Public Health Nutr. 2024 May 30;27(1):e136. doi: 10.1017/S1368980024001113.
NO ABSTRACT
PMID:38813701 | DOI:10.1017/S1368980024001113
Category: Statistics
Category Added in a WPeMatico Campaign
Clin Toxicol (Phila). 2024 May 30:1-7. doi: 10.1080/15563650.2024.2350601. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Exposures to hydrazines occur during aeronautic and space operations and pose a potential risk to personnel. Historically, extensive preparatory countermeasures have been taken due to concern for severe toxicity. This study seeks to better understand manifestations of acute occupational exposures to hydrazine to guide recommendations for management.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective database review of records from four United States regional poison centers was conducted of all human exposures to hydrazine, monomethylhydrazine, or 1,1-dimethylhydrazine over two decades. Following case abstraction, descriptive statistics were performed to characterize demographics, manifestations, treatments, and outcomes.
RESULTS: One hundred and thirty-five cases were identified, and most were adult males exposed to inhaled hydrazine propellant vapors. Fifty-seven percent of patients were asymptomatic following exposure; otherwise, common symptoms were dyspnea, throat irritation, cough, ocular irritation, and headache. All patients were evacuated or received decontamination, with a few reports of symptomatic treatments, including oxygen supplementation and salbutamol (albuterol). Patients usually recovered quickly and were released after a brief healthcare facility evaluation or observed locally. No patients developed delayed symptoms. Symptoms of severe toxicity were not observed, and there were no deaths.
DISCUSSION: Acute exposures to hydrazines during operations within the aerospace industry appear to be limited primarily to mucosal and mild pulmonary irritation without significant neurologic, hepatic, or hematologic toxicity. These findings are contrary to previously established expectations and may be related to low-level exposures or possibly due to current emergency countermeasures.
CONCLUSIONS: Care in occupational hydrazine exposure will focus on evacuation, decontamination, and symptomatic management of chemical irritant properties of hydrazines. It is reasonable to manage mild cases outside of a healthcare facility. Continued endeavors in human space exploration and habitation will increase the risk of these exposures, making it imperative that clinicians be comfortable with the care and management of these patients.
PMID:38813683 | DOI:10.1080/15563650.2024.2350601
J Glob Health. 2024 May 31;14:05013. doi: 10.7189/jogh.14.05013.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Different statistical approaches for estimating excess deaths due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have led to varying estimates. In this study, we developed and validated a covariate-based model (CBM) with imputation for prediction of district-level excess deaths in India.
METHODS: We used data extracted from deaths registered under the Civil Registration System for 2015-19 for 684 of 713 districts in India to estimate expected deaths for 2020 through a negative binomial regression model (NBRM) and to calculate excess observed deaths. Specifically, we used 15 covariates across four domains (state, health system, population, COVID-19) in a zero inflated NBRM to identify covariates significantly (P < 0.05) associated with excess deaths estimate in 460 districts. We then validated this CBM in 140 districts by comparing predicted and estimated excess. For 84 districts with missing covariates, we validated the imputation with CBM by comparing estimated with predicted excess deaths. We imputed covariate data to predict excess deaths for 29 districts which did not have data on deaths.
RESULTS: The share of elderly and urban population, the under-five mortality rate, prevalence of diabetes, and bed availability were significantly associated with estimated excess deaths and were used for CBM. The mean of the CBM-predicted excess deaths per district (x̄ = 989, standard deviation (SD) = 1588) was not significantly different from the estimated one (x̄ = 1448, SD = 3062) (P = 0.25). The estimated excess deaths (n = 67 540; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 35 431, 99 648) were similar to the predicted excess death (n = 64 570; 95% CI = 54 140, 75 000) by CBM with imputation. The total national estimate of excess deaths for all 713 districts was 794 989 (95% CI = 664 895, 925 082).
CONCLUSIONS: A CBM with imputation can be used to predict excess deaths in an appropriate context.
