Category: Statistics

Biometrics. 2024 Jul 1;80(3):ujae065. doi: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae065.

ABSTRACT

Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and irregularly-spaced covariate-driven observation times affecting the inference. A doubly-weighted estimator accounting for these features has previously been proposed that relies on the correct specification of two nuisance models used for the weights. In this work, we propose a novel consistent multiply robust estimator and demonstrate analytically and in comprehensive simulation studies that it is more flexible and more efficient than the only alternative estimator proposed for the same setting. It is further applied to data from the Add Health study in the United States to estimate the causal effect of therapy counseling on alcohol consumption in American adolescents.

PMID:39011739 | DOI:10.1093/biomtc/ujae065

Rev Prat. 2024 Jun;74(6):691.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:39011710

J Zhejiang Univ Sci B. 2024 Jun 5;25(7):617-627. doi: 10.1631/jzus.B2300929.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Peritoneal free cancer cells can negatively impact disease progression and patient outcomes in gastric cancer. This study aimed to investigate the feasibility of using golden-angle radial sampling dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (GRASP DCE-MRI) to predict the presence of peritoneal free cancer cells in gastric cancer patients.

METHODS: All enrolled patients were consecutively divided into analysis and validation groups. Preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans and perfusion were performed in patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery, and peritoneal lavage specimens were collected for examination. Based on the peritoneal lavage cytology (PLC) results, patients were divided into negative and positive lavage fluid groups. The data collected included clinical and MR information. A nomogram prediction model was constructed to predict the positive rate of peritoneal lavage fluid, and the validity of the model was verified based on data from the verification group.

RESULTS: There was no statistical difference between the proportion of PLC-positive cases predicted by GRASP DCE-MR and the actual PLC test. MR tumor stage, tumor thickness, and perfusion parameter Tofts-Ketty model volume transfer constant (K_trans) were independent predictors of positive peritoneal lavage fluid. The nomogram model featured a concordance index (C-index) of 0.785 and 0.742 for the modeling and validation groups, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: GRASP DCE-MR could effectively predict peritoneal free cancer cells in gastric cancer patients. The nomogram model constructed using these predictors may help clinicians to better predict the risk of peritoneal free cancer cells being present in gastric cancer patients.

PMID:39011681 | DOI:10.1631/jzus.B2300929

Int J Urol. 2024 Jul 16. doi: 10.1111/iju.15540. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of local treatment (LT), including radiotherapy (RT) and cytoreductive prostatectomy (CRP), in improving outcomes for patients with oligometastatic prostate cancer (OmPCa).

METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of articles from PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science published between 2010 and November 2023 were conducted. The study included 11 articles, comprising three randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and eight retrospective analyses. The study assessed overall survival (OS), radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) PFS, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and complication rate (CR).

RESULTS: OS was significantly improved in the LT group, with both RCTs and non-RCTs showing statistical significance [hazard ratios (HR) = 0.64; 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), 0.51-0.80; p < 0.0001; HR = 0.55; 95% CIs, 0.40-0.77; p = 0.0004]. For rPFS, RCTs did not show statistically significant outcomes (HR = 0.60; 95% CIs, 0.34-1.07; p = 0.09), whereas non-RCTs demonstrated significant results (HR = 0.42; 95% CIs, 0.24-0.72; p = 0.002). Both RCTs and non-RCTs showed a significant improvement in PSA-PFS (HR = 0.44; 95%CI, 0.29-0.67; p = 0.0001; HR = 0.51; 95% CIs, 0.32-0.81; p = 0.004). For CSS, RCTs demonstrated statistical differences (HR = 0.65; 95% CIs, 0.47-0.90; p = 0.009), whereas non-RCTs did not (HR = 0.61; 95% CIs, 0.29-1.27; p = 0.19). Regarding CR, the risk difference was -0.22 (95% CIs, -0.32 to -0.12; p < 0.00001).

CONCLUSION: LT significantly improved OS and PFS in patients with OmPCa. Further RCTs are necessary to confirm these results.

PMID:39011667 | DOI:10.1111/iju.15540

Age Ageing. 2024 Jul 2;53(7):afae150. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afae150.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Frailty is increasingly present in patients with acute myocardial infarction. The electronic Frailty Index (eFI) is a validated method of identifying vulnerable older patients in the community from routine primary care data. Our aim was to assess the relationship between the eFI and outcomes in older patients hospitalised with acute myocardial infarction.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective cohort study using the DataLoch Heart Disease Registry comprising consecutive patients aged 65 years or over hospitalised with a myocardial infarction between October 2013 and March 2021.

METHODS: Patients were classified as fit, mild, moderate, or severely frail based on their eFI score. Cox-regression analysis was used to determine the association between frailty category and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS: In 4670 patients (median age 77 years [71-84], 43% female), 1865 (40%) were classified as fit, with 1699 (36%), 798 (17%) and 308 (7%) classified as mild, moderate and severely frail, respectively. In total, 1142 patients died within 12 months of which 248 (13%) and 147 (48%) were classified as fit and severely frail, respectively. After adjustment, any degree of frailty was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death with the risk greatest in the severely frail (reference = fit, adjusted hazard ratio 2.87 [95% confidence intervals 2.24 to 3.66]).

