Category: Statistics

Chemosphere. 2024 Mar 13:141659. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.141659. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study investigated the occurrence and seasonal distribution of different classes of pesticides in surface waters of the Ondas River Watershed, as well as potential risks to the aquatic health and human water consumption in the western region of Bahia state, Brazil. Two gas chromatography-mass spectrometry analytical methods were applied to monitor 34 pesticides in water samples collected during both the dry and rainy seasons at 17 sites. Upon individual analysis, only γ-HCH, methoxychlor, demeton-S, methyl parathion, fenitrothion, chlorpyrifos, and azoxystrobin exhibited statistically significant differences between seasons. During rainy season, concentration medians of residues were higher for γ-HCH (74.7 ng L^-1), methoxychlor (25.1 ng L^-1), and azoxystrobin (47.2 ng L^-1), potentially linked to historical contamination or illegal use. Conversely, pesticides like methyl parathion, fenitrothion, and chlorpyrifos, belonging to the organophosphate class, showed higher concentration medians in the dry period, measuring 75.1, 5.50, and 10.8 ng L^-1, respectively, probably due to region crop activities. The risk quotient (RQ) assessment for aquatic life indicated that 59.0% of the samples in the dry season and 76.0% in the rainy season had RQ values greater than one, signifying a critical scenario for species conservation. Regarding human consumption, elevated risks were observed for heptachlor in both sampling periods and for azoxystrobin during the rainy season, surpassing RQ levels above 1, indicating danger in untreated water ingestion. Additionally, 24.0% and 53.0% of the samples in the dry and rainy seasons, respectively, contained at least one pesticide exceeding the EU resolution limit (100 ng L^-1). Therefore, considering this information, implementing mitigation measures to avoid the river’s contamination becomes imperative.

PMID:38490616 | DOI:10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.141659

J Neurosurg. 2024 Mar 15:1-13. doi: 10.3171/2023.11.JNS231425. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The International Mission on Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials in Traumatic Brain Injury (IMPACT) and Corticosteroid Randomization After Significant Head Injury (CRASH) prognostic models for mortality and outcome after traumatic brain injury (TBI) were developed using data from 1984 to 2004. This study examined IMPACT and CRASH model performances in a contemporary cohort of US patients.

METHODS: The prospective 18-center Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury (TRACK-TBI) study (enrollment years 2014-2018) enrolled subjects aged ≥ 17 years who presented to level I trauma centers and received head CT within 24 hours of TBI. Data were extracted from the subjects who met the model criteria (for IMPACT, Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score 3-12 with 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended [GOSE] data [n = 441]; for CRASH, GCS score 3-14 with 2-week mortality data and 6-month GOSE data [n = 831]). Analyses were conducted in the overall cohort and stratified on the basis of TBI severity (severe/moderate/mild TBI defined as GCS score 3-8/9-12/13-14), age (17-64 years or ≥ 65 years), and the 5 top enrolling sites. Unfavorable outcome was defined as GOSE score 1-4. Original IMPACT and CRASH model coefficients were applied, and model performances were assessed by calibration (intercept [< 0 indicated overprediction; > 0 indicated underprediction] and slope) and discrimination (c-statistic).

