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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Flexible cost-penalized Bayesian model selection: Developing inclusion paths with an application to diagnosis of heart disease

Stat Med. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1002/sim.10113. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We propose a Bayesian model selection approach that allows medical practitioners to select among predictor variables while taking their respective costs into account. Medical procedures almost always incur costs in time and/or money. These costs might exceed their usefulness for modeling the outcome of interest. We develop Bayesian model selection that uses flexible model priors to penalize costly predictors a priori and select a subset of predictors useful relative to their costs. Our approach (i) gives the practitioner control over the magnitude of cost penalization, (ii) enables the prior to scale well with sample size, and (iii) enables the creation of our proposed inclusion path visualization, which can be used to make decisions about individual candidate predictors using both probabilistic and visual tools. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our inclusion path approach and the importance of being able to adjust the magnitude of the prior’s cost penalization through a dataset pertaining to heart disease diagnosis in patients at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation, where several candidate predictors with various costs were recorded for patients, and through simulated data.

PMID:38800970 | DOI:10.1002/sim.10113

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Pre-PCI CT-FFR Predicts Target Vessel Failure After Stent Implantation

J Thorac Imaging. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1097/RTI.0000000000000791. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the predictive value of coronary computed tomography angiography-derived fractional flow reserve (CT-FFR) before percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to predict target vessel failure (TVF) after stent implantation.

METHODS: This retrospective study included 429 patients (429 vessels) who underwent PCI and stent implantation after CCTA within 3 months. All patients underwent coronary stent implantation between January 2012 and December 2019. A dedicated workstation (Syngo Via, Siemens) was used to analyze and measure the CT-FFR value. The cut-off values of pre-PCI CT-FFR for predicting TVF were defined as 0.80 and the value using the log-rank maximization method, respectively. The primary outcome was TVF, defined as a composite of cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction, and clinically driven target vessel revascularization (TVR), which was a secondary outcome.

RESULTS: During a median 64.0 months follow-up, the cumulative incidence of TVF was 7.9% (34/429). The cutoff value of pre-PCI CT-FFR based on the log-rank maximization method was 0.74, which was the independent predictor for TVF [hazard ratio (HR): 2.61 (95% CI: 1.13, 6.02); P=0.024] and TVR [HR: 3.63 (95%CI: 1.25, 10.51); P=0.018]. Compared with the clinical risk factor model, pre-PCI CT-FFR significantly improved the reclassification ability for TVF [net reclassification improvement (NRI), 0.424, P<0.001; integrative discrimination index (IDI), 0.011, P=0.022]. Adding stent information to the prediction model resulted in an improvement in reclassification for the TVF (C statistics: 0.711, P=0.001; NRI: 0.494, P<0.001; IDI: 0.020, P=0.028).

CONCLUSIONS: Pre-PCI CT-FFR ≤0.74 was an independent predictor for TVF or TVR, and integration of clinical, pre-PCI CT-FFR, and stent information models can provide a better risk stratification model in patients with stent implantation.

PMID:38800956 | DOI:10.1097/RTI.0000000000000791

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Desire for Gender-Affirming Medical Care Before Age 18 in Transgender and Nonbinary Young Adults

LGBT Health. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1089/lgbt.2023.0436. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: We aimed to understand transgender and nonbinary (TNB) young adults’ desire to receive gender-affirming medical care (GAMC) before age 18 and identify barriers and facilitators to receiving this care in adolescence. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was administered to TNB young adults presenting for care between ages 18 and 20 in 2023. Descriptive statistics characterized the sample, χ2 tests with post hoc pairwise comparisons identified differences in desire for gender-affirming medications, outness, and parental consent by gender identity and sex assigned at birth, and t-tests evaluated differences in barriers and facilitators to receiving care by outness to parents. Results: A total of 230 TNB respondents had complete data. Nearly all (94.3%) indicated they desired GAMC before age 18. Half (55.7%) of the respondents reported being out about their gender identity to a parent before age 18. Outness, discussing desire for GAMC, and asking for consent to receive GAMC from a parent were significantly more common among participants who identified as men compared to those who identified as women and among those assigned female at birth compared to those assigned male at birth. No such differences emerged when comparing nonbinary individuals to those who identified as men or women. Lack of parental willingness to consent for GAMC was cited as the primary contributor of not having received care in adolescence. Conclusions: Many TNB young adults desire GAMC in adolescence; however, lack of parental support is a key barrier to receiving this care, suggesting a need for more readily available resources for parents to support TNB adolescents.

