. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011863. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The first chikungunya virus (CHIKV) outbreaks during the modern scientific era were identified in the Americas in 2013, reaching high attack rates in Caribbean countries. However, few cohort studies have been performed to characterize the initial dynamics of CHIKV transmission in the New World.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To describe the dynamics of CHIKV transmission shortly after its introduction in Brazil, we performed semi-annual serosurveys in a long-term community-based cohort of 652 participants aged ≥5 years in Salvador, Brazil, between Feb-Apr/2014 and Nov/2016-Feb/2017. CHIKV infections were detected using an IgG ELISA. Cumulative seroprevalence and seroincidence were estimated and spatial aggregation of cases was investigated. The first CHIKV infections were identified between Feb-Apr/2015 and Aug-Nov/2015 (incidence: 10.7%) and continued to be detected at low incidence in subsequent surveys (1.7% from Aug-Nov/2015 to Mar-May/2016 and 1.2% from Mar-May/2016 to Nov/206-Feb/2017). The cumulative seroprevalence in the last survey reached 13.3%. It was higher among those aged 30-44 and 45-59 years (16.1% and 15.6%, respectively), compared to younger (12.4% and 11.7% in <15 and 15-29 years, respectively) or older (10.3% in ≥60 years) age groups, but the differences were not statistically significant. The cumulative seroprevalence was similar between men (14.7%) and women (12.5%). Yet, among those aged 15-29 years, men were more often infected than women (18.1% vs. 7.4%, respectively, P = 0.01), while for those aged 30-44, a non-significant opposite trend was observed (9.3% vs. 19.0%, respectively, P = 0.12). Three spatial clusters of cases were detected in the study site and an increased likelihood of CHIKV infection was detected among participants who resided with someone with CHIKV IgG antibodies.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Unlike observations in other settings, the initial spread of CHIKV in this large urban center was limited and focal in certain areas, leaving a high proportion of the population susceptible to further outbreaks. Additional investigations are needed to elucidate the factors driving CHIKV spread dynamics, including understanding differences with respect to dengue and Zika viruses, in order to guide prevention and control strategies for coping with future outbreaks.

PMID:38150470 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0011863

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GenPup-M: A novel validated owner-reported clinical metrology instrument for detecting early mobility changes in dogs

PLoS One. 2023 Dec 27;18(12):e0291035. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0291035. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To use a previously validated veterinary clinical examination sheet, Liverpool Osteoarthritis in Dogs (LOAD) questionnaire, combined with kinetic and kinematic gait analysis in dogs with/without mobility problems to demonstrate the capacity of a novel clinical metrology instrument (“GenPup-M”) to detect canine mobility impairments.

DESIGN: Quantitative study.

ANIMALS: 62 dogs (31 with mobility impairments and 31 without mobility impairments).

PROCEDURE: The dogs’ clinical history was obtained from owners and all dogs underwent a validated orthopaedic clinical examination. Mobility impairments were diagnosed in the mobility impaired group based on clinical history and orthopaedic examination. Owners were asked to complete GenPup-M along with a previously validated mobility questionnaire (Liverpool Osteoarthritis in Dogs (LOAD)) to identify construct validity. As a test of criterion validity, the correlation between instrument scores and the overall clinical examination scores, along with force-platform obtained peak vertical forces (PVF) were calculated. GenPup-M underwent internal consistency and factor analysis. Spatiotemporal parameters were calculated for dogs with/without mobility impairments to define the gait differences between these two groups.

RESULTS: Principal Component Analysis identified GenPup-M had two components with Eigenvalues >1 (“stiffness/ease of movement” and “willingness to be active/exercise”). Cronbach’s α was used to test internal consistency of GenPup-M and was found to be “good” (0.87). There was a strong, positive correlation between GenPup-M and LOAD responses (r2 = 0.69, p<0.001) highlighting construct validity. Criterion validity was also shown when comparing GenPup-M to clinical examination scores (r2 = 0.74, p<0.001) and PVF (r2 = 0.43, p<0.001). Quantitative canine gait analysis showed that there were statistically significant differences between peak vertical forces (PVF) of mobility impaired and non-mobility impaired dogs (p<0.05). Analyses of PVF showed that non-mobility impaired dogs more evenly distributed their weight across all thoracic and pelvic limbs when compared to mobility impaired dogs. There were also consistent findings that mobility impaired dogs moved slower than non-mobility impaired dogs.

CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: GenPup-M is a clinical metrology instrument (CMI) that can be completed by dog owners to detect all mobility impairments, including those that are early in onset, indicating the versatility of GenPup-M to assess dogs with and without mobility impairments. Results of the study found that GenPup-M positively correlated with all three objective measures of canine mobility and consequently showed criterion and construct validity. Owner-reported CMIs such as GenPup-M allow non-invasive scoring systems which veterinary surgeons and owners can use to allow communication and longitudinal assessment of a dog’s mobility. It is anticipated that GenPup-M will be used by owners at yearly vaccinations/health checks, allowing identification of any subtle mobility changes, and enabling early intervention.

PMID:38150469 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0291035

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Comparative impact assessment of COVID-19 policy interventions in five South Asian countries using reported and estimated unreported death counts during 2020-2021

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Dec 27;3(12):e0002063. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002063. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

There has been raging discussion and debate around the quality of COVID death data in South Asia. According to WHO, of the 5.5 million reported COVID-19 deaths from 2020-2021, 0.57 million (10%) were contributed by five low and middle income countries (LMIC) countries in the Global South: India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal. However, a number of excess death estimates show that the actual death toll from COVID-19 is significantly higher than the reported number of deaths. For example, the IHME and WHO both project around 14.9 million total deaths, of which 4.5-5.5 million were attributed to these five countries in 2020-2021. We focus our gaze on the COVID-19 performance of these five countries where 23.5% of the world population lives in 2020 and 2021, via a counterfactual lens and ask, to what extent the mortality of one LMIC would have been affected if it adopted the pandemic policies of another, similar country? We use a Bayesian semi-mechanistic model developed by Mishra et al. (2021) to compare both the reported and estimated total death tolls by permuting the time-varying reproduction number (Rt) across these countries over a similar time period. Our analysis shows that, in the first half of 2021, mortality in India in terms of reported deaths could have been reduced to 96 and 102 deaths per million compared to actual 170 reported deaths per million had it adopted the policies of Nepal and Pakistan respectively. In terms of total deaths, India could have averted 481 and 466 deaths per million had it adopted the policies of Bangladesh and Pakistan. On the other hand, India had a lower number of reported COVID-19 deaths per million (48 deaths per million) and a lower estimated total deaths per million (80 deaths per million) in the second half of 2021, and LMICs other than Pakistan would have lower reported mortality had they followed India’s strategy. The gap between the reported and estimated total deaths highlights the varying level and extent of under-reporting of deaths across the subcontinent, and that model estimates are contingent on accuracy of the death data. Our analysis shows the importance of timely public health intervention and vaccines for lowering mortality and the need for better coverage infrastructure for the death registration system in LMICs.

PMID:38150465 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pgph.0002063

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Predictive value of hepatitis B serological indicators for mortality among cancer survivors and validation in a gastric cancer cohort

PLoS One. 2023 Dec 27;18(12):e0286441. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286441. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection has gradually been considered to associate with cancer development and progression. This study aimed to explore the associations of serological indicators of HBV infection with mortality risk among cancer survivors and further validated using a gastric cancer (GC) cohort from China, where HBV infection is endemic. National Center for Health Statistics’ National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data were used in this study. Individuals with positive results of hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc) were considered to have current or past HBV infection. Serological indicators were positive only for hepatitis B surface antibodies (anti-HBs), indicating vaccine-induced immunity, whereas negativity for all serologic indicators was considered to indicate the absence of HBV infection and immunity to HBV. The GC cohort included patients from the First Hospital of Jilin University, China. The median follow-up time of the NHANES was 10 years; during the follow-up, 1505 deaths occurred. The results revealed that anti-HBs-positive cancer survivors had a 39% reduced risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44-0.85). Men and individuals aged <65 years old with past exposure to HBV had higher mortality risk (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.09-2.13; HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.13-3.83). In this GC cohort, individuals who were only anti-HBs-positive showed a reduced risk of mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.62-0.95). Thus, anti-HBs positivity was a significant factor of decreased mortality among cancer survivors. More rigorous surveillance is necessary for cancer survivors with anti-HBc positivity, particularly men, and younger individuals.