RESULTS: Overall, the IMPACT models overpredicted mortality (intercept -0.79 [95% CI -1.05 to -0.53], slope 1.37 [1.05-1.69]) and acceptably predicted unfavorable outcome (intercept 0.07 [-0.14 to 0.29], slope 1.19 [0.96-1.42]), with good discrimination (c-statistics 0.84 and 0.83, respectively). The CRASH models overpredicted mortality (intercept -1.06 [-1.36 to -0.75], slope 0.96 [0.79-1.14]) and unfavorable outcome (intercept -0.60 [-0.78 to -0.41], slope 1.20 [1.03-1.37]), with good discrimination (c-statistics 0.92 and 0.88, respectively). IMPACT overpredicted mortality and acceptably predicted unfavorable outcome in the severe and moderate TBI subgroups, with good discrimination (c-statistic ≥ 0.81). CRASH overpredicted mortality in the severe and moderate TBI subgroups and acceptably predicted mortality in the mild TBI subgroup, with good discrimination (c-statistic ≥ 0.86); unfavorable outcome was overpredicted in the severe and mild TBI subgroups with adequate discrimination (c-statistic ≥ 0.78), whereas calibration was nonlinear in the moderate TBI subgroup. In subjects ≥ 65 years of age, the models performed variably (IMPACT-mortality, intercept 0.28, slope 0.68, and c-statistic 0.68; CRASH-unfavorable outcome, intercept -0.97, slope 1.32, and c-statistic 0.88; nonlinear calibration for IMPACT-unfavorable outcome and CRASH-mortality). Model performance differences were observed across the top enrolling sites for mortality and unfavorable outcome.

CONCLUSIONS: The IMPACT and CRASH models adequately discriminated mortality and unfavorable outcome. Observed overestimations of mortality and unfavorable outcome underscore the need to update prognostic models to incorporate contemporary changes in TBI management and case-mix. Investigations to elucidate the relationships between increased survival, outcome, treatment intensity, and site-specific practices will be relevant to improve models in specific TBI subpopulations (e.g., older adults), which may benefit from the inclusion of blood-based biomarkers, neuroimaging features, and treatment data.

PMID:38489823 | DOI:10.3171/2023.11.JNS231425

J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2024 Mar 15:1-11. doi: 10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23363. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) shunt infections caused by gram-negative bacteria are difficult to treat given the limited treatment options and the emergence of carbapenem-resistant (CR) strains. This study aimed to evaluate the demographic and clinical characteristics of children with CSF shunt and external ventricular drain (EVD) infections caused by gram-negative bacteria, to identify the risk factors for acquiring CR CSF shunt infections, and to report on the clinical outcomes of these infections.

METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was designed to evaluate pediatric patients with CSF shunt and EVD infections caused by gram-negative bacteria between January 2013 and February 2023.

RESULTS: A total of 64 episodes in 50 patients were evaluated. There were 45 (70.3%) CSF shunt infections and 19 (29.7%) EVD infections. The median (range) ages were 1.4 years (9 months-17.5 years) for CSF shunt infection patients and 4.2 years (1 month-17 years) for EVD infection patients. The most common isolated gram-negative bacteria species in CSF shunt infections were Pseudomonas spp. (12, 26.7%), followed by Escherichia coli (11, 24.4%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (9, 20%), and Enterobacter cloacae (5, 11.1%). In EVD infections, the most common isolated gram-negative bacteria species were Acinetobacter spp. (6, 31.6%), followed by Pseudomonas spp. (4, 21.1%) and E. coli (3, 15.8%). The carbapenem resistance rate was 26.3% (n = 5) in EVD infections and 26.2% (n = 11) in CSF shunt infections. When risk factors for carbapenem resistance were evaluated for CSF shunt infections, prior carbapenem treatment and a prolonged hospital stay > 7 days were risk factors for the CR group (p = 0.032 and p = 0.042, respectively). In definitive treatment, colistin was statistically more commonly used in the CR group (p = 0.049). When outcomes were evaluated, the 30-day mortality rate (18.2% vs 0%) was higher in the CR group, without a significant difference (p = 0.064).

CONCLUSIONS: A prolonged hospital stay > 7 days and prior carbapenem exposure within 30 days were associated with CR shunt infections caused by gram-negative bacteria.

PMID:38489813 | DOI:10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23363

J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2024 Mar 15:1-12. doi: 10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23282. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Brain tumors are a global problem, leading to higher cancer-related morbidity and mortality rates in children. Despite the progressive though slow advances in neuro-oncology care, research, and diagnostics in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the epidemiological landscape of pediatric brain tumors (PBTs) remains underestimated. This study aimed to systematically analyze the distribution of PBT types in SSA.