PMID:38813676 | DOI:10.7189/jogh.14.05013
Ther Hypothermia Temp Manag. 2024 May 30. doi: 10.1089/ther.2024.0001. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
The effectiveness of target temperature management (TTM) in poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains a topic of debate. In order to assess the clinical efficacy of TTM in patients with poor-grade aSAH, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. This research was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023445582) and included all relevant publications up until October 2023. We compared the TTM groups with the control groups in terms of unfavorable outcomes (modified Rankin scale [mRS] score > 3), mortality, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), cerebral vasospasm (CVS), and specific complications. Subgroup analyses were performed based on country, study type, follow-up time, TTM method, cooling maintenance period, and rewarming rate. Effect sizes were calculated as relative risk (RR) using random-effect or fixed-effect models. The quality of the articles was assessed using the methodological index for non-randomized studies scale. Our analysis included a total of 5 clinical studies (including 1 randomized controlled trial) and 219 patients (85 in the TTM group and 134 in the control group). Most of the studies were of moderate quality. TTM was found to be associated with a statistically significant improvement in mortality (mRS score 6) rates compared with the control group (RR = 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.40-0.94, p = 0.026). However, there was no statistically significant difference in unfavorable outcomes (mRS 4-6) between the TTM and control groups (RR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.71-1.26, p = 0.702). The incidence of adverse events, including DCI, CVS, pneumonia, cardiac complications, and electrolyte imbalance, did not significantly differ between the two groups. In conclusion, our overall results suggest that TTM does not significantly reduce unfavorable outcomes in poor-grade aSAH patients. However, TTM may decrease mortality rates. Preoperative TTM may cause patients to miss the opportunity for surgery, although it temporarily protects the brain. Furthermore, the incidence of adverse events was similar between the TTM and control groups.
PMID:38813648 | DOI:10.1089/ther.2024.0001
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):415-421. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230829-00714.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the establishment method, coordination points and safe transport management strategy of vena-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) in patients with downtime difficulties during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB).
METHODS: A observation study was conducted. The patients admitted to the department of critical care medicine of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College (Yijishan Hospital) from January 2020 to October 2022 were enrolled. These patients could not be separated from CPB and received VA-ECMO-assisted CPB surgery. The clinical data of the patients were recorded, including the basic information of the patients, the data of VA-ECMO establishment and transport process, the clinical indicators before and after VA-ECMO installation, the operation data of VA-ECMO and clinical outcomes. The experience was summarized from the aspects of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) establishment, transport process, team cooperation, and adverse events during transport. The clinical indicators before and after ECMO operation were compared. According to whether ECMO was successfully weaned, the patients were divided into a successful weaning group and a failure weaning group, and the clinical data between the two groups were compared.
RESULTS: Eighteen patients who underwent VA-ECMO-assisted CPB were enrolled, including 10 males and 8 females. The average age was (56.7±12.3) years old. Preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 0.46±0.10, and the main reasons for switching to VA-ECMO assistance included right ventricular systolic weakness in 6 cases, total cardiac systolic weakness in 5 cases, left ventricular systolic weakness in 4 cases, high pulmonary arterial pressure in 2 cases, and intractable ventricular fibrillation in 1 case. Among the 18 patients transferred from CPB to VA-ECMO, 10 cases were successfully weaned and 8 cases failed. In ICU, 8 cases survived, 5 cases died, and 5 cases gave up treatment and discharged. The average time for successful CPB to VA-ECMO establishment was (24.6±7.4) minutes, initial blood flow was (3.3±0.4) L/min, and transit time was (8.4±1.5) minutes. ECMO-assisted duration averaged (82.0±69.3) hours. Adverse events occurred in 9 patients during ECMO establishment and transfer. Post-ECMO onboarding for 4 hours, significant improvements were noted in blood lactic acid (Lac), pH value, mean arterial pressure (MAP), central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO2) as compared with pre-ECMO onboarding [Lac (mmol/L): 10.5±7.0 vs. 15.2±6.8, pH value: 7.38±0.92 vs. 7.26±0.87, MAP (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 74.9±13.7 vs. 58.4±17.0, ScvO2: 0.678±0.065 vs. 0.611±0.061, all P < 0.01], and vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS) was also decreased (39.8±29.8 vs. 68.9±64.4, P < 0.01). Compared with successful weaning group, the patients in the failed weaning group exhibited higher pre-machine Lac (mmol/L: 18.8±7.8 vs. 12.3±4.3, P < 0.05), longer CPB time [minutes: 238.0 (208.8, 351.2) vs. 200.0 (185.8, 217.0), P < 0.05], and shorter ECMO-assisted time [hours: 19.5 (11.0, 58.8) vs. 94.5 (65.8, 179.8), P < 0.01]. However, there was no statistically significant difference in pre-machine pH value, ScvO2, MAP, VIS score, and initial blood flow and establishment time of ECMO between the two groups.