PMID:38150459 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0286441

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Development of a robust daily soil temperature estimation in semi-arid continental climate using meteorological predictors based on computational intelligent paradigms

PLoS One. 2023 Dec 27;18(12):e0293751. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293751. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Changes in soil temperature (ST) play an important role in the main mechanisms within the soil, including biological and chemical activities. For instance, they affect the microbial community composition, the speed at which soil organic matter breaks down and becomes minerals. Moreover, the growth and physiological activity of plants are directly influenced by the ST. Additionally, ST indirectly affects plant growth by influencing the accessibility of nutrients in the soil. Therefore, designing an efficient tool for ST estimating at different depths is useful for soil studies by considering meteorological parameters as input parameters, maximal air temperature, minimal air temperature, maximal air relative humidity, minimal air relative humidity, precipitation, and wind speed. This investigation employed various statistical metrics to evaluate the efficacy of the implemented models. These metrics encompassed the correlation coefficient (r), root mean square error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe (NS) efficiency, and mean absolute error (MAE). Hence, this study presented several artificial intelligence-based models, MLPANN, SVR, RFR, and GPR for building robust predictive tools for daily scale ST estimation at 05, 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100cm soil depths. The suggested models are evaluated at two meteorological stations (i.e., Sulaimani and Dukan) located in Kurdistan region, Iraq. Based on assessment of outcomes of this study, the suggested models exhibited exceptional predictive capabilities and comparison of the results showed that among the proposed frameworks, GPR yielded the best results for 05, 10, 20, and 100cm soil depths, with RMSE values of 1.814°C, 1.652°C, 1.773°C, and 2.891°C, respectively. Also, for 50cm soil depth, MLPANN performed the best with an RMSE of 2.289°C at Sulaimani station using the RMSE during the validation phase. Furthermore, GPR produced the most superior outcomes for 10cm, 30cm, and 50cm soil depths, with RMSE values of 1.753°C, 2.270°C, and 2.631°C, respectively. In addition, for 05cm soil depth, SVR achieved the highest level of performance with an RMSE of 1.950°C at Dukan station. The results obtained in this research confirmed that the suggested models have the potential to be effectively used as daily predictive tools at different stations and various depths.

PMID:38150451 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0293751

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Systematic review of end stage renal disease in Pakistan: Identifying implementation research outcomes

PLoS One. 2023 Dec 27;18(12):e0296243. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0296243. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

AIM AND OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to conduct a systematic review analysis to identify and evaluate the available literature on implementation science outcomes research in relation to End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) in Pakistan.

METHODS: A systematic database search of PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, and Ovid was conducted through October 22nd, 2022, without any restrictions on publication dates. A screening and data extraction tool, Covidence, was used to evaluate the literature against our inclusion and exclusion criteria. Furthermore, a Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT) was used to evaluate the selected studies.

RESULTS: We identified four studies that presented findings of implementation outcomes research which were related to appropriateness, feasibility, and acceptability. Appropriateness was examined using knowledge scores (p = 0.022) and medication adherence scores (p < 0.05) that showed statistical significance between the control and intervention groups. Acceptability was assessed through a cross sectional quantitative descriptive study that evaluated the reasons for refusal and acceptance of treatment in a cohort of patients suffering from ESRD. Feasibility was examined in one cross sectional, and one mixed methods study that aimed to evaluate and understand the impact of initiating dialysis treatment and the feasibility of maintaining it in low-income families that care for children or adults with ESRD.

CONCLUSION: The preliminary results of this review indicate a gap in the availability of implementation research studies about ESRD in Pakistan. The burden of ESRD, and the implementation methods by which it is treated is notable in Pakistan and requires evidence-based measures to be implemented to support the critical healthcare delivery platforms that provide treatment.

PMID:38150440 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0296243