METHODS: Ovid Medline, Global Index Medicus, African Journals Online, Google Scholar, and faculty of medicine libraries were searched for literature on PBTs in SSA published before October 29, 2022. A proportional meta-analysis was performed.

RESULTS: Forty-nine studies, involving 2360 children, met the inclusion criteria for review; only 20 (40.82%) were included in the quantitative analysis. South Africa and Nigeria were the countries with the most abundant data. Glioma not otherwise specified (NOS) was the common PBT in the 4 SSA regions combined. However, medulloblastoma was more commonly reported in Southern SSA (p = 0.01) than in other regions. The prevalence and the overall pooled proportion of the 3 common PBTs was estimated at 46.27% and 0.41 (95% CI 0.32-0.50, 95% prediction interval [PI] 0.11-0.79), 25.34% and 0.18 (95% CI 0.14-0.21, 95% PI 0.06-0.40), and 12.67% and 0.12 (95% CI 0.09-0.15, 95% PI 0.04-0.29) for glioma NOS, medulloblastoma, and craniopharyngioma, respectively. Sample size moderated the estimated proportion of glioma NOS (p = 0.02). The highest proportion of craniopharyngiomas was in Western SSA, and medulloblastoma and glioma NOS in Central SSA.

CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide insight into the trends of PBT types and the proportion of the top 3 most common tumors across SSA. Although statistical conclusions are difficult due to the inconsistency in the data, the study identifies critical areas for policy development and collaborations that can facilitate improved outcomes in PBTs in SSA. More accurate epidemiological studies of these tumors are needed to better understand the burden of the disease and the geographic variation in their distribution, and to raise awareness in their subsequent management.

PMID:38489811 | DOI:10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23282

J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2024 Mar 15:1-9. doi: 10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23281. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Craniovertebral junction (CVJ) abnormalities are common and well documented in mucopolysaccharidosis type I-Hurler syndrome (MPS IH), often causing severe spinal canal narrowing. However, the requirement for surgical decompression and/or fusion is uncommon. Although hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) has been shown to prolong the lives of patients with MPS IH, its effect in halting or reversing musculoskeletal abnormalities is less clear. Unfortunately, there are currently no universal guidelines for imaging or indication for surgical interventions in these patients. The goal of this study was to track the progression of the CVJ anatomy in patients with MPS IH following HCT, and to examine radiographic features in patients who needed surgical intervention.

METHODS: Patients with MPS IH treated at the University of Minnesota with allogeneic HCT between 2008 and 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients who underwent CVJ surgery were identified with chart review. All MPS IH cervical scans were examined, and the odontoid retroflexion angle, clivoaxial angle (CXA), canal width, and Grabb-Oakes distance (pB-C2) were measured yearly for up to 7 years after HCT. Longitudinal models based on the measurements were made. An intraclass correlation coefficient was used to measure interrater reliability. Nine children without MPS IH were examined for control CVJ measurements.

RESULTS: A total of 253 cervical spine MRI scans were reviewed in 54 patients with MPS IH. Only 4 (7.4%) patients in the study cohort required surgery. Three of them had posterior fossa and C1 decompression, and 1 had a C1-2 fusion. There was no statistically significant difference in the spinal parameters that were examined between surgery and nonsurgery groups. Among the measurements, canal width and CXA varied drastically in patients with different neck positions. Odontoid retroflexion angle and CXA tended to decrease with age. Canal width and pB-C2 tended to increase with age.

CONCLUSIONS: Based on the data, the authors observed an increase in canal width and pB-C2, whereas the CXA and odontoid retroflexion angle became more acute as the patients aged after HCT. The longitudinal models derived from these data mirrored the development in children without MPS IH. Spinal measurements obtained on MR images alone are not sufficient in identifying patients who require surgical intervention. Symptom monitoring and clinical examination, as well as pathological spinal cord changes on MRI, are more crucial in assessing the need for surgery than is obtaining serial imaging.

