Category: Statistics

Qual Manag Health Care. 2024 Jul-Sep 01;33(3):192-199. doi: 10.1097/QMH.0000000000000460. Epub 2024 Jun 26.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Hospitals and clinicians increasingly are reimbursed based on quality of care through financial incentives tied to value-based purchasing. Patient-centered care, measured through patient experience surveys, is a key component of many quality incentive programs. We hypothesize that operational aspects such as wait times are an important element of emergency department (ED) patient experience. The objectives of this paper are to determine (1) the association between ED wait times and patient experience and (2) whether patient comments show awareness of wait times.

METHODS: This is a cross-sectional observational study from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2020, across 16 EDs within a regional health care system. Patient and operations data were obtained as secondary data through internal sources and merged with primary patient experience data from our data analytics team. Dependent variables are (1) the association between ED wait times in minutes and patient experience ratings and (2) the association between wait times in minutes and patient comments including the term wait (yes/no). Patients rated their “likelihood to recommend (LTR) an ED” on a 0 to 10 scale (categories: “Promoter” = 9-10, “Neutral” = 7-8, or “Detractor” = 0-6). Our aggregate experience rating, or Net Promoter Score (NPS), is calculated by the following formula for each distinct wait time (rounded to the nearest minute): NPS = 100* (# promoters – # detractors)/(# promoters + # neutrals + # detractors). Independent variables for patient age and gender and triage acuity, were included as potential confounders. We performed a mixed-effect multivariate ordinal logistic regression for the rating category as a function of 30 minutes waited. We also performed a logistic regression for the percentage of patients commenting on the wait as a function of 30 minutes waited. Standard errors are adjusted for clustering between the 16 ED sites.

RESULTS: A total of 50 833 unique participants completed an experience survey, representing a response rate of 8.1%. Of these respondents, 28.1% included comments, with 10.9% using the term “wait.” The odds ratio for association of a 30-minute wait with LTR category is 0.83 [0.81, 0.84]. As wait times increase, the odds of commenting on the wait increase by 1.49 [1.46, 1.53]. We show policy-relevant bubble plot visualizations of these two relationships.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients were less likely to give a positive patient experience rating as wait times increased, and this was reflected in their comments. Improving on the factors contributing to ED wait times is essential to meeting health care systems’ quality initiatives.

PMID:38941584 | DOI:10.1097/QMH.0000000000000460

J Clin Oncol. 2024 Jun 28:JCO2302276. doi: 10.1200/JCO.23.02276. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is routinely treated with adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS). The inability to accurately estimate an individual’s risk of local recurrence (LR) and invasive LR using clinicopathologic factors (CPF) contributes to the overtreatment of DCIS. We examined the impact of the 12-gene DCIS Score (DS) and the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) on the accuracy of predicting LR and invasive LR.

METHODS: A population-based cohort diagnosed with pure DCIS treated with BCS ± RT from 1994 to 2003 was used. All patients had expert pathology review and assessment of the DS and RS. Predictive models (CPF alone, DS + CPF, and RS + CPF) were developed using multivariable Cox regression analyses to predict 10-year LR and invasive LR risks. Models were evaluated on the basis of c-statistic, -2log likelihood estimate (-2LLE), and Akaike information criterion. Calibration was performed using bootstrap resamples, with replacement.

RESULTS: The cohort includes 1,226 women treated with BCS; 712 received RT. 194 women (15.8%) experienced ipsilateral LR as a first event; 112 were invasive. Models including the DS or RS performed better in predicting the 10-year risk of LR compared with models on the basis of CPF alone with excellent calibration. The two molecular-based models also performed better in predicting invasive LR compared with the CPF model but the model incorporating the RS did not perform better in the prediction of invasive LR compared with the DS-based model.

CONCLUSION: Models incorporating the DS or RS more accurately predicted the 10-year risk of LR and invasive LR after BCS compared with models on the basis of CPF alone. Inclusion of the RS, compared with DS, did not improve the prediction of the 10-year risk of invasive LR.