PMID:38800949 | DOI:10.1089/lgbt.2023.0436

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Meticulous catheter care and aseptic approach reduce catheter-related bloodstream infections significantly in hemodialysis patients: A 5-year single center study

J Vasc Access. 2024 May 27:11297298241251507. doi: 10.1177/11297298241251507. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The use of central venous catheters as hemodialysis vascular access is a major contributor to high bloodstream infection rate. In our dialysis unit in Shenzhen Guangdong Province China, we have developed and used our own dialysis catheter care protocol since May 2013 with good results. In this study, we would like to share our experience with the other units.

METHODS: We have undertaken a 5-year retrospective analysis to determine our tunneled dialysis catheter-related blood stream infection rate by adding the number of infections divided by total number of catheter days × 1000. The results were compared with another study carried out in Henan Province China. Demographic data were summarized using descriptive statistics. Continuous and categorical variables were compared using t-test and χ2 test respectively.

RESULTS: Between 2017 and 2021, a total of 216 tunneled dialysis catheters were managed by following our own dialysis access pathway and catheter care protocol. The tunneled dialysis catheter-related bloodstream infection rate was 0.0229 per 1000 catheter days in the 5-year period.

CONCLUSION: Comparing with other published studies in China, our unit has achieved a very low rate of tunneled dialysis catheter-related bloodstream infection which has been sustained over time. This paper explores how our protocol and implementation might have contributed to the results.

PMID:38800939 | DOI:10.1177/11297298241251507

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of position on feeding performance in infants with cleft lip and palate: Quasiexperimental study

J Spec Pediatr Nurs. 2024 Jul;29(3):e12428. doi: 10.1111/jspn.12428.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This single-group, quasiexperimental study was conducted to determine the effect of feeding position on the physiological parameters and feeding performance of term-born infants with cleft lip and palate (CLP) in the preoperative period.

METHODS: The study sample consisted of 45 infants aged 0-6 months with CLP followed up preoperatively in our outpatient clinic between January 2021 and 2022. Infants who were being fed with a specialty bottle for babies with CLP and whose families consented to participate in the study were included. After 2 h of fasting, the infants were fed in the elevated supine (ESU) position for the first meal, then in the elevated side-lying (ESL) position for the second meal after another 2 h of fasting. The infants’ heart rate and oxygen saturation values before, during, and after each feed and indicators of feeding performance were compared between the positions.

RESULTS: There was no significant difference between the positions in terms of heart rate and oxygen saturation before, during, or after feeding (p > .05). There was no statistically significant difference in measures of feeding performance according to the infants’ feeding position (p > .05).

CONCLUSION: According to the findings obtained in this study, infants with CLP showed no statistically significant differences in heart rate, oxygen saturation, or feeding performance when fed in the ESL and ESU positions.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: However, despite the lack of statistical significance, both physiological values and feeding performance tended to be better when the infants were fed in the ESL position, nurses can practice ESL position according to the infant’s opposite direction of the side of the cleft lip or palate.

PMID:38800888 | DOI:10.1111/jspn.12428

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of Development on Antidepressant and Placebo Response in Anxiety Disorders: A Bayesian Hierarchical Meta-Analytic Examination of Randomized Controlled Trials in Children, Adolescents, and Adults