CONCLUSIONS: VA-ECMO is an effective circulatory aid for CPB surgery that cannot be weaned after CPB. The establishment and transfer of CPB “bridge” to ECMO aid depends on multi-disciplinary treatment (MDT) cooperation. The success rate of ECMO weaning is related to the Lac and CPB duration. If it is not possible to detach from the CPB successfully, VA-ECMO should be initiated as early as possible.
PMID:38813638 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230829-00714
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):410-414. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230914-00781.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To summarize the strategy and method for the treatment of critically ill patients with self-made extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) system.
METHODS: A observative study was conducted. Fifty-six patients with ECMO assisted support in Fuwai Central China Cardiovascular Disease Hospital from December 2020 to December 2021 were enrolled. According to the clinical situation of the patients and the wishes of the family, conventional ECMO package (conventional group) or self-made ECMO package (self-made group) was chosen. In the conventional group, the disposable ECMO package was used to install the machine, pre charge and exhaust the air. In the self-made group, the disposable consumables commonly used in extracorporeal circulation during cardiac surgery (including centrifugal pump heads, membrane oxygenation, tubes, connectors, etc.) were used to create a self-made ECMO system. Based on the patient’s situation, personalized tube model selection and length control were carried out. The preparation time, auxiliary time, auxiliary method, total pre charge volume, free hemoglobin (FHb) levels after 2 hours of ECMO operation and operating costs, as well as changes in hemodynamics, arterial blood gas analysis, and blood indicators within 48 hours after ECMO placement in the two groups were recorded. The occurrence of adverse events related to the ECMO system during ECMO adjuvant therapy in two groups was simultaneously observed.
RESULTS: Fifty-six patients were enrolled finally, with 28 cases in the conventional group and 28 cases in the self-made group, and all successfully completed the operation of ECMO. There was no statistically significant difference in ECMO system preparation time, auxiliary time, auxiliary method, and FHb levels after 2 hours of ECMO operation between the conventional group and the self-made group [preparation time (minutes): 13±4 vs. 15±5, auxiliary time (hours): 287±34 vs. 276±42, veno-arterial ECMO (cases): 22 vs. 24, veno-venous ECMO (cases): 6 vs. 4, FHb after 2 hours of ECMO operation (mg/L): 226±67 vs. 253±78, all P > 0.05]. However, the total pre charge volume and operating costs in the self-made group were significantly lower than those in the conventional group [total pre charge volume (mL): 420±25 vs. 650±10, operating costs (ten thousand yuan): 3.8±0.4 vs. 6.7±0.3, both P < 0.01]. The hemodynamics, arterial blood gas analysis, and blood indicators of patients in the two groups were relatively stable within 48 hours after ECMO operation, and most of the indicators between the two groups showed no statistically significant differences. The hemoglobin (Hb) levels at 12, 24, and 48 hours after the machine transfer in the self-made group were significantly higher than those in the conventional group (g/L: 128.5±23.7 vs. 117.5±24.3 at 12 hours, 121.3±31.3 vs. 109.6±33.2 at 24 hours, 118.5±20.1 vs. 105.2±25.7 at 48 hours, all P < 0.05). Both groups of patients did not experience any adverse event related to the ECMO system, such as membrane pulmonary infiltration, joint detachment, and massive hemolysis, during the ECMO assisted treatment process.