PMID:38941575 | DOI:10.1200/JCO.23.02276

JMIR Form Res. 2024 Jun 24. doi: 10.2196/58263. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Loneliness, depression, and anxiety are highly prevalent among US adults, especially among socio-demographically vulnerable populations. Virtual peer support is a potentially cost-effective, scalable intervention. This study prospectively evaluated the effects of digitally-enabled peer support on mental health outcomes and estimated medical cost reductions among 243 vulnerable adults with symptomatic depression, anxiety, and significant loneliness. We found that participants from diverse race/ethnicities, genders and socio-economic groups engaged with peer support and experienced statistically and clinically significant improvements in their mental health and an estimated annual medical costs reduction of $1,025 per participant. We believe this work will inform ongoing discussions related to the use of digitally-enabled peer support to address the mental health crisis in the US.

PMID:38941568 | DOI:10.2196/58263

Blood Adv. 2024 Jun 28:bloodadvances.2024012858. doi: 10.1182/bloodadvances.2024012858. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

While intensive induction chemotherapy (IC) remains the standard of care for younger patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), data from older patients shows that hypomethylating agents + venetoclax (HMA/VEN) can lead to durable remissions among patients with NPM1 mutations. Whether IC or HMA/VEN is superior in patients ≥60 years-old with NPM1-mutant AML is unknown. To compare IC and HMA/VEN, we performed an international, multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients with newly diagnosed, NPM1-mutant AML.We included 221 patients (147 IC, 74 HMA/VEN) with previously untreated NPM1-mutant AML. Composite complete remission (cCR; defined as CR + CR with incomplete count recovery [CRi]) rate was similar for IC and HMA/VEN (cCR: 85% vs. 74%; p=0.067). While OS was favorable with IC in unselected patients compared to HMA/VEN (24-month OS 59% [95% CI: 52-69%] vs. 38% [95% CI 27-55%]; p=0.013), it was not statistically different among patients 60-75 years-old (60% [95% CI 52-70%] vs. 44% [95% CI 29-66%]; p=0.069) and patients who received an allogeneic stem cell transplant (70% [95% CI: 58-85%] vs. 66% [95% CI: 44-100%]; p=0.56). Subgroup analyses suggested that patients with normal cytogenetics (24-month OS with IC 65% [95% 56-74%] vs. 40% [95% CI: 26-60%] with HMA/VEN; p=0.009) and without FLT3-ITD mutations might benefit from IC compared with HMA/VEN (24-month OS: 68% [95% CI: 59-79%] vs. 43% [95% CI: 29-63%]; p=0.008). In multivariable analysis, OS was not statistically different for patients treated with IC and HMA/VEN (hazard ratio for death HMA/VEN vs. IC: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.40-1.27; p=0.25).

PMID:38941537 | DOI:10.1182/bloodadvances.2024012858

Annu Rev Phys Chem. 2024 Jun;75(1):21-45. doi: 10.1146/annurev-physchem-062123-010821.

ABSTRACT

Low-resolution coarse-grained (CG) models provide remarkable computational and conceptual advantages for simulating soft materials. In principle, bottom-up CG models can reproduce all structural and thermodynamic properties of atomically detailed models that can be observed at the resolution of the CG model. This review discusses recent progress in developing theory and computational methods for achieving this promise. We first briefly review variational approaches for parameterizing interaction potentials and their relationship to machine learning methods. We then discuss recent approaches for simultaneously improving both the transferability and thermodynamic properties of bottom-up models by rigorously addressing the density and temperature dependence of these potentials. We also briefly discuss exciting progress in modeling high-resolution observables with low-resolution CG models. More generally, we highlight the essential role of the bottom-up framework not only for fundamentally understanding the limitations of prior CG models but also for developing robust computational methods that resolve these limitations in practice.

PMID:38941523 | DOI:10.1146/annurev-physchem-062123-010821

Cancer. 2024 Jun 28. doi: 10.1002/cncr.35459. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medical record abstraction (MRA) and self-report questionnaires are two methods frequently used to ascertain cancer treatment information. Prior studies have shown excellent agreement between MRA and self-report, but it is unknown how a recall window longer than 3 years may affect this agreement.