J Child Adolesc Psychopharmacol. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1089/cap.2024.0016. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background: Understanding how development influences medication and placebo responses in anxiety disorders could inform treatment decisions, including age-specific first- versus second-line psychopharmacological interventions. Objective: To meta-analytically compare the trajectory of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs), and placebo response in youth and adults with anxiety disorders. Methods: Weekly symptom severity data were extracted from prospective, randomized, parallel-group, placebo-controlled trials of SSRIs and SNRIs in children, adolescents, and adults with anxiety disorders (generalized, separation, and social anxiety disorders as well as panic disorder). Treatment response was modeled for the standardized change in continuous measures of anxiety using a Bayesian hierarchical model. Change in symptom severity was evaluated as a function of time, and post hoc analyses were conducted to determine the sensitivity of these results across sample heterogeneity and alternative functional forms. Results: Data were included from 11 trials of youth (SSRI, κ = 7; SNRI, κ = 4) and 71 studies of adults (SSRI, κ = 46; SNRI, κ = 25). In total, 1067 youth participated in SSRI trials and 1024 in SNRI trials. In total, 10,826 adults participated in SSRI trials (placebo, n = 5367; SSRI n = 5,459) and 6232 in SNRI trials (placebo, n = 3,128; SNRI n = 3,094). A logarithmic model best described the response. Placebo response was similar in youth and adults (mean difference = -1.98 ± 6.21, 95% credible interval [CrI]: -10.2 to 14.2, p = 0.750), and statistically significant improvement from baseline emerged by week 2 in both adults (mean difference: -18.34 + 1.017, 95% CrI: -20.3 to 16.3, p < 0.001) and youth (mean difference: -23.74 + 3.736, 95% CrI: -31.1 to -16.4, p < 0.001). SSRIs produced similar improvements for youth and adults (p = 0.129), but SNRIs produced slower improvement in youth than adults (p = 0.018). Conclusions: Antidepressant-related improvement occurs early in youth and adults with anxiety disorders. SSRI response is similar in adults and youth; however, SNRIs produce greater responses in adults than youth, potentially representing a developmental effect.

PMID:38800869 | DOI:10.1089/cap.2024.0016

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

First-trimester uterine artery Doppler and hypertensive disorders in twin pregnancies: Use of twin versus singleton references

Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1002/ijgo.15706. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of first-trimester uterine artery Doppler with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in twin pregnancies.

METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of twin pregnancies followed at the University Hospital Center of Central Lisbon, Portugal, between January 2010 and December 2022. First-trimester uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) was determined and compared between twin pregnancies (n = 454) and singleton pregnancies (n = 908), matched to maternal and pregnancy characteristics. Maternal characteristics and mean UtA-PI were analyzed for gestational age, birth weight, gestational hypertension, early- and late-onset pre-eclampsia, HELLP (hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, low platelets) syndrome, and preterm birth. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used.

RESULTS: The mean first-trimester UtA-PI was significantly lower in dichorionic twins than in singletons (P < 0.001). To study hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in twins, 390 pregnancies were included: 311 (79.7%) dichorionic and 79 (20.3%) monochorionic twins. The observed rates of early- and late-onset pre-eclampsia, gestational hypertension, and HELLP syndrome were 1.0%, 4.4%, 7.4%, and 1.5%, respectively. We achieved a 100% detection rate for early-onset pre-eclampsia using the UtA-PI 90th centile for twins. However, when singleton references were considered, the detection rate decreased to 50%. UtA-PI at or above the 95th centile was associated with increased odds for preterm birth before 32 weeks (adjusted odds ratio 4.1, 95% confidence interval 1.0-16.7, P = 0.043).

CONCLUSIONS: Unless other major risk factors for hypertensive disorders are present, women with low UtA-PI will probably not benefit from aspirin prophylaxis. Close monitoring of all twin pregnancies for hypertensive disorders is still recommended.

PMID:38800867 | DOI:10.1002/ijgo.15706

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Gender and work-life balance: Results of a national survey of pediatric hospitalists

J Hosp Med. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1002/jhm.13413. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In medicine, difficulty integrating work and home can lead to decreased job satisfaction, diminished well-being, and increased turnover. Understanding the experience of pediatric hospitalists can provide insights into building a stable, long-term workforce. We aim to examine gender differences in work-life balance and parental leave for physicians practicing Pediatric Hospital Medicine.

METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey study of 1096 pediatric hospitalists. Responses were collected via an online survey platform and summarized using descriptive statistics, including frequency distributions and measures of central tendency. A multivariable logistic regression was used to examine associated variables and work-life balance satisfaction. We analyzed free responses on parental leave to provide nuance to quantitative survey data.