CONCLUSION: The eFI identified patients at high risk of death following myocardial infarction. Automatic calculation within administrative data is feasible and could provide a low-cost method of identifying vulnerable older patients on hospital presentation.

PMID:39011637 | DOI:10.1093/ageing/afae150

Age Ageing. 2024 Jul 2;53(7):afae151. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afae151.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have shown that anticholinergic medications are associated with cardiovascular disease. Little is known about how discontinuation of anticholinergic medication affects this association. We investigated how baseline anticholinergic load and change in anticholinergic load associates with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) on four different scales.

METHODS: We included all geriatric outpatients aged 65 and older in Denmark between January 2011 and December 2018. Data were sourced from Danish national registries. Anticholinergic drug exposure was assessed at first contact to the outpatient clinic (baseline) and changes were assessed at 180 days after outpatient contact. Anticholinergic scales were the CRIDECO Anticholinergic Load Scale, Anticholinergic Drugs Scale, Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden and a scale by the Danish Institute of Rational Pharmacotherapy. Multivariate analyses were conducted to investigate the 1- and 5-year risk of MACE by baseline anticholinergic load and changes in anticholinergic load after 180 days.

RESULTS: We included a total of 64 378 patients in the analysis of baseline anticholinergic load and 54 010 patients remained after 180 days for inclusion in the analysis of change in anticholinergic load. At baseline the mean age was 81.7 year (SD 7.5) and 68% were women. Higher level of anticholinergic load on any scale associated with greater risk of MACE in a dose response pattern. There were no association between reduction in anticholinergic load and risk of MACE.

CONCLUSION: While anticholinergic load at baseline was associated with MACE, reducing anticholinergic load did not lower the risk of MACE indicating the association may not be causal.

PMID:39011636 | DOI:10.1093/ageing/afae151

Int J Comput Dent. 2024 Jul 16;0(0):0. doi: 10.3290/j.ijcd.b5582929. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The current study aimed to compare the responses and satisfaction reported by users with varying levels of experience when using different types of computer-aided design (CAD) software programs to design crowns.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A questionnaire was used to evaluate user responses to five domains (software visibility, 3Dscanned data preparation, crown design and adjustment, finish line registration, and overall experience) of various CAD software programs. The study included 50 undergraduate dental students (inexperienced group) and 50 dentists or dental technicians from two hospitals (experienced group). The participants used four different CAD software programs (Meshmixer, Exocad, BlueSkyPlan, and Dentbird) to design crowns and recorded the features using the questionnaire. Statistical analyses included one-way and two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) tests to compare scores and verify the interaction between user response and experience.

RESULT: User evaluation scores in the domains of software visibility and 3D-scanned data preparation varied between software programs (P < 0.001), with Exocad being favored by the experienced group. When evaluating crown design and finish line registration, Dentbird and Exocad scored significantly higher than the other software in both groups as they offered automation of the process using deep learning (P < 0.001). Two-way ANOVA showed that prior experience of using CAD significantly affected the users’ responses to all queries (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: User response and satisfaction varied with the type of CAD software used to design dental prostheses, with prior experience of using CAD playing a significant role. Automation of design functions can enhance user satisfaction with the software.

PMID:39011633 | DOI:10.3290/j.ijcd.b5582929

Eur Heart J. 2024 Jul 16:ehae409. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehae409. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Pathogenic desmoplakin (DSP) gene variants are associated with the development of a distinct form of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy known as DSP cardiomyopathy. Patients harbouring these variants are at high risk for sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA), but existing tools for individualized arrhythmic risk assessment have proven unreliable in this population.

METHODS: Patients from the multi-national DSP-ERADOS (Desmoplakin SPecific Effort for a RAre Disease Outcome Study) Network patient registry who had pathogenic or likely pathogenic DSP variants and no sustained VA prior to enrolment were followed longitudinally for the development of first sustained VA event. Clinically guided, step-wise Cox regression analysis was used to develop a novel clinical tool predicting the development of incident VA. Model performance was assessed by c-statistic in both the model development cohort (n = 385) and in an external validation cohort (n = 86).

RESULTS: In total, 471 DSP patients [mean age 37.8 years, 65.6% women, 38.6% probands, 26% with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50%] were followed for a median of 4.0 (interquartile range: 1.6-7.3) years; 71 experienced first sustained VA events {2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0, 3.5] events/year}. Within the development cohort, five readily available clinical parameters were identified as independent predictors of VA and included in a novel DSP risk score: female sex [hazard ratio (HR) 1.9 (95% CI: 1.1-3.4)], history of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia [HR 1.7 (95% CI: 1.1-2.8)], natural logarithm of 24-h premature ventricular contraction burden [HR 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1-1.4)], LVEF < 50% [HR 1.5 (95% CI: .95-2.5)], and presence of moderate to severe right ventricular systolic dysfunction [HR 6.0 (95% CI: 2.9-12.5)]. The model demonstrated good risk discrimination within both the development [c-statistic .782 (95% CI: .77-.80)] and external validation [c-statistic .791 (95% CI: .75-.83)] cohorts. The negative predictive value for DSP patients in the external validation cohort deemed to be at low risk for VA (<5% at 5 years; n = 26) was 100%.