METHODS: The Women’s Environmental Cancer and Radiation Epidemiology (WECARE) Study is a multicenter, population-based case-control study of controls with unilateral breast cancer individually matched to cases with contralateral breast cancer. Participants who were diagnosed with a first primary breast cancer from 1985 to 2008 before the age of 55 years completed a questionnaire that included questions on treatment. First primary breast cancer treatment information was abstracted from the medical record from radiation oncology clinic notes for radiation treatment and from systemic adjuvant treatment reports for hormone therapy and chemotherapy. Agreement between MRA and self-reported treatment was assessed with the kappa statistic and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS: A total of 2808 participants with MRA and self-reported chemotherapy treatment information, 2733 participants with MRA and self-reported hormone therapy information, and 2905 participants with MRA and self-reported radiation treatment information were identified. The median recall window was 12.5 years (range, 2.8-22.2 years). MRA and self-reported treatment agreement was excellent across treatment modalities (kappa_chemo, 98.5; 95% CI, 97.9-99.2; kappa_horm, 87.7; 95% CI, 85.9-89.5; kappa_rad, 97.9; 95% CI, 97.0-98.7). There was no heterogeneity across recall windows (p_chemo = .46; p_horm = .40; p_rad = .61).

CONCLUSIONS: Agreement between self-reported and MRA primary breast cancer treatment modality information was excellent for young women diagnosed with breast cancer and was maintained even among women whose recall window was more than 20 years after diagnosis.

PMID:38941510 | DOI:10.1002/cncr.35459

J Bone Joint Surg Am. 2024 Jun 28. doi: 10.2106/JBJS.23.00957. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Radiostereometric analysis (RSA) provides highly accurate data about the migration of a total knee arthroplasty (TKA) component. However, patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) reflect the patients’ perspective of their functional status, pain, and overall health after TKA. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between tibial implant migration and change in postoperative PROMs and clinical scores, using data pooled from long-term follow-up RSA studies.

METHODS: Individual implant migration data were collected from 5 randomized RSA studies, including a total of 300 patients with 6 distinct TKA implant designs (all Stryker). Tibial implant migration (maximum total point motion [MTPM]) was evaluated with RSA at 3 months, 1 year, and 2, 5, 7, and 10 years postoperatively. The Knee Society Score (KSS)-Knee and KSS-Function and Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) subscales were collected in all studies at the same follow-up times. Linear mixed-effects models, with adjustment for TKA implant design and patient characteristics, were used to analyze the data. The 3-month follow-up visit was used as the baseline to assess the association between implant migration and PROMs across the 10-year follow-up.

RESULTS: No association between tibial implant migration and change in KSS-Knee (p = 0.384), KSS-Function (p = 0.737), KOOS-Symptoms (p = 0.398), KOOS-Pain (p = 0.699), KOOS-Activities of Daily Living (p = 0.205), KOOS-Sport and Recreation (p = 0.702), or KOOS-Quality of Life (p = 0.368) was found across the entire follow-up. Similar results were found when using the 2-year follow-up as the baseline, after which both cemented and uncemented implants are expected to have stabilized.

CONCLUSIONS: Tibial baseplate migration was not associated with postoperative worsening in PROMs or clinical scores in patients who underwent TKA. These findings suggest that implant migration, as measured with RSA, measures a different parameter (i.e., implant-bone fixation) than PROMs (i.e., patient perception) and clinical scores. Therefore, to assess the performance and safety of TKA implant designs, RSA and PROMs cannot be used interchangeably during the postoperative follow-up of patients and evaluation of the fixation of knee implants.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

PMID:38941476 | DOI:10.2106/JBJS.23.00957

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Jun 28;103(26):e38379. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000038379.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the clinical and radiological features of the patella fixation technique using Toggleloc suspension system in a single ellipsoidal blind patellar tunnel during medial patellofemoral ligament (MPFL) reconstruction.

METHODS: This study included 52 patients (25 men, 27 women) who underwent MPFL reconstruction using a semitendinosus tendon graft. The graft was fixed to the ellipsoidal single blind tunnel opened on the medial side of the patella with an endobutton and was fixed to the femoral tunnel by using bioabsorbable screw. Clinical scores (Kujala score, Lysholm score, Tegner activity score and the visual analog scale [VAS] score) were evaluated preoperatively and at the end-follow up. Preoperative and postoperative radiological measurements (trochlea depth, sulcus angle, patellar height, patellar congruence angle, patellar tilt angle and lateral patellofemoral angle) were evaluated with X-ray (Merchant X-ray, anteroposterior and lateral radiography) and computed tomography (CT) of the knee.