CONCLUSIONS: When implementing ECMO for critically ill patients in clinical practice, a self-made ECMO system with disposable consumables commonly used in extracorporeal circulation during cardiac surgery can be used for cardiopulmonary function assistance support, thereby saving patients medical costs and alleviating their dependence on disposable ECMO package in clinical practice.
PMID:38813637 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230914-00781
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):404-409. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230911-00774.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of transnasal humidified rapid insufflation ventilatory exchange (THRIVE) on regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rScO2) during induction of general anesthesia in patients undergoing traumatic brain injury (TBI) emergency surgery.
METHODS: A prospective randomized controlled trial was conducted. The TBI emergency general anesthesia patients who underwent intracranial hematoma removal surgery at the Northern Jiangsu People’s Hospital from January to July in 2023 were enrolled. The patients were divided into a conventional mask ventilation group and a THRIVE group using a random number table method. The patients in the conventional mask ventilation group were anesthetized and induced to pre oxygenate without positive pressure ventilation in the front mask for 10 minutes, with an oxygen flow rate of 8 L/min and an fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) of 1.00. After anesthesia induction for about 90 s, tracheal intubation was performed after the muscle relaxant took effect (patient’s jaw muscle was relaxed). The patients in the THRIVE group were pre oxygenated with THRIVE for 10 minutes, with an oxygen flow rate of 30 L/min and a FiO2 of 1.00. During anesthesia induction, the oxygen flow rate was increased to 50 L/min, and anesthesia induction medication was used. The lower jaw of patient was supported with both hands to maintain airway patency, and the patient’s mouth was kept closed throughout the process. After the muscle relaxant took effect (the patient’s jaw muscle was relaxed), tracheal intubation was performed. At the time of patient entering the operating room, 10 minutes of pre oxygenation, and immediately after successful intubation, rScO2 was measured on the surgical and non-surgical sides. At the same time, ultrasound was used to measure the cross-sectional area (CSA) of the gastric antrum and arterial blood gas analysis was performed. The partial pressure of end-tidal carbon dioxide (PETCO2) during the first mechanical ventilation after successful tracheal intubation, the incidence of hypoxemia [pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2) < 0.95] during tracheal intubation, as well as prognostic indicators such as the length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, total length of hospital stay, and Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score at discharge were recorded.
RESULTS: During the study period, a total of 70 TBI patients underwent emergency general anesthesia surgery, of which 2 patients died postoperatively, 2 patients were unable to cooperate with closed mouth breathing, and 3 patients had poor ultrasound image acquisition in the gastric antrum, all of whom were excluded. A total of 63 patients were ultimately enrolled, including 32 in the conventional mask ventilation group and 31 in the THRIVE group. There were no statistically significant differences in gender, age, body mass index (BMI), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score, optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD), baseline vital signs, fasting situation, anesthesia time, surgical time, and intraoperative blood loss between the patients in the two groups, indicating comparability. When entering the operating room, there was no statistically significant difference in rScO2 on the surgical and non-surgical sides, and blood gas analysis indexes arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) and arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2) between the patients in the two groups. When pre oxygenated for 10 minutes, both the surgical and non-surgical sides rScO2 levels in the THRIVE group were significantly higher than those in the conventional mask ventilation group (surgical side: 0.709±0.036 vs. 0.636±0.028, non-surgical side: 0.791±0.016 vs. 0.712±0.027, both P < 0.01), and the PaO2 was significantly increased [mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 450.23±60.99 vs. 264.88±49.33, P < 0.01], PaCO2 was significantly reduced (mmHg: 37.81±3.65 vs. 43.59±3.76, P < 0.01), and the advantage continues tilled immediately after successful intubation. There was no statistically significant difference in CSA at each time point of ultrasound examination between the two groups. Compared with the conventional mask ventilation group, the patients in the THRIVE group showed a significant