CONCLUSIONS: The DSP risk score is a novel model that leverages readily available clinical parameters to provide individualized VA risk assessment for DSP patients. This tool may help guide decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator placement in this high-risk population and supports a gene-first risk stratification approach.

PMID:39011630 | DOI:10.1093/eurheartj/ehae409

Ren Fail. 2024 Dec;46(2):2371056. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2024.2371056. Epub 2024 Jul 16.

ABSTRACT

Currently, three expanded polytetrafluoroethylene (ePTFE) prosthetic graft types are most commonly used for patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) who require long-term vascular access for hemodialysis. However, studies comparing the three ePTFE grafts are limited. This study compared the clinical efficacy and postoperative complications of three ePTFE prosthetic graft types used for upper limb arteriovenous graft (AVG) surgery among patients with ESKD. Patients with ESKD requiring upper limb AVG surgery admitted to our center between January 2016 and September 2019 were enrolled. Overall, 282 patients who completed the 2-year follow-up were included and classified into the following three groups according to the ePTFE graft type: the GPVG group with the PROPATEN^® graft, the GAVG group with the straight-type GORE^® ACUSEAL, and the BVVG group with the VENAFLO^® II. The patency rate and incidence of access-related complications were analyzed and compared between groups. The patients were followed up postoperatively, and data were collected at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months postoperatively. Respective to these follow-up time points, in the GPVG group, the primary patency rates were 74.29%, 65.71%, 51.43%, and 42.86%; the assisted primary patency rates were 85.71%, 74.29%, 60.00%, and 48.57%; and the secondary patency rates were 85.71%, 80.00%, 71.43%, and 60.00%. In the GAVG group, the primary patency rates were 73.03%, 53.93%, 59.42%, and 38.20%; the assisted primary patency rates were 83.15%, 68.54%, 59.55%, and 53.93%; and the secondary patency rates were 85.39%, 77.53%, 68.54%, and 62.92%, respectively. In the BVVG group, the primary patency rates were 67.24%, 53.45%, 41.38%, and 29.31%; the assisted primary patency rates were 84.48%, 67.24%, 55.17%, and 44.83%; and the secondary patency rates were 86.21%, 81.03%, 68.97%, and 60.34%, respectively. The differences in patency rates across the three grafts were not statistically significant. Overall, 18, 4, and 12 patients in the GPVG, GAVG, and BVVG groups, respectively, experienced seroma. Among the three grafts, GORE^® ACUSEAL had the shortest anastomosis hemostatic time. The first cannulation times for the three grafts were GPVG at 16 (±8.2), GAVG at 4 (±4.9), and BVVG at 18 (±12.7) days. No significant difference was found in the postoperative swelling rate between the GPVG group and the other two groups. Furthermore, no statistically significant differences were found across the three graft types regarding postoperative vascular access stenosis and thrombosis, ischemic steal syndrome, pseudoaneurysm, or infection. In conclusion, no statistically significant differences in the postoperative primary, assisted primary, or secondary graft patency rates were observed among the three groups. A shorter anastomosis hemostatic time, first cannulation time, and seroma occurrence were observed with the ACUSEAL^® graft than with its counterparts. The incidence of upper extremity swelling postoperatively was greater with the PROPATEN^® graft than with the other grafts. No statistically significant differences were observed among the three grafts regarding the remaining complications.

PMID:39011597 | DOI:10.1080/0886022X.2024.2371056

J Clin Periodontol. 2024 Jul 16. doi: 10.1111/jcpe.14047. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To compare the efficacy of non-surgical re-instrumentation (NSR) and papillary preservation flap (PPF) surgery at single-rooted teeth with residual pockets.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with at least a residual pocket depth (PD ≥ 5 mm) after Steps I and II were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive NSR or PPF surgery. The primary outcome was PD reduction, and secondary outcomes were clinical attachment level (CAL) change and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). Outcome variables were measured at baseline, 3 and 6 months. The examiner was blinded. Statistical analysis, one site for each patient, included descriptive statistics and analysis of covariance.

RESULTS: Forty-six participants were enrolled, and one patient dropped out in the PPF group. After 6 months, both treatments resulted in significant PD reduction (1.3 ± 1.2 mm, p = .009 NSR; 2.0 ± 0.7 mm, p < .001 PPF) and CAL gain (1.0 ± 2.4 mm, p = .031 NSR; 1.4 ± 0.8 mm, p < .001 PPF). PD reduction between groups was not statistically significant (diff: 0.6 mm; 95% confidence interval [CI] [-0.3 to 1.5]; p = .167). Pocket closure was 61% NSR versus 86% PPF (p = .091). Smoking was associated with less PD reduction of almost 1 mm in both treatments. Treatment time was longer for PPF surgery, but PROMs and post-operative pain were similar between groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Both NSR and PPF reduced PD without significant difference between treatments at 6 months. PPF surgery may offer faster PD reduction, but smoking habits reduce treatment efficacy.

PMID:39011585 | DOI:10.1111/jcpe.14047