RESULTS: Postoperative patellar redislocation or subluxation was not observed in any patient. Patellar congruence angle, patellar tilt angle and lateral patellofemoral angle mean values were found to return to normal values in the postoperative period and the results were statistically significant. Also statistically significant improvement in all clinical scores postoperatively. According to the Insall-Salvati index (ISI) and Caton-Deschamps index (CDI) on lateral radiography of the knee at 30° flexion, patellar height decreased in the postoperative period statistically significant. The CDI was above 1.3 in 17 (%32) of our patients. Thirteen of these values decreased to normal values. No radiological progression of patellofemoral osteoarthritis was observed in all patients at the final follow-up evaluation.

CONCLUSION: In cases of patellofemoral instability, fixation of the tendon graft in blind ellipsoid tunnel using the Toggleloc suspension system provides satisfactory patellar graft fixation strength, significant functional improvement and a low failure rate.

PMID:38941440 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000038379

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Jun 28;103(26):e38642. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000038642.

ABSTRACT

Idiopathic inflammatory myopathies, especially antisynthetase syndrome, often appear outside of the muscles as interstitial lung disease (ILD). Another typical finding is the presence of mechanic’s hands. The aim of the present study was to describe the clinical, functional, tomographic, and serological data of patients with ILD and mechanic’s hands and their response to treatment and survival rates. This is a retrospective study of ILD with concurrent myopathy. Among the 119 patients initially selected, 51 had mechanic’s hands. All the patients were screened for anti-Jo-1 antibodies. An expanded panel of myopathy autoantibodies was also performed in 27 individuals. Of the 51 patients, 35 had 1 or more antibodies. The most common were anti-Jo-1, anti-PL-7, and anti-PL-12, while of the associated antibodies, anti-Ro52 was present in 70% of the 27 tested individuals. A significant response to treatment was characterized by an increase in predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) of at least 5% in the last evaluation done after 6 to 24 months of treatment. A decrease in predicted FVC of at least 5%, the need for oxygen therapy, or death were all considered treatment failures. All patients were treated with corticosteroids, and 71% with mycophenolate. After 24 months, 18 patients had an increase in FVC, 11 had a decrease, and 22 remained stable. After a median follow-up of 58 months, 48 patients remained alive and three died. Patients with honeycombing on high-resolution chest tomography (log-rank = 34.65; P < .001) and a decrease in FVC ≥5% (log-rank = 18.28, P < .001) had a poorer survival rate. Patients with ILD and mechanic’s hands respond well to immunosuppressive treatment.

PMID:38941439 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000038642

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Jun 28;103(26):e38650. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000038650.

ABSTRACT

Previous studies have reported an association between physical activity and the occurrence and progression of knee osteoarthritis (KOA). However, the existing evidence remains limited and of low-quality. This study aimed to examine the causal relationship between different levels of physical activity and KOA. Instrumental variables, represented by single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), were utilized to capture sedentary behavior, appropriate physical exercise, and excessive physical activity. Aggregated statistics from the UK Biobank genome-wide association study dataset were used to assess the impact of these SNPs on KOA. Causality was estimated using inverse variance weighting (IVW), MR Egger, simple model, weighted median, and weighted model approaches. The stability of the results was assessed through heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis revealed a strong association between sedentary behavior and KOA, with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.096 (95% CI: 1.506-2.917) and a P value of 1.14 × 10-5. Appropriate physical exercise behavior exhibited a strong negative association with KOA, with an OR of 0.147 (95% CI: 0.037-0.582) and a P value of 0.006. Conversely, excessive physical activity behavior showed a significant positive association with KOA, with an OR of 2.162 (95% CI: 1.327-3.521) and a P value of .002. Our findings indicate that sedentary behavior and excessive physical activity are identified as risk factors for KOA, whereas engaging in appropriate physical exercise emerges as a protective factor against the development of KOA.

PMID:38941438 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000038650