decrease in PETCO2 during the first mechanical ventilation after successful tracheal intubation (mmHg: 43.10±2.66 vs. 49.22±3.31, P < 0.01), and the incidence of hypoxemia during tracheal intubation was also significantly reduced [0% (0/31) vs. 28.12% (9/32), P < 0.01]. In terms of prognostic indicators, there was no statistically significant difference in the length of ICU stay and total length of hospital stay between the patients in the conventional mask ventilation group and the THRIVE group [length of ICU stay (days): 10 (9, 10) vs. 10 (9, 11), total length of hospital stay (days): 28.00 (26.00, 28.75) vs. 28.00 (27.00, 29.00), both P > 0.05]. However, the proportion of patients in the THRIVE group with a good prognosis at discharge (GOS score > 3) was significantly higher than that in the conventional mask ventilation group [35.5% (11/31) vs. 12.5% (4/32), P < 0.05].
CONCLUSIONS: THRIVE can significantly increase rScO2 during anesthesia induction in TBI emergency surgery patients and improve their neurological function prognosis.
PMID:38813636 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230911-00774
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):398-403. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230721-00538.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To explore the factors influencing prognosis of patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA).
METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted. The clinical data of patients who developed IHCA and underwent cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) at the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2022 were analyzed. The patients’ information, including gender, age, medical history, pre-cardiac arrest related parameters [1-hour pre-cardiac arrest neurological function, 24-hour pre-cardiac arrest hemoglobin (Hb) levels, 1-hour pre-cardiac arrest vital signs], initial CPR-related factors (implementation time and location, initial rhythm, ventilation method, defibrillation and resuscitation drugs) as well as restoration of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) related parameters (vital signs at ROSC and 1 hour after ROSC, 24-hour post-cardiac arrest Hb, and IHCA events), were collected through the hospital’s electronic medical record system. The clinical data were compared between ROSC and non-ROSC patients as well as between patients with favorable neurological function [cerebral performance category (CPC) grades 1-2] and unfavorable neurological function (CPC grades 3-5) at 28 days. The factors with statistical significance in univariate analysis and clinical significance were enrolled in a binary multivariate Logistic regression model to analyze the influencing factors of ROSC and neurological function at 28 days after ROSC. The predictive value of factors influencing neurological function at 28 days was assessed using receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).
RESULTS: A total of 277 IHCA-CPR patients were enrolled, of which 230 achieved ROSC (83.0%) and 47 were not achieved (17.0%). Compared with non-ROSC patients, ROSC patients had lower prevalence of cerebrovascular disease history and proportion of adrenaline usage, but a higher proportion of initial shockable rhythms. In the multivariate Logistic regression analysis, it was found that using a bag-mask ventilation+endotracheal intubation (compared with a bag-mask ventilation alone) was beneficial for achieving ROSC in IHCA-CPR patients [odds ratio (OR) = 2.895, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.204-6.962, P = 0.018], while a initial non-shockable rhythm was not conducive to achieving ROSC in IHCA-CPR patients (OR = 0.349, 95%CI was 0.147-0.831, P = 0.017). Among the 230 ROSC patients, 42 had good neurological function at 28 days (18.3%), and 188 had poor neurological function (81.7%). Compared with the patients with good neurological function, the patients with the poor neurological function were older and had a higher prevalence of 1-hour pre-cardiac arrest neurological dysfunction and low perfusion, initial non-shockable rhythms, endotracheal intubation, and usage of adrenaline, vasopressors and sodium bicarbonate, a lower proportion of defibrillation and antiarrhythmic medication usage as well as lower 24-hour post-cardiac arrest Hb levels. The multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that female (OR = 6.449, 95%CI was 1.837-22.642, P = 0.004), older age (OR = 1.054, 95%CI was 1.017-1.093, P = 0.004), 1-hour pre-cardiac arrest neurological dysfunction (OR = 25.044, 95%CI was 2.737-229.169, P = 0.004), 1-hour pre-cardiac arrest low perfusion (OR = 3.880, 95%CI was 1.306-11.524, P = 0.028), endotracheal intubation (compared with a bag-mask ventilation; OR = 8.712, 95%CI was 1.402-54.141, P = 0.020) and face mask+endotracheal intubation during CPR (compared with a bag-mask ventilation; OR = 11.089, 95%CI was 3.482-35.320, P = 0.000), IHCA events > 1 time (OR = 4.221, 95%CI was 1.249-14.226, P = 0.020) were positively associated with poor neurological function at 28 days, which were independent risk factors those were not conducive to 28-day neurological function recovery after ROSC in IHCA-CPR patients. In contrast, usage of antiarrhythmic medication (OR = 0.345, 95%CI was 0.134-0.890, P = 0.028) and 24-hour post-cardiac arrest Hb (OR = 0.983, 95%CI was 0.966-0.999, P = 0.043) were negatively associated with poor neurological function at 28 days, which were protective factors those were beneficial for the recovery of neurological function. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 24-hour post-cardiac arrest Hb for predicting poor neurological function at 28 days after ROSC in IHCA-CPR patients was 0.659 (95%CI was 0.577-0.742), with a cut-off value of 99.5 g/L (sensitivity was 76.2%, specificity was 57.8%).
CONCLUSIONS: Defibrillation and tracheal intubation during CPR are crucial for IHCA patients. It was also observed that patients with low Hb (< 99.5 g/L should be of high concern), older age, 1-hour pre-cardiac arrest neurological function and hypoperfusion, and IHCA events > 1 time were significantly related to unfavorable neurological outcome in adult resuscitated patients with IHCA.
PMID:38813635 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230721-00538
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):358-363. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230925-00821.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To explore the independent risk factors of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with sepsis, establish an early warning model, and verify the predictive value of the model based on synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm.
METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was conducted. 566 patients with sepsis who were admitted to Jinan People’s Hospital from October 2016 to October 2022 were enrolled. General information, underlying diseases, infection sites, initial cause, severity scores, blood and arterial blood gas analysis indicators at admission, treatment measures, complications, and prognosis indicators of patients were collected. The patients were grouped according to whether ARDS occurred during hospitalization, and the clinical data between the two groups were observed and compared. Univariate and binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to select the independent risk factors of ARDS during hospitalization in septic patients, and regression equation was established to construct the early warning model. Simultaneously, the dataset was improved using the SMOTE algorithm to build an enhanced warning model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to validate the prediction efficiency of the model.
RESULTS: 566 patients with sepsis were included in the final analysis, of which 163 developed ARDS during hospitalization and 403 did not. Univariate analysis showed that there were statistically significant differences in age, body mass index (BMI), malignant tumor, blood transfusion history, pancreas and peripancreatic infection, gastrointestinal tract infection, pulmonary infection as the initial etiology, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, albumin (Alb), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), mechanical ventilation therapy, septic shock and length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay between the two groups. Binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 3.449, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.197-5.414, P = 0.000], pulmonary infection as the initial etiology (OR = 2.309, 95%CI was 1.427-3.737, P = 0.001), pancreas and peripancreatic infection (OR = 1.937, 95%CI was 1.236-3.035, P = 0.004), septic shock (OR = 3.381, 95%CI was 1.890-6.047, P = 0.000), SOFA score (OR = 9.311, 95%CI was 5.831-14.867, P = 0.000) were independent influencing factors of ARDS during hospitalization in septic patients. An early warning model was established based on the above risk factors: P1 = -4.558+1.238×age+0.837×pulmonary infection as the initial etiology+0.661×pancreas and peripancreatic infection+1.218×septic shock+2.231×SOFA score. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model for ARDS during hospitalization in septic patients was 0.882 (95%CI was 0.851-0.914) with sensitivity of 79.8% and specificity of 83.4%. The dataset was improved based on the SMOTE algorithm, and the early warning model was rebuilt: P2 = -3.279+1.288×age+0.763×pulmonary infection as the initial etiology+0.635×pancreas and peripancreatic infection+1.068×septic shock+2.201×SOFA score. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the model for ARDS during hospitalization in septic patients was 0.890 (95%CI was 0.867-0.913) with sensitivity of 85.3% and specificity of 79.1%. This result further confirmed that the early warning model constructed by the independent risk factors mentioned above had high predictive performance.
CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for the occurrence of ARDS during hospitalization in patients with sepsis include age, pulmonary infection as the initial etiology, pancreatic and peripancreatic infection, septic shock, and SOFA score. Clinically, the probability of ARDS in patients with sepsis can be assessed based on the warning model established using these risk factors, allowing for early intervention and improvement of prognosis.
PMID:38813628 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230925-00821
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Apr;36(4):353-357. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240109-00025.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive value of left ventricular global longitudinal peak strain (GLPS) for the prognosis of septic patients.
METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted. Patients diagnosed with sepsis and admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from December 2018 to November 2019 were enrolled. The patient characteristics, cardiac ultrasound parameters [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF), four-dimensional ejection fraction (4DEF), GLPS] and cardiac biomarkers [N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), cardiac troponin T (cTnT)] within 24 hours of ICU admission, organ support therapies, severity of illness, and prognostic indicators were documented. The differences in clinical parameters between patients with varying outcomes during ICU hospitalization were assessed. Pearson correlation analysis was employed to explore the correlation between GLPS and other cardiac systolic parameters, as well as the associations between various cardiac systolic parameters and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive capacity of cardiac ultrasound parameters and cardiac biomarkers for death during ICU hospitalization in septic patients.
RESULTS: A total of 50 septic patients were enrolled, with 40 surviving and 10 dying during ICU hospitalization, resulting in a mortality of 20.0%. All patients in the death group were male. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group were older, had a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus, and received continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) more frequently, additionally, they exhibited more severe illness and had longer length of ICU stay. The levels of GLPS and cTnT in the death group were significantly elevated as compared with the survival group [GLPS: -7.1% (-8.5%, -7.0%) vs. -12.1% (-15.5%, -10.4%), cTnT (μg/L): 0.07 (0.05, 0.08) vs. 0.03 (0.02, 0.13), both P < 0.05]. However, no statistically significant difference was found in other cardiac ultrasound parameters or cardiac biomarkers between the two groups. Pearson correlation analysis revealed a negative correlation between GLPS and LVEF (r = -0.377, P = 0.014) and 4DEF (r = -0.697, P = 0.000), while no correlation was found with RVEF (r = -0.451, P = 0.069). GLPS demonstrated a positive correlation with SOFA score (r = 0.306, P = 0.033), while LVEF (r = 0.112, P = 0.481), RVEF (r = -0.134, P = 0.595), and 4DEF (r = -0.251, P = 0.259) showed no significant correlation with SOFA score. ROC curve analysis indicated that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of GLPS for predicting death during ICU hospitalization in septic patients was higher than other cardiac systolic parameters, including LVEF, RVEF, and 4DEF, as well as cardiac biomarkers NT-proBNP and cTnT (0.737 vs. 0.628, 0.556, 0.659, 0.580 and 0.724). With an optimal cut-off value of -14.9% for GLPS, the sensitivity and negative predictive value reached to 100%.
CONCLUSIONS: GLPS < -14.9% within 24 hours of ICU admission in septic patients indicated a reduced risk of death risk during ICU hospitalization, while also correlating with the severity of organ dysfunction in this patient population.
PMID:38813627 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240109-00025