PMID:38489810 | DOI:10.3171/2024.1.PEDS23281

J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2024 Mar 15:1-9. doi: 10.3171/2023.10.PEDS23118. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Given the lack of a definitive treatment and the poor prognosis of patients with diffuse midline glioma (DMG) and diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG), socioeconomic status (SES) may affect treatment access and therefore survival. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the relationship between SES and treatment modalities, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in children with DMG/DIPG.

METHODS: A retrospective, single-institution review was conducted of medical records of patients ≤ 18 years of age who had DMG or DIPG that was diagnosed between 2000 and 2022. Patient demographics, surgical interventions, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, clinical trial enrollment, and medical care-related travel were extracted. SES variables (education and mean income) for associated patient census tracts were collected and stratified. Statistical analysis using unpaired t-tests, chi-square analysis, and log-rank tests was conducted.

RESULTS: Of the 96 patients who met the inclusion criteria, the majority were female (59%) and non-Hispanic White (57%). The median PFS, median OS, and time from diagnosis to treatment did not differ between races/ethnicities or sex. Ninety-one of 96 patients had census tract data available. Patients from higher-income census tracts (> 50% of families with annual household income greater than $50,000) had a longer median OS (480 vs 235 days, p < 0.001) and traveled significantly longer distances for medical care (1550 vs 1114 miles, p = 0.048) than families from lower-income census tracts. Patients from the highest education quartile traveled significantly farther for treatment than the lowest education quartile (mean 2964 vs 478 miles, p = 0.047). Patients who received both oral and intravenous chemotherapy were more likely to be from higher-income census tracts than those who received intravenous or no chemotherapy. Duration of PFS, rates of clinical trial enrollment, biopsy rates, H3K27 mutation status, ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement rates, and radiotherapy rates were not associated with SES variables.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients from families from higher-income census tracts experienced longer OS and traveled farther for treatment. Patients from families from higher-education-level census tracts traveled more often for treatment. The authors’ findings suggest that SES influences DMG and DIPG OS. More studies should be done to understand the role of SES in the outcomes of children with DMG/DIPG.

PMID:38489807 | DOI:10.3171/2023.10.PEDS23118

Am Nat. 2024 Apr;203(4):458-472. doi: 10.1086/729222. Epub 2024 Feb 20.

ABSTRACT

AbstractEcologists increasingly recognize that interactions between two species can be affected by the density of a third species. How these higher-order interactions (HOIs) affect species persistence remains poorly understood. To explore the effect of HOIs stemming from multiple trophic layers on a plant community composition, we experimentally built a mesocosm with three plants and three pollinator species arranged in a fully nested and modified network structure. We estimated pairwise interactions among plants and between plants and pollinators, as well as HOIs initiated by a plant or a pollinator affecting plant species pairs. Using a structuralist approach, we evaluated the consequences of the statistically supported HOIs on the persistence probability of each of the three competing plant species and their combinations. HOIs substantially redistribute the strength and sign of pairwise interactions between plant species, promoting the opportunities for multispecies communities to persist compared with a non-HOI scenario. However, the physical elimination of a plant-pollinator link in the modified network structure promotes changes in per capita pairwise interactions and HOIs, resulting in a single-species community. Our study provides empirical evidence of the joint importance of HOIs and network structure in determining species persistence within diverse communities.

PMID:38489780 | DOI:10.1086/729222

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Mar 15;103(11):e37458. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000037458.