RESULTS: Five hundred and sixty-five respondents (52% response rate) completed the survey with 71% women. 343 (62%) prioritize work-life balance in career decision-making. Women report taking on more household responsibilities than their partners (41.4% vs. 8.4%; p < .001) including a larger percentage of caregiving and domestic tasks. Female gender and performing <50% caregiving were associated with decreased work-life balance satisfaction; performing <50% domestic tasks increased satisfaction. Median parental leaves were 4 weeks, with men taking significantly shorter leaves (3.5 vs. 6 weeks; p < .001) and more “paid back” time off.

CONCLUSION: Work-life balance is an important factor in career decisions for men and women. Women perceive carrying a larger load at home. Qualitative results suggest that parental leave may be inadequate in length and salary support for men and women. This study adds insights into work-life integration in PHM.

PMID:38800852 | DOI:10.1002/jhm.13413

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Benign transient hyperphosphatasemia in the pediatric population: a single center cohort study

J Pediatr Endocrinol Metab. 2024 May 28. doi: 10.1515/jpem-2024-0123. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Alkaline phosphatase (ALP) can be increased in a benign condition known as benign-transient hyperphosphatasemia (BTH). We aimed to evaluate the demographic, and clinical characteristics of infants and children with BTH.

METHODS: In our retrospective study, infants and children diagnosed with BTH between September 2019 and September 2023 were included.

RESULTS: Of 249 children with elevated ALP levels, 95 (38.1 %) had BTH. The mean age at diagnosis of children with BTH was 2.4 ± 1.3 years (min 0.6 – max 6.2 years). ALP mean value was 2,587 ± 1252 U/L (min 972 – max 5757 U/L). ALP value was an average 7.4 ± 3.6 times higher than the corresponding upper limit of normal. The second measurement was made after an average of 13.2 ± 6 days, and a statistically significant difference was detected compared to the first value, with a decrease of 61 ± 23 % in the ALP value (p<0.001). ALP value returned to normal in an average of 44 ± 29.2 days. Elevated ALP was detected during infection in 49 (51.6 %) children. When the sample was divided into those under 2 years of age and aged 2 and over, no statistical difference was observed in ALP levels in the time it took for ALP levels to return to the normal range (p=0.480).

CONCLUSIONS: BTH should be kept in mind if high serum ALP is detected in children without clinical or laboratory suspicion of bone or liver disease. In the follow up detecting a significant decrease trend compared to the first value may be guiding for BTH.

PMID:38800840 | DOI:10.1515/jpem-2024-0123

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Extended distal femur resection: Megaprosthesis with telescopic bone allograft augmentation versus total femur prosthesis

J Surg Oncol. 2024 May 27. doi: 10.1002/jso.27670. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Oncological distal femur resections can leave a proximal femur too short to host a stem. Reconstructive techniques are then challenging. The purpose of the study is to compare implant survival, complication rate and MSTS of two different options.

METHODS: We retrospectively divided 33 patients with primary bone tumours of distal femur in Group 1 (16 patients reconstructed with knee megaprosthesis with proximal bone augmentation, APC) and Group 2 (17 patients reconstructed with total femur prosthesis, TFP). Less than 12 cm of remaining proximal femur were planned for all resections.

RESULTS: MSTS score at 2 years is 25 ± 5 for Group 1 and 19 ± 7 for Group 2 (confidence interval [C.I.] 95%, p = 0.02). At 5 years it is 27 ± 2 for Group 1 and 22 ± 6 for Group 2 (C.I. 95%, p = 0.047). Failure and complication rates are lower for Group 1, but no statistical significance was reached. In APC reconstruction, union at the host-allograft junction was achieved in 16 out of 16 patients using the telescopic bone augmentation technique.

CONCLUSIONS: APC provides higher functional results compared to TFP after extended distal femur resection. In APC reconstruction, telescopic augmentation is excellent for achieving union at the host-allograft junction.

PMID:38800838 | DOI:10.1002/jso.27670