ABSTRACT

Currently, there are limited studies assessing ChatGPT ability to provide appropriate responses to medical questions. Our study aims to evaluate ChatGPT adequacy in responding to questions regarding osteoporotic fracture prevention and medical science. We created a list of 25 questions based on the guidelines and our clinical experience. Additionally, we included 11 medical science questions from the journal Science. Three patients, 3 non-medical professionals, 3 specialist doctor and 3 scientists were involved to evaluate the accuracy and appropriateness of responses by ChatGPT3.5 on October 2, 2023. To simulate a consultation, an inquirer (either a patient or non-medical professional) would send their questions to a consultant (specialist doctor or scientist) via a website. The consultant would forward the questions to ChatGPT for answers, which would then be evaluated for accuracy and appropriateness by the consultant before being sent back to the inquirer via the website for further review. The primary outcome is the appropriate, inappropriate, and unreliable rate of ChatGPT responses as evaluated separately by the inquirer and consultant groups. Compared to orthopedic clinicians, the patients’ rating on the appropriateness of ChatGPT responses to the questions about osteoporotic fracture prevention was slightly higher, although the difference was not statistically significant (88% vs 80%, P = .70). For medical science questions, non-medical professionals and medical scientists rated similarly. In addition, the experts’ ratings on the appropriateness of ChatGPT responses to osteoporotic fracture prevention and to medical science questions were comparable. On the other hand, the patients perceived that the appropriateness of ChatGPT responses to osteoporotic fracture prevention questions was slightly higher than that to medical science questions (88% vs 72·7%, P = .34). ChatGPT is capable of providing comparable and appropriate responses to medical science questions, as well as to fracture prevention related issues. Both the inquirers seeking advice and the consultants providing advice recognize ChatGPT expertise in these areas.

PMID:38489735 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000037458

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Mar 15;103(11):e37412. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000037412.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The value of prophylactic closed-suction drainage in totally extraperitoneal inguinal hernia repair (TEP) is still a matter of controversy. We conducted a meta-analysis of studies examining postoperative seroma rates in patients with or without routine placement of closed-suction drainage tubes.

METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted for trials comparing the outcome of TEP with or without routine drainage placement. Data regarding postoperative outcomes were extracted and compared by meta-analysis. The odds ratio and standardized mean differences with 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

RESULTS: Four studies were identified, involving a total of 1626 cases (Drain: n = 1251, no Drain: n = 375). There was a statistically significant difference noted between the 2 groups regarding postoperative seroma formation favoring the Drain group (odds ratio = 0.12; 95% confidence intervals [0.05, 0.29]; P < .001; 4 studies; I2 = 72%). For the remaining secondary endpoints postoperative urinary retention, recurrence, mesh infection and in-hospital length of stay no statistically significant difference was noted between the 2 study groups.

CONCLUSION: Current evidence suggests that patients who underwent TEP with routine closed-suction drain placement developed significantly fewer seromas without any additional morbidity or prolongation of in-hospital stay.

PMID:38489721 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000037412

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Mar 15;103(11):e37349. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000037349.

ABSTRACT

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak caused by SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2) has affected various medical fields worldwide. However, relatively few studies have examined the impact of COVID-19 infection and vaccination on in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes and changes in SARS-CoV-2 antibody concentration in follicular fluid (FF). A total of 45 women were prospectively recruited and assigned to 3 groups: uninfected and non-vaccinated control group (Control group), infected group (COVID + group), and vaccinated group (Vaccination group). Serum and follicular fluid (FF) estradiol, progesterone, and SARS-CoV-2 antibody concentrations were measured. There were no statistical differences in the total number of retrieved oocytes (P = .291), mature oocytes (P = .416), and good-quality embryos (P = .694) among the 3 groups. In the vaccination group, BNT162b2 exhibited a significantly lower trigger-day serum estradiol/MII oocyte level (110.6 pg/mL) than other vaccines (289.5 pg/mL) (P = .006). No statistical differences in serum (P = .687) and FF (P = .108) SARS-CoV-2 antibody changes were noted among the 3 groups. Only FF antibody changes exhibited statistically significant differences between the BNT162b2 and other vaccine subgroups (P = .047). COVID-19 infection and vaccination do not affect IVF outcomes. However, the effect of BNT162b2 on steroidogenesis of the mature oocyte and FF SARS-CoV2 antibody titer should be further investigated.

PMID:38489720 | DOI:10.1097/MD.0000000000037349